Английская Википедия:2013 Lower Saxony state election
Шаблон:Expand German Шаблон:Infobox election The 2013 Lower Saxony state election was held on 20 January 2013 to elect the members of the 17th Landtag of Lower Saxony. The incumbent coalition government of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Free Democratic Party (FDP) led by Minister-President David McAllister was defeated. The Social Democratic Party (SPD) formed a government with The Greens which held a slim, one-seat majority. Stephan Weil was subsequently elected Minister-President.[1]
Background
The CDU–FDP coalition had governed since the 2003. In the 2008 state election, the SPD under Wolfgang Jüttner lost more than three percentage points, suffering its worst ever result in Lower Saxony. The FDP retained their status as the third strongest party, leading the Greens by just 0.2%. The Left won 7.1 percent of the vote, crossing the electoral threshold and winning seats for the first time.
Most polls taken in early 2012 showed a SPD–Green majority. However, in the lead-up to the election, polls tightened, with the CDU–FDP coalition virtually neck and neck with the SPD–Green coalition. Polling suggested that the FDP's vote could be very close to 5%, which led some officials in the CDU to suggest tactically voting FDP to ensure it met the threshold.[1]
Before the election, the SPD and Greens announced their plan to govern and campaign together. The CDU acted independently of the FDP during the campaign, but sought to continue the incumbent coalition. If a CDU–FDP coalition could not be formed, the CDU stated that the SPD would be their second choice. However, the SPD itself rejected the idea of a grand coalition.[1]
Electoral system
The system used was Mixed-member proportional representation. The results in the electoral districts were determined using FPTP and the overall result using the D'Hondt method.[2]
Parties
The table below lists parties represented in the 16th Landtag of Lower Saxony.
| Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | 2008 result | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | |||||
| bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | CDU | Christian Democratic Union of Germany Шаблон:Small |
Christian democracy | David McAllister | 42.5% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
| bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | SPD | Social Democratic Party of Germany Шаблон:Small |
Social democracy | Stephan Weil | 30.3% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
| bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | FDP | Free Democratic Party Шаблон:Small |
Classical liberalism | Stefan Birkner | 8.2% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
| bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | Grüne | Alliance 90/The Greens Шаблон:Small |
Green politics | Anja Piel Stefan Wenzel |
8.0% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
| bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | Linke | The Left Шаблон:Small |
Democratic socialism | Manfred Sohn | 7.1% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
Opinion polling
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
CDU | SPD | FDP | Grüne | Linke | Piraten | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | |||||
| 2013 state election | 20 Jan 2013 | – | 36.0 | 32.6 | 9.9 | 13.7 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 2.5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 3.4 |
| GMS | 14–16 Jan 2013 | 1,006 | 41 | 33 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 2 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8 |
| INFO GmbH | 2–6 Jan 2013 | 1,002 | 38.0 | 31.5 | 4.5 | 14.5 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 6.5 |
| Infratest dimap | 8–10 Jan 2013 | 1,001 | 40 | 33 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7 |
| GMS | 7–9 Jan 2013 | 1,007 | 41 | 33 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 2 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 7–9 Jan 2013 | 1,040 | 39 | 33 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 28 Dec 2012–2 Jan 2013 | 1,000 | 40 | 34 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 6 |
| INFO GmbH | 7–14 Dec 2012 | 1,001 | 38.5 | 33.0 | 3.5 | 12.5 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 4.0 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5.5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 3–5 Dec 2012 | 1,043 | 39 | 32 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 30 Nov–4 Dec 2012 | 1,000 | 40 | 33 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7 |
| GMS | 28–30 Nov 2012 | 1,006 | 41 | 32 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 2–6 Nov 2012 | 1,003 | 41 | 34 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 17–19 Sep 2012 | 1,003 | 37 | 33 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4 |
| GMS | 10–14 Sep 2012 | 1,002 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5 |
| Forsa | 11–20 Jul 2012 | 1,108 | 38 | 33 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5 |
| YouGov | 5–13 Jul 2012 | 1,025 | 31 | 35 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 14–15 May 2012 | 1,005 | 32 | 36 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4 |
| GMS | 16–19 Apr 2012 | 1,005 | 37 | 33 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 2 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 20–24 Jan 2012 | 1,001 | 36 | 32 | 3 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4 |
| GMS | 10–14 Jan 2012 | 1,003 | 37 | 33 | 3 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 2–4 May 2011 | 1,000 | 34 | 31 | 5 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 2 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 7–11 Jan 2010 | 1,000 | 41 | 29 | 9 | 11 | 6 | – | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12 |
| 2008 state election | 27 Jan 2008 | – | 42.5 | 30.3 | 8.2 | 8.0 | 7.1 | – | 3.9 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12.2 |
Election result
|colspan="12"|
|- ! colspan="2" | Party ! Votes ! % ! +/- ! Constituencies ! List seats ! Total seats ! +/- ! Total seats % |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Christian Democratic Union (CDU) | align=right| 1,287,549 | align=right| 36.0 | align=right| Шаблон:Decrease6.5 | align=right| 54 | align=right| 0 | align=right| 54 | align=right| Шаблон:Decrease14 | align=right| 39.4 |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Social Democratic Party (SPD) | align=right| 1,165,419 | align=right| 32.6 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase2.3 | align=right| 33 | align=right| 16 | align=right| 49 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase1 | align=right| 35.8 |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne) | align=right| 489,473 | align=right| 13.7 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase5.7 | align=right| 0 | align=right| 20 | align=right| 20 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase8 | align=right| 14.6 |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Free Democratic Party (FDP) | align=right| 354,970 | align=right| 9.9 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase1.7 | align=right| 0 | align=right| 14 | align=right| 14 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase1 | align=right| 10.2 |- ! colspan=8| |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | The Left (Linke) | align=right| 112,212 | align=right| 3.1 | align=right| Шаблон:Decrease4.0 | align=right| 0 | align=right| 0 | align=right| 0 | align=right| Шаблон:Decrease11 | align=right| 0 |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Pirate Party Germany (Piraten) | align=right| 75,603 | align=right| 2.1 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase2.1 | align=right| 0 | align=right| 0 | align=right| 0 | align=right| ±0 | align=right| 0 |- | | align=left | Free Voters (FW) | align=right| 39,714 | align=right| 1.1 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase0.6 | align=right| 0 | align=right| 0 | align=right| 0 | align=right| ±0 | align=right| 0 |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Others | align=right| 49,960 | align=right| 1.4 | align=right| | align=right| 0 | align=right| 0 | align=right| 0 | align=right| ±0 | align=right| 0 |- ! align=right colspan=2| Total ! align=right| 3,574,900 ! align=right| 100.0 ! align=right| ! align=right| 87 ! align=right| 50 ! align=right| 137 ! align=right| Шаблон:Decrease15 ! align=right| |- ! align=right colspan=2| Voter turnout ! align=right| ! align=right| 59.4 ! align=right| Шаблон:Increase2.4 ! colspan="5"| |- | colspan="12"| Lower Saxon Returning Officer |- |} Шаблон:Bar box Шаблон:Bar box
Sources
Шаблон:Lower Saxony state election Шаблон:2013 elections in Germany
