Английская Википедия:2012 United States Senate election in Tennessee

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Шаблон:ForШаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsTN The 2012 United States Senate election in Tennessee took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the general election including the 2012 U.S. presidential election, elections to the House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Bob Corker won a second term in a landslide, carrying all but two counties in the state.

Corker narrowly flipped reliably Democratic Davidson County, home to Nashville, which had not voted Republican on the presidential level since 1988. He faced Democratic nominee Mark E. Clayton[1] as well as several third-party candidates and several independents in this election.

Corker easily won the Republican primary with 85% of the vote, and Clayton won the Democratic nomination with 30% of the vote, despite raising no money and having a website that was four years out of date.[2] The next day Tennessee's Democratic Party disavowed the candidate over his active role in the Public Advocate of the United States, which they described as a "known hate group". They blamed his victory among candidates for whom the TNDP provided little forums to become known on the fact that his name appeared first on the ballot, and said they would do nothing to help his campaign, urging Democrats to vote for "the write-in candidate of their choice" in November.[3] One of the Democratic candidates, Larry Crim, filed a petition seeking to offer the voters a new primary in which to select a Democratic nominee among the remaining candidates the party had affirmed as bona fide and as a preliminary motion sought a temporary restraining order against certification of the results, but after a judge denied the temporary order Crim withdrew his petition.[4]

Background

The incumbent in the race, former Chattanooga mayor Bob Corker, was elected in 2006 with 50.7% of the vote in a win against U.S. representative Harold Ford, Jr.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Fred R. Anderson
  • Mark Twain Clemens, unemployed
  • Bob Corker, incumbent U.S. Senator
  • James Durkan, businessman
  • Brenda Lenard, businesswoman & doctoral student
  • Zach Poskevich, technology consultant

Publicly Speculated, but Declined

Polling

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Corker
Шаблон:Nowrap
challenger
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 9–13, 2011 400 ±4.9% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% 19%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Corker
Marsha
Blackburn
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 9–13, 2011 400 ±4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% 30% 20%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Corker
Hank
Williams, Jr.
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 9–13, 2011 400 ±4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 66% 13% 21%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:End

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Файл:Tennessee Democratic U.S. Senate primary results by county, 2012.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Candidates

  • Bob Corker (Republican), incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Mark E. Clayton (Democratic)[5]
  • Shaun Crowell (Libertarian)
  • Martin Pleasant (Green)[6][7]
  • Kermit Steck (Constitution)[7][8]
  • David Gatchell (independent)
  • James Higdon (independent)
  • Michel Joseph Long (independent)
  • Troy Stephen Scoggin (independent)
  • Jacob Maurer (Write-In)[9]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Corker (R)
Mark
Clayton (D)
Other Undecided
Issues and Answers Network Inc. October 16–21, 2011 609 ±4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 59% 21% 4% 15%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Corker (R)
Phil
Bredesen (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 9–13, 2011 500 ±4.4% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 12%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Corker (R)
Jim
Cooper (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 9–13, 2011 500 ±4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% 32% 22%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Corker (R)
Harold
Ford, Jr. (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 9–13, 2011 500 ±4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 55% 32% 14%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Corker (R)
Bart
Gordon (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 9–13, 2011 500 ±4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 29% 19%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Corker (R)
Al
Gore (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 9–13, 2011 500 ±4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 53% 38% 9%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Bob
Corker (R)
Tim
McGraw (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 9–13, 2011 500 ±4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% 28% 22%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Despite the TN Democratic Party encouraging write-in voting, the general election only saw 0.05% cast write-in votes. Clayton significantly underperformed compared to Barack Obama, running for re-election to the Presidency on the same day. He got about 9% and 254,827 votes fewer than the President. Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Corker carried 8 of the 9 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.[14]

District Corker Clayton Representative
rowspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Шаблон:Ushr 76.58% 19.24%
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Phil Roe
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Шаблон:Ushr 72.75% 21.24% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |John J. Duncan, Jr.
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Шаблон:Ushr 70.6% 25.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Chuck Fleischmann
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Шаблон:Ushr 69.3% 26.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Scott DesJarlais
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Шаблон:Ushr 50.21% 43.32% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Jim Cooper
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Шаблон:Ushr 73.32% 22.04% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Diane Black
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Шаблон:Ushr 69.62% 25.75% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Marsha Blackburn
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Шаблон:Ushr 70.26% 26.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Stephen Fincher
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Шаблон:Ushr 28.56% 67.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Steve Cohen

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2012 United States elections

  1. "2012's worst candidate? With Mark Clayton, Tennessee Democrats hit bottom." by David A. Fahrenthold, Washington Post, October 22, 2012, Retrieved 2012-10-23, ""If there are people who don't believe that there's a campaign here, then guess what? They can come to Tennessee, if they're a voter, and they can see Mark E. Clayton, and next to Mark E. Clayton there's going to be a 'D,' " he said on the phone. "Like it or not, Mark Clayton is the Democratic nominee in Tennessee.""
  2. Шаблон:Cite news
  3. Шаблон:Cite web
  4. Шаблон:Cite news
  5. Шаблон:Cite web
  6. Шаблон:Cite web
  7. 7,0 7,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  8. Шаблон:Cite web
  9. Шаблон:Cite web
  10. Шаблон:Cite web
  11. Шаблон:Cite web
  12. Шаблон:Cite web
  13. Шаблон:Cite web
  14. Шаблон:Cite web