Английская Википедия:2012 Washington gubernatorial election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Washington State The 2012 Washington gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012.[1] Candidates in the election were chosen in an August 7, 2012[2] primary election, under the state's nonpartisan blanket primary system, which allows voters to vote for any candidate running in the race, regardless of party affiliation. The two candidates who received the most votes in the primary election qualified for the general election.[3]
Incumbent Governor Christine Gregoire decided to retire rather than seek a third term.[4] She endorsed fellow Democrat Jay Inslee, a U.S. Congressman, as her successor. On March 20, 2012, Inslee resigned from Congress in order to focus on his gubernatorial campaign.[5]
Inslee and Republican Rob McKenna, the Attorney General of Washington, advanced to the general election. Inslee narrowly won the election, and McKenna conceded three days later.[6]
Primary election
Democratic candidates
- Rob Hill
- Jay Inslee, U.S. Representative for WA-01 (1999–2012) and WA-04 (1993–1995)[7]
Declined
- Lisa Brown, State Senate Majority Leader[8]
- Dow Constantine, King County Executive[9]
- Christine Gregoire, incumbent Governor[4]
- Jim McIntire, State Treasurer[10]
- Aaron Reardon, Snohomish County Executive[11]
- Ron Sims, former King County Executive and Deputy Secretary of Housing and Urban Development[12]
- Brian Sonntag, State Auditor[13][14]
Republican candidates
- Shahram Hadian, pastor and small business owner[15]
- Javier O. Lopez
- Rob McKenna, Attorney General of Washington[16]
- Max Sampson
Declined
- Dave Reichert, U.S. Representative[17]
Independent candidates
- Christian Joubert
- L. Dale Sorgen, computer programmer and former pastor[18]
- James White
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Rob McKenna (R) |
Jay Inslee (D) |
Lisa Brown (D) |
Dow Constantine (D) |
Clint Didier (R) |
Bill Bryant (R) |
Brian Sonntag (D) |
Aaron Reardon (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chism Strategies Шаблон:Webarchive | June 28–30, 2011 | 408 (LV) | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|20% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|17% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|49% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Candidates
- Jay Inslee (Democratic), former U.S. Representative
- Rob McKenna (Republican), Attorney General of Washington
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 2, 2012 - C-SPAN
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
| Real Clear Politics[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Jay Inslee (D) |
Rob McKenna (R) |
Other/Undecided Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | October 14 – November 3, 2012 | November 3, 2012 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47.3% | 46.3% | 6.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Inslee +1.0% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jay Inslee (D) |
Rob McKenna (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 1–3, 2012 | 932 | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 48% | 2% |
| KING5/SurveyUSA | October 28–31, 2012 | 555 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 46% | 7% |
| KCTS 9/Washington Poll | October 18–31, 2012 | 632 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 46% | 6% |
| Elway Poll | October 18–21, 2012 | 451 | ± 4.5% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 10% |
| Strategies360 | October 17–20, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling/WCV | October 15–16, 2012 | 574 | ± n/a% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 42% | 10% |
| KCTS 9/Washington Poll | October 1–16, 2012 | 782 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 45% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 14, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 45% | 9% |
| SurveyUSA | October 12–14, 2012 | 543 | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 44% | 9% |
| SurveyUSA | September 28–30, 2012 | 540 | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 42% | 10% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 26, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Public Elway Poll | September 9–12, 2012 | 405 | ± 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | 41% | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 7–9, 2012 | 563 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 42% | 10% |
| Survey USA | September 7–9, 2012 | 524 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 44% | 7% |
| Survey USA | August 2–3, 2012 | 524 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 45% | 7% |
| Elway Poll | July 18–22, 2012 | 405 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% | 36% | 21% |
| Survey USA | July 16–17, 2012 | 630 | ± 4.0% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 14–17, 2012 | 1,073 | ± 3.0% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | 17% |
| Elway Poll | June 13–16, 2012 | 408 | ± 5.0% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% | 18% |
| Strategies360 | May 22–24, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | 18% |
| Survey USA | May 8–9, 2012 | 557 | ± 4.2% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% | 22% |
| Grove Insights (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | March 26–28, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 38% | 34% | 28% |
| Grove Insights (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | February 21–23, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 38% | 38% | 24% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–19, 2012 | 1,264 | ± 2.8% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
| Survey USA | February 13–15, 2012 | 572 | ± 4.2% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 12% |
| Elway Poll | February 7–9, 2012 | 405 | ± 5.0% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% | 19% |
| Survey USA | January 12–16, 2012 | 617 | ± 4.0% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 11% |
| Survey USA | November 21–23, 2011 | 549 | ± 4.3% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% | 17% |
| Washington Poll | October 10–30, 2011 | 938 | ± 3.2% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% | 18% |
| Survey USA | September 21–22, 2011 | 529 | ± 4.3% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% | 18% |
| Survey USA | June 24–26, 2011 | 600 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | 1,098 | ± 3.0% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% | 22% |
| Survey USA | April 27–28, 2011 | 610 | ± 4.0% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 11% |
- Christine Gregoire vs. Rob McKenna
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Christine Gregoire (D) |
Rob McKenna (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | 1,098 | ± 3.0% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 11% |
| Survey USA | April 27–28, 2011 | 610 | ± 4.0% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% | 7% |
- Christine Gregoire vs. Dave Reichert
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Christine Gregoire (D) |
Dave Reichert (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | 1,098 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 41% | 14% |
| Survey USA | April 27–28, 2011 | 610 | ± 4.0% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 8% |
- Jay Inslee vs. Dave Reichert
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jay Inslee (D) |
Dave Reichert (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | 1,098 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% | 36% | 22% |
| Survey USA | April 27–28, 2011 | 610 | ± 4.0% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 10% |
- Lisa Brown vs. Rob McKenna
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Lisa Brown (D) |
Rob McKenna (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 27-August 1, 2010 | 1,204 | ± 2.8% | 29% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 24% |
Results
The race was close throughout the night, with results too close to call after 60 percent of ballots were cast.[23] Inslee was declared the winner early in the morning three days later; McKenna conceded later in the evening.[24]
Inslee won only eight of the state's 39 counties, relying on heavy votes from the Seattle metropolitan area pushing him to victory.[25]
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Results by county
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Island (largest city: Oak Harbor)
- Kitsap (largest city: Bremerton)
- Pierce (largest city: Tacoma)
- Skagit (largest city: Mount Vernon)
By congressional district
Inslee won 5 of 10 congressional districts with the remaining 5 going to McKenna, including one that elected a Democrat.[27]
See also
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
External links
- Elections & Voting at the Washington Secretary of State office
- Official campaign websites
Шаблон:2012 United States elections Шаблон:Washington elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Pages - Top 2 Primary Шаблон:Webarchive
- ↑ 4,0 4,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite newsШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ "Inslee Announcement Prompts More Democratic Interest" Шаблон:Webarchive, Roll Call Politics
- ↑ "Lisa Brown endorses Inslee"Шаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 2012 races take shape - Elections - The OlympianШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Sims Quits HUD Post, Hotline On Call Шаблон:Webarchive
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite report
- Английская Википедия
- Страницы с неработающими файловыми ссылками
- 2012 United States gubernatorial elections
- 2012 Washington (state) elections
- Jay Inslee
- Washington (state) gubernatorial elections
- Страницы, где используется шаблон "Навигационная таблица/Телепорт"
- Страницы с телепортом
- Википедия
- Статья из Википедии
- Статья из Английской Википедии
