Английская Википедия:2014 Iowa gubernatorial election

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsIA The 2014 Iowa gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Iowa. Republican incumbent Terry Branstad ran for reelection to a sixth overall and second consecutive four-year term.^[1] Branstad went on to win a historic sixth term as governor by defeating Democratic challenger and State Senator Jack Hatch, and on December 14, 2015, he became the longest-serving governor in American history. He won 59.1% of the popular vote to Hatch's 37.3%, and carried every county in the state except Johnson, home to Iowa City and the University of Iowa.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Terry Branstad, incumbent Governor^[1]
Tom Hoefling, political activist and America's Party and American Independent Party nominee for president in 2012^[2]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Terry Branstad	Tom Hoefling	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 15–19, 2014	303	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 66%	12%	22%
Loras College	April 7–8, 2014	600	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 80%	4%	14%
Suffolk University	April 3–8, 2014	224	± 6.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 70%	9%	21%
Public Policy Polling	February 20–23, 2014	283	± 5.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 70%	11%	18%

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Narcisse was disqualified from appearing on the ballot in the Democratic primary following a ruling by the Iowa Supreme Court^[3] that upheld a lower court decision that held that Narcisse had not submitted enough valid signatures to be placed on the ballot for the primary election. Narcisse continued his campaign and declared his intention to run for the nomination as a write-in candidate.^[4] When he was unsuccessful, he announced that he would be running in the general election as the nominee of the Iowa Party.^[5]^[6]

Candidates

Declared

Jack Hatch, state senator^[7]
Jonathan Narcisse, former member of the Des Moines School Board and Iowa Party nominee for governor in 2010^[8]

Withdrew

Paul Dahl, bus driver, retail sales associate, former librarian and candidate for Iowa's 5th congressional district in 1994^[9]
Tyler Olson, state representative and former chairman of the Iowa Democratic Party^[10]

Declined

Frank Cownie, Mayor of Des Moines^[11]
Chet Culver, former governor^[12]
Jeff Danielson, state senator^[13]
Michael Fitzgerald, state treasurer^[14]
Michael Gronstal, majority leader of the Iowa Senate and chairman of the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee^[15]
Fred Hubbell, insurance executive^[11]^[16]
Pam Jochum, president of the Iowa Senate^[15]
Bob Krause, former state representative, nominee for state treasurer in 1978, candidate for Mayor of Waterloo in 1982 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010^[17]
Janet Petersen, state senator^[18]
Tom Vilsack, United States Secretary of Agriculture and former governor^[19]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Candidates

Terry Branstad (Republican), incumbent governor

Running mate: Kim Reynolds, incumbent lieutenant governor

Jack Hatch (Democratic), state senator

Running mate: Monica Vernon, Cedar Rapids City Councilwoman^[20]

Jim Hennager (New Independent Party), administrator, former city councillor and Reform Party nominee for governor in 1998^[21]

Running mate: Mary Krieg

Lee Hieb (Libertarian), orthopedic surgeon^[22]

Running mate: Ryan Ketelsen, businessman^[22]

Jonathan Narcisse (Iowa Party), former member of the Des Moines School Board and nominee for governor in 2010^[5]^[6]^[8]

Running mate: Michael Richards, semi-retired businessman^[23]

Debates

Complete video of debate, September 20, 2014 - C-SPAN

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[24]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[25]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report^[26]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics^[27]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Terry Branstad (R)	Jack Hatch (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	November 1–3, 2014	1,265	± 2.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 51%	40%	5%^[28]	5%
Public Policy Polling	November 1–3, 2014	1,265	± 2.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 54%	43%	—	4%
Quinnipiac University	October 28–November 2, 2014	778	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 52%	41%	2%	6%
Iowa Poll	October 28–31, 2014	701	± 3.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 59%	35%	2%	4%
YouGov	October 25–31, 2014	1,112	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 49%	35%	4%	13%
Fox News	October 28–30, 2014	911	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 53%	36%	5%	6%
Reuters/Ipsos	October 23–29, 2014	1,129	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 57%	34%	4%	5%
Quinnipiac	October 22–27, 2014	817	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 56%	37%	2%	5%
Loras College	October 21–24, 2014	1,121	± 2.93%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 55%	34%	2%	9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	2,322	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 50%	37%	0%	13%
NBC News/Marist	October 18–22, 2014	772 LV	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 59%	36%	2%	4%
NBC News/Marist	October 18–22, 2014	1,052 RV	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 58%	34%	2%	6%
Gravis Marketing	October 20–21, 2014	964	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 53%	43%	—	4%
Monmouth University	October 18–21, 2014	423	± 4.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 58%	37%	3%	2%
Quinnipiac University	October 15–21, 2014	964	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 55%	37%	2%	5%
Suffolk University	October 11–14, 2014	500	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 54%	37%	3%^[29]	7%
Quinnipiac University	October 8–13, 2014	967	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 54%	39%	1%	6%
The Iowa Poll	October 3–8, 2014	1,000	± 3.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 54%	39%	—	4%
Magellan	October 3, 2014	1,299	± 2.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 55%	39%	—	7%
NBC News/Marist	September 27–October 1, 2014	778 LV	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 58%	36%	1%	5%
NBC News/Marist	September 27–October 1, 2014	1,093 RV	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 58%	35%	1%	6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20–October 1, 2014	2,359	± 2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 52%	39%	0%	9%
Gravis Marketing	September 29–30, 2014	522	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 51%	43%	—	6%
Public Policy Polling	September 25–28, 2014	1,192	± 2.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 50%	36%	4%^[30]	9%
Public Policy Polling	September 25–28, 2014	1,192	± 2.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 52%	38%	—	10%
Iowa Poll	September 21–24, 2014	546	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 48%	34%	6%^[31]	12%
Rasmussen Reports	September 17–18, 2014	750	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 46%	40%	3%	10%
FOX News	September 14–16, 2014	600	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 50%	37%	4%	8%
Quinnipiac	September 10–15, 2014	1,167	± 2.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 60%	37%	1%	3%
Loras College	September 2–5, 2014	1,200	± 2.82%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 56%	34%	—	11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	August 18–September 2, 2014	1,764	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 51%	38%	1%	10%
Suffolk	August 23–26, 2014	500	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	35%	2%^[32]	16%
Public Policy Polling	August 22–24, 2014	915	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 48%	35%	5%^[28]	12%
Public Policy Polling	August 22–24, 2014	915	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 50%	37%	—	13%
Rasmussen Reports	August 11–12, 2014	750	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 52%	35%	6%	7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	July 5–24, 2014	2,044	± 2.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 51%	40%	1%	8%
Gravis Marketing	July 17–18, 2014	1,179	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 50%	42%	—	9%
NBC News/Marist	July 7–13, 2014	1,599	± 2.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 53%	38%	1%	9%
Quinnipiac	June 12–16, 2014	1,277	± 2.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	38%	1%	14%
Vox Populi Polling	June 4–5, 2014	665	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 51%	40%	—	9%
Loras College	June 4–5, 2014	600	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 52%	38%	—	11%
Rasmussen Reports	June 4–5, 2014	750	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 49%	40%	2%	8%
Global Strategy Group	May 13–15, 2014	602	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	40%	—	13%
Public Policy Polling	May 15–19, 2014	914	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 48%	40%	—	12%
Victory Enterprises	April 30–May 1, 2014	400	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 48%	33%	—	20%
Hickman Analytics	April 24–30	500	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 50%	40%	—	10%
Vox Populi Polling	April 22–24, 2014	600	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 45%	43%	—	12%
Public Policy Polling	April 19–20, 2014	677	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 43%	38%	—	19%
Suffolk University	April 3–8, 2014	800	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	32%	2%^[33]	24%
Quinnipiac	March 5–10, 2014	1,411	± 2.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 46%	35%	1%	17%
Selzer & Co.	February 23–26, 2014	703	± 3.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 44%	29%	—	27%
Public Policy Polling	February 20–23, 2014	869	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 48%	36%	—	15%
Quinnipiac	December 10–15, 2013	1,617	± 2.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 49%	33%	1%	17%
Selzer & Co.	December 8–11, 2013	325	± ?%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 52%	29%	8%	11%
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	35%	—	18%
Selzer & Co.	June 2–5, 2013	591	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 55%	27%	9%	9%
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± %	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 48%	33%	—	19%

Шаблон:Hidden begin }

With Branstad

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Terry Branstad (R)	Bruce Braley (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± %	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	41%	—	11%
Public Policy Polling	May 3–6, 2012	1,181	± 2.85%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 44%	40%	—	16%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Terry Branstad (R)	Chet Culver (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	42%	—	11%
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± %	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 50%	40%	—	10%
Public Policy Polling	May 3–6, 2012	1,181	± 2.85%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 44%	42%	—	14%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Terry Branstad (R)	Michael Gronstal (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 50%	36%	—	14%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Terry Branstad (R)	Bob Krause (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac	December 10–15, 2013	1,617	± 2.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 49%	31%	1%	19%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Terry Branstad (R)	Dave Loebsack (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± %	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 48%	38%	—	14%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Terry Branstad (R)	Tyler Olson (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac	December 10–15, 2013	1,617	± 2.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 50%	32%	1%	17%
Selzer & Co.	December 8–11, 2013	325	± ?%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 51%	28%	8%	13%
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	33%	—	20%
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± %	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	31%	—	22%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Terry Branstad (R)	Tom Vilsack (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± %	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	46%	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	May 3–6, 2012	1,181	± 2.85%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	—	11%

With Hoefling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Hoefling (R)	Jack Hatch (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 15–19, 2014	914	± 3.3%	30%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 37%	—	33%
Suffolk University	April 3–8, 2014	800	± 3.5%	23%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 35%	3%^[33]	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 39%
Public Policy Polling	February 20–23, 2014	869	± 3.3%	30%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 34%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 36%

With Reynolds

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kim Reynolds (R)	Chet Culver (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 42%	—	20%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kim Reynolds (R)	Michael Gronstal (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	37%	37%	—	26%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kim Reynolds (R)	Jack Hatch (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 36%	33%	—	30%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kim Reynolds (R)	Tyler Olson (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 36%	32%	—	32%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Black Hawk (largest city: Waterloo)
Des Moines (largest city: Burlington)
Dubuque (largest city: Dubuque)
Floyd (largest city: Charles City)
Jefferson (largest city: Fairfield)
Lee (largest city: Fort Madison)
Linn (Largest city: Cedar Rapids)
Story (Largest city: Ames)

By congressional district

Branstad won all 4 of the congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.^[34]

District	Branstad	Hatch	Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	55.95%	40.98%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Rod Blum
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	56.66%	39.85%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Dave Loebsack
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	56.55%	38.79%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|David Young
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	67.25%	29.39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Steve King

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Iowa gubernatorial election, 2014 at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Шаблон:2014 United States elections

↑ ^1,0 ^1,1 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^5,0 ^5,1 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^6,0 ^6,1 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^8,0 ^8,1 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite news
↑ ^11,0 ^11,1 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^15,0 ^15,1 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite news
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^22,0 ^22,1 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^28,0 ^28,1 Jim Hennager (NIP) 2%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 2%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
↑ Jim Hennager (NIP) 1%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 1%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
↑ Jim Hennager (NIP) 3%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 2%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
↑ Jim Hennager (NIP) 2%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 3%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
↑ Jim Hennager (NIP) 1%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 1%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 0%
↑ ^33,0 ^33,1 Lee Hieb (L)
↑ Шаблон:Cite web

[Branstad-1] 1,0 ^1,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[2] Шаблон:Cite web

[3] Шаблон:Cite web

[4] Шаблон:Cite web

[narcissethird-5] 5,0 ^5,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[soapboxnarcisse-6] 6,0 ^6,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[7] Шаблон:Cite web

[Horsch-8] 8,0 ^8,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[9] Шаблон:Cite web

[Olsen_drops_out-10] Шаблон:Cite news

[hatch_dmr-11] 11,0 ^11,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[12] Шаблон:Cite web

[13] Шаблон:Cite web

[14] Шаблон:Cite web

[gronstaljochum-15] 15,0 ^15,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[hubbell-16] Шаблон:Cite web

[krauseends-17] Шаблон:Cite web

[18] Шаблон:Cite news

[vilsack_dmr-19] Шаблон:Cite web

[20] Шаблон:Cite web

[21] Шаблон:Cite web

[libs-22] 22,0 ^22,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[23] Шаблон:Cite web

[24] Шаблон:Cite web

[25] Шаблон:Cite web

[26] Шаблон:Cite web

[27] Шаблон:Cite web

[ReferenceA-28] 28,0 ^28,1 Jim Hennager (NIP) 2%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 2%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%

[29] Jim Hennager (NIP) 1%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 1%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%

[30] Jim Hennager (NIP) 3%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 2%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%

[31] Jim Hennager (NIP) 2%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 3%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%

[32] Jim Hennager (NIP) 1%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 1%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 0%

[SuffolkLib-33] 33,0 ^33,1 Lee Hieb (L)

[34] Шаблон:Cite web

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Английская Википедия:2014 Iowa gubernatorial election

Содержание

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Results

General election

Candidates

Debates

Predictions

Polling

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

References

External links

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