Английская Википедия:2014 Bulgarian parliamentary election
Шаблон:Infobox legislative electionШаблон:Politics of Bulgaria
Parliamentary elections were held in Bulgaria on 5 October 2014 to elect the 43rd National Assembly.[1] GERB remained the largest party, winning 84 of the 240 seats with around a third of the vote. A total of eight parties won seats, the first time since the beginning of democratic elections in 1990 that more than seven parties entered parliament.[2] Boyko Borisov then became prime minister as head of a coalition with the Reformist Bloc and with outside support from the Patriotic Front and the Alternative for Bulgarian Revival.
Background
After the 2013 election, the seat distribution was such that the new coalition government, composed of the Bulgarian Socialist Party (BSP) and the Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) and led by Plamen Oresharski, had only half the seats in Parliament, and thus prospects of holding early elections were significant. Also, the Oresharski cabinet was confronted by a series of protests starting on 14 June 2013, in response to the election of Delyan Peevski as head of the Bulgarian state security agency DANS (State Agency for National Security).[3][4][5]
Following the setback suffered by the BSP in the European Parliament election, having picked up 18.94% of the popular vote (down from 26.6% in 2013), opposition parties called for early parliamentary elections. The leader of the DPS expressed his desire to have the government resign so that early elections can be scheduled for the end of 2014 or the middle of 2015.[6]
On 10 June 2014 the leader of the Bulgarian Socialist Party, Sergei Stanishev, demanded the resignation of the government: "We cannot have the responsibility for the existence and actions of this government solely by ourselves."[7] Following an agreement from the three largest parties (GERB, BSP and DPS) to hold early parliamentary elections for 5 October 2014,[8] the cabinet was to resign by the end of July.[9]
On Wednesday July 23, Oresharski's government submitted its resignation.[10] The next day parliament voted 180–8 (8 abstained and 44 were absent) to accept the government's resignation.[11] After each party refused to try to form a new government, on 6 August a caretaker government led by Georgi Bliznashki was sworn into office and the 42nd National Assembly was dissolved with an election date set for 5 October.[1]
Campaign
Twenty-two parties and seven coalitions registered to run on election day before the deadline. Two parties were denied registration.[12]
The election campaign started on 5 September.[13]
Opinion polls
Pre election campaign
| Pre election campaign polls | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Source | Date | GERB | BSP | DPS | Attack | RB | BBT | PF | ABV | Others | Total |
| Sova Haris | 21 July 2013 | 16.9% | 19.3% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | – | 2.3% | – | 1.8% | 54.3% |
| Alpha Research | 27 August 2013 | 15.6% | 18.4% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 7.6% | – | 3.1% | – | 21.6% | 73.6% |
| Alpha Research | 25 September 2013 | 15.6% | 17.9% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 7.6% | – | 3.1% | – | 21.6% | 73.6% |
| Institute for Modern Politics | 28 September 2013 | 16.6% | 18.5% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 5.6% | – | 1.9% | – | 16.5% | 66.3% |
| AFIS | 29 September 2013 | 19.9% | 21.2% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | – | 7.8% | 64.0% | |
| Sova Haris | 24 October 2013 | 19.5% | 21.7% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | – | 0.7% | 57.3% |
| Alpha Research | 31 October 2013 | 16.5% | 16.9% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 6.4% | – | 2.6% | – | 8.2% | 59.7% |
| Institute for Modern Politics | 10 November 2013 | 26.2% | 26.2% | 8.1% | 1.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 1.9% | – | – | 78.0% |
| Mediana | 18 November 2013 | 16.9% | 22.8% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | – | 2.9% | 68.8% |
| Gallup | 19 November 2013 | 18.1% | 21.4% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 6.7% | – | – | – | – | 54.5% |
| Sova Haris | 4 December 2013 | 16.3% | 21.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | – | 1.2% | 55.6% |
| Alpha Research | 8 December 2013 | 15.8% | 16.5% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 6.9% | – | 3.5% | – | 9.7% | 61.2% |
| AFIS | 12 December 2013 | 18% | 22% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 1% | – | 10% | 66% |
| Focus | 13 December 2013 | 23.5% | 22.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 65.8% |
| Institute for Modern Politics | 17 December 2013 | 21.0% | 21.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | – | – | 60.6% |
| Gallup | 18 December 2013 | 18.0% | 22.8% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | – | 3.5% | 60.7% |
| Sova Haris | 15 January 2014 | 18.4% | 19.5% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | – | 0.8% | 56.5% |
| Gallup | 16 January 2014 | 18.1% | 21.6% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | – | 3.5% | 59.9% |
| Modern Institute for Politics | 31 January 2014 | 19.8% | 20.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 4.0% | 62.8% |
| Gallup | 13 March 2014 | 19.9% | 19.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | – | 59.6% |
| Sova Haris | 25 March 2014 | 21.7% | 22.3% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 68.2% |
| Sova Haris | 28 April 2014 | 17.2% | 19.8% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 60.2% |
| Center for Analysis and Marketing | 30 April 2014 | 19.7% | 16.0% | 8.2% | – | 4.8% | 4.6% | – | – | – | 53.3% |
| Focus | 23 May 2014 | 24% | 26% | 12.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 4.5% | – | – | 86.5% |
| Sova Haris | 21 July 2014 | 23% | 15.2% | 8% | 1.3% | 4% | – | 1% | 2.7% | – | 55.2% |
| Modern Institute for Politics | 25 July 2014 | 27.2% | 13.5% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 72.2% |
| Gallup | 14 August 2014 | 23.4% | 15.9% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9 | 66.1% |
| AFIS | 24 August 2014 | 31.3% | 22.7% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 12.9% | 100% |
| Sova Haris | 30 August 2014 | 43.2% | 31.4% | 11% | – | 7.1% | 7.3% | – | – | – | 100% |
| Mediana | 1 September 2014 | 26.8% | 17.5% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | – | 73.9% |
| Source | Date | GERB | BSP | DPS | Attack | RB | BBT | PF | ABV | Others | Total |
Election campaign
| Source | Date | GERB | BSP | DPS | Attack | RB | BBT | PF | ABV | Others | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gallup | 18 September 2014 | 35.9% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 8.3% | 100.0% |
| Alpha Research | 1 October 2014 | 34.1% | 19.1% | 15.4% | - | 6% | 6% | 4.2% | - | - | 84.8% |
Results
Voter demographics
Gallup exit polling suggested the following demographic breakdown. The parties which received below 4% of the vote are included in 'Others':
| Voter demographics[14] | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Social group | % GERB | % BSP | % DPS | % RB | % PF | % BBT | % Ataka | % ABV | % Others | % Lead |
| class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px;" | | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px;" | | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px;" | | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px;" | | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px;" | | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px;" | | class="unsortable" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px;" | | ||||
| Exit Poll Result | 34 | 16 | 12 | 9.5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6.5 | style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 18 |
| Final Result | 32.7 | 15.4 | 14.8 | 8.9 | 7.3 | 5.7 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 6.5 | style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 17.3 |
| Gender | ||||||||||
| Men | 34 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 6 | style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 18 |
| Women | 35 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 7 | style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 18 |
| Age | ||||||||||
| 18–30 | 35 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 19 |
| 30-60 | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 24 |
| 60+ | 26 | 35 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 9 |
| Highest Level of Education | ||||||||||
| Lower Education | 19 | 21 | 35 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| Secondary Education | 36 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 6 | style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 20 |
| Higher Education | 37 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 | style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 22 |
| Ethnic Group | ||||||||||
| Bulgarian | 38 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 8 | style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 21 |
| Turkic | 6 | 2 | 84 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 78 |
| Roma | 20 | 22 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| Location | ||||||||||
| Towns and Villages | 24 | 18 | 31 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| Smaller Cities | 32 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 9 | style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 13 |
| Larger Cities | 41 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 8 | style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 28 |
| Sofia | 36 | 15 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | style="text-align:right; background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 15 |
Reactions
Following his party's election victory, Borisov stated that his party would try to form the next government and that he "want[s] to govern, in person".[15]
Government formation
Шаблон:See also The newly elected Assembly met for the first time on 27 October.[16]
After being tasked by President Rosen Plevneliev to form a government, Borisov's GERB allied with the Reformist Bloc to form a government and also had the outside support of the Patriotic Front and the Alternative for Bulgarian Revival. The cabinet of twenty ministers was approved by a majority of 136-97 (with one abstention).[17] Borisov was then chosen as prime minister by an even larger vote of 149-85.[18]
References
- ↑ 1,0 1,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Bulgarians protests over media magnate as security chief, Reuters, 14 June 2013
- ↑ Thousands Rally in Bulgaria against Election of Shady Mogul for 'FBI' Head, Novinite, 14 June 2013
- ↑ Шаблон:In lang Protester says things could change for better (video) Шаблон:Webarchive, bgnes, 14 June 2013
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Bulgaria's Шаблон:Sic National Assembly to be inaugurated todayКопирано от standartnews.com Шаблон:Webarchive Standart, 27 October 2014
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
