Английская Википедия:2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsAR The 2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Arkansas, concurrently with the election to Arkansas's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. As of 2023, this is the last time the Arkansas Governor’s changed partisan control.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Mike Beebe was ineligible to run for re-election due to term limits established by the Arkansas Constitution. Arkansas is one of eight states that limits its Governors to two terms for life.[1] Democrats nominated former U.S. Representative Mike Ross and Republicans nominated former DEA Administrator, former U.S. Representative and 2006 Arkansas gubernatorial nominee Asa Hutchinson.

Hutchinson won the general election by the largest margin recorded for a Republican in an open-seat gubernatorial race since Reconstruction. The race was called for Hutchinson roughly half an hour after the polls closed, his victory gave Republicans complete control of state government for the first time since 1874.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Halter
Mike
Ross
Undecided
Clark Research July 23–27, 2013 370 ± 5% 26% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 34%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Файл:Arkansas gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2014.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Curtis
Coleman
Asa
Hutchinson
Undecided
Talk Business/Hendrix College April 29, 2014 1,516 ± 2.5% 20% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 70% 10%
Public Policy Polling April 25–27, 2014 342 ± 5.3% 23% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 62% 15%

Results

Файл:Arkansas gubernatorial Republican primary, 2014.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Third parties

Candidates

Declared

Declined

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[35] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[36] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Ross (D)
Asa
Шаблон:Nowrap
Other Undecided
Opinion Research Associates October 30–November 1, 2014 400 ± 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% 39% 5%[37] 14%
Public Policy Polling October 30–November 1, 2014 1,092 ± 3% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% 4%[38] 4%
44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% 3%
Rasmussen Reports October 27–29, 2014 967 ± 3% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% 3% 4%
Issues & Answers Network October 21–27, 2014 568 ± 4.1% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% 11%
Opinion Research Associates October 25–26, 2014 401 ± 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 42% 2%[39] 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 1,567 ± 4% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 0% 15%
NBC News/Marist October 19–23, 2014 621 ± 3.9% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 4%[40] 5%
971 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 43% 5%[41] 8%
Hendrix Poll October 15–16, 2014 2,075 ± 2.2% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 5% 6%
Rasmussen Reports October 13–15, 2014 940 ± 3% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 1% 3%
Fox News October 4–7, 2014 707 ± 3.5% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 5%[42] 12%
Opinion Research Associates October 1–5, 2014 400 ± 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 41% 3% 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 1,991 ± 2% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 1% 12%
Rasmussen Reports September 24–25, 2014 750 ± 4% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 4% 8%
Suffolk September 20–23, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% 5%[43] 11%
Public Policy Polling September 18–21, 2014 1,453 ± 2.6% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 5%[43] 13%
40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 14%
Gravis Marketing September 8–11, 2014 902 ± 4% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 2%[44] 10%
Answers Unlimited September 7–9, 2014 600 ± 3.5% 44% 44% 4%[38] 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 1,572 ± 3% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 1% 15%
NBC News/Marist September 2–4, 2014 639 LV ± 3.9% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 6%[45] 7%
1,068 RV ± 3% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 7%[46] 8%
Rasmussen Reports August 25–26, 2014 750 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 44% 3% 7%
Opinion Research Associates August 6–14, 2014 414 ± 4.9% 44% 44% 3%[47] 9%
Public Policy Polling August 1–3, 2014 1,066 ± 3% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% 7%[48] 12%
40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 14%
Talk Business/Hendrix College July 22–25, 2014 1,780 ± 2.3% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 6%[49] 7.5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 1,616 ± 3.5% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 2% 4%
Gravis Marketing July 7–8, 2014 987 ± 3% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 5%[44]
Public Opinion Strategies May 27–29, 2014 500 ± 4.39% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 10%
Rasmussen Reports May 27–28, 2014 750 ± 4% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 4% 6%
NBC News/Marist April 30–May 4, 2014 876 ± 3.3% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 2% 7%
Public Policy Polling April 25–27, 2014 840 ± 3.4% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 16%
New York Times/Kaiser Family April 8–15, 2014 857 ± ? 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% 4% 16%
Opinion Research Associates April 1–8, 2014 400 ± 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 39% 17%
Talk Business/Hendrix College April 3–4, 2014 1,068 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 43% 5%[43] 8%
Impact Management Group February 10, 2014 1,202 ± 2.83% 42% 42% 17%
Rasmussen Reports February 4–5, 2014 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 41% 3% 12%
Public Policy Polling December 13–15, 2013 1,004 ± 3.1% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 14%
Impact Management Group October 24, 2013 911 ± 3.2% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% 23%
University of Arkansas October 10–17, 2013 800 ± 3.5% 30% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 32% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 38%
Talk Business/Hendrix College October 8, 2013 603 ± 4.% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% 22%
Harper Polling August 4–5, 2013 587 ± 4.04% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 16%
Talk Business/Hendrix College February 20, 2013 675 ± 3.8% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% 19%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lynette
Bryant (D)
Asa
Hutchinson (R)
Other Undecided
Talk Business/Hendrix College April 3–4, 2014 1,068 ± 3% 27.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 8%[50] 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Halter (D)
Asa
Hutchinson (R)
Other Undecided
Talk Business/Hendrix College February 20, 2013 675 ± 3.8% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 22%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dustin
McDaniel (D)
Asa
Hutchinson (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 10–13, 2013 600 ± 4.0% 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 22%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Ross (D)
Curtis
Coleman (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 25–27, 2014 840 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% 33% 24%
Talk Business/Hendrix College April 3–4, 2014 1,068 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 30% 7%[51] 15%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Шаблон:Columns-list

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites (archived)

Шаблон:Arkansas elections Шаблон:2014 United States elections Шаблон:Portal bar

  1. 1,0 1,1 1,2 Шаблон:Cite web
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  6. 6,0 6,1 6,2 6,3 6,4 6,5 Шаблон:Cite web
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  8. 8,0 8,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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  10. 10,0 10,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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  29. 29,0 29,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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  37. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
  38. 38,0 38,1 Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
  39. Josh Drake (G) 1%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
  40. Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%, Other <1%
  41. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%, Other <1%
  42. Josh Drake (G) 1%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%, Other 1%
  43. 43,0 43,1 43,2 Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
  44. 44,0 44,1 Frank Gilbert (L)
  45. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%, Other <1%
  46. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 4%, Other <1%
  47. Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 1%
  48. Josh Drake (G) 4%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
  49. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
  50. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 5%
  51. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 4%