Английская Википедия:2014 United States Senate election in Kansas

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsKS The 2014 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kansas, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Senator Pat Roberts was re-elected to a fourth term against Independent Greg Orman and Libertarian nominee Randall Batson. The Democratic nominee, Chad Taylor, withdrew from the race.

Republican primary

Roberts gained negative press attention after criticism that he did not own a home in Kansas, with some comparing the situation to that of former Indiana Senator Richard Lugar, who lost a 2012 Senate primary after a similar residency controversy.^[1] Roberts owns a home in Alexandria, Virginia.^[2] The primary was held August 5, 2014.^[3]

Primary opponent Milton R. Wolf, a radiologist, was under investigation by a state medical ethics board for posting X-ray images of dead patients with macabre commentary to Facebook.^[4]

Candidates

Declared

Pat Roberts, incumbent senator^[5]
D.J. Smith, former Osawatomie City Councilwoman^[6]
Milton R. Wolf, radiologist, conservative commentator and Barack Obama's Second Cousin^[7]
Alvin Zahnter, truck driver and Vietnam War veteran^[6]

Declined

Tim Huelskamp, U.S. Representative (re-elected to House) ^[8]
Kris Kobach, Secretary of State of Kansas (re-elected as secretary of state)^[8]^[9]
Dennis Pyle, state senator^[10]^[11]
Todd Tiahrt, former U.S. Representative (ran for KS-04)^[12]^[13]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Pat Roberts	D.J. Smith	Milton Wolf	Alvin Zahnter	Other	Undecided
The Tarrance Group^	January 13–15, 2014	501	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 69%	—	15%	—	—	16%
Public Policy Polling	February 18–20, 2014	375	± 5.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 49%	—	23%	—	—	28%
SurveyUSA	June 19–23, 2014	508	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 56%	—	23%	—	8%	12%
GEB International	July 9, 2014	500	± 4.28%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 42%	—	30%	—	—	28%
SurveyUSA	July 17–22, 2014	691	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 50%	6%	30%	3%	—	12%
Daily Kos/Google Consumer Surveys	August 4, 2014	1,002	± 3.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 53.4%	—	39.1%	—	—	7.5%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Pat Roberts	Шаблон:Nowrap conservative	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 18–20, 2014	375	± 5.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 43%	39%	18%
Public Policy Polling	February 21–24, 2013	760	± 3.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 42%	34%	24%

^ Internal poll for the Pat Roberts campaign

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Pat Roberts	Tim Huelskamp	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 21–24, 2013	760	± 3.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 53%	22%	26%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Pat Roberts	Kris Kobach	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 21–24, 2013	760	± 3.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 55%	19%	26%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Pat Roberts	Todd Tiahrt	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 21–24, 2013	760	± 3.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 47%	26%	27%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Файл:Kansas U.S. Senate Republican primary, 2014.svg

Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Chad Taylor, Shawnee County District Attorney^[14]^[15]
Patrick Wiesner, attorney and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010^[6]

Declined

Kathleen Sebelius, former United States Secretary of Health and Human Services and former Governor of Kansas^[16]^[17]

Polling

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Chad Taylor	Patrick Wiesner	Undecided
KSN News/SurveyUSA	July 17–22, 2014	322	± 5.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 48%	17%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided \| 35%
KSN News/SurveyUSA	June 19–23, 2014	252	± 6.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 41%	16%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided \| 43%

Results

Файл:Kansas U.S. Senate Democratic primary, 2014.svg

Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Randall Batson, nominee for the State House in 2012^[18]

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Greg Orman, businessman, who briefly ran in the Democratic primary in 2008 before dropping out.^[19]^[20]

General election

Campaign

On September 3, Democratic nominee Chad Taylor withdrew from the race.^[21] On September 4, Kris Kobach, the Republican Kansas Secretary of State, announced that Taylor would remain on the ballot because state law demands he declare himself "incapable of fulfilling the duties of office if elected" in order to be removed, which he did not do.^[22] Taylor challenged the decision, and on September 18 the Kansas Supreme Court decided that his name would be taken off the ballot.^[23]

On the same day, Kobach demanded the chairman of the Democratic Party name a replacement in eight days, saying he will consider litigation to force the party if they refuse.^[24]

A registered Democrat with family ties to Republican Governor Sam Brownback's campaign also filed a petition with the Kansas Supreme Court on September 18 to force the Democratic Party to name a new candidate.^[25] Kobach ordered ballots to be mailed to overseas voters on September 20 without a Democratic candidate, but included a disclaimer that another ballot will be sent if the Democratic Party names a replacement candidate.^[26]

The state district court in Shawnee County threw out the petition, meaning no replacement for Taylor needed to be named.^[27]

In the 2002 Senate election, Roberts also had no Democratic opponent.

Roberts defeated Orman in the general election, winning reelection to a fourth term in office.

If Orman had been elected, the U.S. Senate would have had three independent Senators for the first time in the chamber's history. This—and the question of whom Orman would choose to caucus with if elected—were very large questions in the electoral contest, and because the Kansas race was showing tight in the polls, a subject of considerable national political discourse as well.^[28]

Fundraising

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on Hand	Debt
Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| Greg Orman (I)	$2,461,766	$3,298,186	$183,599	$1,124,982
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Pat Roberts (R)	$5,383,491	$5,534,415	$927,449	0

Debates

Complete video of debate, October 8, 2014
Complete video of debate, October 15, 2014

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[29]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[30]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report^[31]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics^[32]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014

Polling

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Pat Roberts (R)	Chad Taylor (D)	Greg Orman (I)	Randall Batson (L)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 18–20, 2014	693	± 3.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 48%	32%	—	—	—	20%
Rasmussen Reports	April 16–17, 2014	750	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 50%	32%	—	—	5%	13%
SurveyUSA	June 19–23, 2014	1068	± 3.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 43%	33%	7%	5%	—	12%
SurveyUSA	July 17–22, 2014	1,208	± 2.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 38%	33%	14%	4%	—	10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	July 5–24, 2014	1,281	± 6.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 53%	37%	—	—	7%	4%
Rasmussen Reports	August 6–7, 2014	750	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 44%	40%	—	—	7%	8%
Public Policy Polling	August 14–17, 2014	903	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 32%	25%	23%	3%	—	17%
				Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 43%	39%	—	—	—	17%
				33%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 43%	—	—	24%
KSN News/SurveyUSA	August 20–23, 2014	560	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 37%	32%	20%	4%	—	6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	August 18 – September 2, 2014	839	± 5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 47%	35%	—	—	2%	15%
KSN News/SurveyUSA	September 4–7, 2014	555	± 4.2%	36%	10%	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 37%	6%	—	11%
Public Policy Polling	September 11–14, 2014	1,328	± 2.7%	34%	6%Шаблон:Efn	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 41%	4%	—	15%
Public Policy Polling	September 11–14, 2014	1,328	± 2.7%	36%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 46%	—	—	17%
Fox News	September 14–16, 2014	604	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 40%	11%Шаблон:Efn	38%	4%	—	8%
Fox News	September 14–16, 2014	604	± 4%	42%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 48%	—	—	8%
Rasmussen Reports	September 16–17, 2014	750	± 4%	40%	3%Шаблон:Efn	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 45%	—	2%	10%
Rasmussen Reports	September 16–17, 2014	750	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 39%	9%Шаблон:Efn	38%	—	2%	12%
Remington Research	September 23, 2014	625	± 3.91%	42%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 50%	3%	—	5%
Suffolk University	September 27–30, 2014	500	± 4.4%	41.2%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 46.4%	0.8%	—	11.6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20 – October 1, 2014	2,013	± 3%	40%	—	40%	2%	0%	17%
NBC News/Marist	September 27 – October 1, 2014	511 LV	± 4.3%	38%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 48%	5%	1%	9%
NBC News/Marist	September 27 – October 1, 2014	848 RV	± 3.4%	36%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 46%	5%	1%	12%
Gravis Marketing	September 30 – October 1, 2014	850	± 3%	40%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 47%	—	—	13%
SurveyUSA	October 2–5, 2014	549	± 4.3%	42%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 47%	4%	—	7%
CNN/ORC	October 2–6, 2014	687	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 49%	—	48%	—	—	3%
Fox News	October 4–7, 2014	702	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 44%	—	39%	3%	4%	12%
Rasmussen Reports	October 7–8, 2014	750	± 4%	40%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 52%	—	4%	4%
Public Policy Polling	October 9–12, 2014	1,081	± 3%	41%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 44%	5%	—	10%
Public Policy Polling	October 9–12, 2014	1,081	± 3%	43%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 46%	—	—	11%
Remington Research	October 9–12, 2014	1,091	± 2.97%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 48%	—	46%	2%	—	4%
Monmouth University	October 16–19, 2014	429	± 4.7%	46%	—	46%	—	3%	5%
Rasmussen Reports	October 20–21, 2014	960	± 3%	44%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 49%	—	3%	5%
Gravis Marketing	October 20–21, 2014	1,124	± 3%	45%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 47%	—	—	8%
NBC News/Marist	October 18–22, 2014	757 LV	± 3.6%	44%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 45%	4%	<1%	7%
NBC News/Marist	October 18–22, 2014	1,055 RV	± 3%	42%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 45%	4%	1%	9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	1,973	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 42%	—	38%	1%	0%	18%
Survey USA	October 22–26, 2014	623	± 4%	42%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 44%	4%	—	10%
Fox News	October 28–30, 2014	907	± 3%	43%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 44%	3%	1%	8%
YouGov	October 25–31, 2014	1,137	± 4.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 38%	—	37%	2%	2%	22%
Public Policy Polling	October 30–31, 2014	752	± ?	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 47%	—	46%	3%	—	4%
Public Policy Polling	November 1–3, 2014	963	± 3.2%	46%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 47%	3%	—	4%
Public Policy Polling	November 1–3, 2014	963	± 3.2%	47%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) \| 49%	—	—	3%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

With Huelskamp

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Tim Huelskamp (R)	Carl Brewer (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 21–24, 2013	1,229	± 2.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 40%	36%	—	24%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Tim Huelskamp (R)	Mark Parkinson (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 21–24, 2013	1,229	± 2.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 41%	35%	—	24%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Tim Huelskamp (R)	Kathleen Sebelius (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 21–24, 2013	1,229	± 2.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 46%	41%	—	13%

With Roberts

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Pat Roberts (R)	Carl Brewer (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 21–24, 2013	1,229	± 2.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 50%	34%	—	16%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Pat Roberts (R)	Mark Parkinson (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 21–24, 2013	1,229	± 2.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 49%	34%	—	17%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Pat Roberts (R)	Kathleen Sebelius (D)	Other	Undecided
Rasmussen Reports	April 16–17, 2014	750	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 54%	37%	5%	4%
Public Policy Polling	February 18–20, 2014	693	± 3.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 52%	38%	—	10%
Public Policy Polling	February 21–24, 2013	1,229	± 2.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 51%	40%	—	9%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Pat Roberts (R)	Patrick Wiesner (D)	Randall Batson (L)	Greg Orman (I)	Other	Undecided
SurveyUSA	June 19–23, 2014	1068	± 3.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 45%	29%	6%	8%	—	12%
SurveyUSA	July 17–22, 2014	1,208	± 2.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 40%	27%	5%	17%	—	11%

With Wolf

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Milton Wolf (R)	Kathleen Sebelius (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 18–20, 2014	693	± 3.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 46%	39%	—	15%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Milton Wolf (R)	Chad Taylor (D)	Randall Batson (L)	Greg Orman (I)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 18–20, 2014	693	± 3.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 33%	32%	—	—	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided \| 35%
SurveyUSA	June 19–23, 2014	1068	± 3.1%	33%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 36%	6%	7%	—	18%
SurveyUSA	July 17–22, 2014	1,208	± 2.9%	33%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 34%	5%	14%	—	14%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Milton Wolf (R)	Patrick Wiesner (D)	Randall Batson (L)	Greg Orman (I)	Other	Undecided
SurveyUSA	June 19–23, 2014	1068	± 3.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 36%	30%	6%	8%	—	20%
SurveyUSA	July 17–22, 2014	1,208	± 2.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 35%	28%	5%	16%	—	16%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Independent

Douglas (Largest city: Lawrence)
Wyandotte (Largest city: Kansas City)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Independent

Shawnee (Largest city: Topeka)

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Atchison (Largest city: Atchison)

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2014 United States elections Шаблон:US Third Party Election

[Residency-1] Шаблон:Cite news

[2] Шаблон:Cite news

[PrimaryDate-3] Шаблон:Cite news

[4] Шаблон:Cite web

[roberts-5] Шаблон:Cite news

[newchallengers-6] 6,0 ^6,1 ^6,2 Шаблон:Cite web

[7] Шаблон:Cite web

[squashes-8] 8,0 ^8,1 Шаблон:Cite news

[9] Шаблон:Cite web

[10] Шаблон:Cite news

[passes-11] Шаблон:Cite news

[right-12] Шаблон:Cite news

[13] Шаблон:Cite web

[14] Шаблон:Cite news

[Taylor-15] Шаблон:Cite news

[16] Шаблон:Cite news

[17] Шаблон:Cite web

[18] Шаблон:Cite web

[19] Шаблон:Cite web

[20] Шаблон:Cite web

[DropsOut-21] Шаблон:Cite news

[22] Шаблон:Citation

[23] Шаблон:Cite web

[24] Шаблон:Cite news

[25] Шаблон:Cite news

[26] Шаблон:Cite news

[27] Шаблон:Cite news

[28] Шаблон:Cite web

[29] Шаблон:Cite web

[30] Шаблон:Cite web

[31] Шаблон:Cite web

[32] Шаблон:Cite web

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Английская Википедия:2014 United States Senate election in Kansas

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Independents

Candidates

Declared

General election

Campaign

Fundraising

Debates

Endorsements

Predictions

Polling

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Independent

Counties that flipped from Republican to Independent

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Notes

References

External links

Навигация

Поиск