Английская Википедия:2012 United States Senate election in New Mexico

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Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in New Mexico sidebar The 2012 United States Senate election in New Mexico took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives as well as various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Jeff Bingaman decided to retire instead of running for reelection to a sixth term.[1] Democratic U.S. Representative Martin Heinrich won the open seat.

Background

Incumbent Jeff Bingaman won re-election to a fifth term with 70.61% of the vote against Allen McCulloch in the 2006 U.S. senatorial election in New Mexico.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Hector
Balderas
Martin
Heinrich
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 23–26, 2011 400 ± 4.9% 24% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 29%
Magellan Strategies July 17–18, 2011 636 ± 3.9% 21% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% 25%
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2011 309 ± 5.6% 30% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 23%
Public Policy Polling April 19–22, 2012 270 ± 6% 27% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 22%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Шаблон:Webarchive May 21–24, 2012 741 ± 3.6% 26% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 23%

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Файл:NM Senate Democratic primary, 2012.svg
Results by county Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bill
English
John
Sanchez
Greg
Sowards
Heather
Wilson
Other Undecided
Magellan StrategiesШаблон:Dead link April 26–27, 2011 801 ± 3.5% 17% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 59% 11% 11%
Public Policy Polling June 23–26, 2011 400 ± 4.9% 4% 24% 8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 12%
Magellan StrategiesШаблон:Dead link July 17–18, 2011 799 ± 3.5% 2% 21% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 56% 16%
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2011 300 ± 5.7% 3% 20% 6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 55% 16%
Albuquerque Journal Шаблон:Webarchive May 21–24, 2012 504 ± 4.4% 20% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 66% 14%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bill
English
Gary
Johnson
John
Sanchez
Greg
Sowards
Heather
Wilson
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2011 300 ± 5.7% 1% 31% 15% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% 9%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Файл:NM U.S. Senate Republican primary, 2012.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Candidates

Debates

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Martin Heinrich (D) $3,883,992 $2,174,712 $1,763,753 $89,424
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Heather Wilson (R) $4,048,847 $2,416,328 $1,632,517 $0
Шаблон:Party shading/American Independent| Jon Barrie (I) $705 $1,150 $0 $445
Source: Federal Election Commission[17][18][19]

Top contributors

[20]

Martin Heinrich Contribution Heather Wilson Contribution
League of Conservation Voters $108,634 Elliott Management Corporation $29,413
JStreetPAC $67,860 Mewbourne Oil Co $25,000
University of New Mexico $24,221 Kelly PAC $15,000
Robbins Geller Rudman & Dowd LLP $23,000 Blue Cross & Blue Shield $14,050
Council for a Livable World $20,044 Devon Energy $13,250
National Rural Letter Carriers' Association $19,000 Murray Energy $12,800
Comcast Corporation $11,250 Yates Petroleum $12,600
Presbyterian Healthcare Services $11,150 Livingston Group $12,249
Intel Corp $10,500 Publix Super Markets $11,000
American Optometric Association $10,250 Westport Construction $10,500

Top industries

[21]

Martin Heinrich Contribution Heather Wilson Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $322,120 Retired $355,880
Retired $270,598 Oil & Gas $217,500
Lobbyists $156,480 Leadership PACs $206,225
Environmental organizations $145,365 Financial Institutions $163,888
Leadership PACs $100,000 Lobbyists $113,549
Health Professionals $95,729 Lawyers/Law Firms $106,852
Pro-Israel $83,860 Real Estate $95,990
Public Sector Unions $67,000 Misc Finance $72,407
Democratic/Liberal $64,300 Business Services $72,078
Casinos/Gambling $58,550 Mining $69,200

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Martin
Heinrich (D)
Heather
Wilson (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 4–6, 2011 545 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 39% 11%
Public Policy Polling June 23–26, 2011 732 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 42% 11%
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2011 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 40% 13%
Rasmussen Reports February 14, 2012 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 43% 5% 7%
Rasmussen Reports April 3, 2012 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 42% 7% 6%
Public Policy Polling April 19–22, 2012 526 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 43% 9%
Public Policy Polling July 13–16, 2012 724 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 43% 9%
Rasmussen Reports August 21, 2012 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 41% 5% 7%
Albuquerque Journal Шаблон:Webarchive September 3–6, 2012 667 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 42% 8%
Public Policy Polling September 7–9, 2012 1,122 ± 2.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 41% 9%
We Ask America September 25–27, 2012 1,258 ± 2.85% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 41% 7%
Public Policy Polling October 2–3, 2012 778 ± n/a% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 41% 8%
Rasmussen Reports October 8, 2012 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 39% 4% 5%
Albuquerque Poll Journal Шаблон:Webarchive October 9–11, 2012 658 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 39% 4% 9%
Public Policy Polling October 23–24, 2012 727 ± n/a% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 44% 3%
Albuquerque Poll Journal October 23–25, 2012 662 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 42% 3% 6%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with Jeff Bingaman
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Jeff
Bingaman (D)
Gary
Johnson (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 4–6, 2011 545 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 40% 9%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Jeff
Bingaman (D)
Steve
Pearce (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 4–6, 2011 545 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 57% 34% 9%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Jeff
Bingaman (D)
Heather
Wilson (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 4–6, 2011 545 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% 37% 9%
with Hector Balderas
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Hector
Balderas (D)
Gary
Johnson (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2011 500 ± 4.4% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% 19%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Hector
Balderas (D)
Greg
Sowards (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 23–26, 2011 732 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% 28% 30%
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2011 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 30% 27%
Public Policy Polling April 19–22, 2012 526 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% 30% 28%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Hector
Balderas (D)
Heather
Wilson (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 23–26, 2011 732 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 39% 16%
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2011 500 ± 4.4% 43% 43% 14%
Rasmussen Reports February 14, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 44% 44% 3% 9%
Rasmussen Reports April 3, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% 5% 9%
Public Policy Polling April 19–22, 2012 526 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 43% 12%
with Ben Ray Luján
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Ben Ray
Luján (D)
Gary
Johnson (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 4–6, 2011 545 ± 4.2% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% 9%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Ben Ray
Luján (D)
Steve
Pearce (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 4–6, 2011 545 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 37% 14%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Ben Ray
Luján (D)
Heather
Wilson (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 4–6, 2011 545 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 40% 12%
with Martin Heinrich
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Martin
Heinrich (D)
Gary
Johnson (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 4–6, 2011 545 ± 4.2% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% 14%
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2011 500 ± 4.4% 43% 43% 14%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Martin
Heinrich (D)
Steve
Pearce (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 4–6, 2011 545 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 38% 10%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Martin
Heinrich (D)
Greg
Sowards (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 23–26, 2011 732 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 34% 20%
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2011 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 31% 20%
Public Policy Polling April 19–22, 2012 526 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 34% 18%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Results by congressional district

Heinrich won 2 of 3 congressional districts.[26]

District Heinrich Wilson Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 53.5% 43.34% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Michelle Lujan Grisham
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 44.37% 51.15% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Steve Pearce
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 54.15% 42.42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Ben Ray Luján

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Шаблон:2012 United States elections