Английская Википедия:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota

Содержание

Текст

Текст

Текст

Текст

Текст

Текст

Текст

Текст

Текст

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota took place in the U.S. state of Minnesota on November 4, 2014, to elect Minnesota's eight representatives in the United States House of Representatives for two-year terms, one from each of Minnesota's eight congressional districts. Primary elections were held on August 12, 2014.

In these elections, Minnesotans elected their oldest U.S. House delegation across the 80 cycles since statehood, at an average age of 58.8 years: Rick Nolan (age 70), Collin Peterson (70), John Kline (67), Betty McCollum (60), Keith Ellison (51), Tom Emmer (53), Tim Walz (50) and Erik Paulsen (49).

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, 2014
Party		Votes	Percentage	Seats Before	Seats After	+/–
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:3px;"|	Democratic–Farmer–Labor	985,760	50.20%	5	5	-
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:3px;"|	Republican	913,539	46.53%	3	3	-
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:3px;"|	Independence	50,836	2.59%	0	0	-
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:3px;"|	Green	11,450	0.58%	0	0	-
	Others	1,954	0.10%	0	0	-
Totals		1,963,539	100.00%	8	8	—

By district

Results of the 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota by district:

District	Democratic (DFL)		Republican		Others		Total		Result
	scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	122,851	54.19%	103,536	45.67%	308	0.14%	226,695	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 2	95,565	38.87%	137,778	56.04%	12,505	5.09%	245,848	100.0%	Republican hold
District 3	101,846	37.78%	167,515	62.14%	224	0.08%	269,585	100.0%	Republican hold
District 4	147,857	61.19%	79,492	32.90%	14,288	5.91%	241,637	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 5	167,079	70.79%	56,577	23.97%	12,354	5.24%	236,010	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 6	90,926	38.39%	133,328	56.29%	12,592	5.32%	236,846	100.0%	Republican hold
District 7	130,546	54.21%	109,955	45.66%	334	0.14%	240,835	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 8	129,090	48.52%	125,358	47.11%	11,635	4.37%	266,083	100.0%	Democratic hold
Total	985,760	50.20%	913,539	46.53%	64,240	3.27%	1,963,539	100.0%

District 1

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Tim Walz, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of R+1.

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Tim Walz, incumbent U.S. Representative

Republican primary

Republican State Representative Mike Benson, Jim Hagedorn of Blue Earth and U.S. Army veteran Aaron Miller of Byron all sought the nomination to challenge Walz. Hagedorn and Miller had pledged to abide by the Republican endorsement while Benson did not. On April 5, 2014, Aaron Miller won the GOP endorsement. Benson and Hagedorn then withdrew, though Hagedorn re-entered the race on May 18, expressing concerns that Miller was not dedicating enough time to the race.

Candidates

Nominee

• Jim Hagedorn, former congressional affairs officer for the Bureau of Engraving and Printing and candidate for this seat in 2010

Eliminated in primary

• Aaron Miller, U.S. Army veteran

Withdrawn

• Mike Benson, state representative

Declined

• Jeremy Miller, state senator

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tim Walz (DFL)	Jim Hagedorn (R)	Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker	October 16–23, 2014	329	± 8.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47%	36%	17%
Harper Polling (R-Hagedorn)	September 9–10, 2014	437	± 4.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 38%	32%	31%

Tim Walz vs. generic opponent

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tim Walz (D)	Generic Opponent	Undecided
Harper Polling (R-Hagedorn)	September 9–10, 2014	437	± 4.7%	34%	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent align=center| 39%	27%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Undecided
Harper Polling (R-Hagedorn)	September 9–10, 2014	437	± 4.7%	34%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40%	26%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 24, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 30, 2014
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 2, 2014
Daily Kos Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 4, 2014

District 2

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Incumbent Republican John Kline, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of R+2.

Kline was rumoured to be interested in running for Governor of Minnesota or the United States Senate. Instead, he announced he would seek re-election.

Republican primary

David Gerson challenged Kline for the Republican nomination but conceded after Kline won the Republican endorsement.

Candidates

Nominee

• John Kline, incumbent U.S. Representative

Withdrawn

• David Gerson, candidate for this seat in 2012

Declined

• Kurt Bills, former state representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012
• Chris Gerlach, state senator and Dakota County Commissioner
• Pat Garofalo, state representative
• Kelby Woodard, state representative

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Mike Obermueller, who lost to Kline in 2012, had decided to run again. He won the DFL endorsement on April 26, 2014.

Sona Mehring, the founder of CaringBridge, declared her candidacy, but dropped out of the race three weeks later. Thomas Craft, who volunteered for Obermueller in the 2012 race, declared his candidacy in July 2013 and positioned himself as a fiscally conservative, socially liberal alternative to Kline and Obermueller. Craft ceased his campaign after Obermueller won the DFL endorsement. Eagan quality assurance analyst Paula Overby initially sought the DFL endorsement but withdrew after Obermueller won it and instead became the Independence Party nominee.

Candidates

Nominee

• Mike Obermueller, former state representative and nominee for this seat in 2012

Eliminated in primary

• Michael Roberts

Withdrawn

• Thomas Craft, IT consultant
• Sona Mehring, founder of CaringBridge
• Paula Overby, quality assurance analyst (ran for the Independence nomination)

Independence primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Paula Overby, quality assurance analyst

General election

The 2014 election in the 2nd district was expected to be one of the tightest congressional races in the country. Kline's district was one of 17 Republican congressional districts to vote for President Barack Obama in 2012, and polling data suggested a Democratic challenger could unseat Kline.

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Kline (R)	Mike Obermueller (DFL)	Paula Overby (I)	Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker	October 16–23, 2014	450	± 7.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48%	34%	0%	18%
Remington Research Group	September 18–21, 2014	568	± 4.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 54%	32%	4%	10%
Public Policy Polling	October 21–22, 2013	825	± 3.4%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42%	—	20%

District 3

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Incumbent Republican Erik Paulsen, who had represented the district since , ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of R+2.

Paulsen considered running for governor or the United States Senate in 2014 before announcing he would seek re-election to the U.S. House instead.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Erik Paulsen, incumbent U.S. Representative

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Sharon Sund, businesswoman

Declined

• James Lawrence, businessman
• Don Shelby, former WCCO-TV anchor

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Erik Paulsen (R)	Sharon Sund (D)	Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker	October 16–23, 2014	271	± 8.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51%	40%	8%

District 4

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of D+11.

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Betty McCollum, incumbent U.S. Representative

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Sharna Wahlgren, attorney

Independence primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Dave Thomas, educator, firefighter, and Iraq War veteran

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Betty McCollum (D)	Sharna Wahlgren (R)	Dave Thomas (I)	Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker	October 16–23, 2014	251	± 9.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56%	32%	1%	11%

District 5

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Keith Ellison, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 75% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of D+22.

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Keith Ellison, incumbent U.S Representative

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Doug Daggett

Independence primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Lee Bauer

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Keith Ellison (D)	Doug Daggett (R)	Lee Bauer (I)	Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker	October 16–23, 2014	266	± 9.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 74%	23%	1%	3%

District 6

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Incumbent Republican Michele Bachmann, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 51% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of R+10.

Bachmann had won re-election to a fourth term in 2012, defeating DFL nominee Jim Graves by approximately 1.2 points, despite Mitt Romney receiving 56% of the vote in this district in the 2012 presidential election. Facing a rematch with Graves, Bachmann announced on May 29, 2013, that she would not seek re-election.

Republican primary

Former state representative and 2010 gubernatorial nominee Tom Emmer and Anoka County Commissioner Rhonda Sivarajah sought the Republican nomination. Allan Levene, a Kennesaw, Georgia, resident who sought the Republican nomination in four congressional districts in four separate states, including Minnesota, ultimately did not file an affidavit of candidacy.

Candidates

Nominee

• Tom Emmer, former state representative and nominee for Governor in 2010

Eliminated in primary

• Rhonda Sivarajah, Anoka County Commissioner

Withdrawn

• Phil Krinkie, former state representative
• Allan Levene, resident of Georgia running in three other congressional races
• John Pederson, state senator

Declined

• Michele Bachmann, incumbent U.S. Representative

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Emmer	Phil Krinkie	Rhonda Sivarajah	Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Emmer)	April 16–17, 2014	300	± 5.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 73%	4%	5%	18%

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Jim Graves, who had previously said he would run again, said he would continue to run after Bachmann retired. However, on May 31, 2013, Graves announced that he was suspending his campaign.

Joe Perske, Mayor of Sartell, Minnesota, was the DFL endorsed candidate and nominee. Judy Adams, a painter and environmental activist, and Jim Read, an author and professor of political science at the College of Saint Benedict and Saint John's University, both withdrew after failing to win the DFL endorsement.

Candidates

Nominee

• Joe Perske, Mayor of Sartell

Withdrawn

• Judy Adams, environmental activist
• Jim Graves, businessman and nominee for the seat in 2012
• Jim Read, professor at the College of Saint Benedict and Saint John's University

Independence primary

Candidates

Nominee

• John Denney

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Emmer (R)	Joe Perske (D)	John Denney (I)	Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker	October 16–23, 2014	175	± 10.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 57%	37%	0%	6%

District 7

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 7th district covers almost the entire western side of Minnesota. It is the largest district in the state and one of the largest in the country and includes the cities of Moorhead, Fergus Falls, Alexandria and Willmar. Incumbent Democrat Collin Peterson, who had represented the district since 1991, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2012 and the district had a PVI of R+6.

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

In 2013, Republicans began pressuring Peterson, in hopes of convincing him to retire. His seat was one of only a handful that was represented by a Democrat but was carried by Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney in the 2012 election and was seen as a top pick-up opportunity had Peterson retired. Their tactics included airing television advertisements, hiring a press staffer to give opposition research to reporters, hiring a tracker to follow him around his district and record him, and sending mobile billboards with critical statements on them to drive around his hometown. Peterson responded by saying "They don't have anybody else to go after. It's kind of ridiculous, but whatever." After Republicans spread rumors that Peterson was planning to buy a house in Florida and retire there, he said: "I went from neutral on running again to 90 percent just because of this stupid stuff they're doing. You can't let these people be in charge of anything, in my opinion." On March 17, 2014, Peterson officially announced that he was running for re-election, saying, "I still have a lot of work to do."

Candidates

Nominee

• Collin Peterson, incumbent U.S. Representative

Declined

• Paul Marquart, state representative

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Torrey Westrom, state senator

Declined

• Dan Fabian, state representative
• Mary Franson, state representative
• Bill Ingebrigtsen, state senator
• Morrie Lanning, former state representative
• Marty Seifert, former Minority Leader of the Minnesota House of Representatives and candidate for Governor of Minnesota in 2010 and 2014
• Scott Van Binsbergen, businessman

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Collin Peterson (DFL)	Torrey Westrom (R)	Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker	October 16–23, 2014	313	± 8.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46%	44%	10%
Tarrance Group (R-NRCC)	October 12–14, 2014	300	± 5.8%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44%	13%
SurveyUSA	October 3–6, 2014	545	± 4.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50%	41%	10%
Tarrance Group (R-Westrom)	September 21–23, 2014	402	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45%	40%	15%
Global Strategy Group (D-Peterson)	September 4–7, 2014	405	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53%	29%	18%
Tarrance Group (R-Westrom)	February 3–5, 2014	400	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46%	39%	15%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 24, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 30, 2014
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 2, 2014
Daily Kos Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 4, 2014

District 8

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Rick Nolan, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was elected with 54% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of D+1.

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Rick Nolan, incumbent U.S. Representative

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Stewart Mills III, Mills Fleet Farm executive

Green Party

Nominee

• Skip Sandman

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Rick Nolan (DFL)	Stewart Mills (R)	Skip Sandman (G)	Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker	October 16–23, 2014	375	± 7.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47%	42%	1%	9%
KSTP/SurveyUSA	October 9–12, 2014	555	± 4.2%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47%	4%	11%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D-DCCC)	September 25–28, 2014	405	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48%	37%	7%	9%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 24, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 30, 2014
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 2, 2014
Daily Kos Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 4, 2014

See also

• 2014 Minnesota elections
• 2014 United States House of Representatives elections

External links

• Elections & Voting - Minnesota Secretary of State
• U.S. House elections in Minnesota, 2014 at Ballotpedia
• Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets