Английская Википедия:2012 United States Senate election in New Jersey

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsNJ The 2012 United States Senate election in New Jersey took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent senator Bob Menendez became the first Hispanic-American U.S. senator to represent New Jersey in January 2006 when former U.S. senator Jon Corzine appointed him to the seat after having resigned to become governor of New Jersey, following his election in November 2005.[1] In November 2006, after a tough and painful election, Menendez defeated Republican state senator Thomas Kean, Jr. with 53.3% of the vote.

Menendez won re-election to a second full term, becoming the first Democratic Senate candidate to carry Somerset County since Bill Bradley in 1984. This is the only time since 1976 that a candidate for this seat received over 55% of the vote. This election marked the first time that someone won this seat by double digits since 1976 as well.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Polling

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Menendez
Someone
else
Unsure
Fairleigh Dickinson University March 5–11, 2012 404 ±5.0% 30% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 37% 33%

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Michael
Doherty
Kim
Guadagno
Woody
Johnson
Tom
Kean Jr.
Joseph
Kyrillos
Anna
Little
Tim
Smith
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 15–18, 2011 300 ±5.7% 7% 10% 9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 36% 3% 4% 2% 30%

Results

Файл:New Jersey U.S. Senate Republican primary, 2012.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Candidates

Debates

Three debates were scheduled. The first debate took place on October 4, 2012, at Montclair State University. Menendez and Kyrillos participated. The second took place on October 10 at NJ 101.5 studios, Trenton NJ[21] The third was to take place on October 17 at Mercer County Community College[22]

External links

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Bob Menendez (D) $10,243,864 $2,325,178 $10,345,365 $0
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Joseph Kyrillos (R) $3,106,536 $1,132,232 $1,974,302 $50,236
Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian | Kenneth R. Kaplan (L) $800 $0 $800 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[23][24][25]

Top contributors

[26]

Bob Menendez Contribution Joseph Kyrillos Contribution
Lowenstein Sandler $116,160 McElroy, Deutsch, Mulvaney & Carpenter, LLP $133,098
Greenberg Traurig $78,250 Allied Management Inc $22,000
NORPAC $70,550 Connell Foley $18,250
Prudential Financial $66,800 Maser Consulting $17,250
DeCotiis, FitzPatrick & Cole $48,150 B&L Tire $15,000
Kindred Healthcare $48,000 Berkeley College $15,000
Verizon Communications $47,050 CJ Hesse $15,000
Medco Health Solutions $41,249 GlobalTel $15,000
DLA Piper $41,000 Langer Transport Corp $15,000
Dade Medical College $40,000 Fgi Finance $14,000

Top industries

[27]

Bob Menendez Contribution Joe Kyrillos Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $1,633,843 Lawyers/Law Firms $312,845
Real Estate $1,096,684 Retired $103,900
Lobbyists $578,182 Financial Institutions $98,200
Financial Institutions $532,651 Real Estate $98,150
Health Professionals $524,810 Health Professionals $62,100
Retired $411,525 Business Services $60,250
Construction Services $388,550 Construction Services $54,300
Pharmaceuticals/Health Products $353,250 Universities $51,250
Insurance $338,550 General Contractors $39,500
Leadership PACs $328,244 Misc Business $38,550

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[30] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[31] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Menendez (D)
Joseph
Kyrillos (R)
Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University January 3–9, 2011 802 ±3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% 29% 30%
Public Policy Polling July 15–18, 2011 480 ±4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 29% 23%
Farleigh Dickinson University September 19–25, 2011 800 ±3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 28% 22%
Farleigh Dickinson University January 2–8, 2012 800 ±3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% 31% 26%
Rutgers-Eagleton Шаблон:Webarchive February 9–11, 2012 914 ±3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 22% 1% 26%
Survey USA February 24–26, 2012 533 ±4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 31% 23%
Quinnipiac Шаблон:Webarchive February 21–27, 2012 1,396 ±2.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 34% 1% 14%
Farleigh Dickinson University March 5–11, 2012 396 ±2.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% 33% 23%
Quinnipiac Шаблон:Webarchive April 3–9, 2012 1,607 ±2.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 35% 1% 20%
Fairleigh Dickenson/PublicMind April 30 – May 6, 2012 400 ±5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% 33% 24%
Quinnipiac Шаблон:Webarchive May 9–14, 2012 1,582 ±2.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 35% 2% 19%
Quinnipiac Шаблон:Webarchive July 9–14, 2012 1,623 ±2.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 34% 1% 16%
Monmouth University Шаблон:Webarchive July 18–22, 2012 535 LV ±2.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 35% 1% 19%
Monmouth University Шаблон:Webarchive July 23–27, 2012 849 RV ±2.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 33% 1% 22%
Rutgers-Eagleton August 23–25, 2012 688 LV ±3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 35% 8% 10%
Quinnipaic University Шаблон:Webarchive August 27 – September 2, 2012 1,471 LV ±2.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 40% 10%
Quinnipaic University Шаблон:Webarchive September 6–12, 2012 706 LV ±2.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 36% 16%
Philadelphia Inquirer Шаблон:Webarchive September 9–12, 2012 600 LV ±2.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% 32% 12%
Monmouth University Шаблон:Webarchive September 19–23, 2012 613 LV ±2.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 34% 15%
Philadelphia Inquirer October 4–8, 2012 604 LV ±4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 35% 15%
Quinnipiac October 10–14, 2012 1,319 LV ±2.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 37% 15%
Stockton October 12–18, 2012 811 LV ±3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 30% 18%
SurveyUSA October 17–18, 2012 577 LV ±4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 33% 5% 9%
Philadelphia Inquirer October 23–25, 2012 601 LV ±4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 32% 18%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Menendez (D)
Jennifer
Beck (R)
Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University January 3–9, 2011 802 ±3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% 29% 29%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Menendez (D)
Lou
Dobbs (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 6–9, 2011 520 ±4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 35% 18%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Menendez (D)
Lou
Dobbs (I)
Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University January 4–10, 2010 801 ±3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 37% 34% 28%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Menendez (D)
Michael
Doherty (R)
Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University February 23 – March 1, 2010 801 ±3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 40% 27% 8% 25%
Fairleigh Dickinson University January 3–9, 2011 802 ±3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 40% 30% 30%
Public Policy Polling July 15–18, 2011 480 ±4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 35% 17%
Farleigh Dickinson University September 19–25, 2011 800 ±3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 30% 22%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Menendez (D)
Kim
Guadagno (R)
Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University January 3–9, 2011 802 ±3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 26% 27%
Public Policy Polling January 6–9, 2011 520 ±4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 30% 24%
Public Policy Polling July 15–18, 2011 480 ±4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 34% 18%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Menendez (D)
Woody
Johnson (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 15–18, 2011 480 ±4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 30% 22%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Menendez (D)
Tom
Kean Jr. (R)
Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University January 23 – February 1, 2010 801 ±3.5% 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% 2% 15%
Fairleigh Dickinson University February 23 – March 1, 2010 801 ±3.5% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 39% 6% 17%
Fairleigh Dickinson University January 3–9, 2011 802 ±3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 34% 22%
Public Policy Polling January 6–9, 2011 520 ±4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% 39% 19%
Public Policy Polling July 15–18, 2011 480 ±4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 39% 16%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Menendez (D)
Anna
Little (R)
Other Undecided
Farleigh Dickinson University January 2–8, 2012 800 ±3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% 31% 26%
Survey USA February 24–26, 2012 533 ±4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 29% 23%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Файл:2012 Senate Election in NJ by muni.svg
Results of the November election by municipalityШаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Menendez won 9 of 12 congressional districts, including the 2nd, 3rd, and 5th districts, which elected Republicans to the House.[32]

District Menendez Kyrillos Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|1st 66.7% 31.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Rob Andrews
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|2nd 54.6% 43.3%
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Frank LoBiondo
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|3rd 51.9% 46.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jon Runyan
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|4th 44.8% 53.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Chris Smith
rowspan=1 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|5th 49.3% 48.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Scott Garrett
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|6th 60.7% 37.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Frank Pallone
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|7th 46.1% 51.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Leonard Lance
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|8th 80.4% 17.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Bill Pascrell (112th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Albio Sires (113th Congress)
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|9th 70.4% 27.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Steve Rothman (112th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Bill Pascrell (113th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|10th 88.0% 10.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Donald Payne Jr.
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|11th 47.5% 50.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Rodney Frelinghuysen
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|12th 66.0% 32.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Rush Holt Jr.

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Шаблон:2012 United States elections