Английская Википедия:2012 United States Senate election in Nebraska

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Шаблон:Short description

Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsNE The 2012 United States Senate election in Nebraska took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic senator Ben Nelson chose to retire instead of seeking a third term.[1] Democrat Bob Kerrey, who held this seat from 1989 to 2001, and Republican state senator Deb Fischer won their respective parties' primary elections on May 15, 2012.

Fischer won the general election with 57.8% of the vote. Her election marked the first time since 1970 that a Republican was elected to Nebraska's Class 1 Senate seat, as well as the first time that a woman was elected to a full Senate term in the state's history. This was the only Republican flip of the 2012 U.S. Senate elections. Deb Fischer's inauguration marked the first time since the resignation of Roman Hruska in 1976 where Republicans held both Senate seats from Nebraska.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Bob Kerrey, former U.S. Senator and former governor of Nebraska[2]
  • Steven Lustgarten, video production company owner[3]
  • Larry Marvin, landlord and perennial candidate[4]
  • Sherman Yates[4]

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jon
Bruning
Sharyn
Elander
Deb
Fischer
Pat
Flynn
Don
Stenberg
Spencer
Zimmerman
Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 26–27, 2011 519 ±4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 6% 7% 19% 20%
Public Policy Polling September 30 – October 2, 2011 400 ±4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 37% 14% 6% 16% 27%
Public Policy Polling March 22–25, 2012 440 ±4.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% 3% 12% 4% 18% 0% 18%
We Ask America May 6, 2012 1,173 ±2.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42.2% 3.4% 25.9% 4% 22.5% 2%
We Ask America May 13, 2012 1,109 ±2.95% 34% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 39% 3% 18% 2%
Public Policy Polling May 14, 2012 272 ±5.9% 33% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 37% 2% 17% 1% 7%

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Candidates

  • Bob Kerrey, (Democrat), former U.S. senator and former governor of Nebraska
  • Deb Fischer, (Republican), state senator

Debates

The first debate took place at the Heartland Events Center during the Nebraska State Fair at 4 p.m. Saturday, August 25, 2012. Kerrey and Fischer participated.

The second debate took place on September 28, 2012, KETV-TV, Chamber of Commerce of Greater Omaha. Kerrey and Fischer participated.

The third debate took place on October 1, 2012, NET-TV. Kerrey and Fischer participated. Topics included agriculture policy, the economy, taxes and education.

External links

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Bob Kerrey (D) $4,877,704 $4,582,224 $295,480 $0
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Deb Fischer (R) $4,536,837 $3,472,721 $1,458,122 $65,000
Source: Federal Election Commission[24][25][26]

Top contributors

[27]

Bob Kerrey Contribution Deb Fischer Contribution
Rural Media Group $62,500 Elliott Management Corporation $29,413
MacAndrews & Forbes $51,000 Hawkins Construction $20,000
Tenet Healthcare $25,650 Kelly PAC $20,000
Nix, Patterson & Roach $25,000 Tenaska Energy $17,500
Allen & Company $22,500 Werner Enterprises $15,250
Kirkland & Ellis $21,500 T&L Irrigation $13,200
Level 3 Communications $17,000 Union Pacific $11,500
Genworth Financial $16,000 Pinnacle Financial Partners $10,500
Williams Kherkher $16,000 21st Century Majority Fund $10,000
Bank of America $15,250 AG Processing $10,000

Top industries

[28]

Bob Kerrey Contribution Deb Fischer Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $293,434 Leadership PACs $165,500
Retired $219,224 Retired $124,546
Leadership PACs $203,500 Agribusiness $105,052
Financial Institutions $182,150 Commercial Banks $54,990
Entertainment Industry $119,000 Financial Institutions $54,416
Lobbyists $104,400 General Contractors $54,300
Real Estate $87,675 Real Estate $38,000
Manufacturing & Distributing $61,700 Insurance $36,000
Education $53,000 Health Professionals $31,850
Insurance $51,500 Electric Utilities $29,900

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[29] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[31] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[32] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Kerrey (D)
Deb
Fischer (R)
Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports March 5, 2012 500 ±4.5% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% 10% 10%
Public Policy Polling March 22–25, 2012 1,028 ±3.1% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 14%
Rasmussen Reports May 16, 2012 500 ±4.5% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 56% 2% 3%
WeAskAmerica August 14, 2012 1,273 ±2.8% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 55% 11%
Omaha World-Herald September 17–20, 2012 800 ±3.5% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 6%
Pharos Research October 19–21, 2012 783 ±3.5% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 6%
Omaha World-Herald October 23–25, 2012 800 ±3.5% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 7%
We Ask America November 1, 2012 1,178 ±3.0% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 54% 5%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

With Kerrey
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Kerrey (D)
Jon
Bruning (R)
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies January 10–11, 2012 675 ±3.77% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% 9%
Rasmussen Reports March 5, 2012 500 ±4.5% 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 55% 4% 7%
Public Policy Polling March 22–25, 2012 1,028 ±3.1% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 54% 9%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Kerrey (D)
Don
Stenberg (R)
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies January 10–11, 2012 675 ±3.77% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 14%
Rasmussen Reports March 5, 2012 500 ±4.5% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 5% 9%
Public Policy Polling March 22–25, 2012 1,028 ±3.1% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 10%
With Lathrop
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Steve
Lathrop (D)
Jon
Bruning (R)
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies January 10–11, 2012 675 ±3.77% 29% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 19%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Steve
Lathrop (D)
Don
Stenberg (R)
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies January 10–11, 2012 675 ±3.77% 27% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 21%
With Nelson
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Ben
Nelson (D)
Jon
Bruning (R)
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies December 15, 2010 1,789 ±2.3% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% –– 10%
Public Policy Polling January 26–27, 2011 977 ±3.1% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% –– 11%
Public Policy Polling September 30 – October 2, 2011 739 ±3.6% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% –– 12%
Magellan Strategies November 20–21, 2011 645 ±3.9% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% –– 16%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Ben
Nelson (D)
Deb
Fischer (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 26–27, 2011 977 ±3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% 35% –– 22%
Public Policy Polling September 30 – October 2, 2011 739 ±3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% 39% –– 20%
Magellan Strategies November 20–21, 2011 645 ±3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% 35% –– 24%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Ben
Nelson (D)
Pat
Flynn (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 26–27, 2011 977 ±3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% 33% –– 24%
Public Policy Polling September 30 – October 2, 2011 739 ±3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% 36% –– 21%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Ben
Nelson (D)
Dave
Heineman (R)
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies November 20–21, 2011 645 ±3.9% 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% –– 16%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Ben
Nelson (D)
Don
Stenberg (R)
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies December 15, 2010 1,789 ±2.3% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% –– 14%
Public Policy Polling January 26–27, 2011 977 ±3.1% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% –– 14%
Public Policy Polling September 30 – October 2, 2011 739 ±3.6% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% –– 15%
Magellan Strategies November 20–21, 2011 645 ±3.9% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 41% –– 19%
With Robak
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kim
Robak (D)
Jon
Bruning (R)
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies January 10–11, 2012 675 ±3.77% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% 15%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kim
Robak (D)
Don
Stenberg (R)
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies January 10–11, 2012 675 ±3.77% 32% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% 18%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

By county

From Secretary of State of Nebraska[33]

County Deb Fischer

Republican

Bob Kerrey

Democratic

Total
votes
% # % #
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Adams 64.65% 8,170 35.35% 4,468 12,638
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Antelope 81.32% 2,625 18.68% 603 3,228
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Arthur 86.74% 229 13.26% 35 264
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Banner 84.91% 349 15.09% 62 411
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Blaine 89.23% 265 10.77% 32 297
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Boone 76.31% 2,139 23.69% 664 2,803
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Box Butte 60.41% 2,838 39.59% 1,860 4,698
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Boyd 80.36% 851 19.64% 208 1,059
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Brown 86.80% 1,342 13.20% 204 1,546
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Buffalo 70.01% 13,491 29.99% 5,779 19,270
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Burt 59.55% 1,977 40.45% 1,343 3,320
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Butler 68.86% 2,642 31.14% 1,195 3,837
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Cass 59.25% 7,153 40.75% 4,919 12,072
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Cedar 70.31% 3,041 29.69% 1,284 4,325
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Chase 83.57% 1,546 16.43% 304 1,850
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Cherry 77.91% 2,328 22.09% 660 2,988
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Cheyenne 72.54% 3,344 27.46% 1,266 4,610
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Clay 74.52% 2,194 25.48% 750 2,944
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Colfax 65.23% 1,992 34.77% 1,062 3,054
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Cuming 73.00% 2,893 27.00% 1,070 3,963
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Custer 80.78% 4,439 19.22% 1,056 5,495
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Dakota 45.63% 2,770 54.37% 3,300 6,070
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Dawes 64.86% 2,405 35.14% 1,303 3,708
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Dawson 69.54% 5,422 30.46% 2,375 7,797
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Deuel 75.00% 762 25.00% 254 1,016
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Dixon 60.22% 1,618 39.78% 1,069 2,687
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Dodge 59.30% 8,823 40.70% 6,056 14,879
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Douglas 48.25% 106,951 51.75% 114,700 221,651
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Dundy 78.35% 767 21.65% 212 979
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Fillmore 67.18% 1,918 32.82% 937 2,855
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Franklin 72.59% 1,107 27.41% 418 1,525
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Frontier 77.12% 1,008 22.88% 299 1,307
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Furnas 77.43% 1,729 22.57% 504 2,233
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Gage 53.74% 5,172 46.26% 4,452 9,624
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Garden 75.76% 819 24.24% 262 1,081
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Garfield 81.99% 774 18.01% 170 944
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Gosper 75.31% 738 24.69% 242 980
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Grant 83.52% 299 16.48% 59 358
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Greeley 69.61% 827 30.39% 361 1,188
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Hall 61.32% 12,350 38.68% 7,790 20,140
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Hamilton 72.27% 3,498 27.73% 1,342 4,840
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Harlan 75.64% 1329 24.36% 428 1,757
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Hayes 83.49% 445 16.51% 88 533
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Hitchcock 74.98% 1,112 25.02% 371 1,483
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Holt 79.17% 3,896 20.83% 1,025 4,921
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Hooker 82.84% 333 17.16% 69 402
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Howard 67.69% 1,940 32.31% 926 2,866
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Jefferson 60.04% 2,052 39.96% 1,366 3,418
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Johnson 55.76% 1,147 44.24% 910 2,057
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Kearney 74.08% 2,343 25.92% 820 3,163
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Keith 73.76% 2,988 26.24% 1,063 4,051
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Keya Paha 84.62% 407 15.38% 74 481
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Kimball 73.39% 1,233 26.61% 447 1,680
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Knox 71.52% 2,880 28.48% 1,147 4,027
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Lancaster 46.15% 58,306 53.85% 68,046 126,352
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Lincoln 66.00% 10,285 34.00% 5,298 15,583
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Logan 82.45% 357 17.55% 76 433
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Loup 78.71% 281 21.29% 76 357
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Madison 72.92% 10,089 27.08% 3,746 13,835
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |McPherson 86.35% 253 13.65% 40 293
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Merrick 71.44% 2,491 28.56% 996 3,487
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Morrill 76.24% 1,675 23.76% 522 2,197
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Nance 66.42% 1,068 33.58% 540 1,608
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Nemaha 59.09% 1,901 40.91% 1,316 3,217
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Nuckolls 70.21% 1,532 29.79% 650 2,182
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Otoe 58.58% 4,067 41.42% 2,876 6,943
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Pawnee 64.11% 861 35.89% 482 1,343
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Perkins 78.60% 1,091 21.40% 297 1,388
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Phelps 77.00% 3,368 23.00% 1,006 4,374
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Pierce 79.55% 2,716 20.45% 698 3,414
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Platte 73.13% 9,801 26.87% 3,601 13,402
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Polk 74.65% 1,820 25.35% 618 2,438
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Red Willow 75.25% 3,692 24.75% 1,214 4,906
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Richardson 62.08% 2,312 37.92% 1,412 3,724
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Rock 86.90% 683 13.10% 103 786
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Saline 48.30% 2,387 51.70% 2,555 4,942
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Sarpy 57.56% 40,682 42.44% 29,996 70,678
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Saunders 63.72% 6,547 36.28% 3,728 10,275
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Scotts Bluff 64.96% 9,299 35.04% 5,017 14,316
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Seward 63.18% 4,764 36.82% 2,776 7,540
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Sheridan 80.24% 1,986 19.76% 489 2,475
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Sherman 63.20% 960 36.80% 559 1,519
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Sioux 82.76% 605 17.24% 126 731
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Stanton 74.99% 1,979 25.01% 660 2,639
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Thayer 65.79% 1,742 34.21% 906 2,648
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Thomas 85.23% 352 14.77% 61 413
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Thurston 40.38% 900 59.62% 1,329 2,229
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Valley 72.91% 1,599 27.09% 594 2,193
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Washington 65.52% 6,660 34.48% 3,505 10,165
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Wayne 67.56% 2,484 32.44% 1,193 3,677
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Webster 69.66% 1,203 30.34% 524 1,727
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Wheeler 79.78% 359 20.22% 91 450
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |York 74.78% 4,726 25.22% 1,594 6,320

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Шаблон:Columns-list

By congressional district

Fischer won all 3 congressional districts.[34]

District Fischer Kerrey Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 55.01% 44.99% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jeff Fortenberry
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 50.06% 49.94% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lee Terry
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 68.48% 31.52% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Adrian Smith

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2012 United States elections