Английская Википедия:2012 United States Senate election in Washington
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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Washington State The 2012 United States Senate election in Washington took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Maria Cantwell won re-election to a third term by a significant margin, outperforming President Barack Obama's margin in the concurrent presidential election by 6%.
Background
Maria Cantwell won re-election to serve a second term with 56.81% of the vote against Mike McGavick in the 2006 Washingtonian U.S. senatorial election.
Top-two primary election
Candidates
Democratic
- Maria Cantwell, incumbent U.S. Senator[1]
- Timothy Wilson[2]
Republican
- Michael Baumgartner, state senator[3]
- Art Coday, physician[4]
- Chuck Jackson, merchant mariner[5][6]
- Glen R. Stockwell, president of Washington State Economic Development Corporation[5][7]
- Mike the Mover, perennial candidate[5]
Declined
- Bill Bryant, Port of Seattle Commission President[8]
- Clint Didier, former NFL football player (endorsed Coday)[9]
- Doc Hastings, U.S. Representative[10]
- Jaime Herrera Beutler, U.S. Representative[11]
- John Koster, Snohomish County Councilman and candidate for the 2nd congressional district in 2010 (running for the U.S. House)[12]
- Cathy McMorris Rodgers, U.S. Representative[13]
- Dave Reichert, U.S. Representative[14]
- Phillip Yin, Hong Kong-based anchor for Bloomberg Television[15]
Others
- Will Baker (Reform Party)[5]
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Candidates
- Maria Cantwell (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Senator
- Michael Baumgartner (Republican), state senator
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 12, 2012 - C-SPAN
Fundraising
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Maria Cantwell (D) | $8,032,254 | $6,355,260 | $2,176,258 | $2,171,350 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Michael Baumgartner (R) | $689,690 | $422,428 | $181,841 | $45,689 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[16][17] | ||||
Top contributors
| Maria Cantwell | Contribution | Michael Baumgartner | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corp | $83,982 | Anderson Hay & Grain | $5,000 |
| EMILY's List | $77,900 | Columbia Management Systems, By Lar | $5,000 |
| Morgan & Morgan | $40,000 | Ignition Partners | $5,000 |
| League of Conservation Voters | $39,900 | Kvc Development Co | $5,000 |
| University of Washington | $35,900 | Acorn Campus Ventures | $4,000 |
| K&L Gates | $35,048 | Legacy LLC | $3,523 |
| Boeing Co. | $30,625 | Inland Empire Paper | $3,750 |
| Intellectual Ventures LLC | $27,250 | Savers Inc | $3,523 |
| McBee Strategic Consulting | $26,650 | Red Lion Hotels | $3,500 |
| Second Avenue Partners | $24,500 | National Cotton Council | $3,300 |
Top industries
| Maria Cantwell | Contribution | Michael Baumgartner | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lawyers/Law Firms | $696,936 | Retired | $45,756 |
| Retired | $621,231 | Financial Institutions | $10,000 |
| Lobbyists | $539,418 | Financial Institutions | $310,487 |
| Financial Institutions | $310,487 | Agribusiness | $9,550 |
| Computers/Internet | $206,970 | Health Professionals | $6,150 |
| Real Estate | $179,169 | Misc Finance | $4,250 |
| Health Professionals | $169,937 | Mining | $4,25 |
| Business Services | $167,629 | Timber/Forest Products | $3,750 |
| Casinos/Gambling | $165,850 | General Contractors | $3,000 |
| Entertainment Industry | $136,457 | Real Estate | $2,950 |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
| Real Clear Politics[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Polling
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Maria Cantwell (D) |
Michael Baumgartner (R) |
Other/Undecided Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | October 14 – November 3, 2012 | November 3, 2012 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|56.7% | 36.3% | 7.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Cantwell +20.4% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Maria Cantwell (D) |
Michael Шаблон:Nowrap |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | November 21–23, 2011 | 549 | ±4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% | 39% | — | 10% |
| Survey USA | January 12–16, 2012 | 617 | ±4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% | 41% | — | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–19, 2012 | 1,264 | ±2.76% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% | 36% | — | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 14–17, 2012 | 1,073 | ±3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% | 35% | — | 14% |
| Survey USA | July 16–17, 2012 | 630 | ±4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% | 40% | — | 9% |
| Survey USA | September 7–9, 2012 | 524 | ±4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% | 38% | — | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 26, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 57% | 37% | 1% | 5% |
| SurveyUSA | September 28–30, 2012 | 540 | ±4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% | 40% | — | 6% |
| The Washington Poll | October 1–16, 2012 | 782 | ±3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 58% | 35% | — | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 14, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% | 37% | 1% | 9% |
| KCTS 9/Washington Poll | October 18–31, 2012 | 632 | ±3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 61% | 33% | — | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 1–3, 2012 | 932 | ±3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 57% | 39% | — | 4% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Maria Cantwell (D) |
Bill Bryant (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–19, 2012 | 1,264 | ±2.76% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% | 36% | — | 14% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Maria Cantwell (D) |
Cathy M. Rodgers (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 27 – August 1, 2010 | 1,204 | ±2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 37% | — | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | 1,098 | ±3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% | 31% | — | 19% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Maria Cantwell (D) |
Dave Reichert (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 27 – August 1, 2010 | 1,204 | ±2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 41% | — | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | 1,098 | ±3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 35% | — | 16% |
| Survey USA | November 21–23, 2011 | 549 | ±4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 41% | — | 10% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Maria Cantwell (D) |
Clint Didier (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | 1,098 | ±3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% | 35% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Maria Cantwell (D) |
Susan Hutchison (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | 1,098 | ±3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 35% | — | 16% |
| Survey USA | November 21–23, 2011 | 549 | ±4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 38% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Maria Cantwell (D) |
Dino Rossi (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | 1,098 | ±3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% | 40% | — | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–19, 2012 | 1,264 | ±2.76% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% | 41% | — | 7% |
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
By congressional district
Cantwell won 8 of 10 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans.[24]
See also
- 2012 United States Senate elections
- 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Washington
- 2012 United States presidential election in Washington
- 2012 Washington gubernatorial election
Notes
References
External links
- Elections & Voting at the Washington Secretary of State office
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
- Outside spending at Sunlight Foundation
- Candidate issue positions at On the Issues
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
Шаблон:2012 United States elections Шаблон:Washington elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 5,0 5,1 5,2 5,3 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ |Maria Cantwell Campaign Finances
- ↑ |Michael Baumgartner Campaign Finances
- ↑ [http://www.opensecrets.org/races/contrib.php?cycle=2012&id=WAS1 OpenSecrets
- ↑ Donors by Industry (opensecrets.org)
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite report
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