Английская Википедия:2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsAR The 2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Arkansas, concurrently with the election to Arkansas's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. As of 2023, this is the last time the Arkansas Governor’s changed partisan control.
Incumbent Democratic Governor Mike Beebe was ineligible to run for re-election due to term limits established by the Arkansas Constitution. Arkansas is one of eight states that limits its Governors to two terms for life.[1] Democrats nominated former U.S. Representative Mike Ross and Republicans nominated former DEA Administrator, former U.S. Representative and 2006 Arkansas gubernatorial nominee Asa Hutchinson.
Hutchinson won the general election by the largest margin recorded for a Republican in an open-seat gubernatorial race since Reconstruction. The race was called for Hutchinson roughly half an hour after the polls closed, his victory gave Republicans complete control of state government for the first time since 1874.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Withdrew
- Bill Halter, former Lieutenant Governor of Arkansas and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 (endorsed Ross)[4]
- Dustin McDaniel, Arkansas Attorney General[5]
Declined
- Shane Broadway, interim director of the Department of Higher Education and former state senator[6][7]
- John Burkhalter, former State Highway Commissioner (running for Lieutenant Governor)[8]
- Conner Eldridge, U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Arkansas[9]
- G. David Gearhart, chancellor of the University of Arkansas[10]
- Pat Hays, former mayor of North Little Rock (running for AR-02)[11]
- Keith Ingram, state senator (endorsed Ross)[12]
- Bruce Maloch, state senator[6][13]
- Michael Malone, president and CEO of the Northwest Arkansas Council[14][15]
- Vic Snyder, former U.S. Representative[6]
- Paul Suskie, former chairman of the Arkansas Public Service Commission and candidate for Attorney General of Arkansas in 2006[9]
- Chris Thomason, Chancellor of the University of Arkansas Community College at Hope and former state representative[6][16]
- Robert F. Thompson, state senator (endorsed Ross)[6][17]
- Darrin Williams, state representative, former Speaker of the Arkansas House of Representatives[6]
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Halter |
Mike Ross |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clark Research | July 23–27, 2013 | 370 | ± 5% | 26% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% | 34% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Curtis Coleman, founder of a food safety company and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[1]
- Asa Hutchinson, former Administrator of the DEA, former U.S. Representative and nominee for governor in 2006[18]
Withdrew
- Debra Hobbs, state representative (running for Lieutenant Governor)[19]
Declined
- Davy Carter, Speaker of the Arkansas House of Representatives[20][21]
- Tom Cotton, U.S. Representative (running for the U.S. Senate)[22]
- Rick Crawford, U.S. Representative[23]
- Mark Darr, former Lieutenant Governor of Arkansas[24]
- G. David Gearhart, Chancellor of the University of Arkansas[10]
- Tim Griffin, U.S. Representative[25]
- Missy Irvin, state senator[26]
- Jim Keet, former state senator and nominee for governor in 2010[8][27]
- Johnny Key, state senator[28]
- Mark Martin, Secretary of State of Arkansas (running for re-election)[1]
- Sheffield Nelson, businessman and nominee for governor in 1990 and 1994[29]
- Steve Womack, U.S. Representative[30]
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Curtis Coleman |
Asa Hutchinson |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Talk Business/Hendrix College | April 29, 2014 | 1,516 | ± 2.5% | 20% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 70% | 10% |
Public Policy Polling | April 25–27, 2014 | 342 | ± 5.3% | 23% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 62% | 15% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Third parties
Candidates
Declared
- Josh Drake (Green), attorney and nominee for Arkansas's 4th congressional district in 2008, 2010 and 2012[31]
- Frank Gilbert (Libertarian), DeKalb Township Constable, former mayor of Tull and nominee for the state senate in 2012[32]
Declined
- Sheffield Nelson (Independent), businessman and Republican nominee for governor in 1990 and 1994[29]
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, September 19, 2014 - C-SPAN
- Complete video of debate, October 7, 2014 - C-SPAN
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[33] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg Political Report[35] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
Real Clear Politics[36] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Ross (D) |
Asa Шаблон:Nowrap |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Opinion Research Associates | October 30–November 1, 2014 | 400 | ± 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% | 39% | 5%[37] | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | October 30–November 1, 2014 | 1,092 | ± 3% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% | 4%[38] | 4% |
44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% | — | 3% | ||||
Rasmussen Reports | October 27–29, 2014 | 967 | ± 3% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 3% | 4% |
Issues & Answers Network | October 21–27, 2014 | 568 | ± 4.1% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | — | 11% |
Opinion Research Associates | October 25–26, 2014 | 401 | ± 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | 42% | 2%[39] | 11% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,567 | ± 4% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 0% | 15% |
NBC News/Marist | October 19–23, 2014 | 621 | ± 3.9% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 4%[40] | 5% |
971 | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | 43% | 5%[41] | 8% | ||
Hendrix Poll | October 15–16, 2014 | 2,075 | ± 2.2% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 5% | 6% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 13–15, 2014 | 940 | ± 3% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 1% | 3% |
Fox News | October 4–7, 2014 | 707 | ± 3.5% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 5%[42] | 12% |
Opinion Research Associates | October 1–5, 2014 | 400 | ± 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 41% | 3% | 11% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 1,991 | ± 2% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 1% | 12% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 24–25, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 4% | 8% |
Suffolk | September 20–23, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | 5%[43] | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | September 18–21, 2014 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% | 5%[43] | 13% |
40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | — | 14% | ||||
Gravis Marketing | September 8–11, 2014 | 902 | ± 4% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 2%[44] | 10% |
Answers Unlimited | September 7–9, 2014 | 600 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 44% | 4%[38] | 8% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 1,572 | ± 3% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% | 1% | 15% |
NBC News/Marist | September 2–4, 2014 | 639 LV | ± 3.9% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 6%[45] | 7% |
1,068 RV | ± 3% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 7%[46] | 8% | ||
Rasmussen Reports | August 25–26, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 44% | 3% | 7% |
Opinion Research Associates | August 6–14, 2014 | 414 | ± 4.9% | 44% | 44% | 3%[47] | 9% |
Public Policy Polling | August 1–3, 2014 | 1,066 | ± 3% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | 7%[48] | 12% |
40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | — | 14% | ||||
Talk Business/Hendrix College | July 22–25, 2014 | 1,780 | ± 2.3% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 6%[49] | 7.5% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,616 | ± 3.5% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 2% | 4% |
Gravis Marketing | July 7–8, 2014 | 987 | ± 3% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 5%[44] | — |
Public Opinion Strategies | May 27–29, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.39% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | — | 10% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 27–28, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 4% | 6% |
NBC News/Marist | April 30–May 4, 2014 | 876 | ± 3.3% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 2% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling | April 25–27, 2014 | 840 | ± 3.4% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | — | 16% |
New York Times/Kaiser Family | April 8–15, 2014 | 857 | ± ? | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% | 4% | 16% |
Opinion Research Associates | April 1–8, 2014 | 400 | ± 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 39% | — | 17% |
Talk Business/Hendrix College | April 3–4, 2014 | 1,068 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | 43% | 5%[43] | 8% |
Impact Management Group | February 10, 2014 | 1,202 | ± 2.83% | 42% | 42% | — | 17% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 4–5, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | 41% | 3% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | December 13–15, 2013 | 1,004 | ± 3.1% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% | — | 14% |
Impact Management Group | October 24, 2013 | 911 | ± 3.2% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% | — | 23% |
University of Arkansas | October 10–17, 2013 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 30% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 32% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 38% |
Talk Business/Hendrix College | October 8, 2013 | 603 | ± 4.% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% | — | 22% |
Harper Polling | August 4–5, 2013 | 587 | ± 4.04% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | — | 16% |
Talk Business/Hendrix College | February 20, 2013 | 675 | ± 3.8% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | — | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Lynette Bryant (D) |
Asa Hutchinson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Talk Business/Hendrix College | April 3–4, 2014 | 1,068 | ± 3% | 27.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 8%[50] | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Halter (D) |
Asa Hutchinson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Talk Business/Hendrix College | February 20, 2013 | 675 | ± 3.8% | 31% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | — | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dustin McDaniel (D) |
Asa Hutchinson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | January 10–13, 2013 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | — | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Ross (D) |
Curtis Coleman (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | April 25–27, 2014 | 840 | ± 3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% | 33% | — | 24% |
Talk Business/Hendrix College | April 3–4, 2014 | 1,068 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 30% | 7%[51] | 15% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
References
External links
- Official campaign websites (archived)
- Mike Ross (D) for Governor
- Asa Hutchinson (R) for Governor
- Frank Gilbert (L) for Governor
- Josh Drake (G) for Governor
Шаблон:Arkansas elections Шаблон:2014 United States elections Шаблон:Portal bar
- ↑ 1,0 1,1 1,2 Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ 6,0 6,1 6,2 6,3 6,4 6,5 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 8,0 8,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 9,0 9,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 10,0 10,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ 29,0 29,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
- ↑ 38,0 38,1 Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
- ↑ Josh Drake (G) 1%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
- ↑ Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%, Other <1%
- ↑ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%, Other <1%
- ↑ Josh Drake (G) 1%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%, Other 1%
- ↑ 43,0 43,1 43,2 Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
- ↑ 44,0 44,1 Frank Gilbert (L)
- ↑ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%, Other <1%
- ↑ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 4%, Other <1%
- ↑ Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 1%
- ↑ Josh Drake (G) 4%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
- ↑ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
- ↑ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 5%
- ↑ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 4%
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