Английская Википедия:2014 Alaska gubernatorial election
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The 2014 Alaska gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Alaska, concurrently with the election of Alaska's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Governor Sean Parnell ran for re-election to a second full term in office, but incumbent lieutenant governor Mead Treadwell instead chose to run for the U.S. Senate. Primary elections were held on August 19, 2014, to determine party nominees for the office, with separate primaries held for governor and lieutenant governor and the winners running together on the same ticket.
Parnell was renominated; his running mate was Anchorage Mayor Dan Sullivan.[1] The Democrats nominated businessman and former executive director of the Alaska Permanent Fund Byron Mallott, whose running mate was State Senator Hollis French. Also running as an independent was former Republican mayor of Valdez Bill Walker, whose running mate was Craig Fleener, the former deputy commissioner of the Alaska Department of Fish and Game.
On September 2, 2014, Walker and Mallott merged their campaigns to appear on the November ballot as a single independent ticket, which the Alaska Democratic Party endorsed. On this ticket, Walker ran for governor with Mallott as his running mate. Both candidates' former running mates withdrew.[2] Parnell was considered vulnerable, as reflected in his low approval ratings. The consensus among The Cook Political Report, Governing, The Rothenberg Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Daily Kos Elections, and others was that the contest was a tossup. Former Republican governor Sarah Palin, who had praised Parnell as her successor when she resigned in 2009, endorsed Walker and Mallott, taking issue with Parnell's tax cuts for the oil and gas industry.
On November 7, Walker and Mallott held a 3,165-vote lead,[3] which on November 11 had grown to 4,004 out of some 244,000 votes cast, or 1.6%.[4] Walker began preparing for a transition but the race remained officially uncalled and Parnell refused to concede.[5][6][7][8][9] On November 14, after Walker and Mallott extended their lead to 4,634 votes,[10] multiple media outlets called the race.[11][12] Parnell conceded the following day.[13] His loss – coupled with Democrat Mark Begich's defeat in the U.S. Senate election – marked just the fifth time in the last 50 years in which an incumbent governor and senator from different political parties were defeated in the same state in the same election cycle.[14]
Republican primary
Governor
Candidates
Declared
- Gerald L. "Tap" Heikes, minister, candidate for governor in 2006 and 2010 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008[15]
- Russ Millette, former chairman-elect of the Alaska Republican Party[16]
- Sean Parnell, incumbent governor[17]
- Brad Snowden, candidate for governor in 2002[15]
Withdrew
- Bill Walker, former mayor of Valdez and candidate for governor in 2010 (ran as an independent)[18][19]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sean Parnell |
Bill Walker |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 25–28, 2013 | 507 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 60% | 22% | 18% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Lieutenant governor
Candidates
Declared
- Dan Sullivan, Mayor of Anchorage[20]
- Kelly Wolf, Kenai Peninsula Borough Assemblyman and former state representative[21]
Withdrew
- Lesil McGuire, state senator[22][23]
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary
Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.
Governor
Democratic candidates
Declared
- Byron Mallott, businessman, former mayor of Juneau, former president of the Alaska Federation of Natives and former executive director of the Alaska Permanent Fund[24]
- Phil Stoddard, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 1984 and candidate for governor in 1986[15]
Withdrew
- Hollis French, state senator and candidate for governor in 2010 (running for Lieutenant Governor)[25]
Declined
- Ethan Berkowitz, former Minority Leader of the Alaska House of Representatives, nominee for lieutenant governor in 2006, for Congress in 2008 and governor in 2010[26]
- Les Gara, state representative[27]
- Scott McAdams, former mayor of Sitka and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010[28]
- Bill Wielechowski, state senator[29][30]
Libertarian candidates
Declared
- Carolyn Clift, treasurer of the Alaska Libertarian Party[15]
Results
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Lieutenant governor
Democratic candidates
Declared
- Hollis French, state senator and candidate for governor in 2010[25]
- Bob Williams, teacher[31]
Libertarian candidates
Declared
- Andrew C. Lee, gold miner[32]
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Others
Constitution Party
- J. R. Myers, founder and chairman of the Alaska Constitution Party[33]
- Running mate: Maria Rensel[34]
Independent
- Bill Walker, former mayor of Valdez and Republican candidate for governor in 2010[18][19]
- Running mate: Byron Mallott, businessman, former mayor of Juneau, former president of the Alaska Federation of Natives and former executive director of the Alaska Permanent Fund
- Former running mate: Craig Fleener, former deputy commissioner of the Alaska Department of Fish and Game[35]
General election
Campaign
Parnell drew criticism during his re-election campaign over his support of billions in tax reductions for the petrochemical industry as well an exploding scandal featuring five years of alleged cover ups with regard to rampant sexual abuse, cronyism, corruption and whistleblower suppression, in the Alaska National Guard.[36][37][38]
In October 2014, former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin endorsed Walker and Mallott. The endorsement was prompted by Parnell's oil and gas industry tax cuts, which dismantled her administration's "Alaska's Clear and Equitable Share" (ACES) plan. She had previously supported a referendum to repeal the tax cuts, which was narrowly defeated[39] in August 2014. Walker and Mallott made the repeal of the tax cuts a centerpiece of their campaign.[40]
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 1, 2014 - C-SPAN
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[41] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[42] | style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |Шаблон:Sort | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[43] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[44] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sean Parnell (R) |
Byron Mallott (D) |
Bill Walker (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 1–2, 2014 | 1,052 | ± 3% | 45% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) align=center| 46% | 4%[45] | 5% |
| 47% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) align=center| 48% | — | 6% | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports | October 27–30, 2014 | 887 | ± 4% | 43% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) align=center| 50% | — | 7% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 561 | ± 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% | — | 39% | 0% | 20% |
| Hellenthal & Associates | October 15–21, 2014 | 403 | ± 4.88% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% | — | 43% | 5%[46] | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 8–12, 2014 | 700 | ± 4% | 41% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) align=center| 50% | 2% | 7% |
| Fox News | October 4–7, 2014 | 706 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% | — | 37% | 8%[47] | 13% |
| CNN/ORC | October 1–6, 2014 | 704 LV | ± 3.5% | 45% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) align=center| 51% | — | 3% |
| 875 RV | ± 3.4% | 46% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) align=center| 49% | 1% | 5% | ||
| Hickman Analytics | September 26 – October 2, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | — | 38% | 7%[48] | 10% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 593 | ± 5% | 40% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) align=center| 45% | 1% | 14% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 23–24, 2014 | 713 | ± 4% | 42% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) align=center| 47% | 5% | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 18–21, 2014 | 880 | ± 3.3% | 41% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) align=center| 42% | 5%[49] | 13% |
| 41% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) align=center| 45% | — | 14% | ||||
| Hays Research/AFL-CIO | September 13–14, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.38% | 30% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) align=center| 37% | 33% | |
| Hays Research* | August 20–22, 2014 | 474 | ± 4.5% | 40% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) align=center| 43% | — | 15% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 20–21, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 36% | — | 11% | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 31 – August 1, 2014 | 673 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 37% | 22% | 20% | 5%[50] | 16% |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 37% | — | — | 14% | ||||
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% | — | 40% | — | 19% | ||||
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 450 | ± 5.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% | 29% | — | 6% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 8–11, 2014 | 582 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 37% | 27% | 17% | 4%[51] | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 30 – February 1, 2014 | 850 | ± 3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% | 25% | 16% | 3%[51] | 15% |
- * Internal poll for Bill Walker campaign
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sean Parnell (R) |
Ethan Berkowitz (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 25–28, 2013 | 890 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% | 38% | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 4–5, 2013 | 1,129 | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 41% | 9% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sean Parnell (R) |
Hollis French (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 25–28, 2013 | 890 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 54% | 33% | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sean Parnell (R) |
Les Gara (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 25–28, 2013 | 890 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% | 33% | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sean Parnell (R) |
Scott McAdams (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 4–5, 2013 | 1,129 | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% | 34% | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sean Parnell (R) |
Mike Navarre (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 4–5, 2013 | 1,129 | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% | 29% | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sean Parnell (R) |
Joe Paskvan (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 4–5, 2013 | 1,129 | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sean Parnell (R) |
Bill Шаблон:Nowrap |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 25–28, 2013 | 890 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% | 33% | 15% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
See also
- Elections in Alaska
- 2014 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska
- 2014 United States Senate election in Alaska
References
External links
- Alaska gubernatorial election, 2014 at Ballotpedia
- Byron Mallott for Governor
- J. R. Myers for Governor
- Sean Parnell for Governor incumbent
- Bill Walker for Governor
Шаблон:Alaska gubernatorial elections Шаблон:2014 United States elections Шаблон:Notable third party performances in United States elections
- ↑ Not to be confused with former Commissioner of the Alaska Department of Natural Resources Dan Sullivan who ran as the Republican nominee in the U.S. Senate election which was held at the same time.
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 15,0 15,1 15,2 15,3 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 18,0 18,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 19,0 19,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 25,0 25,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Parnell defends handling alaska national guard dysfunction, plans more firings, Alaska Dispatch News, Jill Burke and Richard Mauer, October 2, 2014. Retrieved October 3, 2014.
- ↑ Parnell waited years to take direct action on National Guard misconduct, Alaska Dispatch News, Jill Burke and Richard Mauer, October 1, 2014. Retrieved October 3, 2014.
- ↑ Debate draws standing-room-only crowd Шаблон:Webarchive, KTUU, Caslon Hatch. July 23, 2014. Retrieved October 3, 2014.
- ↑ narrowly defeated
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Carolyn Clift (L) 2%, J.R. Myers (I) 2%
- ↑ Carolyn Clift (L) 4%, J.R. Myers (I) 1%
- ↑ Carolyn Clift (L) 4%, J.R. Myers (I) 1%, Other 3%
- ↑ Carolyn Clift (L) 5%, J.R. Myers (I) 2%
- ↑ Carolyn Clift (L) 3%, J.R. Myers (I) 2%
- ↑ Carolyn Clift (L) 3%, J.R. Myers (C) 2%
- ↑ 51,0 51,1 J.R. Myers (C)
