Английская Википедия:2012 United States Senate election in Minnesota

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Unreliable sources Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsMN The 2012 United States Senate election in Minnesota took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives as well as various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic–Farmer–Labor U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar faced Republican State Representative Kurt Bills. Klobuchar was reelected in a landslide, defeating Bills by almost one million votes and carrying all but two of the state's 87 counties by double digits.[1] This election marked the first time since 1996 that an incumbent Democratic senator was re-elected and the first time since 1976 that an incumbent Democratic senator was re-elected to this seat.

Background

Incumbent Amy Klobuchar was first elected in 2006 to succeed the retiring DFL incumbent Mark Dayton. She beat Republican nominee Mark Kennedy, 58% to 38%. Klobuchar served as Minnesota's only senator between January 3 and July 7, 2009, due to the contested results of Minnesota's senatorial election held the previous year, finally decided in favor of DFLer Al Franken.

DFL primary

The Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party held its Senate primary on August 14, 2012.[2]

Candidates

Declared

  • Dick Franson, perennial candidate[3]
  • Amy Klobuchar, incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Jack Shepard, dentist, convicted felon, fugitive and perennial candidate[4][5]
  • Darryl Stanton

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

The Republican Party of Minnesota held its nominating convention in May 2012 and held its Senate primary on August 14, 2012.[2]

Candidates

Declared

  • Kurt Bills, state representative; won May 2012 convention nomination[6]
  • David Carlson, former Marine Corps sergeant; candidate in August 2012 primary
  • Bob Carney Jr., inventor, independent businessman; finished 2nd in 2010 GOP primary for Governor of Minnesota, candidate in August 2012 primary[7]

Withdrew

  • Joe Arwood, St. Bonifacius city councilman; withdrew before May 2012 convention
  • Pete Hegseth, executive director of Vets for Freedom; withdrew after May 2012 convention
  • Anthony Hernandez, former state senate candidate; withdrew before May 2012 convention to run for Congress against Betty McCollum
  • Dan Severson, former state representative; withdrew after May 2012 convention

Results

Файл:Minnesota U.S. Senate Republican primary, 2012.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Independence primary

Campaign

The Independence Party of Minnesota did not plan to run a candidate in the general election. Party chairman Mark Jenkins said in November 2011 that he saw the Senate election as "a distraction from having our best and brightest engaged in state legislative races".[8] At the party's convention in June 2012, neither candidate was endorsed. Williams won a majority of the votes and came within two votes of the required 60% needed for the party's endorsement. He proceeded with his run for the Senate but the party focused its attention on state legislative races.[9]

Candidates

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Candidates

Debates

On August 29 Klobuchar and Bills held their second debate at the State Fair, sponsored by MPR News. Their third debate, on September 16 in Duluth, was about the nation's struggle with deficit spending and unemployment. The audience was assembled by the Duluth Area Chamber of Commerce and Duluth News Tribune.[11]

External links
  • Complete video at Minnesota Public Radio, second debate, August 29, 2012
  • Audio from Minnesota Public Radio, third debate, September 18, 2012

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt Current Through
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Amy Klobuchar (D) $6,301,413 $2,530,567 $5,393,798 $0 July 25, 2012
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Kurt Bills (R) $394,547 $388,720 $5,841 $0 July 25, 2012
Source: Federal Election Commission[12]

Top contributors

This section lists the top contributors by employer. These organizations themselves didn't donate, but these numbers include donations from their PACs, members, employees, owners, and their immediate families.

Amy Klobuchar Contribution Kurt Bills Contribution
Dorsey & Whitney $61,100 Liberty PAC $10,000
Target Corp $56,050 Craw $10,000
General Mills $51,750 Primera Technology $10,000
U.S. Bancorp $51,139 Minnesota Limited Pipeline $7,500
Robins, Kaplan, Miller & Ciresi $49,150 Ameriprise Financial $5,000
Medtronic Inc. $41,025 Bachmann for Congress $5,000
Toys R Us $36,500 Exactdrive $5,000
Leonard, Street & Deinard $34,350 New Spark Holdings $5,000
Comcast Corp $33,623 TACPAC $5,000
Wells Fargo $32,400 Twin City Fan Companies $5,000
Source: OpenSecrets,[13] Current through: March 9, 2012

Top industries

Amy Klobuchar Contribution Kurt Bills Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $989,929 Leadership PACs $17,850
Retired $447,082 Republican/Conservative $13,750
Leadership PACs $302,150 Financial Institutions $13,250
Lobbyists $282,430 Real Estate $12,550
Financial Institutions $269,033 Retired $10,350
Entertainment industry $256,711 Energy Industry $10,250
Women's Issues $196,866 Electronics Manufacturing $10,000
Retail industry $181,850 Misc. Business $9,450
Commercial Banks $159,139 Manufacturing & Distributing $7,850
Pharmaceuticals/Health Products $149,725 Computers/Internet $7,350
Source: OpenSecrets,[14] Current through: March 9, 2012

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[15] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[17] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[18] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Amy
Шаблон:Nowrap
Kurt
Bills (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 31 – June 3, 2012 973 ±3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 29% 16%
Survey USA July 17–19, 2012 552 ±4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 31% 5% 9%
KSTP/Survey USA Шаблон:Webarchive September 6–9, 2012 551 ±4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 34% 11%
Public Policy Polling September 10–11, 2012 824 ±3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 36% 10%
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon September 17–19, 2012 800 ±3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 57% 28% 7% 8%
Public Policy Polling October 5–8, 2012 937 ±3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 57% 31% 12%
SurveyUSA/KSTP Шаблон:Webarchive October 12–14, 2012 550 ±4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 58% 30% 5% 7%
St. Cloud State U.Шаблон:Dead link October 15–21, 2012 600 ±5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 63% 36% 1%
Rasmussen Reports October 21, 2012 500 ±4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% 33% 2% 9%
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon October 23–25, 2012 800 ±3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 65% 22% 13%
SurveyUSA October 26–28, 2012 574 ±4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 60% 29% 4% 7%
KSTP/SurveyUSA Шаблон:Webarchive November 1–3, 2012 556 ±4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 60% 30% 3% 7%
Public Policy Polling November 2–3, 2012 1,164 ±2.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 62% 32% 6%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Republican primary
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Michele
Bachmann
Laura
Brod
Norm
Coleman
Chip
Cravaack
Tom
Emmer
John
Kline
Erik
Paulsen
Tim
Pawlenty
Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 4–5, 2010 387 ±5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 36% 4% 14% 7% 6% 5% 2% 20% 6%
General election
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Amy
Klobuchar (DFL)
Joe
Arwood (R)
Other Undecided
Survey USA November 2–6, 2011 543 ±4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% 22% 22%
Public Policy Polling January 21–22, 2012 1,236 ±2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 30% 15%
Survey USA January 31 – February 2, 2012 542 ±4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 59% 28% 14%
Public Policy Polling May 31 – June 3, 2012 973 ±3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% 29% 15%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Amy
Klobuchar (DFL)
Michele
Bachmann (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 4–5, 2010 949 ±3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% 39% 4%
Public Policy Polling May 27–30, 2011 1,179 ±2.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 57% 37% 5%
Public Policy Polling January 21–22, 2012 1,236 ±2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 58% 35% 7%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Amy
Klobuchar (DFL)
Norm
Coleman (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 4–5, 2010 949 ±3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% 40% 6%
Survey USA November 2–6, 2011 543 ±4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 37% 14%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Amy
Klobuchar (DFL)
Tom
Emmer (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 4–5, 2010 949 ±3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% 38% 6%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Amy
Klobuchar (DFL)
Pete
Hegseth (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 31 – June 3, 2012 973 ±3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% 28% 16%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Amy
Klobuchar (DFL)
Anthony
Hernandez (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 21–22, 2012 1,236 ±2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 29% 16%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Amy
Klobuchar (DFL)
Erik
Paulsen (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 4–5, 2010 949 ±3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 34% 14%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Amy
Klobuchar (DFL)
Tim
Pawlenty (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 4–5, 2010 949 ±3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 43% 4%
Public Policy Polling May 27–30, 2011 1,179 ±2.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% 41% 5%
Survey USA November 2–6, 2011 543 ±4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 37% 14%
Public Policy Polling January 21–22, 2012 1,236 ±2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% 39% 7%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Amy
Klobuchar (DFL)
Dan
Severson (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 27–30, 2011 1,179 ±2.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% 28% 16%
Survey USA November 2–6, 2011 543 ±4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 23% 22%
Public Policy Polling January 21–22, 2012 1,236 ±2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 32% 13%
Survey USA January 31 – February 2, 2012 542 ±4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% 29% 15%
Public Policy Polling May 31 – June 3, 2012 973 ±3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 27% 19%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Amy
Klobuchar (DFL)
Dave
Thompson (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 27–30, 2011 1,179 ±2.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 28% 17%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Results by congressional district

Klobuchar won all 8 congressional districts, including three held by Republicans.[19]

District Klobuchar Billis Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Шаблон:Ushr 62.45% 32.22% Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Tim Walz
Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Шаблон:Ushr 61.73% 34.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|John Kline
Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Шаблон:Ushr 62.6% 34.33% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Erik Paulsen
Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Шаблон:Ushr 71.26% 24.66% Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Betty McCollum
Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Шаблон:Ushr 78.71% 17.09% Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Keith Ellison
Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Шаблон:Ushr 58.59% 37.15% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Michele Bachmann
Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Шаблон:Ushr 61.23% 34.15% Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Collin Peterson
Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Шаблон:Ushr 65.32% 30.64% Шаблон:Party shading/DFL|Rick Nolan

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Шаблон:Minnesota elections Шаблон:2012 United States elections