Английская Википедия:2014 Ontario general election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election The 2014 Ontario general election was held on June 12, 2014, to elect the members of the 41st Parliament of Ontario. The Liberal Party won a majority of seats in the legislature, allowing its leader, Kathleen Wynne, to continue as premier, moving from a minority to majority government. This was the Liberals' fourth consecutive win since 2003 and an improvement from their performance in the 2011 election.[1] The Progressive Conservatives under Tim Hudak were returned to the official opposition; following the election loss, Hudak announced his resignation as Progressive Conservative leader.[2] The New Democratic Party under Andrea Horwath remained in third place, albeit with an improved share of the popular vote.
The election was called on May 2, 2014, by Lieutenant Governor David Onley,[3] upon the recommendation of Wynne following the announcement that the NDP, whose support was critical to the survival of the Liberals' minority government in the Legislative Assembly, would vote against the Liberals' proposed budget.[4]
With the election, Wynne became the first woman and the first openly gay person to lead a party to a majority victory in an Ontario general election.[5][6]
Timeline (2011–2014)
Seat changes
Шаблон:Canadian party colourШаблон:Canadian party colourШаблон:Canadian party colourШаблон:Canadian party colourParty | 2011 | Gain/(loss) due to | 2014 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Resignation | Byelection hold | Byelection gain | ||||
53 | (8) | 3 | 48 | |||
37 | (2) | 1 | 1 | 37 | ||
17 | 4 | 21 | ||||
– | 1 | 1 | ||||
Total | 107 | (9) | 4 | 5 | 107 |
Other developments
Date | Event |
---|---|
October 6, 2011 | Election held for members of the Ontario Legislature in the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario. |
November 22, 2011 | The 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario opens with a Speech from the throne.[16] |
March 28, 2012 | Dwight Duncan presents the Government's first minority budget, requiring support from at least one of the other two parties to ensure passage and avoid an early election. |
April 10, 2012 | NDP Leader Andrea Horwath makes several demands to be met in exchange for her party to support the Liberal budget, which support is necessary for the approval of the budget following Tim Hudak's outright rejection of it.[17] |
June 15, 2012 | Premier Dalton McGuinty states he will drop the writ if his budget is not passed.[18] |
June 20, 2012 | The budget bill is passed, after the NDP agrees to abstain, avoiding a summer election.[19] |
October 15, 2012 | Dalton McGuinty announces his resignation as Premier of Ontario and as Leader of the Ontario Liberal Party.[20] |
January 26, 2013 | Kathleen Wynne is elected Leader of the Ontario Liberal Party.[21] |
February 11, 2013 | Wynne is sworn in as Premier, and a new cabinet is sworn in.[22] |
February 20, 2013 | Wynne resumes the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario with a Speech of the Throne. |
May 1, 2014 | Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak announces that his caucus will be voting against the Liberals' budget, proposed earlier that day. |
May 2, 2014 | NDP leader Andrea Horwath announces that the NDP will be voting against the Liberals' proposed budget, triggering a spring election.[4] Following this, Premier Wynne formally asks Lieutenant Governor David Onley to dissolve the legislature and call an election for June 12, 2014.[23] |
June 12, 2014 | The Liberal Party wins a majority, claiming 58 ridings in the Ontario election.[24] Tim Hudak announced that he is stepping down from his leadership of the PC party.[25] |
June 14, 2014 | A judicial recount has been requested in the riding of Thornhill.[26] |
June 24, 2014 | A judge confirms results in Thornhill are in favour of the Progressive Conservatives.[27] |
Incumbents not running for reelection
Electoral district | Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent nominee | New MPP | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Durham | Шаблон:Canadian party colour| | John O'Toole[28] | Mike Patrick | Шаблон:Canadian party colour| | Granville Anderson |
Etobicoke Centre | Шаблон:Canadian party colour| | Donna Cansfield[29] | Yvan Baker | Шаблон:Canadian party colour| | Yvan Baker |
Kingston and the Islands | Шаблон:Canadian party colour| | John Gerretsen[30] | Sophie Kiwala | Шаблон:Canadian party colour| | Sophie Kiwala |
Kitchener Centre | Шаблон:Canadian party colour| | John Milloy[31] | Daiene Vernile | Шаблон:Canadian party colour| | Daiene Vernile |
Newmarket—Aurora | Шаблон:Canadian party colour| | Frank Klees[32][33] | Jane Twinney | Шаблон:Canadian party colour| | Chris Ballard |
Ottawa—Orléans | Шаблон:Canadian party colour| | Phil McNeely[34] | Marie-France Lalonde | Шаблон:Canadian party colour| | Marie-France Lalonde |
Sudbury | Шаблон:Canadian party colour| | Rick Bartolucci[35] | Andrew Olivier | Шаблон:Canadian party colour| | Joe Cimino |
Results
↓ | |||||||||
style="background:Шаблон:Canadian party colour; width:54.20%;" | 58 | style="background:Шаблон:Canadian party colour; width:26.17%;" | 28 | style="background:Шаблон:Canadian party colour; width:19.63%;" | 21 | |||||||
Liberal | PC | NDP |
Шаблон:Election table |- ! rowspan="2" colspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Party ! rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Party leader ! rowspan="2"|Candidates ! colspan="4"|Seats ! colspan="3"|Popular vote[36][37] |- bgcolor=CCCCCC !2011 !Dissol. !2014 !Change !# !% !Change Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"|Kathleen Wynne |107 |53 |48 |58 |5Шаблон:Increase |1,863,974 |38.67% |1.02%Шаблон:Increase Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"|Tim Hudak |107 |37 |37 |28 |9Шаблон:Decrease |1,505,436 |31.23% |4.22%Шаблон:Decrease Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"|Andrea Horwath |107 |17 |21 |21 |4Шаблон:Increase |1,144,822 |23.75% |1.01%Шаблон:Increase Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"|Mike Schreiner |107 |– |– |– |– |235,911 |4.89% |1.97%Шаблон:Increase Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"|Allen Small |74 |– |– |– |– |37,696 |0.78% |0.33%Шаблон:Increase Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"|Paul McKeever |42 |– |– |– |– |12,381 |0.26% |0.05%Шаблон:Increase Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"|Eric Ames (interim) |6 |– |– |– |– |4,288 |0.09% |0.13%Шаблон:Decrease Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"|Greg Vezina |8 |– |– |– |– |4,247 |0.09% |– Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"| |14 |– |– |– |– |3,854 |0.08% |– Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"|Elizabeth Rowley |11 |– |– |– |– |2,290 |0.05% |0.02%Шаблон:Increase Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"|Bahman Yazdanfar |4 |– |– |– |– |1,293 |0.03% |0.03%Шаблон:Increase Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"|Paul Figueiras |5 |– |– |– |– |907 |0.02% |0.01%Шаблон:Increase Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"|Kevin Clarke |5 |– |– |– |– |894 |0.02% |0.01%Шаблон:Increase Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"|Edward Deibel |3 |– |– |– |– |892 |0.02% |– Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"|Danish Ahmed |3 |– |– |– |– |709 |0.01% |0.01%Шаблон:Decrease Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"|vacant |2 |– |– |– |– |551 |0.01% |– Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"|Bob Yaciuk |2 |– |– |– |– |397 |0.01% |– Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"|Dennis Valenta |2 |– |– |– |– |366 |0.01% |– Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"|Michael Laxer |2 |– |– |– |– |361 |0.01% |– Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"|Yuri Duboisky |2 |– |– |– |– |335 |0.01% |– Шаблон:Canadian party colour |style="text-align:left;"| John Turmel |3 |– |– |– |– |194 |– |– Шаблон:Canadian party colour | style="text-align:left;" colspan="7"|Declined Vote[38] |align="right"|31,399 |align="right"|0.64% |align="right"|+0.59% Шаблон:Canadian party colour | style="text-align:left;" colspan="4"|Vacant |1 |- | style="text-align:left;" colspan="3"|Total | style="text-align:right;"|616 | style="text-align:right;"|107 | style="text-align:right;"|107 | style="text-align:right;"|107 | | style="text-align:right;"|4,820,547 | | |}
Шаблон:Canadian party colourШаблон:Canadian party colourШаблон:Canadian party colourШаблон:Canadian party colourШаблон:Canadian party colourParty | Votes | Seats | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1,863,974 | Шаблон:Percentage bar | Шаблон:Increase 1.02% | Шаблон:Composition bar | ||
1,505,436 | Шаблон:Percentage bar | Шаблон:Decrease 4.22% | Шаблон:Composition bar | ||
1,144,822 | Шаблон:Percentage bar | Шаблон:Increase 1.01% | Шаблон:Composition bar | ||
235,911 | Шаблон:Percentage bar | Шаблон:Increase 1.97% | Шаблон:Composition bar | ||
37,696 | Шаблон:Percentage bar | Шаблон:Increase 0.33% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
Synopsis of results
Riding | 2011 | Winning party | Turnout [a 8] |
Votes[a 9] | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Votes | Share | Margin # |
Margin % |
Lib | PC | NDP | Green | Шаблон:Abbr | Other | Total | |||||||
Ajax—Pickering | Lib | Lib | 26,257 | 51.06% | 11,258 | 21.89% | 50.18% | 26,257 | 14,999 | 8,274 | 1,589 | – | 301 | 51,420 | ||||
Algoma—Manitoulin | NDP | NDP | 14,171 | 53.41% | 7,667 | 28.90% | 49.38% | 6,504 | 4,589 | 14,171 | 828 | – | 441 | 26,533 | ||||
Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale | Lib | Lib | 24,042 | 44.56% | 5,790 | 10.73% | 59.02% | 24,042 | 18,252 | 8,415 | 2,639 | – | 611 | 53,959 | ||||
Barrie | PC | Lib | 19,916 | 40.69% | 2,249 | 4.60% | 49.18% | 19,916 | 17,667 | 7,975 | 3,018 | – | 366 | 48,942 | ||||
Beaches—East York | NDP | Lib | 17,218 | 40.09% | 481 | 1.12% | 56.14% | 17,218 | 5,982 | 16,737 | 2,329 | – | 682 | 42,948 | ||||
Bramalea—Gore—Malton | NDP | NDP | 23,519 | 44.32% | 5,646 | 10.64% | 45.03% | 17,873 | 9,403 | 23,519 | 2,277 | – | – | 53,072 | ||||
Brampton—Springdale | Lib | Lib | 16,927 | 40.06% | 3,414 | 8.08% | 45.34% | 16,927 | 10,117 | 13,513 | 1,311 | – | 382 | 42,250 | ||||
Brampton West | Lib | Lib | 24,832 | 45.23% | 11,469 | 20.89% | 42.50% | 24,832 | 13,363 | 12,985 | 1,504 | – | 2,418 | 54,902 | ||||
Brant | Lib | Lib | 19,396 | 37.63% | 3,949 | 7.66% | 52.51% | 19,396 | 15,447 | 13,992 | 2,095 | – | 614 | 51,544 | ||||
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound | PC | PC | 20,359 | 47.55% | 8,773 | 20.49% | 53.93% | 11,586 | 20,359 | 6,787 | 3,696 | – | 388 | 42,816 | ||||
Burlington | PC | Lib | 23,573 | 43.41% | 3,487 | 6.42% | 57.73% | 23,573 | 20,086 | 7,792 | 2,250 | – | 608 | 54,309 | ||||
Cambridge | PC | Lib | 18,763 | 38.93% | 3,069 | 6.37% | 48.95% | 18,763 | 15,694 | 10,413 | 2,726 | – | 605 | 48,201 | ||||
Carleton—Mississippi Mills | PC | PC | 30,590 | 47.49% | 10,118 | 15.71% | 56.08% | 20,472 | 30,590 | 8,744 | 4,614 | – | – | 64,420 | ||||
Chatham-Kent—Essex | PC | PC | 14,183 | 37.83% | 2,519 | 6.72% | 51.33% | 9,158 | 14,183 | 11,664 | 1,971 | – | 514 | 37,490 | ||||
Davenport | NDP | Lib | 16,272 | 45.61% | 1,950 | 5.47% | 49.56% | 16,272 | 2,665 | 14,322 | 1,784 | – | 631 | 35,674 | ||||
Don Valley East | Lib | Lib | 19,248 | 55.71% | 9,991 | 28.92% | 47.85% | 19,248 | 9,257 | 4,500 | 1,256 | – | 287 | 34,548 | ||||
Don Valley West | Lib | Lib | 26,215 | 57.01% | 12,133 | 26.39% | 53.90% | 26,215 | 14,082 | 3,569 | 1,286 | 138 | 690 | 45,980 | ||||
Dufferin—Caledon | PC | PC | 18,017 | 39.86% | 4,156 | 9.19% | 51.48% | 13,861 | 18,017 | 5,269 | 7,518 | – | 538 | 45,203 | ||||
Durham | PC | Lib | 19,816 | 36.45% | 1,176 | 2.16% | 55.71% | 19,816 | 18,640 | 13,094 | 2,382 | – | 434 | 54,366 | ||||
Eglinton—Lawrence | Lib | Lib | 22,855 | 54.80% | 8.776 | 21.04% | 53.99% | 22,855 | 14,079 | 3,060 | 1,305 | 143 | 264 | 41,706 | ||||
Elgin—Middlesex—London | PC | PC | 20,946 | 46.36% | 8,912 | 19.72% | 53.98% | 9,183 | 20,946 | 12,034 | 2,236 | – | 784 | 45,183 | ||||
Essex | NDP | NDP | 28,118 | 60.34% | 17,949 | 38.52% | 50.20% | 6,628 | 10,169 | 28,118 | 1,685 | – | – | 46,600 | ||||
Etobicoke Centre | Lib | Lib | 23,848 | 50.28% | 8,328 | 17.56% | 56.47% | 23,848 | 15,520 | 5,758 | 1,254 | – | 1,052 | 47,432 | ||||
Etobicoke—Lakeshore | Lib | Lib | 24,311 | 47.49% | 6,724 | 13.13% | 53.73% | 24,311 | 17,587 | 6,362 | 2,064 | – | 869 | 51,193 | ||||
Etobicoke North | Lib | Lib | 12,168 | 44.90% | 5,065 | 18.69% | 42.71% | 12,168 | 6,163 | 7,103 | 677 | – | 987 | 27,098 | ||||
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell | Lib | Lib | 23,565 | 49.74% | 8,136 | 17.17% | 53.36% | 23,565 | 15,429 | 5,902 | 1,528 | 296 | 655 | 47,375 | ||||
Guelph | Lib | Lib | 22,014 | 41.52% | 10,966 | 20.68% | 55.47% | 22,014 | 11,048 | 9,385 | 10,230 | – | 348 | 53,025 | ||||
Haldimand—Norfolk | PC | PC | 22,066 | 52.22% | 12,280 | 29.06% | 53.97% | 8,331 | 22,066 | 9,786 | 2,071 | – | – | 42,254 | ||||
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock | PC | PC | 21,641 | 40.96% | 3,129 | 5.92% | 55.98% | 18,512 | 21,641 | 10,431 | 2,255 | – | – | 52,839 | ||||
Halton | PC | Lib | 33,724 | 44.79% | 5,787 | 7.69% | 50.90% | 33,724 | 27,937 | 9,758 | 2,618 | – | 1,262 | 75,299 | ||||
Hamilton Centre | NDP | NDP | 18,697 | 52.01% | 10,247 | 28.50% | 44.76% | 8,450 | 5,173 | 18,697 | 3,067 | – | 563 | 35,950 | ||||
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek | NDP | NDP | 19,958 | 46.81% | 7,525 | 17.65% | 48.84% | 12,433 | 7,574 | 19,958 | 1,742 | – | 930 | 42,637 | ||||
Hamilton Mountain | NDP | NDP | 23,006 | 46.90% | 8,498 | 17.32% | 52.85% | 14,508 | 8,795 | 23,006 | 2,047 | – | 699 | 49,055 | ||||
Huron—Bruce | PC | PC | 18,512 | 39.01% | 3,865 | 8.14% | 59.96% | 14,647 | 18,512 | 10,843 | 1,651 | – | 1,804 | 47,457 | ||||
Kenora—Rainy River | NDP | NDP | 12,889 | 55.66% | 6,984 | 30.16% | 46.72% | 3,652 | 5,905 | 12,889 | 711 | – | – | 23,157 | ||||
Kingston and the Islands | Lib | Lib | 20,838 | 41.59% | 6,027 | 12.03% | 52.14% | 20,838 | 10,652 | 14,811 | 3,566 | – | 242 | 50,109 | ||||
Kitchener Centre | Lib | Lib | 18,472 | 43.14% | 6,922 | 16.17% | 52.28% | 18,472 | 11,550 | 9,765 | 2,472 | – | 557 | 42,816 | ||||
Kitchener—Conestoga | PC | PC | 17,083 | 36.36% | 1,419 | 3.02% | 50.33% | 15,664 | 17,083 | 9,958 | 3,277 | – | 1,001 | 46,983 | ||||
Kitchener—Waterloo | PC | NDP | 20,536 | 37.43% | 4,002 | 7.29% | 54.95% | 16,534 | 14,450 | 20,536 | 2,859 | – | 481 | 54,860 | ||||
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex | PC | PC | 20,710 | 45.17% | 8,550 | 18.65% | 56.93% | 9,298 | 20,710 | 12,160 | 2,104 | – | 1,575 | 45,847 | ||||
Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington | PC | PC | 21,966 | 43.52% | 6,929 | 13.73% | 53.95% | 15,037 | 21,966 | 10,184 | 3,283 | – | – | 50,470 | ||||
Leeds—Grenville | PC | PC | 23,253 | 56.07% | 14,754 | 35.58% | 52.86% | 8,499 | 23,253 | 7,219 | 2,030 | – | 471 | 41,472 | ||||
London—Fanshawe | NDP | NDP | 17,903 | 50.42% | 9,707 | 27.34% | 46.42% | 7,066 | 8,196 | 17,903 | 1,378 | 112 | 853 | 35,508 | ||||
London North Centre | Lib | Lib | 16,379 | 35.98% | 2,526 | 5.55% | 50.21% | 16,379 | 12,016 | 13,853 | 2,445 | – | 824 | 45,517 | ||||
London West | Lib | NDP | 22,243 | 40.36% | 5,948 | 10.79% | 56.03% | 13,070 | 16,295 | 22,243 | 2,310 | – | 1,188 | 55,106 | ||||
Markham—Unionville | Lib | Lib | 21,517 | 51.33% | 7,276 | 17.36% | 44.54% | 21,517 | 14,241 | 4,205 | 1,509 | – | 444 | 41,916 | ||||
Mississauga—Brampton South | Lib | Lib | 19,923 | 48.21% | 8,672 | 20.99% | 41.48% | 19,923 | 11,251 | 6,906 | 1,302 | 351 | 1,590 | 41,323 | ||||
Mississauga East—Cooksville | Lib | Lib | 20,934 | 52.33% | 10,455 | 26.14% | 43.89% | 20,934 | 10,479 | 6,158 | 1,408 | – | 1,022 | 40,001 | ||||
Mississauga—Erindale | Lib | Lib | 25,356 | 48.98% | 9,882 | 19.09% | 46.90% | 25,356 | 15,474 | 7,730 | 1,216 | – | 1,988 | 51,764 | ||||
Mississauga South | Lib | Lib | 22,192 | 50.76% | 7,678 | 17.56% | 53.55% | 22,192 | 14,514 | 4,649 | 1,418 | – | 946 | 43,719 | ||||
Mississauga—Streetsville | Lib | Lib | 22,587 | 52.57% | 10,527 | 24.50% | 46.76% | 22,587 | 12,060 | 5,885 | 1,566 | – | 866 | 42,964 | ||||
Nepean—Carleton | PC | PC | 30,901 | 46.77% | 8,927 | 13.51% | 55.39% | 21,974 | 30,901 | 8,628 | 3,630 | – | 940 | 66,073 | ||||
Newmarket—Aurora | PC | Lib | 22,997 | 43.94% | 3,412 | 6.52% | 53.40% | 22,997 | 19,585 | 6,023 | 2,144 | – | 1,584 | 52,333 | ||||
Niagara Falls | Lib | NDP | 24,131 | 47.39% | 7,429 | 14.59% | 51.21% | 7,329 | 16,702 | 24,131 | 1,724 | – | 1,037 | 50,923 | ||||
Niagara West—Glanbrook | PC | PC | 23,378 | 41.82% | 7,535 | 13.48% | 58.59% | 15,843 | 23,378 | 12,423 | 3,004 | – | 1,254 | 55,902 | ||||
Nickel Belt | NDP | NDP | 20,104 | 62.62% | 13,073 | 40.72% | 50.00% | 7,031 | 3,827 | 20,104 | 1,145 | – | – | 32,107 | ||||
Nipissing | PC | PC | 13,085 | 41.81% | 4,703 | 15.03% | 52.49% | 8,382 | 13,085 | 8,057 | 1,188 | 208 | 377 | 31,297 | ||||
Northumberland—Quinte West | PC | Lib | 23,419 | 42.97% | 3,836 | 7.04% | 55.81% | 23,419 | 19,583 | 9,211 | 2,283 | – | – | 54,496 | ||||
Oak Ridges—Markham | Lib | Lib | 36,782 | 45.55% | 6,526 | 8.08% | 46.21% | 36,782 | 30,256 | 9,355 | 2,791 | – | 1,571 | 80,755 | ||||
Oakville | Lib | Lib | 24,717 | 49.40% | 5,796 | 11.58% | 56.13% | 24,717 | 18,921 | 3,994 | 1,887 | – | 518 | 50,037 | ||||
Oshawa | PC | NDP | 22,232 | 46.70% | 7,692 | 16.16% | 50.19% | 9,051 | 14,540 | 22,232 | 1,785 | – | – | 47,608 | ||||
Ottawa Centre | Lib | Lib | 27,689 | 52.02% | 16,795 | 31.55% | 56.85% | 27,689 | 9,678 | 10,894 | 4,163 | – | 808 | 53,232 | ||||
Ottawa—Orléans | Lib | Lib | 29,911 | 53.50% | 11,386 | 20.37% | 59.33% | 29,911 | 18,525 | 5,022 | 2,036 | – | 411 | 55,905 | ||||
Ottawa South | Lib | Lib | 23,708 | 49.96% | 8,473 | 17.86% | 53.71% | 23,708 | 15,235 | 5,817 | 2,034 | – | 656 | 47,450 | ||||
Ottawa—Vanier | Lib | Lib | 21,810 | 55.55% | 13,060 | 33.26% | 48.86% | 21,810 | 8,750 | 5,228 | 3,144 | – | 329 | 39,261 | ||||
Ottawa West—Nepean | Lib | Lib | 21,035 | 44.84% | 5,140 | 10.96% | 55.95% | 21,035 | 15,895 | 6,760 | 2,899 | – | 318 | 46,907 | ||||
Oxford | PC | PC | 18,958 | 46.24% | 8,385 | 20.45% | 51.92% | 8,736 | 18,958 | 10,573 | 1,985 | – | 749 | 41,001 | ||||
Parkdale—High Park | NDP | NDP | 18,385 | 40.77% | 544 | 1.21% | 56.88% | 17,841 | 5,787 | 18,385 | 2,479 | – | 601 | 45,093 | ||||
Parry Sound—Muskoka | PC | PC | 15,761 | 40.73% | 5,603 | 14.48% | 52.11% | 10,158 | 15,761 | 4,999 | 7,484 | – | 296 | 38,698 | ||||
Perth—Wellington | PC | PC | 15,992 | 38.96% | 2,407 | 5.86% | 55.66% | 13,585 | 15,992 | 7,764 | 2,005 | 343 | 1,359 | 41,048 | ||||
Peterborough | Lib | Lib | 24,709 | 46.33% | 8,802 | 16.50% | 57.30% | 24,709 | 15,907 | 9,728 | 2,287 | 395 | 305 | 53,331 | ||||
Pickering—Scarborough East | Lib | Lib | 23,206 | 51.96% | 10,568 | 23.66% | 54.77% | 23,206 | 12,638 | 6,600 | 1,564 | – | 654 | 44,662 | ||||
Prince Edward—Hastings | PC | PC | 19,281 | 41.72% | 4,176 | 9.04% | 51.61% | 15,105 | 19,281 | 8,829 | 2,448 | – | 555 | 46,218 | ||||
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke | PC | PC | 25,241 | 61.07% | 17,344 | 41.96% | 54.32% | 7,897 | 25,241 | 5,978 | 1,337 | 392 | 489 | 41,334 | ||||
Richmond Hill | Lib | Lib | 20,455 | 47.78% | 4,813 | 11.24% | 45.69% | 20,455 | 15,642 | 4,697 | 1,344 | – | 670 | 42,808 | ||||
St. Catharines | Lib | Lib | 19,070 | 41.00% | 5,256 | 11.30% | 54.80% | 19,070 | 13,814 | 11,350 | 1,792 | – | 488 | 46,514 | ||||
St. Paul's | Lib | Lib | 30,027 | 59.74% | 17,990 | 35.79% | 57.11% | 30,027 | 12,037 | 5,056 | 2,569 | – | 572 | 50,261 | ||||
Sarnia—Lambton | PC | PC | 18,722 | 41.01% | 2,395 | 5.25% | 57.35% | 8,152 | 18,722 | 16,327 | 2,109 | – | 340 | 45,650 | ||||
Sault Ste. Marie | Lib | Lib | 17,490 | 58.53% | 9,880 | 33.06% | 50.77% | 17,490 | 3,704 | 7,610 | 965 | – | 115 | 29,884 | ||||
Scarborough—Agincourt | Lib | Lib | 17,332 | 49.84% | 5,291 | 15.22% | 46.04% | 17,332 | 12,041 | 4,105 | 907 | – | 387 | 34,772 | ||||
Scarborough Centre | Lib | Lib | 19,390 | 55.05% | 11,791 | 33.48% | 48.09% | 19,390 | 7,599 | 7,145 | 1,086 | – | – | 35,220 | ||||
Scarborough—Guildwood | Lib | Lib | 17,318 | 49.89% | 7,597 | 21.89% | 49.24% | 17,318 | 9,721 | 5,894 | 1,034 | – | 744 | 34,711 | ||||
Scarborough—Rouge River | Lib | Lib | 16,095 | 38.71% | 3,076 | 7.40% | 47.48% | 16,095 | 11,500 | 13,019 | 571 | – | 398 | 41,583 | ||||
Scarborough Southwest | Lib | Lib | 18,420 | 50.23% | 9,746 | 26.58% | 49.91% | 18,420 | 7,573 | 8,674 | 1,493 | 185 | 328 | 36,673 | ||||
Simcoe—Grey | PC | PC | 25,988 | 47.12% | 8,789 | 15.94% | 52.00% | 17,199 | 25,988 | 7,793 | 4,172 | – | – | 55,152 | ||||
Simcoe North | PC | PC | 22,179 | 43.96% | 5,766 | 11.43% | 53.33% | 16,413 | 22,179 | 7,846 | 4,013 | – | – | 50,451 | ||||
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry | PC | PC | 20,624 | 51.72% | 11,374 | 28.52% | 52.02% | 9,250 | 20,624 | 8,336 | 1,067 | – | 602 | 39,879 | ||||
Sudbury | Lib | NDP | 14,274 | 42.24% | 978 | 2.89% | 51.92% | 13,296 | 4,663 | 14,274 | 1,212 | 105 | 243 | 33,793 | ||||
Thornhill | PC | PC | 21,886 | 43.99% | 106 | 0.21% | 47.83% | 21,780 | 21,886 | 4,052 | 1,229 | – | 804 | 49,751 | ||||
Thunder Bay—Atikokan | Lib | Lib | 15,176 | 52.98% | 7,124 | 24.87% | 49.02% | 15,176 | 3,779 | 8,052 | 964 | – | 676 | 28,647 | ||||
Thunder Bay—Superior North | Lib | Lib | 15,519 | 55.97% | 7,350 | 26.51% | 50.41% | 15,519 | 1,991 | 8,169 | 997 | – | 1,049 | 27,725 | ||||
Timiskaming—Cochrane | NDP | NDP | 14,661 | 55.48% | 8,527 | 32.27% | 50.68% | 6,134 | 4,527 | 14,661 | 489 | – | 615 | 26,426 | ||||
Timmins—James Bay | NDP | NDP | 11,756 | 51.18% | 6,229 | 27.12% | 45.15% | 5,527 | 5,226 | 11,756 | 403 | – | 60 | 22,972 | ||||
Toronto Centre | Lib | Lib | 29,935 | 58.47% | 20,437 | 39.92% | 50.86% | 29,935 | 9,498 | 8,140 | 2,265 | – | 1,357 | 51,195 | ||||
Toronto—Danforth | NDP | NDP | 19,190 | 44.61% | 3,207 | 7.46% | 55.30% | 15,983 | 4,304 | 19,190 | 2,351 | – | 1,189 | 43,017 | ||||
Trinity—Spadina | NDP | Lib | 26,613 | 46.34% | 9,171 | 15.97% | 49.33% | 26,613 | 8,035 | 17,442 | 4,033 | – | 1,311 | 57,434 | ||||
Vaughan | Lib | Lib | 33,877 | 56.21% | 16,898 | 28.04% | 44.68% | 33,877 | 16,979 | 6,942 | 1,350 | – | 1,121 | 60,269 | ||||
Welland | NDP | NDP | 21,326 | 46.71% | 8,393 | 18.38% | 53.20% | 9,060 | 12,933 | 21,326 | 1,874 | – | 460 | 45,653 | ||||
Wellington—Halton Hills | PC | PC | 22,450 | 46.61% | 8,330 | 17.29% | 55.61% | 14,120 | 22,450 | 6,804 | 3,550 | – | 1,241 | 48,165 | ||||
Whitby—Oshawa | PC | PC | 24,027 | 40.65% | 5,410 | 9.15% | 54.35% | 18,617 | 24,027 | 13,621 | 2,523 | – | 322 | 59,110 | ||||
Willowdale | Lib | Lib | 24,300 | 52.58% | 8,832 | 19.11% | 46.88% | 24,300 | 15,468 | 4,693 | 1,758 | – | – | 46,219 | ||||
Windsor—Tecumseh | Lib | NDP | 22,818 | 62.16% | 17,219 | 46.91% | 42.77% | 5,599 | 2,118 | 22,818 | 5,493 | – | 682 | 36,710 | ||||
Windsor West | Lib | NDP | 15,043 | 41.41% | 1,042 | 2.87% | 42.71% | 14,001 | 5,225 | 15,043 | 1,171 | 891 | – | 36,331 | ||||
York Centre | Lib | Lib | 16,935 | 47.89% | 5,810 | 16.43% | 46.74% | 16,935 | 11,125 | 5,645 | 1,163 | – | 493 | 35,361 | ||||
York—Simcoe | PC | PC | 19,025 | 40.40% | 2,749 | 5.84% | 47.53% | 16,276 | 19,025 | 8,420 | 2,946 | – | 419 | 47,086 | ||||
York South—Weston | Lib | Lib | 15,669 | 47.85% | 3,469 | 10.59% | 46.13% | 15,669 | 3,687 | 12,200 | 797 | 146 | 249 | 32,748 | ||||
York West | Lib | Lib | 11,907 | 46.71% | 1,910 | 7.49% | 42.24% | 11,907 | 2,794 | 9,997 | 418 | 111 | 267 | 25,494 |
- Шаблон:Color box = open seat
- Шаблон:Color box = turnout is above provincial average
- Шаблон:Color box = incumbent re-elected
- Шаблон:Color box = incumbency arose from byelection gain
Maps
-
Support for Liberal Party candidates by riding
-
Support for Conservative Party candidates by riding
-
Support for New Democratic Party candidates by riding
-
Support for Green Party candidates by riding
-
Support for Libertarian Party candidates by riding
Summary analysis
Party | 2011 | Gain from (loss to) | 2014 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Шаблон:Canadian party colour colspan="2" align="center" width="50"|Lib | Шаблон:Canadian party colour align="center" width="50"|PC | Шаблон:Canadian party colour colspan="2" align="center" width="50"|NDP | ||||||
Liberal | 53 | 7 | 3 | (5) | 58 | |||
Conservative | 37 | (7) | (2) | 28 | ||||
New Democratic | 17 | 5 | (3) | 2 | 21 | |||
Total | 107 | 5 | (10) | 9 | 3 | (7) | 107 |
Pairing off the top three parties, swings were calculated to be:
- PC to Liberal: 2.6%
- PC to NDP: 2.6%
- Liberal to NDP: insignificant
Regional analysis
Party | Toronto | 905 Belt | Ham/Niagara | Central | East | Midwest | Southwest | North | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | 20 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 58 | |
Conservative | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 28 | ||
New Democratic | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 21 | |||
Total | 22 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 107 |
Party | Toronto | 905 Belt | Ham/Niagara | Central | East | Midwest | Southwest | North | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | (3) | (1) | 5 | |||
Conservative | (1) | (2) | (4) | (2) | (9) | |||||
New Democratic | (3) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Principal races
Шаблон:Canadian party colourШаблон:Canadian party colourШаблон:Canadian party colourParty in 1st place | Party in 2nd place | Total | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Шаблон:Canadian party colour align="center" |Lib | Шаблон:Canadian party colour align="center" |PC | Шаблон:Canadian party colour align="center" |NDP | |||
– | 43 | 15 | 58 | ||
22 | – | 6 | 28 | ||
14 | 7 | – | 21 | ||
Total | 36 | 50 | 21 | 107 |
Parties | Seats | |
---|---|---|
Шаблон:Canadian party colour | Шаблон:Canadian party colour | 65 |
Шаблон:Canadian party colour | Шаблон:Canadian party colour | 29 |
Шаблон:Canadian party colour | Шаблон:Canadian party colour | 13 |
Total | 107 |
Parties | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Шаблон:Canadian party colour | 58 | 36 | 13 | 107 | ||
Шаблон:Canadian party colour | 28 | 50 | 28 | 1 | 107 | |
Шаблон:Canadian party colour | 21 | 21 | 62 | 3 | 107 | |
Шаблон:Canadian party colour | 4 | 101 | 2 | 107 | ||
Шаблон:Canadian party colour | 1 | 61 | 62 | |||
Шаблон:Canadian party colour | 1 | 1 | ||||
Шаблон:Canadian party colour | 15 | 15 | ||||
Шаблон:Canadian party colour | 4 | 4 | ||||
Шаблон:Canadian party colour | 3 | 3 | ||||
Шаблон:Canadian party colour | 2 | 2 | ||||
Шаблон:Canadian party colour | 2 | 2 | ||||
Шаблон:Canadian party colour | 2 | 2 | ||||
Шаблон:Canadian party colour | 1 | 1 | ||||
Шаблон:Canadian party colour | 1 | 1 |
Significant results among independent and minor party candidates
Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:
Riding | Party | Candidates | Votes | Placed |
---|---|---|---|---|
Huron—Bruce | Шаблон:Canadian party colour | Andrew Zettel | 1,353 | 5th |
Kitchener—Conestoga | Шаблон:Canadian party colour | David Schumm | 1,001 | 5th |
London West | Шаблон:Canadian party colour | Al Gretzky | 1,188 | 5th |
Oak Ridges—Markham | Шаблон:Canadian party colour | Karl Boelling | 1,358 | 5th |
Vaughan | Шаблон:Canadian party colour | Paolo Fabrizio | 1,121 | 5th |
Wellington—Halton Hills | Шаблон:Canadian party colour | Jason Cousineau | 1,043 | 5th |
Seats changing hands
There were 17 seats that changed allegiance from the 2011 election.
Шаблон:Col-beginШаблон:Col-break
- PC to Liberal
- PC to NDP
- NDP to Liberal
- Liberal to NDP
Source | Party | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Шаблон:Canadian party colour align="center" |Lib | Шаблон:Canadian party colour align="center" |PC | Шаблон:Canadian party colour align="center" |NDP | Total | ||||
Seats retained | Incumbents returned | 42 | 28 | 14 | 84 | ||
Open seats held | 5 | 5 | |||||
Byelection loss reversed | 1 | 1 | |||||
Seats changing hands | Incumbents defeated | 8 | 2 | 10 | |||
Open seats gained | 2 | 1 | 3 | ||||
Byelection gains held | 4 | 4 | |||||
Total | 58 | 28 | 21 | 107 |
Marginal seats
The following seats had a margin of victory of less than 5 percentage points in the election:
Opinion polls
Voting intention polls released throughout the election campaign were distinctly inconsistent and contradictory,[40][41][42][43] as shown in the graph and table below. During much of the campaign, different pollsters persistently disagreed, frequently by important margins, on whether the Liberals or Progressive Conservatives held the lead, though by the final days most polls showed the Liberals marginally to comfortably ahead. Still, polls completed on the last day of the campaign by Ipsos Reid and EKOS showed vastly divergent support for the NDP, at 30% and 19%, respectively. Also of note, although four different pollsters released results among "likely voters" alongside their results among all eligible voters in an effort to better predict the outcome of the election based on expected voter turnout, in all cases the former proved to be overall poorer predictors than the latter.[44]
General opinion polls
Шаблон:Note labelInnovative Research states, for Province Wide Online Survey, "Margin of error not applicable, online samples not random."
Шаблон:Note labelData shown above for campaign-period polls are top-line results, typically among all eligible voters. However, certain pollsters additionally report results among "likely voters" in an effort to better predict the actual outcome of the election. When available, these alternative results are shown in the following table:
Likely voters
Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour; width:45px;"| Liberal | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour; width:45px;"| PC | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour; width:45px;"| NDP | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour; width:45px;"| Green | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour; width:45px;"| Libertarian | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour; width:45px;"| Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EKOS | Шаблон:Dts | 42.2 | 35.9 | 16.9 | 2.9 | 2.1 | ||
Abacus Data | Шаблон:Dts | 36 | 36 | 23 | 5 | 1 | ||
Ipsos Reid | Шаблон:Dts | HTML | 30 | 36 | 30 | 4 | ||
EKOS | Шаблон:Dts | 41.1 | 33.2 | 17.1 | 5.6 | 2.9 | ||
Angus Reid | Шаблон:Dts | 34 | 36 | 24 | 5 | 1 | ||
EKOS | Шаблон:Dts | 38.1 | 36.3 | 16.9 | 5.7 | 3.1 | ||
EKOS | Шаблон:Dts | 42.2 | 35.4 | 13.9 | 6.4 | 2.0 | ||
Abacus Data | Шаблон:Dts | 34 | 34 | 26 | 5 | 1 | ||
EKOS | Шаблон:Dts | 40.7 | 35.7 | 16.3 | 5.6 | 1.8 | ||
Ipsos Reid | Шаблон:Dts | HTML | 32 | 40 | 24 | 3 | ||
EKOS | Шаблон:Dts | 39.5 | 35.6 | 16.7 | 6.6 | 2 | ||
EKOS | Шаблон:Dts | 41.4 | 32.0 | 17.8 | 6.2 | 3 | ||
Abacus Data | Шаблон:Dts | 37 | 35 | 22 | 5 | 2 | ||
Ipsos Reid | Шаблон:Dts | HTML | 29 | 41 | 25 | 4 | ||
Abacus Data | Шаблон:Dts | 36 | 33 | 24 | 6 | 1 | ||
Ipsos Reid | Шаблон:Dts | HTML | 30 | 41 | 26 | 3 | ||
Abacus Data | Шаблон:Dts | 33 | 36 | 25 | 5 | 1 | ||
Ipsos Reid | Шаблон:Dts | HTML | 31 | 43 | 22 | 4 | ||
Ipsos Reid | Шаблон:Dts | HTML | 28 | 42 | 27 | 2 |
Pre-campaign period
Issues
Economy
Unemployment in Ontario was a major political issue. In particular, the manufacturing sector had shrunk by about 30% or more than 300,000 jobs since 2002.[45]
The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario proposed a plan called "Million Jobs Plan", outlining their strategy for job creation and economic growth. By reducing tax, government services, energy costs and regulations the PCs projected to create a cumulative 507,488 jobs over eight years.[46] The plan also called for the reduction of 100,000 civil service jobs. Economists and critics noted fundamental mathematical errors with the PCs' projections. They held, even if the PCs' own data were correctly tabulated, only 50,000 extra jobs would be created (in addition to the 500,000 that would be created anyway without any policy change).[47]
The Ontario Liberal Party proposed the 10 year "Jobs and Investment Plan", which proposed infrastructure investments as their main strategy to create jobs.[48]
The Ontario New Democratic Party platform called for targeted tax credits and incentives to encourage job creation.[49]
The Green Party of Ontario policy proposal stated that it would "focus on your job by lowering payroll taxes for small businesses" as well as investing in transit infrastructure and subsidising energy-saving home improvements.[50]
The Ontario Libertarian Party called for mass privatization, lower taxes and general deregulation, eliminating many business requirements such as permitting, insurance and certification that they considered to be interfering with job creation.[51] Their platform called for government spending to be limited to "only core functions of government; defending life, liberty, and property"[52] and as such would have eliminated industry subsidies or incentives of any kind, particularly in the energy sector.[53]
The Communist Party of Ontario called for raising the minimum wage to $19Шаблон:Resize as well as introducing a guaranteed annual income, nationalization of the domestic steel industry, and investments in public housing, infrastructure and social programs, while shifting taxes from lower to higher income-earners and businesses.[54]
Transit
Due to rapid urban and suburban expansion in southern Ontario, traffic congestion had been increasing greatly. A 2013 study by the CD Howe Institute determined that it was costing $7.5-11 billion annually for the economy of Toronto alone.[55][56]
The Liberals promised $29 billion in infrastructure spending, $15 billion of which would go towards building new transit (mostly LRT) lines in the GTHA, based on the outline of Metrolinx's The Big Move plan, as well as an LRT in Ottawa.[57][58] A high-speed rail line crossing the province from the southeast into Quebec was also planned. The PCs promised to finish building the Eglinton Crosstown, but cancel all the other planned lines, and instead focus on quickly expanding GO service.[59] The NDP plan was similar to the Liberal plan, but included an extra $1 billion to get certain projects built faster.[57]
Endorsements
Media endorsements
The following media outlets made endorsements during the campaign:
Liberal
Progressive Conservative
- Burlington Post,[63] The Flamborough Review,[64] Oakville Beaver[65] (Same editorial printed in several papers)
- The Globe and Mail[66] (endorsing a minority government)
- National Post[67]
- Ottawa Citizen[68]
- Toronto Sun,[69] Ottawa Sun[70] (Identical editorial printed in multiple cities)
- Windsor Star[71]
New Democratic Party
- Sudbury Star [72] (endorsing a minority government)
Explicitly not endorsing any party
Public figure endorsements
The media has reported the following endorsements by public figures during the campaign:
- Deputy Mayor of Toronto, and acting mayor, Norm Kelly endorsed Liberal leader Kathleen Wynne.[75]
- Mayor of Mississauga, Hazel McCallion endorsed Liberal leader Kathleen Wynne.[76]
- Mayor of Kitchener, Carl Zehr endorsed Liberal leader Kathleen Wynne.[77]
References
External links
Шаблон:Canelections Шаблон:Ontario elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Statement by Newmarket - Aurora MPP Frank Klees Шаблон:Webarchive, dated: January 21, 2014, retrieved May 28, 2014
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- ↑ Toronto gridlock may cost economy up to $11B, C.D. Howe says Шаблон:Webarchive. CBC. 2013-07-13.
- ↑ Gridlock is costing Toronto up to $11 billion yearly—here's how to fix it Шаблон:Webarchive. Canadian Business. 2013-07-11.
- ↑ 57,0 57,1 Ontario parties' transit plans reveal politics and paralysis Шаблон:Webarchive. CBC. 2014-05-28
- ↑ Majority gives Liberals freer hand with public transit Шаблон:Webarchive. The Globe and Mail. 2014-06-13.
- ↑ Tim Hudak vows to scrap light rail lines, cancel GO electrification Шаблон:Webarchive. CBC. 2014-05-16
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- ↑ "The Spectator's View: Picking the least unappealing option" Шаблон:Webarchive. Hamilton Spectator, June 11, 2014
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- ↑ Mississauga Mayor Hazel McCallion endorses Kathleen Wynne Шаблон:Webarchive. CBC News. 2014-05-14.
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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