Английская Википедия:2014 Maryland gubernatorial election

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Maryland sidebar The 2014 Maryland gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Maryland. Incumbent Democratic governor Martin O'Malley was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third consecutive term.

Gubernatorial candidates pick their running mates, with the two then running together on the same ticket. Primary elections were held on June 24, 2014. The Democrats nominated incumbent lieutenant governor Anthony Brown and Howard County Executive Kenneth Ulman, while the Republicans nominated former State Secretary of Appointments Larry Hogan and former State Secretary of General Services and former Assistant U.S. Secretary of Agriculture for Administration Boyd Rutherford.

Brown predicted that winning the general election would be just "a little bit of a molehill",^[1] but he lost to Hogan by a margin of 65,510 votes in the Democratic-leaning state.^[2] The Washington Post called the result "a stunning upset" and Republican Governors Association Chairman Chris Christie called it "the biggest upset in the entire country."^[3]

Background

Maryland is considered one of the most Democratic states in the country, and Bob Ehrlich, elected in 2002, had been the only Republican elected Governor of Maryland since Spiro Agnew in 1966. Ehrlich was defeated for reelection in 2006 by Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley and lost a rematch with O'Malley by a wider margin in 2010.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Anthony Brown, Lieutenant Governor of Maryland^[4]

Running mate: Kenneth Ulman, Howard County Executive^[5]

Doug Gansler, Attorney General of Maryland^[6]

Running mate: Jolene Ivey, State Delegate^[7]

Ralph Jaffe, teacher and perennial candidate^[8]

Running mate: Freda Jaffe, sister of Ralph Jaffe^[8]

Heather Mizeur, State Delegate^[9]

Running mate: Delman Coates, Senior Pastor of the Mt. Ennon Baptist Church^[10]

Charles U. Smith, perennial candidate^[11]

Running mate: Clarence Tucker^[11]

Cindy Walsh, blogger^[12]

Running mate: Mary Elizabeth Wingate-Pennacchia

Declined

John Delaney, U.S. Representative (ran for re-election)^[13]^[14]^[15]
Peter Franchot, Comptroller of Maryland (ran for re-election)^[16]
Dutch Ruppersberger, U.S. Representative (ran for re-election)^[17]
Kenneth Ulman, Howard County Executive (ran for Lieutenant Governor on Anthony Brown's ticket)^[5]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Anthony Brown	Peter Franchot	Doug Gansler	Heather Mizeur	Kenneth Ulman	Other	Undecided
Washington Post	June 5–8, 2014	487	± 5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	—	23%	16%	—	—	16%
Baltimore Sun	May 31 – June 3, 2014	499	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 41%	—	20%	15%	—	—	15%
WPA Opinion Research**	May 6–7, 2014	?	± ?	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 34%	—	20%	7%	—	3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 40%
St. Mary's College	April 10–13, 2014	502	± ?	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 27.1%	—	10.8%	7.7%	—	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 54.3%
Washington Post	February 13–16, 2014	469	± 5.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 34%	—	15%	8%	—	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 43%
Baltimore Sun	February 8–12, 2014	500	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 35%	—	14%	10%	—	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 40%
Gonzales Research	October 1–14, 2013	403	± 5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 40.7%	—	21.1%	5.2%	—	—	33%
GarinHartYang*	September 11–15, 2013	608	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 43%	—	21%	5%	—	—	31%
GarinHartYang*	September 11–15, 2013	608	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	—	24%	—	—	—	30%
WPA Opinion Research**	September 10–11, 2013	?	± ?	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 40%	—	22%	7%	—	—	38%
NormingtonPets^	December 3–5, 2012	?	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 22%	13%	8%	—	4%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 53%
GarinHartYang*	September 12–13, 2012	504	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 31%	14%	18%	—	4%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 33%
				Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 37%	—	23%	—	5%	—	35%
				Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 41%	—	25%	—	—	—	34%

** Internal poll for the Larry Hogan campaign
* Internal poll for the Anthony Brown campaign
^ Internal poll for the Peter Franchot campaign

Results

Файл:Maryland Governor Democratic primary, 2014.svg

Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

David R. Craig, Harford County Executive^[18]

Running mate: Jeannie Haddaway, State Delegate^[19]

Ron George, State Delegate^[20]

Running mate: Shelley Aloi, banking analyst and former Frederick Alderman^[21]

Larry Hogan, former State Secretary of Appointments^[22]

Running mate: Boyd Rutherford, former State Secretary of General Services and former Assistant U.S. Secretary of Agriculture for Administration^[23]

Charles Lollar, former chairman of the Charles County Republican Central Committee and nominee for Maryland's 5th congressional district in 2010^[24]

Running mate: Kenneth R. Timmerman, investigative reporter, conservative activist and nominee for Maryland's 8th congressional district in 2012^[25]

Disqualified

Brian Vaeth, businessman, retired firefighter and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012^[26]

Running mate: Duane "Shorty" Davis, activist^[27]

Withdrew

Blaine Young, president of the Frederick County Board of Commissioners^[28]

Declined

Dan Bongino, former United States Secret Service agent and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012 (ran for Congress)^[29]
Nancy Jacobs, state senator^[30]^[31]
John R. Leopold, former Anne Arundel County Executive^[30]^[32]
Marty Madden, former state senator^[30]
Meyer Marks, political activist^[29]^[33]
E. J. Pipkin, Minority Leader of the Maryland Senate and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2004^[34]
Michael Steele, former lieutenant governor, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2006 and former chairman of the Republican National Committee^[35]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	David Craig	Ron George	Larry Hogan	Charles Lollar	Other	Undecided
Washington Post	June 5–8, 2014	228	± 7.5%	19%	5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 35%	13%	3%	29%
Baltimore Sun	May 31 – June 3, 2014	501	± 4.4%	12%	6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 27%	12%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 37%
St. Mary's College	April 10–13, 2014	270	± ?	7.8%	3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 16%	3.8%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 68.6%
Washington Post	February 13–16, 2014	290	± 7%	13%	4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 17%	10%	1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 57%
Baltimore Sun	February 8–12, 2014	499	± 4.4%	7%	6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 13%	5%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 69%

Results

Файл:Maryland Governor Republican primary, 2014.svg

Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Candidates

Larry Hogan (Republican Party), former State Secretary of Appointments

Running mate: Boyd Rutherford, former State Secretary of General Services and former Assistant U.S. Secretary of Agriculture for Administration

Anthony Brown (Democratic Party), Lieutenant Governor of Maryland

Running mate: Kenneth Ulman, Howard County Executive

Shawn Quinn (Libertarian Party), candidate for the House of Delegates in 2010^[12]

Running mate: Lorenzo Gaztanaga, perennial candidate

Campaign

Hogan heavily criticized Brown for his handling of Maryland's health care exchange as a part of the Affordable Care Act, labeling him as "the most incompetent man in Maryland."^[36] The Maryland Health Benefit Exchange enrolled fewer than 4,000 people.^[37]

Hogan avoided social issues by promising not to touch the state's abortion or gun control laws.^[38] Campaign ads were a significant part of the first debate, culminating in Hogan's call for Brown to "apologize to the women of Maryland for trying to scare them."

Brown pledged no new taxes, no increased taxes, and a look at state spending if elected. Hogan responded by citing O'Malley/Brown's same claim in the 2010 election and how that claim was followed by "40 consecutive tax hikes."^[39] Brown said there have been times he has disagreed with O'Malley, like on mortgage reduction.^[40] "Brown did not stay to take questions from reporters" and both candidates accused the other of not telling the truth.^[41]

Debates

Complete video of debate, October 7, 2014 – C-SPAN
Complete video of debate, October 18, 2014 – YouTube

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[42]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[43]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report^[44]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics^[45]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Anthony Brown (D)	Larry Hogan (R)	Other	Undecided
WPA Opinion Research*	October 20–24, 2014	500	± 3.5%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 44%	—	17%
Gonzales Research	October 20–24, 2014	822	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	44%	2%^[46]	18%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	1,086	± 5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 51%	38%	0%	11%
WPA Opinion Research*	October 19–20, 2014	500	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 42%	41%	—	15%
Gravis Marketing	October 6–9, 2014	784	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	43%	—	11%
Baltimore Sun	October 4–8, 2014	800	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	42%	—	9%
Washington Post	October 2–5, 2014	549 LV	± 5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	38%	4%^[46]	11%
Washington Post	October 2–5, 2014	807 RV	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	31%	6%^[46]	19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20 – October 1, 2014	1,096	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 55%	38%	1%	7%
Gonzales Research	September 16–23, 2014	805	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	43%	1%^[46]	9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	August 18 – September 2, 2014	1,082	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 51%	37%	3%	10%
OnMessage, Inc.*	August 18–19, 2014	500	± 4.38	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	42%	4%^[46]	9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	July 5–24, 2014	1,409	± ?	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 52%	39%	2%	6%
Rasmussen Reports	July 9–10, 2014	750	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 48%	35%	7%	10%
Washington Post	June 5–8, 2014	962	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 51%	33%	—	16%
WPA Opinion Research*	May 6–7, 2014	400	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 42%	35%	—	23%
WPA Opinion Research*	September 10–11, 2013	?	± ?	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	32%	—	22%

* Internal poll for the Larry Hogan campaign

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

By county

Source:^[47]

County	Brown	Votes	Hogan	Votes	Others	Votes	Totals
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Allegany	22.60%	4,629	75.25%	15,410	2.14%	439	20,478
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Anne Arundel	32.16%	58,001	66.10%	119,195	1.74%	3,142	180,338
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Baltimore	38.89%	102,734	59.03%	155,936	2.07%	5,473	264,143
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| Baltimore City	75.50%	106,213	21.92%	30,845	2.58%	3,628	140,686
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Calvert	29.11%	9,579	69.11%	22,739	1.78%	586	32,904
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Caroline	20.97%	1,931	77.58%	7,144	1.44%	133	9,208
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Carroll	16.07%	10,349	82.20%	52,951	1.74%	1,119	64,419
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Cecil	20.43%	5,467	77.33%	20,699	2.24%	600	26,766
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| Charles	51.83%	24,601	46.91%	22,268	1.26%	600	47,469
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Dorchester	30.51%	3,252	68.26%	7,276	1.24%	132	10,660
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Frederick	34.57%	27,682	63.34%	50,715	2.09%	1,675	80,072
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Garrett	17.80%	1,634	79.71%	7,319	2.49%	229	9,182
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Harford	21.66%	19,814	76.52%	69,986	1.82%	1,660	91,460
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Howard	46.68%	49,227	51.54%	54,353	1.78%	1,873	105,453
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Kent	33.56%	2,603	64.58%	5,009	1.86%	144	7,756
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| Montgomery	61.81%	163,694	36.75%	97,312	1.44%	3,813	264,819
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| Prince George's	84.23%	184,950	14.86%	32,619	0.91%	2,003	219,572
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Queen Anne's	19.34%	3,757	79.46%	15,436	1.20%	233	19,426
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| St. Mary's	25.20%	8,203	72.72%	23,675	2.09%	679	32,557
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Somerset	31.86%	2,135	66.38%	4,448	1.16%	78	6,701
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Talbot	29.03%	4,420	69.72%	10,616	1.25%	190	15,226
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Washington	24.89%	9,661	73.33%	28,469	1.78%	691	38,821
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Wicomico	34.07%	8,833	64.30%	16,669	1.63%	422	25,924
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Worcester	28.85%	5,521	69.35%	13,271	1.80%	345	19,137

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Baltimore County (largest municipality: Dundalk)
Howard (largest municipality: Columbia)

By congressional district

Hogan won 5 of the state's 8 congressional districts, including 4 that elected Democrats.^[48]Шаблон:Verify source

District	Hogan	Brown	Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	77.96%	20.41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Andy Harris
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	56.59%	41.27%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Dutch Ruppersberger
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	54.99%	42.93%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|John Sarbanes
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Шаблон:Ushr	33.72%	65.16%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Donna Edwards
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Шаблон:Ushr	47.23%	51.31%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Steny Hoyer
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	58.27%	39.85%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|John Delaney
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Шаблон:Ushr	38.30%	59.58%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Elijah Cummings
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	49.71%	48.70%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Chris Van Hollen

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Maryland gubernatorial election, 2014 at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites (archived)

Шаблон:Elections in Maryland footer Шаблон:2014 United States elections

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Английская Википедия:2014 Maryland gubernatorial election

Содержание

Background

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Disqualified

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Results

General election

Candidates

Campaign

Debates

Predictions

Polling

Results

By county

By congressional district

See also

References

External links

Навигация

Действия на странице

Действия на странице

Персональные инструменты

Навигация

Поиск

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