Английская Википедия:2012 United States Senate election in New York
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in New York State The 2012 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives as well as various state and local elections.
Governor David Paterson appointed then-U.S. Representative Kirsten Gillibrand to serve as U.S. Senator from New York until the 2010 special election, succeeding former U.S. Senator Hillary Clinton, who resigned to serve as U.S. Secretary of State in the Obama administration. Gillibrand won the special election in 2010 with 62.95% of the vote over former U.S. Representative Joseph DioGuardi.
Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand won re-election to her first full term. She was opposed in the general election by Wendy Long (who ran on the Republican and Conservative Party tickets) and by three minor party candidates. Gillibrand was re-elected with 72% of the vote. She carried 60 out of 62 counties statewide, losing only Wyoming and Alleghany counties.
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Kirsten Gillibrand, incumbent U.S. Senator[1]
Gillibrand was endorsed by the Independence Party of New York and the Working Families Party and appeared on the ballot lines of both of those parties in the general election.[2][3]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Wendy E. Long, attorney[4]
- George Maragos, Nassau County Comptroller[5]
- Bob Turner, U.S. Representative, New York's 9th congressional district[6]
The 2012 New York State Republican Convention took place on March 16, 2012.[7] Candidates Wendy Long, George Maragos, and Congressman Bob Turner each reached the threshold of 25% of the weighted vote necessary to qualify for the June 26 primary ballot; however, none of the candidates achieved a majority.[8] Long prevailed by a sizeable margin in the June 26 Republican primary, receiving 50.9% of the vote; Turner received 35.6% and Maragos 13.5%.[9]
Long was designated as the nominee for the Conservative Party of New York State, and appeared on its ballot line in the general election as well as the Republican Party line.[3][10]
Withdrew
- Joe Carvin, Rye Town Supervisor,[11] withdrew on March 16, 2012[12] to run for the House of Representatives against Nita Lowey.
Polling
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Wendy Long |
George Maragos |
Bob Turner |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac Шаблон:Webarchive | March 28 – April 2, 2012 | 372 | ±5.1% | 11% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 19% | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 61% |
| Siena College | April 1–4, 2012 | 218 | ±6.6% | 10% | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 19% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 66% |
| Siena College | May 6–10, 2012 | 205 | ±6.8% | 12% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 15% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 67% |
| Siena College | June 3–6, 2012 | 201 | ±6.9% | 11% | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 16% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 70% |
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Source: Update for US Senate Election NY 2012: http://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/elections/2012/General/USSenator_07292013.pdf
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Candidates
- Colia Clark (Green), civil rights activist and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[13]
- Chris Edes (Libertarian)
- Kirsten Gillibrand (Democratic, Working Families, Independence), incumbent U.S. Senator
- Wendy Long (Republican, Conservative), attorney
- John Mangelli (Common Sense Party)
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 17, 2012 - C-SPAN
Fundraising
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Kirsten Gillibrand (D) | $13,778,867 | $3,734,097 | $10,541,156 | $0 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Wendy Long (R) | $336,976 | $240,564 | $96,411 | $250,077 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian | Chris Edes (L) | $2,017 | $668 | $1,348 | $0 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Independent | John Mangelli (I) | $43,819 | $43,820 | $0 | $22,120 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[14][15][16][17] | ||||
Top contributors
| Kirsten Gillibrand | Contribution | Wendy Long | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boies, Schiller & Flexner | $394,664 | Citizens United | $10,000 |
| Davis Polk & Wardwell | $314,600 | Susan B. Anthony List | $10,000 |
| Corning Inc. | $150,650 | Davis, Polk & Wardwell | $8,500 |
| JPMorgan Chase & Co | $143,800 | Kirkland & Ellis | $7,000 |
| Morgan Stanley | $140,800 | Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz | $6,000 |
| National Amusements Inc. | $126,850 | Alta Partners | $5,500 |
| Goldman Sachs | $117,400 | Actimize | $5,000 |
| Blackstone Group | $106,700 | Carlyle Group | $5,000 |
| Sullivan & Cromwell | $100,750 | Credit Suisse Group | $5,000 |
| Simpson, Thacher & Bartlett | $95,700 | Crow Holdings | $5,000 |
Top industries
| Kirsten Gillibrand | Contribution | Wendy Long | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lawyers/law firms | $4,050,294 | Lawyers/law firms | $38,550 |
| Financial Institutions | $2,748,640 | Financial institutions | $31,750 |
| Real estate | $1,257,504 | Real estate | $26,250 |
| Retired | $921,738 | Retired | $25,050 |
| Women's issues | $853,517 | Misc. finance | $16,000 |
| Entertainment industry | $764,677 | Women's issues | $15,150 |
| Lobbyists | $723,596 | Republican/Conservative | $11,250 |
| Misc. finance | $644,953 | Education | $7,250 |
| Business services | $621,286 | Misc. business | $7,000 |
| Insurance | $518,275 | Construction services | $5,000 |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
| Real Clear Politics[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Polling
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Wendy Long (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac Шаблон:Webarchive | March 28 – April 2, 2012 | 1,597 | ±2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 58% | 25% | 1% | 13% |
| Siena College | April 1–4, 2012 | 808 | ±3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 63% | 23% | — | 14% |
| Siena College | May 6–10, 2012 | 766 | ±3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 60% | 26% | — | 14% |
| Quinnipiac Шаблон:Webarchive | May 22–28, 2012 | 1,504 | ±2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 58% | 24% | 1% | 15% |
| Siena College | June 3–6, 2012 | 807 | ±3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 65% | 22% | — | 12% |
| Siena College | July 10–15, 2012 | 758 | ±3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 62% | 25% | — | 13% |
| Quinnipiac Шаблон:Webarchive | July 17–23, 2012 | 1,779 | ±2.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 57% | 24% | 1% | 16% |
| Siena College | August 14–19, 2012 | 671 | ±3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 65% | 22% | — | 13% |
| Quinnipiac Шаблон:Webarchive | September 4–9, 2012 | 1,468 | ±2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 64% | 27% | — | 9% |
| Marist | October 18–21, 2012 | 565 | ±4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 68% | 24% | — | 8% |
| Siena College | October 22–24, 2012 | 750 | ±3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 67% | 24% | — | 8% |
| SurveyUSA | October 23–25, 2012 | 554 | ±4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 64% | 22% | 7% | 7% |
- with George Maragos
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
George Maragos (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College | November 8–13, 2011 | 803 | ±3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 65% | 17% | — | 18% |
| Siena College | January 8–12, 2012 | 805 | ±3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 63% | 22% | — | 15% |
| Siena College | January 29 – February 1, 2012 | 807 | ±3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 63% | 20% | — | 17% |
| SurveyUSA | February 24–26, 2012 | 518 | ±4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% | 23% | — | 25% |
| Siena College | February 26–29, 2012 | 808 | ±3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 68% | 19% | — | 13% |
| Quinnipiac Шаблон:Webarchive | March 28 – April 2, 2012 | 1,597 | ±2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 57% | 23% | 2% | 15% |
| Siena College | April 1–4, 2012 | 808 | ±3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 65% | 21% | — | 14% |
| Siena College | May 6–10, 2012 | 766 | ±3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 60% | 25% | — | 15% |
| Quinnipiac Шаблон:Webarchive | May 22–28, 2012 | 1,504 | ±2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 57% | 24% | 1% | 16% |
| Siena College | June 3–6, 2012 | 807 | ±3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 65% | 23% | — | 13% |
- with Bob Turner
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Bob Turner (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac Шаблон:Webarchive | March 28 – April 2, 2012 | 1,597 | ±2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 57% | 27% | 1% | 13% |
| Siena College | April 1–4, 2012 | 808 | ±3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 65% | 24% | — | 11% |
| Siena College | May 6–10, 2012 | 766 | ±3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 59% | 25% | — | 15% |
| Quinnipiac Шаблон:Webarchive | May 22–28, 2012 | 1,504 | ±2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% | 26% | 0% | 15% |
| Siena College | June 3–6, 2012 | 807 | ±3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 63% | 25% | — | 11% |
- with Marc Cenedella
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Marc Cenedella (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College | January 29 – February 1, 2012 | 807 | ±3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 65% | 18% | 17% |
- with Harry Wilson
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Harry Wilson (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College | November 8–13, 2011 | 803 | ±3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 63% | 21% | 16% |
| Siena College | January 8–12, 2012 | 805 | ±3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 63% | 23% | 14% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Genesee (largest municipality: Batavia)
- Putnam (largest municipality: Lake Carmel)
- Tioga (largest municipality: Waverly)
- Orleans (largest municipality: Albion)
- Wayne (largest municipality: Newark)
By congressional district
Gillibrand won all 27 congressional districts, including six held by Republicans.[24] She won all but two with over 60% of the vote, with the 27th being her weakest with only 55% of the vote.
See also
- 2012 United States Senate elections
- 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New York
- 2012 New York state elections
References
External links
- New York State Board of Elections
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
- Outside spending at Sunlight Foundation
- Candidate issue positions at On the Issues
- Official campaign websites
- Colia Clark for U.S. Senate
- Kirsten Gillibrand for U.S. Senate
- Wendy Long for U.S. Senate
- Scott Noren for U.S. Senate
Шаблон:2012 United States elections Шаблон:New York elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 3,0 3,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Seiler, Casey (February 19, 2012). Save the date: GOP plans March 16 convention. Capitol Confidential (Albany Times-Union). Retrieved February 19, 2012.
- ↑ Benjamin, Liz (March 16, 2012). Three-Way GOP Primary For US Senate. Capital Tonight. Retrieved March 16, 2012.
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Benjamin, Elizabeth (March 16, 2012). Carvin Out Of US Senate Race (Updated). Capital Tonight. Retrieved March 16, 2012.
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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