Английская Википедия:2012 United States Senate election in Michigan

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsMI The 2012 United States Senate election in Michigan was held on November 6, 2012, alongside the 2012 United States presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Debbie Stabenow was re-elected in 2006 with 57% of the vote to 41%. She defeated Oakland County sheriff and former State Senate Majority Leader Michael Bouchard after narrowly defeating Republican incumbent Spencer Abraham in 2000. The deadline for candidates to file for the August 7 primary was May 15.[1][2] Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Debbie Stabenow was re-elected to a third term after being unopposed in the Democratic primary. The Republican nominee was former Congressman Pete Hoekstra. Stabenow defeated Hoekstra by a landslide 20.8% margin and nearly one million votes.

Democratic primary

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Qualified/On ballot
Filed to run, but failed to qualify
  • Scotty Boman (switched back to the Libertarian Party[7][8])
  • Peter Konetchy, businessman[9][10]
  • Chuck Marino, businessman[11]
  • Rick Wilson, retired autoworker and unsuccessful candidate for the 5th district in 2010[11]
Declined to file

Campaign

The GOP primary campaign was mainly a battle between Hoekstra and Durant as they were the most visible in running campaign ads. Despite Durant's attack ads, Hoekstra was leading in the polls for the Republican nomination.[25]

On July 20 Glenn suspended his campaign and endorsed Durant; however, his name was still on the ballot due to the time of his withdrawal.[4]

Hoekstra ad controversy

Hoekstra targeted Democratic incumbent Debbie Stabenow with a television ad[26] which ran statewide during the 2012 Super Bowl. The 30-second ad opened with the sound of a gong and showed an Asian woman riding a bike in a rice paddy and talking in pidgin English. The ad is critical of government spending by Stabenow and mocks her name with the Asian woman saying "Thank you, Michigan Senator Debbie Spenditnow".[27] The commercial asks viewers to visit Hoekstra's website which has statistics about federal spending beside images of Chinese flags, currency and stereotypical Chinatown font.[28] In the HTML code on Hoekstra's site the woman in the ad was reportedly previously identified as "yellowgirl."[29] It has since been removed.

Asian-American groups called the ad "very disturbing", national GOP consultant Mike Murphy said it was "really, really dumb", and Foreign Policy magazine managing editor Blake Hounshell called it "despicable." A coalition of black ministers in Detroit called for Hoekstra to apologize. Two of Hoekstra's GOP opponents, Clark Durant and Gary Glenn, questioned whether Hoekstra is the right candidate for Republicans to support.[30] The ad was called "blatantly racist" by Michael Yaki, former aide to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and a member of the U.S. Commission on Civil Rights. Journalist James Fallows of The Atlantic called it the "most revolting ad".[31] The NAACP denounced the ad as an "unnecessary race card."[32] Some warned the ad would revive discrimination against Asian-Americans in Michigan where smashing imported cars was common in the 1980s, and in 1982 Chinese-American Vincent Chin was beaten to death by two unemployed autoworkers angry about Japanese competition.[33] Critics also pointed out that Hoekstra voted for the $700-billion Wall Street bailout and voted for trillions more in deficit spending while he was in Congress.[27]

A Public Policy Polling poll released on show of February 14ed Stabenow leading Hoekstra 51%-37%.[34] In April 2012, Stabenow's campaign reported that she had had her best fundraising quarter ever, taking $1.5m from January to March 2012, which they say was in part due to the advertisement.[35] Hoekstra's campaign, meanwhile, reported disappointing fundraising numbers for the first quarter of 2012, raising just $700,000, down almost $300,000 from the final quarter of 2011.[36]

Despite the criticism, the ad was a factor in Hoekstra's Republican primary victory.[37]

Polling

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Clark
Durant 		Gary
Glenn 		Randy
Hekman 		Pete
Hoekstra 		Peter
Konetchy 		Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 24–27, 2012 360 ±5.2% 11% 4% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% 0% 38%
Public Policy Polling July 21–23, 2012 452 ±4.6% 17% — 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% 1% 26%

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Candidates

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Debbie Stabenow (D) $10,625,660 $11,376,831 $1,281,907 $0
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Pete Hoekstra (R) $5,827,123 $5,550,301 $277,855 $0
Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian| Scott Boman (L) $10,280 $10,265 $12 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[42]

Top contributors

[43]

Debbie Stabenow Contribution Pete Hoekstra Contribution
EMILY's List $107,650 PVS Chemicals $40,000
DTE Energy $89,150 Caidan Management $33,000
JP Morgan Chase & Co $70,300 Amway $31,300
Blue Cross & Blue Shield $51,682 Dickstein Shapiro LLP $20,999
University of Michigan $45,362 Haworth Inc. $20,000
Vestar Capital Partners $39,950 American Axle & Manufacturing $17,500
Demmer Corp $39,800 Centra Inc $17,000
General Motors $38,350 Byrne Electrical Specialists $15,500
Ford Motor Co $35,375 RA Miller Industries $15,000
Goldman Sachs $34,500 Suburban Collection $15,000

Top industries

[44]

Debbie Stabenow Contribution Pete Hoekstra Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $622,208 Retired $329,199
Financial Institutions $589,188 Real Estate $124,050
Health Professionals $454,525 Republican/Conservative $105,400
Retired $377,484 Manufacturing & Distributing $84,300
Lobbyists $340,063 Leadership PACs $83,750
Hospitals/Nursing Homes $316,122 Lawyers/Law Firms $82,059
Agribusiness $287,603 Automotive industry $68,150
Insurance $286,675 Chemical Industry $58,500
Women's Issues $277,570 Health Services/HMOs $58,000
Leadership PACs $263,500 Business Services $56,493

Debates

A number of United States Senate Debates were held in the 2012 election cycle, but none included more than two of the general election candidates at a time. Incumbent senator Debbie Stabenow did not attend any of them.[45] Before the primary, non-partisan Tea Party groups hosted debates which were open to all candidates, however all but one were attended exclusively by Republican primary candidates.[46] The exception being the Romeo Area Tea Party Forum, on May 21, 2012, which included Scotty Boman after he changed his affiliation from Republican to Libertarian. Republican Pete Hoekstra had originally been scheduled to participate in the debate, but withdrew because he objected to the participation of one of the candidates.[47] The Romeo forum was hosted by WJR AM radio talk show host Frank Beckmann who said the candidate Hoekstra objected to was Boman.[48]

There were debates in Dewitt,[49] Zeeland,[50] and Dearborn[51] which were attended by both Pete Hoekstra and Scotty Boman who both qualified for the general election.[52]

After the primary election, some forums were held which were attended by one of the invited United States Senate Candidates, but only two post-primary debates were held where more than one General Election candidate attended: Libertarian Scotty Boman and Green Party candidate Harley Mikkelson attended Forums hosted by the League of Women Voters of Alpena County on October 23,[53] and Gaylord High School on October 24.[54][55]

Controversy about debate qualifications

Since 1996, WGVU and the Detroit Economic Club hosted United States Senate debates that would feature all United States Senate candidates who had met certain qualifications.[56] In 1994 all balloted candidates were included in the televised debate on WKAR,[57] but since then only major party candidates qualified. Pete Hoekstra and Debbie Stabenow had agreed in principle to debate, but failed to reach a consensus on the number of debates.[58] On October 9 Scotty Boman issued a press release in which he claimed polling results[59] qualified him for the debates.[60] On October 11 the Stabenow campaign issued a statement saying she was "…ending the ongoing debate over debates, due to Congressman Hoekstra's refusal to accept the traditional U.S. Senate debates and his constant political attacks.".[45] The Hoekstra campaign responded, "Debbie Stabenow's campaign refused to negotiate in good faith during the entire process."[45]

Hoekstra continued to ask Stabenow to debate him, and attended at least three debates at which he was the only participant. On October 11 he attended a health care debate sponsored by the Independent Choice Network.[61] On October 18 he attended a debate in Midland which was hosted by a group of local business leaders.[62] Scotty Boman offered to participate in the October 18 debate, but Hoekstra Campaign Manager Greg VanWoerkom said it was too late for Boman to participate since he had his chance to debate Hoekstra before the August primary, when he was running as a Republican.[63] At the time Hoekstra was scheduled to debate with Harley Mikkelson, and Boman at Gaylord High School on October 24,[55] but Hoekstra did not attend it.[55] On October 23 Hoekstra held a debate in Kentwood Michigan.[64]

As an alternative to the traditional WGVU debate, the station produced two back to back interviews with Stabenow and Hoekstra.[65]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[66] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[68] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[69] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Debbie
Stabenow (D) 		Pete
Hoekstra (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 3–6, 2010 1,224 ±2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 44% — 11%
EPIC-MRA February 12–17, 2011 600 ±4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 42% — 14%
Public Policy Polling March 18–20, 2011 502 ±4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 38% — 12%
Public Policy Polling July 21–24, 2011 593 ±4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 41% — 9%
EPIC-MRA August 13–16, 2011 600 ±4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 38% — 15%
EPIC-MRA November 13–16, 2011 600 ±4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 42% — 10%
Wilson Research January 9–11, 2012 601 ±n/a Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 41% — 12%
Public Policy Polling February 10–12, 2012 560 ±4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 37% — 12%
NBC News/Marist February 19–20, 2012 3,149 ±1.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 32% — 15%
MRG March 14–19, 2012 600 ±4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 40% — 15%
Public Policy Polling May 24–27, 2012 500 ±4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 37% — 10%
EPIC-MRA June 2–5, 2012 600 ±4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 38% — 13%
Rasmussen Reports June 14, 2012 500 ±4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 39% 3% 10%
NBC News/Marist June 24–25, 2012 1,078 ±3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 37% — 14%
Public Policy Polling July 21–23, 2012 579 ±4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 38% — 10%
Rasmussen Reports July 23, 2012 500 ±4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 40% 4% 10%
EPIC-MRA July 24–31, 2012 600 ±4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 35% — 16%
Bouydon-Foster July 28, 2012 1,046 ±3.03% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 43% 5% 3%
Bouydon-Foster August 16, 2012 1,733 ±2.3% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 3% 5%
Detroit News August 18–20, 2012 600 ±4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 40% — 12%
Mitchell Research August 23, 2012 1,277 ±2.7% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% — 11%
EPIC-MRA August 28, 2012 1,200 ±2.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 44% — 5%
Public Policy Polling August 31 – September 2, 2012 815 ±3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 41% — 9%
EPIC-MRA September 8–11, 2012 600 ±4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 38% — 13%
Baydoun/Foster September 12, 2012 1,156 ±2.88% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 42% 3% 8%
Marketing Resource Group September 10–15, 2012 600 ±4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 40% — 14%
Detroit News September 15–17, 2012 600 ±4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 34% — 16%
Rasmussen Reports September 20, 2012 500 ±4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 37% 3% 7%
Angus Reid Public Opinion September 21–22, 2012 804 ±3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% 40% 7% —
Baydoun/Foster October 5, 2012 1,122 ±2.93% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 43% 2% 4%
Gravis Marketing October 5–6, 2012 970 ±3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 39% 7% 6%
EPIC-MRA October 4–6, 2012 600 ±4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 35% — 10%
Glengariff October 6–8, 2012 600 ±4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 38% — 10%
Rasmussen Reports October 11, 2012 500 ±4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 39% 3% 7%
Angus Reid Public Opinion October 18–20, 2012 551 ±4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 59% 39% 3% —
EPIC-MRA October 26–29, 2012 600 ±4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% 33% 4% 9%
Glengariff October 27–29, 2012 600 ±4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 38% — 10%
Public Policy Polling October 31 – November 1, 2012 500 ±4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 40% — 7%
Baydoun/Foster November 2, 2012 1,913 ±2.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 43% 3% 3%
Public Policy Polling November 1–3, 2012 700 ±3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 42% — 3%
Angus Reid Public Opinion November 1–3, 2012 502 ±4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% 43% 1% —
Mitchell Research November 4, 2012 1,305 ±2.71% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 41% — 4%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Debbie
Stabenow (D) 		Clark
Durant (R) 		Other Undecided
EPIC-MRA November 13–16, 2011 600 ±4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 31% — 18%
Public Policy Polling February 10–12, 2012 560 ±4.14% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 33% — 16%
Public Policy Polling May 24–27, 2012 500 ±4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 31% — 16%
Public Policy Polling July 21–23, 2012 579 ±4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 34% — 15%
Public Policy Polling July 21–23, 2012 579 ±4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 34% — 15%
Rasmussen Reports July 23, 2012 500 ±4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 39% 4% 10%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Debbie
Stabenow (D) 		Scotty
Boman (L) 		Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing October 5–6, 2012 970 ±3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 39% — 22%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Debbie
Stabenow (D) 		Randy
Hekman (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 18–20, 2011 502 ±4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 33% — 15%
Public Policy Polling July 21–24, 2011 593 ±4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 36% — 12%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Debbie
Stabenow (D) 		Peter
Konetchy (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 21–24, 2011 593 ±4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 31% — 18%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Debbie
Stabenow (D) 		Tim
Leuliette (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 3–6, 2010 1,224 ±2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 30% — 24%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Debbie
Stabenow (D) 		Saul
Anuzis (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 18–20, 2011 502 ±4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 35% — 13%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Debbie
Stabenow (D) 		John
Engler (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 3–6, 2010 1,224 ±2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 42% — 9%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Debbie
Stabenow (D) 		Terri Lynn
Land (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 3–6, 2010 1,224 ±2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 41% — 14%
Public Policy Polling March 18–20, 2011 502 ±4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 38% — 14%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Debbie
Stabenow (D) 		John
McCulloch (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 21–24, 2011 593 ±4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 32% — 16%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Debbie
Stabenow (D) 		Candice
Miller (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 3–6, 2010 1,224 ±2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% 41% — 15%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Stabenow won 12 of 14 congressional districts, including seven that elected Republicans.[70]

District Stabenow Hoekstra Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|1st 52.3% 44.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Dan Benishek
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|2nd 44.7% 52.2%
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bill Huizenga
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|3rd 48.0% 48.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Justin Amash
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|4th 53.0% 43.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Dave Camp
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|5th 66.7% 30.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Dale Kildee (112th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Dan Kildee (113th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|6th 50.2% 46.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Fred Upton
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|7th 53.4% 43.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Tim Walberg
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|8th 52.4% 44.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Mike Rogers
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|9th 63.0% 33.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Gary Peters (112th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Sander Levin (113th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|10th 54.0% 42.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Candice Miller
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|11th 51.5% 45.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|David Curson (112th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Kerry Bentivolio (113th Congress)
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|12th 69.7% 26.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Sander Levin (112th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|John Dingell (113th Congress)
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|13th 86.3% 11.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Hansen Clarke (112th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|John Conyers (113th Congress)
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|14th 82.1% 15.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|John Conyers (112th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Gary Peters (113th Congress)

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Шаблон:2012 United States elections

Партнерские ресурсы
Криптовалюты
Магазины
Хостинг
Разное

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