Английская Википедия:2014 United States Senate election in Iowa

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsIA The 2014 United States Senate election in Iowa was held on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Democratic Senator Tom Harkin did not run for reelection to a sixth term in office.^[1]

U.S. Representative Bruce Braley was unopposed for the Democratic nomination; the Republicans nominated State Senator Joni Ernst in a June 3 primary election.^[2] Douglas Butzier, who was the Libertarian nominee, died on October 14 in a single engine plane crash near Key West, Iowa. He was the pilot and the only person aboard the plane.^[3]^[4]^[5] He still appeared on the ballot, alongside Independents Bob Quast, Ruth Smith and Rick Stewart. Ernst defeated Braley in the general election. This was the first open Senate seat in Iowa since 1974. Ernst was the first Republican to win this seat since Roger Jepsen in 1978. Joni Ernst's inauguration marked the first time since 1985 where Republicans held both United States Senate seats from Iowa.

Democratic primary

Bruce Braley ultimately faced no opposition in his primary campaign and became the Democratic nominee on June 3, 2014.^[6]

Candidates

Declared

Bruce Braley, U.S. Representative^[7]

Withdrew

Bob Quast, businessman (running as an independent)^[8]

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Brad Anderson	Bruce Braley	Kevin McCarthy	Undecided
Harper Polling	January 29, 2013	?	?	3.83%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 49.73%	3.83%	42.62%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

The Republican primary was held on June 3, 2014. If no candidate won more than 35% of the vote, the nominee would have been chosen at a statewide convention. It would have been only the second time in 50 years that a convention picked a nominee and the first time since 2002, when then-State Senator Steve King won a convention held in Iowa's 5th congressional district to decide the Republican nominee for Congress. Having the nominee chosen by a convention led to fears that the increasingly powerful Ron Paul faction of the state party, led by Party Chairman A. J. Spiker, could have nominated an unelectable candidate.^[15]^[16]

The convention was scheduled to be held on June 14 but was then moved to July 12. Republican leaders, including Governor Terry Branstad and U.S. Senator Chuck Grassley, as well as four of the candidates for the nomination, criticized the move. Candidates Sam Clovis, Joni Ernst, Matthew Whitaker and David Young signed a letter to the Republican Party of Iowa asking them to move the convention date back, saying that "Essentially gifting [Bruce] Braley an additional 30 days to campaign in a vacuum, while reducing our nominee's time to raise funds and campaign as the general election candidate by an entire month – only serves to strengthen Braley's viability". Spiker responded that the move was necessary to accommodate the 27-day period that the Iowa Secretary of State's office requires to certify the results of the primary.^[17] Spiker reiterated his position in September 2013, rejecting calls for a vote by the central committee to move the convention date. He said that nominating a candidate before the primary had been certified would break state law, "which outlines that a ballot vacancy does not exist until the canvass is completed and certified."^[18]

Secretary of State Matt Schultz was highly critical of Spiker, saying that "no political party should use the excuse of the final date of the statewide canvass to determine the date of its special nominating convention. Furthermore, to state that it is necessary to hold a special nominating convention after the conclusion of the state canvass is not only misleading, it is false."^[19] Following efforts by members of the central committee to call a special meeting to move the date back to June, Spiker agreed and a meeting was held on September 23.^[20] The central committee voted 16–1 to move the convention date back to June 14.^[21] Statewide Republican leaders and activists and members of the National Republican Senatorial Committee believe that the real reason for the attempt to delay the convention was to give the Ron Paul faction time to organize an insurgent effort to push through a candidate they support, which could have even been Spiker himself or State Party Co-chair David Fischer.^[16] The infighting has been traced back to the failure of the NRSC and allies of Governor Branstad and Senator Grassley to recruit a "top-tier" candidate for the race.^[16]

Ernst received widespread attention for a campaign ad she released in March 2014 where she employed a tongue-in-cheek comparison between her experience castrating pigs and her ability to cut "pork" in Congress.^[22]^[23] Many found the ad to be humorous^[24]^[25] and it was spoofed by late-night comedians including Jimmy Fallon and Stephen Colbert,^[26]^[27] while some found it to be in bad taste.^[28]^[29] Before the ad aired, Ernst had struggled in fundraising,^[30]^[31] and two polls of the Republican primary taken in February 2014 had shown her in second place, several points behind opponent Mark Jacobs.^[32]^[33] After it aired, a Suffolk University poll in early April showed her with a narrow lead and a Loras College poll showed her essentially tied with Jacobs.^[29]^[34]^[35]^[36] By May, she was being described by the media as the "strong front-runner".^[37]

In May 2014, Roll Call reported that the Republican primary campaign had become a proxy for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination, with Mitt Romney and Marco Rubio supporting Ernst, Rick Perry endorsing Whitaker and Rick Santorum backing Clovis.^[38] Jacobs, who had no such high-profile endorsements, ran as the "outsider".^[39]

Ultimately, Ernst won the primary with 56% of the vote, negating the need for a convention.

Candidates

Declared

Sam Clovis, radio host^[40]
Joni Ernst, state senator^[41]
Mark Jacobs, former CEO of Reliant Energy^[42]
Scott Schaben, businessman^[43]
Matthew Whitaker, former U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Iowa and nominee for Treasurer of Iowa in 2002^[44]

Withdrew

Paul Lunde, attorney and nominee for Iowa's 4th congressional district in 1988 and 1992^[45]
David Young, former Chief of Staff to U.S. Senator Chuck Grassley (running for Iowa's 3rd congressional district)^[46]

Declined

Terry Branstad, Governor of Iowa^[47]
Bob Brownell, Polk County Supervisor^[48]
Steve Deace, radio talk show host^[49]
Bill Dix, Minority Leader of the Iowa Senate^[50]
David Fischer, Co-chair of the Republican Party of Iowa^[51]
Steve Gaer, Mayor of West Des Moines^[52]
Drew Ivers, Finance Chairman of the Republican Party of Iowa^[53]
Steve King, U.S. Representative^[54]
Ron Langston, businessman and former director of the Minority Business Development Agency^[52]
Tom Latham, U.S. Representative^[55]
Bill Northey, Iowa Secretary of Agriculture^[56]
Kevin O'Brien, McDonald's store owner and operator^[52]
Kim Reynolds, Lieutenant Governor of Iowa^[57]
Rod Roberts, Director of the Iowa Department of Inspections and Appeals and candidate for governor in 2010^[58]
Matt Schultz, Iowa Secretary of State^[59]
A. J. Spiker, Chairman of the Republican Party of Iowa^[60]
Matt Strawn, former chairman of the Republican Party of Iowa^[48]
Bob Vander Plaats, social conservative activist, candidate for governor in 2002, 2006 and 2010 and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2006^[61]
David A. Vaudt, chairman of the Governmental Accounting Standards Board and former state auditor of Iowa^[41]
Stuart Weinstein, orthopaedic surgeon, President of the American Academy of Orthopaedic Surgeons^[52]
Brad Zaun, state senator^[62]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Sam Clovis	Joni Ernst	Mark Jacobs	Paul Lunde	Scott Schaben	Matthew Whitaker	Other	Undecided
Hill Research Consultants*	February 12–13, 2014	300	± 4%	6%	11%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 22%	—	—	8%	3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided \| 50%
Public Policy Polling	February 20–23, 2014	283	± 5.8%	8%	13%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 20%	3%	3%	11%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided \| 42%
Suffolk University	April 3–8, 2014	224	± 6.55%	6.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 25%	22.77%	—	1.34%	4.02%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided \| 40.18%
Loras College	April 7–8, 2014	600	± 4%	7.3%	18.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 18.8%	—	3.5%	4%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided \| 48.2%
The Polling Company	April 13–14, 2014	223	± 4%	5.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 22.5%	20.4%	0.4%	2.1%	6.7%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided \| 42.1%
Harper Polling^	April 30 – May 1, 2014	500	± 4.38%	14%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 33%	23%	—	1%	3%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided \| 26%
Loras College	May 12–13, 2014	600	± 4%	9.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 30.8%	19.3%	—	2.3%	7.3%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided \| 30.7%
Public Policy Polling	May 15–19, 2014	303	± ?	14%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 34%	18%	2%	1%	6%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided \| 26%
Des Moines Register	May 27–30, 2014	400	± 4.9%	11%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 36%	18%	—	2%	13%	—	16%

^ Internal poll for Joni Ernst campaign
* Internal poll for Mark Jacobs campaign

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Sam Clovis	Joni Ernst	Mark Jacobs	Paul Lunde	Scott Shaben	Bob Шаблон:Nowrap	Matthew Whitaker	David Young	Undecided
The Polling Company	November 22–23, 2013	400	± 4.9%	8%	8%	5%	1%	1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 28%	7%	4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided \| 39%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Drew Ivers	Steve King	Tom Latham	Bill Northey	Kim Reynolds	Matt Schultz	Bob Шаблон:Nowrap	David Vaudt	Brad Zaun	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	326	± 5.4%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 41%	22%	—	10%	—	9%	—	—	17%
				—	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 42%	23%	—	—	—	19%	—	—	15%
				—	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 50%	27%	—	—	—	—	—	—	23%
Wenzel Strategies	February 1–2, 2013	800	± 3.44%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 34.3%	18.7%	3.2%	9.8%	1.4%	9.2%	0.5%	—	19.5%
Wenzel Strategies	February 1–2, 2013	800	± 3.44%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 42.9%	34.7%	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.4%
Harper Polling	January 29, 2012			4.52%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 31.16%	26.13%	—	—	—	16.08%	—	6.03%	16.08%
				—	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 35.35%	21.72%	—	—	—	19.70%	—	3.03%	20.20%
				—	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 46%	29%	—	—	—	—	—	—	25%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Файл:Iowa Republican Senate primary, 2014.svg

Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

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General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Debates

On August 29, Ernst and Braley announced their agreement to hold three televised debates in Davenport, Des Moines, and Sioux City, the first debate on September 28, the second on October 11, and the last on October 16.^[63]

Complete video of debate, October 16, 2014

Fundraising

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on Hand
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| Bruce Braley (D)	$9,918,362	$10,069,945	$707,302
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Joni Ernst (R)	$9,206,690	$7,660,912	$2,244,366

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[64]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[65]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report^[66]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics^[67]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Bruce Braley (D)	Joni Ernst (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	November 1–3, 2014	1,265	± 2.8%	45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 48%	2%^[68]	5%
Public Policy Polling	November 1–3, 2014	1,265	± 2.8%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 49%	—	5%
Quinnipiac University	October 28 – November 2, 2014	778	± 3.5%	47%	47%	2%	4%
Public Policy Polling	October 30–31, 2014	617	± ?	47%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 48%	—	5%
Iowa Poll	October 28–31, 2014	701	± 3.7%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 51%	1%	4%
YouGov	October 25–31, 2014	1,112	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 43%	42%	3%	13%
Fox News	October 28–30, 2014	911	± 3%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 45%	4%	8%
Rasmussen Reports	October 28–30, 2014	990	± 3%	47%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 48%	3%	3%
CNN/ORC	October 27–30, 2014	647 LV	± 4%	47%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 49%	—	4%
CNN/ORC	October 27–30, 2014	887 RV	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 49%	43%	—	7%
Reuters/Ipsos	October 23–29, 2014	1,129	± 3.3%	45%	45%	4%	7%
Quinnipiac	October 22–27, 2014	817	± 3.4%	45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 49%	2%	5%
Loras College	October 21–24, 2014	1,121	± 2.93%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 45%	44%	2%	8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	2,322	± 3%	44%	44%	1%	11%
NBC News/Marist	October 18–22, 2014	772 LV	± 3.5%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 49%	1%	4%
NBC News/Marist	October 18–22, 2014	1,052 RV	± 3%	46%	46%	2%	6%
Gravis Marketing	October 20–21, 2014	964	± 3%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 49%	—	8%
Monmouth University	October 18–21, 2014	423	± 4.8%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 47%	5%	2%
Quinnipiac University	October 15–21, 2014	964	± 3.2%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 48%	3%	4%
Public Policy Polling	October 15–16, 2014	714	± ?%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 48%	47%	—	5%
Suffolk University	October 11–14, 2014	500	± 4.4%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 47%	2%^[69]	7%
Quinnipiac University	October 8–13, 2014	967	± 3.2%	45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 47%	3%	5%
Rasmussen Reports	October 8–10, 2014	957	± 3%	45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 48%	1%	5%
Iowa Poll	October 3–8, 2014	1,000	± 3.1%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 47%	3%	4%
Morey Group	October 4–7, 2014	1,000	± 3.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 39%	38%	2%	21%
Magellan	October 3, 2014	1,299	± 2.8%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 50%	—	9%
Loras College	October 1–3, 2014	600	± 4%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 42%	4%	12%
NBC News/Marist	September 27 – October 1, 2014	778 LV	± 3.5%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 46%	1%	9%
NBC News/Marist	September 27 – October 1, 2014	1,093 RV	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 45%	44%	1%	11%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Шаблон:Dead link	September 25 – October 1, 2014	1,000	± 2.09%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 45%	11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20 – October 1, 2014	2,359	± 2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 44%	43%	1%	12%
Gravis Marketing	September 29–30, 2014	522	± 4%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 50%	—	10%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner	September 25–30, 2014	800	± 3.46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 47%	46%	—	7%
Public Policy Polling	September 25–28, 2014	1,192	± 2.8%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 44%	4%^[70]	10%
Public Policy Polling	September 25–28, 2014	1,192	± 2.8%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 45%	—	12%
Harstad Research	September 21–25, 2014	809	± ?	42%	42%	—	16%
Iowa Poll	September 21–24, 2014	546	± 4.2%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 44%	6%^[71]	12%
Rasmussen Reports	September 17–18, 2014	750	± 4%	43%	43%	4%	14%
Fox News	September 14–16, 2014	600	± 4%	41%	41%	6%	12%
Quinnipiac University	September 10–15, 2014	1,167	± 2.9%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 50%	1%	4%
CNN/ORC	September 8–10, 2014	608 LV	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 49%	48%	1%	2%
CNN/ORC	September 8–10, 2014	904 RV	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 50%	42%	—	7%
Loras College	September 2–5, 2014	1,200	± 2.82%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 45%	41%	—	14%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	August 18 – September 2, 2014	1,764	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 44%	42%	2%	13%
Public Policy Polling	August 28–30, 2014	816	± 3.4%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 45%	—	12%
Suffolk	August 23–26, 2014	500	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 40%	40%	5%^[72]	15%
Public Policy Polling	August 22–24, 2014	915	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 41%	40%	5%^[73]	14%
Public Policy Polling	August 22–24, 2014	915	± 3.2%	42%	42%	—	16%
Rasmussen Reports	August 11–12, 2014	750	± 4%	43%	43%	6%	8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	July 5–24, 2014	2,056	± 2.7%	45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 46%	2%	8%
Gravis Marketing	July 17–18, 2014	1,179	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 44%	43%	—	13%
NBC News/Marist	July 7–13, 2014	1,599	± 2.5%	43%	43%	1%	14%
Quinnipiac University	June 12–16, 2014	1,277	± 2.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 44%	40%	—	16%
Vox Populi Polling	June 4–5, 2014	665	± 3.8%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 49%	—	7%
Loras College	June 4–5, 2014	600	± 4%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 48%	—	10%
Rasmussen Reports	June 4–5, 2014	750	± 4%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 45%	3%	9%
Public Policy Polling	May 15–19, 2014	914	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 45%	39%	—	16%
Hickman Analytics	April 24–30, 2014	500	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 44%	40%	—	16%
Suffolk University	April 3–8, 2014	800	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 38%	30%	—	33%
Rasmussen Reports	March 24–25, 2014	750	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 40%	37%	—	23%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	March 5–10, 2014	1,411	± 2.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 42%	29%	1%	27%
Public Policy Polling	February 20–23, 2014	869	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 41%	35%	—	23%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	December 10–15, 2013	1,617	± 2.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 44%	38%	1%	17%
Harper Polling	November 23–24, 2013	985	± 3.12%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 42%	36%	—	22%
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 45%	33%	—	22%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with Braley

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Bruce Braley (D)	Mark Jacobs (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 15–19, 2014	914	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 42%	36%	—	22%
Hickman Analytics	April 24–30, 2014	500	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 43%	42%	—	15%
Magellan Strategies	April 14–15, 2014	808	± 3.45%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 41%	7%	12%
Suffolk University	April 3–8, 2014	800	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 37%	31%	—	33%
Rasmussen Reports	March 24–25, 2014	750	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 41%	38%	—	21%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	March 5–10, 2014	1,411	± 2.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 40%	31%	1%	28%
Public Policy Polling	February 20–23, 2014	869	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 41%	35%	—	24%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	December 10–15, 2013	1,617	± 2.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 46%	37%	1%	16%
Harper Polling	November 23–24, 2013	985	± 3.12%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 41%	37%	—	22%
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 44%	32%	—	24%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Bruce Braley (D)	Scott Schaben (R)	Other	Undecided
Suffolk University	April 3–8, 2014	800	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 38%	25%	—	38%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Bruce Braley (D)	Matthew Whitaker (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 15–19, 2014	914	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 43%	36%	—	21%
Suffolk University	April 3–8, 2014	800	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 38%	27%	—	35%
Rasmussen Reports	March 24–25, 2014	750	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 40%	36%	—	24%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	March 5–10, 2014	1,411	± 2.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 42%	30%	1%	26%
Public Policy Polling	February 20–23, 2014	869	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 40%	34%	—	26%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	December 10–15, 2013	1,617	± 2.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 43%	40%	1%	17%
Harper Polling	November 23–24, 2013	985	± 3.12%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 41%	38%	—	22%
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 43%	34%	—	23%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Bruce Braley (D)	Steve King (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 49%	38%	—	13%
Harper Polling	January 29, 2013	523	± 4.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 39%	34%	—	27%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Bruce Braley (D)	Sam Clovis (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 15–19, 2014	914	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 43%	34%	—	23%
Suffolk University	April 3–8, 2014	800	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 38%	25%	—	36%
Rasmussen Reports	March 24–25, 2014	750	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 44%	31%	—	25%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	March 5–10, 2014	1,411	± 2.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 42%	27%	1%	29%
Public Policy Polling	February 20–23, 2014	869	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 42%	34%	—	24%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	December 10–15, 2013	1,617	± 2.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 45%	34%	1%	20%
Harper Polling	November 23–24, 2013	985	± 3.12%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 40%	35%	—	25%
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 43%	31%	—	25%
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 49%	38%	—	13%
Harper Polling	January 29, 2013	523	± 4.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 39%	34%	—	27%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Bruce Braley (D)	Tom Latham (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 44%	41%	—	15%
Harper Polling	January 29, 2013	523	± 4.3%	33%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 36%	—	31%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Bruce Braley (D)	Kim Reynolds (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 44%	37%	—	19%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Bruce Braley (D)	Bob Шаблон:Nowrap	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	December 10–15, 2013	1,617	± 2.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 46%	40%	1%	14%
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 51%	33%	—	16%
Harper Polling	January 29, 2013	523	± 4.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 41%	26%	—	32%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Bruce Braley (D)	David Young (R)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	December 10–15, 2013	1,617	± 2.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 44%	36%	1%	19%
Harper Polling	November 23–24, 2013	985	± 3.12%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 41%	35%	—	24%
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 45%	32%	—	24%

with Culver

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Chet Culver (D)	Steve King (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 48%	41%	—	11%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Chet Culver (D)	Tom Latham (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± 3.4%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 45%	—	13%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Chet Culver (D)	Kim Reynolds (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 42%	41%	—	17%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Chet Culver (D)	Bob Шаблон:Nowrap	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 50%	36%	—	14%

with Harkin

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Tom Harkin (D)	Terry Branstad (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 3–6, 2012	1,181	± 2.85%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 46%	41%	—	12%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Tom Harkin (D)	Steve King (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 3–6, 2012	1,181	± 2.85%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 48%	37%	—	15%
Public Policy Polling	October 7–10, 2011	749	± 3.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 49%	42%	—	9%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Tom Harkin (D)	Tom Latham (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 3–6, 2012	1,181	± 2.85%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 46%	37%	—	17%
Public Policy Polling	October 7–10, 2011	749	± 3.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 45%	42%	—	13%

with Loebsack

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Dave Loebsack (D)	Steve King (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 47%	40%	—	13%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Dave Loebsack (D)	Tom Latham (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± 3.4%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 43%	—	17%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Dave Loebsack (D)	Kim Reynolds (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 41%	39%	—	20%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Dave Loebsack (D)	Bob Шаблон:Nowrap	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 49%	34%	—	17%

with Vilsack

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Tom Vilsack (D)	Steve King (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 49%	39%	—	11%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Tom Vilsack (D)	Tom Latham (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 46%	42%	—	12%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Tom Vilsack (D)	Kim Reynolds (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 46%	38%	—	16%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Tom Vilsack (D)	Bob Шаблон:Nowrap	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 52%	35%	—	14%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Шаблон:Columns-list

By congressional district

Ernst won all 4 of the congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.^[74]

District	Ernst	Braley	Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	48.3%	47.87%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Rod Blum
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	48.91%	47.06%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Dave Loebsack
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	52.19%	43.89%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|David Young
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	59.43%	36.17%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Steve King

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:2014 United States elections

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↑ Douglas Butzier (L) 2%, Bob Quatz (I) 1%, Ruth Smith (I) 0%, Rick Stewart (I) 1%
↑ Douglas Butzier (L) 1%, Bob Quatz (I) 0%, Ruth Smith (I) 2%, Rick Stewart (I) 2%, Other 1%
↑ Rick Stewart (I) 2%, Douglas Butzier (L) 1%, Ruth Smith (I) 1%, Bob Quast (I) 1%
↑ Douglas Butzier (L) 2%, Rick Stewart (I) 2%, Ruth Smith (I) 1%, Bob Quast (I) 0%
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[harkinwont-1] 1,0 ^1,1 Шаблон:Cite news

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[70] Douglas Butzier (L) 2%, Bob Quatz (I) 1%, Ruth Smith (I) 0%, Rick Stewart (I) 1%

[71] Douglas Butzier (L) 1%, Bob Quatz (I) 0%, Ruth Smith (I) 2%, Rick Stewart (I) 2%, Other 1%

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Английская Википедия:2014 United States Senate election in Iowa

Содержание

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Results

General election

Endorsements

Debates

Fundraising

Predictions

Polling

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

See also

References

External links

Навигация

Действия на странице

Действия на странице

Персональные инструменты

Навигация

Поиск

Инструменты