Английская Википедия:2014 United States Senate election in Minnesota

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsMN The 2014 United States Senate election in Minnesota was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Minnesota, concurrently with the election of the Governor of Minnesota, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic–Farmer–Labor Senator Al Franken ran for re-election to a second term. Primary elections were held on August 12, 2014, in which Franken was renominated and the Republicans picked financial executive Mike McFadden. In the general election, Franken defeated him and Independence Party nominee Steve Carlson and Heather Johnson of the Libertarian Party with 53% of the vote. As of 2023, this is the last time that a man won a United States Senate election in Minnesota.

Background

Franken challenged incumbent Republican Senator Norm Coleman in 2008. When the initial count was completed on November 18, Franken was trailing Coleman by 215 votes.[1][2] This close margin triggered a mandatory recount.[3][4] After reviewing ballots that had been challenged during the recount and counting 953 wrongly rejected absentee ballots, the State Canvassing Board officially certified the recount results with Franken holding a 225-vote lead.[5][6]

On January 6, 2009, Coleman's campaign filed an election contest and on April 13, a three-judge panel dismissed Coleman's Notice of Contest and ruled that Franken had won the election by 312 votes.[7] Coleman's appeal of the panel's decision to the Minnesota Supreme Court was unanimously rejected on June 30,[8] and he conceded the election.[9] Franken was sworn in as Minnesota's junior senator on July 7, 2009.[10]

Because Franken's margin of victory was so slim, the seat was initially thought to be a top target for Republicans, but Politico reported in a May 2013 article that Franken's high approval rating, his large war chest, and the Republicans' struggle to find a top-tier candidate meant that Franken was the "heavy favorite" in the 2014 election.[11]

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

At the Republican State Convention on May 30–31, 2014, after ten ballots, Mike McFadden received the party's endorsement. Chris Dahlberg, Monti Moreno, Julianne Ortman and Phillip Parrish had all sought the endorsement but withdrew in favor of McFadden. Only Jim Abeler continued in the race and contested the August primary against McFadden.[14][15] David Carlson did not participate in the convention after a dispute with party leadership over nominating petitions.[16] He, Patrick D. Munro and Ole Savior also appeared on the ballot.

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll
source
Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Jim
Abeler
David
Carlson
Chris
Dahlberg
David
Latvaaho
Mike
McFadden
Monti
Moreno
Julianne
Ortman
Phillip
Parrish
Harold
Shudlick
Other Undecided
PPP October 27–29, 2013 305 ±5.7% 12% 10% 11% 2% 12% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 53%
TPC February 28–March 1, 2014 400 ±4.9% 8% 4% 8% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 16% 0% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 52%
Suffolk April 24–28, 2014 800 ± ? 8% 1% 2% 1% 12% 0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 14% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 63%
SurveyUSA June 5–9, 2014 404 ± 5% 16% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% 19% 21%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Republican primary
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Michele
Bachmann
Laura
Brod
Chip
Cravaack
John
Kline
Erik
Paulsen
Rich
Stanek
Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 18–20, 2013 275 ± 5.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% 4% 13% 19% 11% 2% 6%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Independence primary

The Independence Party of Minnesota state convention was held on May 17, 2014, at Minnesota State University, Mankato.[37] Businessman Kevin Terrell won the party's endorsement, but lost the primary to Steve Carlson. Carlson did not ask for an endorsement from the Independence Party and self-identifies with the Tea party.[38] For their part, the Independence Party has disowned Carlson, who has defended Todd Akin's controversial "legitimate rape" comments and said that George Zimmerman "provided a valuable service" by killing Trayvon Martin.[39]

Candidates

Declared

  • Jack Shepard, dentist, convicted felon, fugitive and perennial candidate[40]
  • Kevin Terrell, business consultant[41]

Withdrew

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Libertarian convention

The Libertarian Party of Minnesota state convention was held on April 26, 2014, in Maple Grove.[44]

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[46] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[48] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[49] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Al
Franken (DFL)
Mike
McFadden (R)
Steve
Carlson (IP)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 17–19, 2013 712 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 36% 13%
Public Policy Polling October 27–29, 2013 895 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 38% 13%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV February 25–27, 2014 545 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 40% 11%
Suffolk University April 24–28, 2014 800 ± ? Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 29% 7% 20%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV June 5–9, 2014 1,017 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 42% 5%[50] 5%
Public Policy Polling June 12–15, 2014 633 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 38% 13%
Gravis Marketing July 2–3, 2014 879 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 35% 13%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 3,185 ± 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 40% 2% 4%
Rasmussen Reports August 13–14, 2014 750 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 42% 2% 6%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV August 19–21, 2014 600 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 42% 2% 2% 3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov Шаблон:Nowrap 3,607 ± 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 41% 1% 9%
Mason-Dixon/Star Tribune September 8–10, 2014 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 36% 3% 1% 11%
Rasmussen Reports September 29–30, 2014 750 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 41% 3% 6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov Шаблон:Nowrap 2,562 ± 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 42% 0% 8%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV Шаблон:Nowrap 577 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 37% 3% 2%[51] 3%
Public Opinion Strategies Шаблон:Webarchive October 5–7, 2014 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 39% 15%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV October 14–16, 2014 597 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 38% 3% 3%[52] 3%
Mason-Dixon/Star Tribune October 20–22, 2014 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 39% 3% 1% 9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 2,430 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 41% 1% 7%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV October 27–30, 2014 596 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 40% 4% 3%[52] 3%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Al
Franken (DFL)
Jim
Abeler (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 27–29, 2013 895 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 39% 11%
SurveyUSA February 25–27, 2014 545 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 37% 14%
Suffolk April 24–28, 2014 800 ± ? Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 29% 8% 19%
SurveyUSA June 5–9, 2014 1,017 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 39% 8%[53] 5%
Public Policy Polling June 12–15, 2014 633 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 39% 11%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Al
Franken (DFL)
Michele
Bachmann (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 21–22, 2012 1,236 ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% 39% 7%
Public Policy Polling May 31 – June 3, 2012 973 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 57% 35% 8%
Public Policy Polling September 10–11, 2012 824 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 40% 7%
Public Policy Polling October 5–8, 2012 937 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 37% 8%
Public Policy Polling January 18–20, 2013 1,065 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% 40% 7%
Public Policy Polling May 17–19, 2013 712 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 38% 7%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Al
Franken (DFL)
David
Carlson (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 12–15, 2014 633 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 38% 13%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Al
Franken (DFL)
Norm
Coleman (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 31 – June 3, 2012 973 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 41% 8%
Public Policy Polling September 10–11, 2012 824 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 43% 6%
Public Policy Polling October 5–8, 2012 937 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 41% 8%
Public Policy Polling January 18–20, 2013 1,065 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 44% 7%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Al
Franken (DFL)
Chris
Dahlberg (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 27–29, 2013 895 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 39% 12%
SurveyUSA February 25–27, 2014 545 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 41% 10%
Suffolk April 24–28, 2014 800 ± ? Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 28% 8% 20%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Al
Franken (DFL)
John
Kline (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 18–20, 2013 1,065 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 41% 11%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Al
Franken (DFL)
Jason
Lewis (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 17–19, 2013 712 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% 37% 9%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Al
Franken (DFL)
Monti
Moreno (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 27–29, 2013 895 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 36% 15%
SurveyUSA February 25–27, 2014 545 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 36% 15%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Al
Franken (DFL)
Patrick
Munro (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 12–15, 2014 633 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 35% 15%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Al
Franken (DFL)
Julianne
Ortman (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 17–19, 2013 712 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 35% 14%
Public Policy Polling October 27–29, 2013 895 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 37% 14%
SurveyUSA February 25–27, 2014 545 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 41% 10%
Suffolk April 24–28, 2014 800 ± ? Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 29% 7% 20%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Al
Franken (DFL)
Erik
Paulsen (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 18–20, 2013 1,065 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 39% 11%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Al
Franken (DFL)
Tim
Pawlenty (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 21–22, 2012 1,236 ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 43% 8%
Public Policy Polling May 31 – June 3, 2012 973 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 41% 7%
Public Policy Polling September 10–11, 2012 824 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 43% 7%
Public Policy Polling October 5–8, 2012 937 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 42% 7%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Al
Franken (DFL)
Julie
Rosen (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 17–19, 2013 712 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 36% 12%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Al
Franken (DFL)
Ole
Savior (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 12–15, 2014 633 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 33% 17%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Al
Franken (DFL)
Harold
Shudlick (R)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA February 25–27, 2014 545 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 36% 14%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Al
Franken (DFL)
Rich
Stanek (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 17–19, 2013 712 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 36% 13%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Шаблон:Minnesota elections Шаблон:2014 United States elections Шаблон:Al Franken