Английская Википедия:2014 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsPA The 2014 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Governor Tom Corbett was defeated by Tom Wolf, ^[1] becoming the first incumbent Pennsylvania governor to lose re-election since William Bigler in 1854, and the first Republican to ever do so.^[2]Шаблон:Efn This was the only governorship Democrats flipped in the 2014 midterms, and as of 2023 is the last time the Pennsylvania Governor’s office changed partisan control. Wolf was sworn in on January 20, 2015.

Corbett was considered vulnerable, as reflected in his low approval ratings. An August 2013 Franklin & Marshall College poll found that only 17% of voters thought Corbett was doing an "excellent" or "good" job, only 20% thought he deserved to be reelected, and 62% said the state was "off on the wrong track".^[3] Politico called Corbett the most vulnerable incumbent governor in the country,^[4] The Washington Post ranked the election as the most likely for a party switch,^[5] and the majority of election forecasters rated it "likely Democratic".

Democrats flipped the counties of Erie, Lawrence, Beaver, Alleghany, Greene, Fayette, Cambria, Centre, Clinton, Northumberland, Dauphin, Luzerne, Monroe, Northampton, Carbon, Schuylkill, Lehigh, Berks, Bucks, and Chester.

Meanwhile, this is the last time these counties have voted Democratic in a statewide election: Lawrence, Greene, Fayette, Cambria, Clinton, Northumberland, Carbon, and Schuylkill.

This is the first Pennsylvania gubernatorial election since 1982 in which the winner was of the same party as the incumbent president, and the first time since 1934 this occurred during a Democratic administration. This also remains the last time that a Pennsylvania gubernatorial election has been decided by a single-digit margin, as Democrats have won each subsequent election by large double-digit margins.

Background

Democrats and Republicans have alternated in the governorship of Pennsylvania every eight years from 1950 to 2010.^[6] This has been referred to as "the cycle",^[7]^[8] but it was broken with a Democratic Party win in 2014. Pennsylvania has also voted against the party of the sitting president in 18 of the last 19 gubernatorial contests dating back to 1938; Democrats lost 16 of the previous 17 Pennsylvania gubernatorial races with a Democratic president in the White House, a pattern begun in 1860.^[9] The last incumbent governor to be defeated for re-election was Democrat William Bigler in 1854. Until 1968, governors could only serve one term; the state constitution now allows governors to serve two consecutive terms.^[10] Libertarian nominee Ken Krawchuk failed to file the paperwork to be on the ballot in time and was excluded from the election as a result.

Republican primary

Incumbent Tom Corbett filed to run, as did Bob Guzzardi, an attorney and conservative activist. However, Guzzardi failed to file a statement of financial interests as required by law, after being told by an employee of the State Department that it was unnecessary. Four Republicans, backed by the state Republican Party, sued to have him removed from the race. The case reached the state Supreme Court, which ordered that Guzzardi's name be struck from the ballot.^[11] NASCAR Camping World Truck Series veteran Norm Benning backed Governor Corbett during the later half of the NASCAR season with Re-Elect Tom Corbett placed on his truck.

Candidates

Declared

Tom Corbett, incumbent governor of Pennsylvania

Disqualified

Bob Guzzardi, attorney, businessman and conservative activist^[12]^[13]

Declined

Bruce Castor, Montgomery County Commissioner^[14]
Jim Gerlach, U.S. Representative and candidate for governor in 2010^[15]
Tom Smith, businessman and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012^[16]
Pat Toomey, U.S. Senator^[17]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Corbett	Bob Guzzardi	Undecided
Gravis Marketing	January 22, 2014	956	± ?	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	23%	35%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Corbett	Someone else	Undecided
Gravis Marketing	January 22, 2014	956	± ?	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 41%	22%
Public Policy Polling	November 22–25, 2013	491	± 4.4%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	11%
Public Policy Polling	March 8–10, 2013	373	± 5.1%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 49%	13%
Public Policy Polling	January 4–6, 2013	490	± 6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 45%	37%	17%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Corbett	Bruce Castor	Jim Gerlach	Mike Kelly	Tom Smith	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	November 22–25, 2013	491	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	—	31%	—	—	26%
Public Policy Polling	November 22–25, 2013	491	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	—	—	31%	—	27%
Public Policy Polling	March 8–10, 2013	373	± 5.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 43%	23%	—	—	—	35%
Public Policy Polling	March 8–10, 2013	373	± 5.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 37%	—	—	—	33%	30%
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	February 27–28, 2013		±	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 49.04%	21.07%	—	—	—	29.89%
Public Policy Polling	January 4–6, 2013	490	± 6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 51%	11%	—	—	—	38%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box candidate unopposed with party link Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Hanger	Tom Knox	Jo Ellen Litz	Robert McCord	Kathleen McGinty	Max Myers	Ed Pawl- owski	Allyson Schwartz	Joe Sestak	Tim Solobay	Mike Stack	Jack Wagner	Tom Wolf	Other	Unde- cided
Muhlenberg	May 13–15, 2014	414	±5%	—	—	—	11%	7%	—	—	16%	—	—	—	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 41%	—	25%
Harper Шаблон:Webarchive	May 12–13, 2014	559	±4.14%	—	—	—	15%	5%	—	—	15%	—	—	—	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	—	16%
F&M College	May 6–12, 2014	530	±4.3%	—	—	—	11%	6%	—	—	19%	—	—	—	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 41%	3%	20%
Muhlenberg	April 28–30, 2014	417	±5%	—	—	—	13%	3%	—	—	14%	—	—	—	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 42%	—	28%
GQR**	Mar. 31–Apr. 3, 2014	600	±?	—	—	—	14%	5%	—	—	12%	—	—	—	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 52%	—	16%
F&M College	March 25–31, 2014	524	±4.3%	—	—	—	8%	6%	—	—	9%	—	—	—	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 40%	6%	31%
Harper Шаблон:Webarchive	Feb. 22–23, 2014	501	±4.38%	7%	—	—	8%	6%	—	—	14%	—	—	—	7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 40%	—	19%
F&M College	Feb. 18–23, 2014	548	±4.2%	1%	—	—	3%	1%	—	—	9%	—	—	—	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 36%	1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 48%
PPP	Nov. 22–25, 2013	436	±4.7%	8%	—	2%	10%	9%	2%	4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 21%	—	—	—	17%	2%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 27%
Harper Шаблон:Webarchive	Nov. 9–10, 2013	649	±3.85%	7%	—	—	12%	15%	—	6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 22%	—	—	—	—	5%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 34%
GHY^	Aug. 27–29, 2013	506	± 4.4%	—	—	—	6%	6%	—	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 25%	—	—	—	—	6%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 57%
BSG* Шаблон:Webarchive	July 16–18, 2013	800	±3.46%	—	—	—	10%	15%	—	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 34%	—	—	—	—	11%	—	30%
Quinnipiac Шаблон:Webarchive	May 30–Jun. 4, 2013	460	± 4.6%	1%	—	—	4%	5%	1%	1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 18%	—	—	1%	—	2%	1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 63%
Quinnipiac	April 19–24, 2013	547	± 4.2%	0%	—	—	3%	—	—	1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 15%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 15%	—	1%	—	3%	2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 60%
GSG Шаблон:Webarchive	March 9–12, 2013	601	± 4%	1%	—	—	5%	5%	—	3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 18%	15%	3%	1%	—	2%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 47%
				1%	—	—	7%	7%	—	3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 21%	—	3%	2%	—	2%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 54%
				—	—	—	12%	—	—	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 31%	—	—	—	—	7%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 49%
GQR**	March 2–7, 2013	602	±3.99%	1%	1%	—	7%	3%	—	—	16%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 21%	—	2%	—	3%	1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 45%
Harper Шаблон:Webarchive	Feb. 27–28, 2013	?	±?	0.82%	2.88%	—	7%	—	—	—	18.52%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 19.75%	—	—	—	1.23%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 49.79%

** Internal poll for the Tom Wolf Campaign
^ Internal poll for the Kathleen McGinty Campaign
* Internal poll for the Allyson Schwartz Campaign

Results

Файл:Pennsylvania gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2014.svg

Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Candidates

Tom Wolf (D); former secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Revenue
Tom Corbett (R); incumbent governor
Paul Glover (G); activist
Jonathan D. Jewell (I); Independent
Ken Krawchuk (L); technology consultant and nominee for governor in 1998 and 2002

Debates

Complete video of debate, September 22, 2014
Complete video of debate, October 8, 2014

Spending

As of mid-October, Wolf had raised $27.6 million and spent $21.1 million while Corbett had raised $20.6 million and spent $19.3 million. The two campaigns had run over 21,000 television ads, costing over $13 million.^[46]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[47]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[48]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report^[49]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics^[50]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Corbett (R)	Tom Wolf (D)	Other	Undecided
Muhlenberg College	October 27–29, 2014	409	± 5%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 51%	6%	4%
Magellan Strategies	October 27–28, 2014	1,433	± 2.6%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	—	7%
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	October 26–27, 2014	680	± 3.76%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	—	10%
Franklin & Marshall	October 20–26, 2014	326 LV	± 5.1%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 53%	1%	5%
Franklin & Marshall	October 20–26, 2014	738 RV	± 3.4%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 53%	1%	9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	3,111	± 3%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 52%	0%	8%
Magellan Strategies	October 13–14, 2014	1,131	± 2.9%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	—	9%
Quinnipiac University	September 30 – October 5, 2014	907	± 3.3%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 55%	2%	5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20 – October 1, 2014	3,283	± 2%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	0%	9%
Robert Morris University	September 26–29, 2014	500	± 4%	34%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 57%	—	9%
Mercyhurst University	September 15–24, 2014	479	± 4.48%	28%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 43%	2%	27%
Franklin & Marshall	September 15–22, 2014	231 LV	± 6.4%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 57%	2%	5%
Franklin & Marshall	September 15–22, 2014	520 RV	± 4.3%	33%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 54%	4%	9%
Magellan Strategies Шаблон:Webarchive	September 17–18, 2014	1,120	± 2.9%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	—	11%
Muhlenberg College	September 16–18, 2014	429	± 5%	33%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 54%	4%	9%
Quinnipiac University	September 3–8, 2014	1,161	± 2.9%	35%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 59%	2%	4%
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	September 2–3, 2014	665	± 3.2%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 52%	—	7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	August 18 – September 2, 2014	3,560	± 2%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	2%	10%
Robert Morris University	August 18–22, 2014	500	± 4.5%	25%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 56%	—	20%
Franklin & Marshall	August 18–25, 2014	520	± 4.3%	24%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	1%	25%
Magellan Strategies Шаблон:Webarchive	July 30–31, 2014	1,214	± 2.83%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	—	12%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	July 5–24, 2014	4,150	± ?	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 52%	2%	7%
Franklin & Marshall	June 23–29, 2014	502	± 4.4%	25%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	1%	27%
Quinnipiac University	May 29 – June 2, 2014	1,308	± 2.7%	33%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 53%	1%	13%
Public Policy Polling	May 30 – June 1, 2014	835	± 3.4%	30%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 55%	—	15%
Rasmussen Reports	May 27–28, 2014	750	± 4%	31%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 51%	4%	14%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	February 19–24, 2014	1,405	± 2.6%	33%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 52%	1%	13%
Gravis Marketing	January 22–23, 2014	717	± 4%	34%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 41%	—	24%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	December 11–16, 2013	1,061	± 3%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	1%	19%
Public Policy Polling	November 22–25, 2013	693	± 3.7%	32%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	—	24%
Quinnipiac University	March 6–11, 2013	1,116	± 2.9%	39%	39%	2%	20%
Public Policy Polling	March 8–10, 2013	504	± 4.4%	33%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 42%	—	25%
Public Policy Polling	January 4–6, 2013	675	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 41%	29%	—	30%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

With Corbett

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Corbett (R)	John Hanger (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	February 19–24, 2014	1,405	± 2.6%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 40%	4%	20%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	December 11–16, 2013	1,061	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	37%	2%	19%
Public Policy Polling	November 22–25, 2013	693	± 3.7%	32%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 51%	—	16%
Quinnipiac University	March 6–11, 2013	1,116	± 2.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	41%	2%	15%
Public Policy Polling	March 8–10, 2013	504	± 4.4%	34%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 41%	—	25%
Public Policy Polling	January 4–6, 2013	675	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 41%	37%	—	21%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Corbett (R)	Kathleen Kane (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 4–6, 2013	675	± 3.8%	42%	42%	—	16%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Corbett (R)	Tom Knox (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University	March 6–11, 2013	1,116	± 2.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 40%	39%	1%	19%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Corbett (R)	Robert McCord (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	February 19–24, 2014	1,405	± 2.6%	36%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 43%	4%	17%
Gravis Marketing	January 22–23, 2014	717	± 4%	36%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 48%	—	16%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	December 11–16, 2013	1,061	± 3%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 42%	2%	18%
Public Policy Polling	November 22–25, 2013	693	± 3.7%	31%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	—	18%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	May 30–June 4, 2013	1,032	± 3.1%	35%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 43%	1%	20%
Quinnipiac University	April 19–24, 2013	1,235	± 2.8%	35%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	1%	20%
Quinnipiac University	March 6–11, 2013	1,116	± 2.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	38%	1%	19%
Public Policy Polling	March 8–10, 2013	504	± 4.4%	34%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	—	21%
Public Policy Polling	January 4–6, 2013	675	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 41%	35%	—	24%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Corbett (R)	Kathleen McGinty (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	February 19–24, 2014	1,405	± 2.6%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 40%	3%	18%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	December 11–16, 2013	1,061	± 3%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	1%	18%
Public Policy Polling	November 22–25, 2013	693	± 3.7%	32%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	—	21%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Corbett (R)	Michael Nutter (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 4–6, 2013	675	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 41%	38%	—	21%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Corbett (R)	Ed Pawlowski (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	December 11–16, 2013	1,061	± 3%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 41%	2%	18%
Public Policy Polling	November 22–25, 2013	693	± 3.7%	33%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	—	22%
Quinnipiac University	March 6–11, 2013	1,116	± 2.9%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	2%	16%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Corbett (R)	Ed Rendell (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 4–6, 2013	675	± 3.8%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	—	14%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Corbett (R)	Allyson Schwartz (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	February 19–24, 2014	1,405	± 2.6%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	3%	15%
Gravis Marketing	January 22–23, 2014	717	± 4%	35%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	—	21%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	December 11–16, 2013	1,061	± 3%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	1%	16%
Public Policy Polling	November 22–25, 2013	693	± 3.7%	33%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 48%	—	20%
Benenson Strategy Group Шаблон:Webarchive	August 6–8, 2013	600	± 4%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	—	10%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	May 30–June 4, 2013	1,032	± 3.1%	35%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	1%	19%
Public Opinion Strategies Шаблон:Webarchive	April 30–May 2, 2013	600	± 4%	34%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	—	20%
Quinnipiac University	April 19–24, 2013	1,235	± 2.8%	34%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	2%	17%
Quinnipiac University	March 6–11, 2013	1,116	± 2.9%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 42%	1%	18%
Public Policy Polling	March 8–10, 2013	504	± 4.4%	34%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	—	21%
Benenson Strategy Group	January 15–17, 2013	600	± 4%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	—	9%
Public Policy Polling	January 4–6, 2013	675	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 41%	34%	—	25%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Corbett (R)	Joe Sestak (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University	April 19–24, 2013	1,235	± 2.8%	34%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 48%	1%	17%
Quinnipiac University	March 6–11, 2013	1,116	± 2.9%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	1%	14%
Public Policy Polling	March 8–10, 2013	504	± 4.4%	34%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	—	21%
Public Policy Polling	January 4–6, 2013	675	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	36%	—	23%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Corbett (R)	Mike Stack (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University	March 6–11, 2013	1,116	± 2.9%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 40%	1%	20%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Corbett (R)	Jack Wagner (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	February 19–24, 2014	1,405	± 2.6%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	3%	15%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	December 11–16, 2013	1,061	± 3%	36%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 48%	1%	15%
Public Policy Polling	November 22–25, 2013	693	± 3.7%	30%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	—	20%

With Gerlach

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jim Gerlach (R)	Allyson Schwartz (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	November 22–25, 2013	693	± 3.7%	31%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 39%	—	29%

With Guzzardi

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Bob Guzzardi (R)	Robert McCord (D)	Other	Undecided
Gravis Marketing	January 22–23, 2014	717	± 4%	31%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 43%	—	26%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Bob Guzzardi (R)	Allyson Schwartz (D)	Other	Undecided
Gravis Marketing	January 22–23, 2014	717	± 4%	33%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 42%	—	25%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Bob Guzzardi (R)	Tom Wolf (D)	Other	Undecided
Gravis Marketing	January 22–23, 2014	717	± 4%	30%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 38%	—	31%

With Kelly

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike Kelly (R)	Allyson Schwartz (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	November 22–25, 2013	693	± 3.7%	33%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 41%	—	27%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Alleghany (Largest city: Pittsburgh)
Beaver (largest city: Beaver)
Berks (largest borough: Reading)
Bucks (largest municipality: Bensalem)
Cambria (largest municipality: Johnstown)
Carbon (largest municipality: Lehighton)
Centre (largest municipality: State College)
Chester (largest municipality: West Chester)
Clinton (Largest city: Lock Haven)
Dauphin (largest municipality: Harrisburg)
Erie (largest municipality: Erie)
Fayette (largest borough: Uniontown)
Greene (largest municipality: Waynesburg)
Lawrence (largest municipality: New Castle)
Lehigh (largest municipality: Allentown)
Luzerne (largest municipality: Wilkes-Barre)
Monroe (largest borough: Stroudsburg)
Northampton (largest municipality: Bethlehem)
Northumberland (largest borough: Sunbury)
Schuylkill (Largest city: Pottsville)

By congressional district

Corbett won 10 of 18 congressional districts, despite losing statewide to Wolf, though at the time most of the districts were gerrymanders drawn by Republican legislators.^[51] Wolf won the 6th, 7th and 8th districts, which all elected Republicans to the House.

District	Corbett	Wolf	Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|1st	16%	84%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Bob Brady
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|2nd	8%	92%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Chaka Fattah
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|3rd	54%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Kelly
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|4th	56%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Scott Perry
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|5th	51%	49%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Glenn Thompson
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|6th	49%	51%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jim Gerlach
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ryan Costello	49%	51%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|7th	48%	52%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Patrick Meehan
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|8th	48%	52%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Fitzpatrick
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|9th	55%	45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Bill Shuster
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|10th	59%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Tom Marino
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|11th	53%	47%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Lou Barletta
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|12th	53%	47%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Keith Rothfus
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|13th	30%	70%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Brendan Boyle
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|14th	30%	70%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Mike Doyle
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|15th	50%	50%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Charlie Dent
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|16th	54%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Joe Pitts
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|17th	39%	61%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Matt Cartwright
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|18th	54%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Tim Murphy

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, 2014 at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites

Tom Corbett for Governor Republican Шаблон:Small
Tom Wolf for Governor Democrat Шаблон:Small

Шаблон:2014 United States elections

↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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Английская Википедия:2014 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

Содержание

Background

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Disqualified

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Results

General election

Candidates

Debates

Spending

Predictions

Polling

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

See also

Notes

References

External links

Навигация

Действия на странице

Действия на странице

Персональные инструменты

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