Английская Википедия:2014 Oregon gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsOR The 2014 Oregon gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Oregon, concurrently with other elections in Oregon and across the United States.

Incumbent Democrat John Kitzhaber defeated Republican state legislator Dennis Richardson, winning his fourth overall, and second consecutive, four-year term as governor.[1] The race was closer than expected due to recent revelations of potential ethical violations involving his fiancée, Cylvia Hayes.[1] Most news outlets had called the election in his favor by 9:00 p.m. on election night, and with Kitzhaber thanking his supporters for a successful race, Richardson refused to concede due to the close tally.[2] Four third party candidates also appeared on the ballot, with each winning less than 2% of the vote.

Kitzhaber and Richardson were nominated in the primary election on May 20, 2014. As of 2022, this is the most recent gubernatorial election in Oregon where Clatsop County supported the Republican candidate, and the most recent one where Tillamook County supported the Democratic candidate.

If Kitzhaber had served his full term, he would have become the second longest-serving governor in U.S. history.[3] Kitzhaber, however, resigned as governor on February 18, 2015.[4]

Background

Шаблон:See also Physician and then-President of the Oregon State Senate John Kitzhaber was first elected governor in 1994, and was re-elected in 1998. Term limits prevented him from running in 2002. He considered running in 2006, but decided not to; incumbent Democrat Ted Kulongoski was re-elected. In September 2009, Kitzhaber announced that he would seek a third term as governor in 2010.[5] In May 2010, he won the Democratic primary with 65% of the vote, defeating former secretary of state of Oregon Bill Bradbury.[6] After a close general election campaign, Kitzhaber won the election with 49% to Republican nominee Chris Dudley's 48%.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

A Republican had not won a statewide race in Oregon since incumbent senator Gordon H. Smith was re-elected in 2002 and a Republican has not been elected governor since Victor G. Atiyeh was re-elected in 1982. At the annual Dorchester Conference for activists in March 2013, Oregon Republicans acknowledged the difficulties they faced. At the Conference, "the lack of activity was so pronounced that the conference's Saturday night satirical show ran a video that began with an announcer intoning, "Now we go live to the 2014 Republican governor's debate." The camera then panned over a debate stage with two empty chairs, the monotony broken only by a broom-wielding janitor." High-profile Republicans have all passed on the election and while attendees split on whether the party needed to change its policies, they agreed that the party needed to be a "big tent" again.[9][10]

Candidates

Declared

  • Tim Carr, businessman[11]
  • Gordon Challstrom, businessman[12]
  • Bruce Cuff, real estate broker[13]
  • Darren Karr, businessman and candidate for Governor in 2010[7]
  • Mae Rafferty, timber merchant[14]
  • Dennis Richardson, state representative[15]

Withdrew

  • Jon Justesen, businessman and rancher[16]

Declined

Results

Файл:Oregon Governor Republican primary, 2014.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Third parties

Candidates

Declared

Additionally, under Oregon's Electoral fusion law, Democratic nominee John Kitzhaber was nominated by the Working Families Party of Oregon, and Republican nominee Dennis Richardson was nominated by the Independent Party of Oregon.[21]

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kitzhaber (D)
Dennis
Шаблон:Nowrap
Other Undecided
Elway Research October 26–27, 2014 403 ± 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 38% 2%[26] 9%
SurveyUSA October 23–27, 2014 552 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% 40% 6% 5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 1,421 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 42% 1% 10%
SurveyUSA October 16–19, 2014 561 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% 38% 6% 6%
DHM Research October 2014 ? ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% 29% 6% 15%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 1,508 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% 42% 0% 8%
SurveyUSA September 22–24, 2014 568 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% 38% 5% 8%
Rasmussen Reports September 2–3, 2014 750 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 38% 4% 10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 1,541 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 42% 1% 8%
Moore Information^ August 5–9, 2014 500 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 41% 13%
SurveyUSA August 1–5, 2014 564 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 36% 7% 9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 2,082 ± 2.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% 42% 1% 5%
On Message, Inc.^ June 22–24, 2014 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 38% 16%
SurveyUSA June 5–9, 2014 560 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 35% 10% 7%
Public Policy Polling May 22–27, 2014 956 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% 36% 15%
DHM Research May 2014 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 36% 16%
Harper Polling April 1–2, 2014 670 ± 3.91% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 43% 11%
  • ^ Internal poll for Dennis Richardson campaign

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kitzhaber (D)
Allen
Alley (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 3–5, 2012 614 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% 37% 12%
Public Policy Polling June 21–24, 2012 686 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 36% 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kitzhaber (D)
Jason
Atkinson (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 21–24, 2012 686 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 30% 24%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kitzhaber (D)
Bruce
Hanna (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 3–5, 2012 614 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% 33% 15%
Public Policy Polling June 21–24, 2012 686 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 33% 21%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kitzhaber (D)
Gordon H.
Smith (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 3–5, 2012 614 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 42% 11%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kitzhaber (D)
Bruce
Starr (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 3–5, 2012 614 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 31% 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kitzhaber (D)
Greg
Walden (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 3–5, 2012 614 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% 40% 11%
Public Policy Polling June 21–24, 2012 686 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 41% 17%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Шаблон:Oregon elections Шаблон:2014 United States elections