Английская Википедия:2014 Kansas gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsKS The 2014 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Kansas, concurrently with the election of Kansas' Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Governor Sam Brownback ran for re-election to a second term.[1] He was opposed in the general election by Democrat Paul Davis, the Minority Leader of the Kansas House of Representatives, and Libertarian attorney Keen Umbehr.

The election was viewed as a referendum on Brownback's aggressive tax cutting initiatives and his conservative values.[2] The consensus among The Cook Political Report, Governing, The Rothenberg Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Daily Kos Elections, and others was that the contest was a tossup. Brownback won the election by a margin of 3.7%. Davis carried seven counties, all in eastern Kansas. As of 2024, this is the most recent time a Republican was elected Governor of Kansas. This was also the last gubernatorial election in which a Democratic candidate won Jefferson County.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Jennifer Winn, businesswoman[3]
  • Running mate: Robin Lais, advertising agency owner and natural healing shop owner[4]
  • Former running mate: Ethan McCord, Iraq War veteran[5]

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback
Jennifer
Winn
Undecided
SurveyUSA July 17–22, 2014 691 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 60% 30% 9%
SurveyUSA June 19–23, 2014 508 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% 37% 8%

Results

Файл:Kansas gubernatorial Republican primary, 2014.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Declared

  • Keen Umbehr, attorney[13]
  • Running mate: Josh Umbehr, physician and son of Keen Umbehr[14]

General election

Debates

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[15] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[17] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[18] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Paul
Davis (D)
Keen
Umbehr (L)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–3, 2014 963 ± 3.2% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 4% 4%
47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 3%
Public Policy Polling October 30–31, 2014 752 ± ? 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 5% 3%
YouGov October 25–31, 2014 1,137 ± 4.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% 38% 2% 1% 21%
Fox News October 28–30, 2014 907 ± 3% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 4% <1% 5%
Survey USA October 22–26, 2014 623 ± 4% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 5% 7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 1,973 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% 40% 1% 16%
NBC News/Marist October 18–22, 2014 757 LV ± 3.6% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 5% 1% 6%
1,055 RV ± 3% 43% 43% 6% 1% 7%
Rasmussen Reports October 20–21, 2014 960 ± 3% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% 1% 2%
Gravis Marketing October 20–21, 2014 1,124 ± 3% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% 7%
Monmouth University October 16–19, 2014 429 ± 4.7% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% 2% 5%
Remington Research October 9–12, 2014 1,091 ± 2.97% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 45% 3% 4%
Public Policy Polling October 9–12, 2014 1,081 ± 3% 42% 42% 6% 10%
44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 12%
Fox News October 4–7, 2014 702 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 40% 2% 2% 11%
CNN/ORC October 2–6, 2014 687 ± 3.5% 49% 49% 2%
SurveyUSA October 2–5, 2014 549 ± 4.3% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 4% 7%
Gravis Marketing September 30–October 1, 2014 850 ± 3% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 12%
NBC News/Marist September 27–October 1, 2014 636 LV ± 3.9% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 4% 1% 7%
1,097 RV ± 3% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% 5% 1% 10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 2,013 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 42% 0% 12%
Suffolk University September 27–30, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 6% 7%
Fort Hays State University September 10–27, 2014 685 ± 3.8% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% 9% 16%
Remington Research September 23, 2014 625 ± 3.91% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 5% 5%
Rasmussen Reports September 16–17, 2014 750 ± 4% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 4% 6%
Fox News September 14–16, 2014 604 ± 4% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 4% 8%
Public Policy Polling September 11–14, 2014 1,328 ± 2.7% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 7% 14%
39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 15%
KSN/SurveyUSA September 4–7, 2014 555 ± 4.2% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 5% 7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 839 ± 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 40% 2% 11%
SurveyUSA August 20–23, 2014 560 ± 4.2% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 5% 6%
Public Policy Polling August 14–17, 2014 903 ± 3.3% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% 9% 15%
Rasmussen Reports August 6–7, 2014 750 ± 4% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% 3% 5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 1,274 ± 6.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% 40% 3% 5%
SurveyUSA July 17–22, 2014 1,208 ± 2.9% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 5% 7%
SurveyUSA June 19–23, 2014 1,068 ± 3.1% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 5% 7%
Rasmussen Reports April 16–17, 2014 750 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 40% 6% 7%
Public Policy Polling April 1–2, 2014 886 ± 3.1% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 14%
Public Policy Polling February 18–20, 2014 693 ± 3.7% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 18%
Wilson Perkins Allen January 29, 2014 ? ± ? Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% 31% 27%
SurveyUSA October 23–24, 2013 511 ± 4.4% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% 12% 6%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Carl
Brewer (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 40% 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Tom
Holland (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 38% 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Mark
Parkinson (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 39% 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Joe
Reardon (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 36% 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Kathleen
Sebelius (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 43% 9%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Chad
Taylor (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 34% 22%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Campaign websites

Шаблон:2014 United States elections