Английская Википедия:2012 United States Senate election in West Virginia
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsWV The 2012 United States Senate election in West Virginia was held on November 6, 2012, to elect one of West Virginia's two members of the U.S. Senate for a six-year term. In a rematch of the 2010 special election, incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Joe Manchin won re-election to a first full term against the Republican nominee, John Raese. Notably, Manchin outperformed Barack Obama in the concurrent presidential election by 25.06 percentage points in vote share, and by 50.86 percentage points on margin.
Background
Robert Byrd held this seat in the U.S. Senate from 1959 until his death on June 28, 2010, after serving in the U.S. House of Representatives since 1953, making him the longest-serving person in Congress. Byrd led his party in the Senate from 1977 to 1989, as Majority Leader or Minority Leader. Afterward, as the most senior Democrat in the Senate, he served as president pro tempore of the Senate whenever his party was in the majority, including at the time of his death.
After Byrd's death, West Virginia Secretary of State Natalie Tennant initially announced that a special election would not be held until the regular election for the six-year term in 2012. However, that special election was rescheduled to 2010 for it to coincide with the mid-term elections and to avoid having an interim appointee serving more than two years in the seat.
Governor Joe Manchin made a temporary appointment of Carte Goodwin to the vacant seat. Goodwin was later replaced by Manchin who won the 2010 special election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Sheirl Fletcher, former Republican State Delegate and Democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008 and 2010[1]
- Joe Manchin, incumbent U.S. senator[2]
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Republican primary
- John Raese, perennial candidate
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Candidates
- Bob Henry Baber (Mountain), former mayor of Richwood and candidate for Governor in 2011[3]
- Joe Manchin (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Senator
- John Raese (Republican), businessman and perennial candidate[4]
Campaign
Raese filed a rematch against Manchin, arguing that he now had more material to criticize Manchin for. One example is how Manchin lost his longtime endorsement from the organization West Virginians for Life because of his vote against defunding Planned Parenthood, the nation's largest abortion provider.[5] Another example is how he is undecided about whether or not to support Obama's re-election campaign.[6] Senior Obama campaign advisor David Axelrod commented in response, "His concern is about his own political well-being."[7] In addition, he voted against U.S. Congressman Paul Ryan's Republican budget.[8]
Raese wrote an op-ed in the Charleston Gazette-Mail, saying about Manchin, "Yes, he'll talk like a conservative and act like he's fiscally responsible to appeal to more moderate voters, but under that outward appearance of a lovable rube is the heart of a tax-and-spend liberal."[6]
Raese continued to make controversial statements. In April 2012, he equated smoking bans with Adolf Hitler's yellow badge. He said "in Monongalia County now, I have to put a huge sticker on my buildings to say this is a smoke-free environment. This is brought to you by the government of Monongalia County. Okay? Remember Hitler used to put Star of David on everybody’s lapel, remember that? Same thing." That same day, he referred to President Franklin D. Roosevelt as "Fidel Roosevelt."[9] Raese didn't apologize for his statements on Hitler saying "I am not going to be intimidated by a bunch of bullshit. I'm not apologizing to anybody or any organization. It's my perfect right to make a speech about meaningful subject matters in this country."[10] He also called rocker Ted Nugent a "patriot" for criticizing President Barack Obama.[11]
Fundraising
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Joe Manchin (D) | $9,467,003 | $7,678,708 | $1,788,297 | $0 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | John Raese (R) | $1,607,740 | $1,610,493 | $4,679 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[12] | ||||
Top contributors
| Joe Manchin | Contribution | John Raese | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawyers/Law Firms | $670,553 | Entertainment industry | $176,025 | |
| Mining industry | $647,548 | Leadership PACs | $143,190 | |
| Electric Utilities | $392,100 | Retired | $109,513 | |
| Leadership PACs | $366,000 | Lawyers/Law Firms | $62,069 | |
| Health Professionals | $287,498 | Special Trade Contractors | $59,450 | |
| Retired | $275,750 | Health Professionals | $54,300 | |
| Pharmaceuticals/Health Products | $272,900 | Financial Institutions | $52,695 | |
| Petroleum Industry | $256,150 | Real Estate | $45,875 | |
| Real Estate | $228,350 | Petroleum Industry | $35,900 | |
| Lobbyists | $200,689 | Republican/Conservative | $35,357 | |
| Source: OpenSecrets[13] | ||||
Top industries
| Joe Manchin | Contribution | John Raese | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FirstEnergy Corporation | $136,950 | Greer Industries | $124,754 | |
| Mylan Laboratories Inc. | $127,500 | Mountaineer Contractors Inc. | $40,900 | |
| Mepco LLC | $64,400 | Senate Conservatives Fund | $37,690 | |
| Dominion Resources | $58,900 | Frankovitch, Anetakis, Colantonio & Simon | $25,650 | |
| Centene Corporation | $55,900 | Wv Radio | $22,550 | |
| American Electric Power | $55,750 | West Virginia Radio Corporation | $16,821 | |
| Jackson Kelly PLLC | $50,825 | Polino Contracting | $15,500 | |
| Drummond Company | $49,100 | Cleveland Brothers | $10,800 | |
| Patriot Coal Corporation | $48,400 | American Financial Group | $10,200 | |
| Boich Companies | $44,200 | Senate Majority Fund | $10,000 | |
| Source: OpenSecrets[14] | ||||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[17] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
| Real Clear Politics[18] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Polling
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Joe Manchin (D) |
John Raese (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | January 20–23, 2011 | 1,105 | ±2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 60% | 31% | — | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 21–24, 2011 | 850 | ±3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 61% | 29% | — | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 1–4, 2011 | 708 | ±3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 62% | 23% | — | 14% |
| R.L. Repass | April 25–28, 2012 | 410 | ±4.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 74% | 22% | — | 4% |
| R.L. Repass | August 22–25, 2012 | 401 | ±4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 66% | 27% | — | 7% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Joe Manchin (D) |
Bill Maloney (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | September 30 – October 2, 2011 | 932 | ±3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 60% | 29% | — | 11% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Joe Manchin (D) |
David McKinley (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | January 9–10, 2011 | 1,058 | ± | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% | 41% | — | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 21–24, 2011 | 850 | ±3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 63% | 25% | — | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 1–4, 2011 | 708 | ±3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 60% | 24% | — | 16% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Joe Manchin (D) |
Shelley Moore Capito (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | January 20–23, 2011 | 1,105 | ±2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% | 41% | — | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 21–24, 2011 | 850 | ±3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 40% | — | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 1–4, 2011 | 708 | ±3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% | 36% | — | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 30 – October 2, 2011 | 932 | ±3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 38% | — | 13% |
Results
In spite of the Republicans winning every county in the presidential election, Manchin carried 52 of West Virginia's 55 counties.[19] Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Berkeley (largest municipality: Martinsburg)
- Hampshire (largest municipality: Romney)
- Morgan (largest municipality: Berkeley Springs)
- Hardy (largest municipality: Moorefield)
- Mineral (largest municipality: Keyser)
- Ritchie (largest municipality: Harrisville)
- Pendleton (largest municipality: Franklin)
- Tyler (largest municipality: Paden City)
- Upshur (largest municipality: Buckhannon)
- Putnam (largest municipality: Hurricane)
By congressional district
Manchin won all 3 congressional districts, including two held by Republicans.[20]
| District | Manchin | Raese | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr | 58.31% | 38.94% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|David McKinley |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr | 58.48% | 38.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Shelley Moore Capito |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr | 65.42% | 31.82% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Nick Rahall |
See also
- 2012 United States Senate elections
- 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia
- 2012 United States presidential election in West Virginia
- 2012 West Virginia gubernatorial election
References
External links
- Elections Division at the West Virginia secretary of state
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
- Outside spending at Sunlight Foundation
- Candidate issue positions at On the Issues
- Official campaign websites
Шаблон:2012 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 6,0 6,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Axelrod: Sen. Manchin Out for ‘Own Political Well-Being’ - ABC News
- ↑ GOP House budget bill | U.S. Congress Votes Database - The Washington PostThe Washington Post
- ↑ John Raese Equates Smoking Ban To Hitler Policy
- ↑ John Raese: Hitler Controversy Over Comparing Smoking Regulations To Nazi Policy Is 'Bull****'
- ↑ John Raese Calls Ted Nugent A Patriot After Obama Threat (VIDEO)
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead linkШаблон:Cbignore
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
