Английская Википедия:2012 United States Senate election in Nevada
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsNV The 2012 United States Senate election in Nevada was held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and the 2012 presidential election. The primary election was held June 12, 2012.
Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Dean Heller, who was appointed to his seat in May 2011 following the resignation of Senator John Ensign, was narrowly elected to his first full term over Representative Shelley Berkley, despite President Barack Obama carrying the state by 6.7% in the concurrent presidential election. As a result, Heller became the only Republican Senate candidate in 2012 to win in a state that was lost by the Republican presidential candidate. With a margin of 1.2%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2012 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in North Dakota. Шаблон:As of, this is the only time since 2006 that Republicans won a U.S. Senate election in Nevada.
Background
Ensign was reelected to the United States Senate in 2006 against Jack Carter, son of former president Jimmy Carter, by a margin of 55–41%. His reelection campaign was expected to be complicated after it was revealed in 2009 that he had been involved in an extramarital affair with the wife of one of his campaign staffers, allegedly made payments to the woman's family and arranged work for her husband to cover himself.[1][2]
The Senate Ethics Committee was to investigate Ensign, and his poll numbers declined significantly.[3][4] There was speculation that he might resign before the election, but he initially said he would run for reelection.[5] On March 7, 2011, Ensign announced that he would not seek reelection,[6] and on April 22, he announced that he would resign effective May 3.[7]
Nevada Governor Brian Sandoval appointed U.S. Representative Dean Heller to fill the vacancy created by Ensign's resignation. Heller took office on May 9, 2011.[8]
Republican primary
Candidates
- Sherry Brooks, retired secretary[9]
- Richard Charles[9]
- Eddie Hamilton, retired auto executive and perennial candidate[9]
- Dean Heller, incumbent U.S. Senator, former U.S. Representative, former Nevada Secretary of State and former state assemblyman[10][11]
- Carlo Poliak, sanitation worker and perennial candidate[9]
- David Lory Vanderbeek, marriage and family therapist[9]
Declined
- Sharron Angle, 2010 Republican Senate nominee and former state assemblywoman[12]
- John Ensign, former U.S. Senator[6]
- Brian Krolicki, lieutenant governor[13]
Polling
- Primary
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Sharron Angle |
John Chachas |
John Ensign |
Dean Heller |
Brian Krolicki |
Sue Lowden |
Danny Tarkanian |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 400 | ±4.9% | 9% | 5% | 20% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 30% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 8% |
- Appointment preference
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Sue Lowden |
Brian Sandoval |
Danny Tarkanian |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon/LVJR | October 8, 2009 | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 24% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 21% |
- Primaries with Ensign
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | John Ensign |
Dean Heller |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | October 7–9, 2010 | 400 | ±4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | 37% | –– | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 400 | ±4.9% | 34% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% | –– | 13% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | John Ensign |
Brian Krolicki |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | October 7–9, 2010 | 400 | ±4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 55% | 27% | –– | 18% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Shelley Berkley, U.S. Representative[14]
- Steve Brown, businessman[9]
- Barry Ellsworth, renewable energy executive[15][16][17]
- Louis Macias, art dealer[9]
- Nancy Price, former Regent of the Nevada System of Higher Education and Democratic nominee for the 2nd congressional district in 2010[9]
Withdrew
- Byron Georgiou, businessman [18]
Polling
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Shelley Berkley |
Byron Georgiou |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | April 21–24, 2011 | 300 | ±5.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 65% | 8% | –– | 27% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 400 | ±4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 71% | 6% | –– | 23% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Candidates
- Shelley Berkley (D), U.S. Representative
- Dean Heller (R), incumbent U.S. Senator
- David Lory VanDerBeek (Independent American Party of Nevada), therapist [19]
Debates
The first Berkley-Heller debate was on September 27, 2012. They met again in Las Vegas on October 11 and on Jon Ralston's "Face to Face" program on October 15.
- External links
- Complete video of debate, September 27, 2012 - C-SPAN
- Complete video of debate, October 11, 2012 - C-SPAN
Fundraising
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Dean Heller (R) | $8,447,489 | $6,510,874 | $1,936,618 | $0 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Shelley Berkley (D) | $8,779,074 | $8,947,424 | $924,918 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[20] | ||||
Top contributors
| Shelly Berkley | Contribution | Dean Heller | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMILY's List | $93,049 | Las Vegas Sands | $43,750 |
| NORPAC | $59,750 | MGM Resorts International | $35,500 |
| MGM Resorts International | $53,700 | Alliance Resource Partners | $34,500 |
| DaVita Inc. | $49,300 | Crow Holdings | $30,000 |
| Diamond Resorts | $44,000 | Elliott Management Corporation | $29,413 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | $27,000 | Brady Industries | $25,000 |
| Caesars Entertainment | $26,000 | Mewbourne Oil Co | $25,000 |
| Fresenius Medical Care | $24,500 | Wynn Resorts | $22,500 |
| Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck | $23,650 | Southwest Gas | $21,800 |
| Station Casinos | $20,200 | Bank of America | $20,500 |
Top industries
| Shelley Berkley | Contribution | Dean Heller | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lawyers/Law Firms | $607,407 | Leadership PACs | $379,718 |
| Pro-Israel | $384,580 | Retired | $300,560 |
| Health Professionals | $369,954 | Financial Institutions | $217,084 |
| Women's Issues | $309,817 | Real Estate | $206,362 |
| Leadership PACs | $292,500 | Casinos/Gambling | $205,832 |
| Retired | $281,490 | Oil & Gas | $187,500 |
| Real Estate | $261,779 | Insurance | $182,155 |
| Financial Institutions | $228,393 | Lobbyists | $159,812 |
| Casinos/Gambling | $227,350 | Mining | $149,745 |
| Lobbyists | $175,147 | Health Professionals | $132,450 |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
| Real Clear Politics[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Polling
- Shelly Berkley vs. Dean Heller
Шаблон:Graph:Chart
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Dean Heller (R) |
Shelley Berkley (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 932 | ±3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% | 38% | — | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 21–24, 2011 | 491 | ±4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | 43% | — | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 601 | ±4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 43% | — | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 20–23, 2011 | 500 | ±4.4% | 45% | 45% | — | 10% |
| Cannon Survey Center | December 12–20, 2011 | 600 | ±4.0% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% | — | 6.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 19, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | 40% | 2% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 29 – April 1, 2012 | 553 | ±4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 43% | — | 12% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 30, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% | 40% | 2% | 8% |
| NBC News/Marist | May 22–24, 2012 | 1,040 | ±3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 44% | — | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 7–10, 2012 | 500 | ±4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% | 43% | — | 13% |
| Magellan Strategies | July 16–17, 2012 | 665 | ±3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | 42% | — | 13% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 24, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% | 42% | 2% | 5% |
| LVRJ/Survey USA | August 16–21, 2012 | 869 | ±3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% | 39% | 9% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 23–26, 2012 | 831 | ±3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | 45% | — | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 18, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% | 41% | 4% | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 18–20, 2012 | 501 | ±4.4% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | — | 8% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist | September 23–25, 2012 | 984 | ±3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% | 43% | 1% | 6% |
| We Ask America | September 25–27, 2012 | 1,152 | ±3.1% | 45% | 45% | — | 10% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 3, 2012 | 1,006 | ±3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 53% | 36% | — | 12% |
| Precision Opinion | October 6, 2012 | 1,521 | ±2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | 43% | — | 12% |
| LVRJ/Survey USA | October 3–8, 2012 | 1,222 | ±2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | 39% | 8% | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 8, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 45% | 3% | 4% |
| Suffolk Шаблон:Webarchive | October 6–9, 2012 | 500 | ±4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 40% | 37% | 7% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 8–10, 2012 | 594 | ±4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | 44% | 4% | 5% |
| LVRJ/Survey USA | October 11–15, 2012 | 806 | ±3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 40% | 8% | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 15, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% | 43% | 4% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 23, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% | 45% | 1% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 22–24, 2012 | 636 | ±3.9% | 44% | 44% | 7% | 5% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist | October 23–24, 2012 | 1,042 | ±2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 45% | 2% | 6% |
| LVRJ/SurveyUSA | October 23–29, 2012 | 1,212 | ±2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 40% | 10% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | 750 | ±3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 46% | 4% | 1% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Dean Heller (R) |
Byron Georgiou (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | April 21–24, 2011 | 491 | ±4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% | 28% | –– | 20% |
| Magellan Strategies (R) Шаблон:Webarchive | June 21–22, 2011 | 720 | ±3.65% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 33% | –– | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 601 | ±4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 31% | –– | 20% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Dean Heller (R) |
Oscar Goodman (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 932 | ±3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | 38% | –– | 16% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Dean Heller (R) |
Catherine Шаблон:Nowrap |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 932 | ±3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 37% | –– | 16% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Dean Heller (R) |
Ross Miller (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 932 | ±3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 34% | –– | 21% |
- with John Ensign
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | John Ensign (R) |
Shelley Berkley (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy PollingШаблон:Dead link | January 11–12, 2010 | 763 | ±3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% | 40% | –– | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 932 | ±3.2% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | –– | 13% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | John Ensign (R) |
Catherine Шаблон:Nowrap |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 16–18, 2010 | 630 | ±3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 38% | –– | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 932 | ±3.2% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% | –– | 14% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | John Ensign (R) |
Oscar Goodman (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy PollingШаблон:Dead link | January 11–12, 2010 | 763 | ±3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 41% | –– | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 932 | ±3.2% | 35% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | –– | 20% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | John Ensign (R) |
Ross Miller (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy PollingШаблон:Dead link | January 11–12, 2010 | 763 | ±3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | 36% | –– | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 932 | ±3.2% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 40% | –– | 21% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | John Ensign (R) |
Dina Titus (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 16–18, 2010 | 630 | ±3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% | 41% | –– | 8% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
By congressional districts
Heller won 2 of 4 congressional districts.[26]
| District | Berkley | Heller | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr | 58.57% | 31.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Dina Titus |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 34.27% | 55.83% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Mark Amodei |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 43.34% | 47.93% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Joe Heck |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr | 48.26% | 42.38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Steven Horsford |
See also
References
External links
- Election Center at the Nevada secretary of state
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
- Outside spending at Sunlight Foundation
- Candidate issue positions at On the Issues
- Official campaign sites
Шаблон:United States general elections, 2012
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 6,0 6,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 9,0 9,1 9,2 9,3 9,4 9,5 9,6 9,7 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ "Angle in race for Heller's House seat", ReviewJournal.com
- ↑ Krolicki endorses Heller, mulls House bid by David Catanese at POLITICO.com
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Nevada Senate 2012 Race, OpenSecrets
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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