Английская Википедия:2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in North Carolina sidebar

The 2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of North Carolina, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary took place on May 6, 2014.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Kay Hagan ran for re-election to a second term in office and lost to Republican Thom Tillis, Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives by about 45,000 votes and a margin of 1.6%.[1] This made the election the second-closest race of the 2014 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in Virginia.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Kay Hagan, incumbent U.S. Senator[2][3]
  • Ernest T. Reeves,[4] retired U.S. Army captain[5]
  • Will Stewart, small business owner[6]

Withdrew

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

The eight Republican candidates on the 2014 U.S. Senate primary ballot were the most in party history in North Carolina, more than the seven on the ballot in the 2002 Republican primary won by Elizabeth Dole.[9]

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Primary
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Ted
Alexander
Alex
Bradshaw
Greg
Brannon
Heather
Grant
Mark
Harris
Edward
Kryn
Jim
Snyder
Thom
Tillis
Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 6–9, 2014 305 ± 5.6% 10% 13% 13% 8% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 20% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 34%
American Insights February 11–15, 2014 168 ± 7.6% 4% 4% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 11% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 74%
Public Policy Polling March 6–9, 2014 392 ± 5% 7% 6% 14% 11% 7% 1% 4% 14% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 36%
SurveyUSA March 17–19, 2014 405 ± 5% 7% 4% 15% 11% 6% 3% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 28% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 23%
SurveyUSA March 19–23, 2014 405 ± 5% 1% 2% 13% 5% 9% 0% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 27% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 38%
SurveyUSA March 27–31, 2014 433 ± 4.8% 6% 1% 15% 6% 11% 2% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 23% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 34%
Public Policy Polling April 3–6, 2014 314 ± 5.5% 6% 5% 15% 7% 11% 1% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 18% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 34%
SurveyUSA April 16–22, 2014 392 ± 5% 1% 1% 20% 2% 15% 2% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 39% 19%
Public Policy Polling April 26–28, 2014 694 ± 3.7% 2% 1% 20% 5% 11% 2% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% 12%
Public Policy Polling May 3–4, 2014 925 ± 3.2% 2% 0% 28% 4% 15% 1% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 40% 11%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Phil
Berger
Greg
Brannon
Jim
Cain
Renee
Ellmers
Bill
Flynn
Virginia
Foxx
Heather
Grant
Mark
Harris
Thom
Tillis
Lynn
Wheeler
Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 12–14, 2013 374 ± 5.1% 11% 7% 8% 9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 23% 4% 9% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 27%
Public Policy Polling July 12–14, 2013 373 ± 5.1% 11% 7% 11% 11% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 16% 1% 5% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 35%
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 22% 18% 21% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 39%
25% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 32% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 43%
Public Policy Polling August 8–11, 2013 344 ± 5.3% 9% 7% 9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 18% 4% 4% 8% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 40%
22% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 23% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 56%
Public Policy Polling September 6–9, 2013 311 ± 5.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 13% 6% 11% 8% 5% 12% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 43%
Public Policy Polling November 8–11, 2013 498 ± 4.4% 11% 8% 14% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 20% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 47%
Public Policy Polling December 5–8, 2013 529 ± 4.3% 11% 8% 11% 12% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 13% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 44%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 575 ± 4.1% 11% 7% 11% 8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 19% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 44%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Phil
Berger
Cherie
Berry
Greg
Brannon
Renee
Ellmers
Terry
Embler
Dan
Forest
Virginia
Foxx
George
Holding
Patrick
McHenry
Thom
Tillis
Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 7–10, 2013 518 ± 4.3% 7% 18% 5% 10% 1% 18% 3% 10% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 27%
Public Policy Polling March 7–10, 2013 530 ± 4.3% 8% 12% 4% 10% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 18% 13% 7% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 24%
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013 468 ± 4.5% 11% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 18% 6% 12% 1% 13% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 32%
Public Policy Polling May 17–20, 2013 366 ± 5.1% 10% 14% 7% 10% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 15% 6% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 38%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Phil
Berger
Renee
Ellmers
Virginia
Foxx
George
Holding
Richard
Hudson
Patrick
McHenry
Mark
Meadows
Sue
Myrick
Robert
Pittenger
Thom
Tillis
Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 6–9, 2012 462 ± 4.6% 11% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 17% 9% 6% 13% 4% 14% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 25%
Public Policy Polling January 10–13, 2013 449 ± 4.6% 5% 11% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 21% 2% 5% 15% 6% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 33%
Runoff

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Greg
Brannon
Thom
Tillis
Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 26–28, 2014 694 ± 3.7% 32% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% 18%
Public Policy Polling May 3–4, 2014 925 ± 3.2% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% 14%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Mark
Harris
Thom
Tillis
Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 26–28, 2014 694 ± 3.7% 27% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 53% 20%
Public Policy Polling May 3–4, 2014 925 ± 3.2% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% 16%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Файл:North Carolina Senate Republican Primary, 2014.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Other parties

Certified write-in candidates

General election

Candidates

Outside spending

In July 2014, Jim Morrill of The Charlotte Observer calculated that as of the end of June, more than $26 million had been spent by outside advocacy groups on the election, with $17 million of it attacking Hagan or supporting Tillis and less than $9 million supporting Hagan or attacking Tillis. By contrast, outside groups spent $25 million during the entire 2008 election. He reported that only $11.4 million had been reported to the FEC, with the rest of the "dark money" coming from groups that did not have to disclose their donors. 27% of the money spent supporting Tillis came from groups required to disclose their donors whereas 69% of the money supporting Hagan did so.[35]

OpenSecrets placed the final cost of outside spending at $8.5 million for Hagan and $35.5 million attacking Tillis, and $13.7 million for Tillis and $20.9 million attacking Hagan, placing the totals by candidate at $44 million for Hagan, and $34.6 million for Tillis.[36]

Debates

Three televised debates between the candidates were held: the first on September 3 moderated by Norah O'Donnell of CBS, the second on October 7 moderated by George Stephanopoulos of ABC, and the third (the only one to feature Sean Haugh) on October 9 moderated by Jon Evans of WECT-TV.[37]

Video of the first debate is available here, with the second here and the third here.

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[38] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[40] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[41] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kay
Hagan (D)
Thom
Tillis (R)
Sean
Haugh (L)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 6–9, 2012 578 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 38% 14%
Public Policy Polling January 10–13, 2013 608 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 37% 16%
Public Policy Polling February 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 38% 16%
Public Policy Polling March 7–10, 2013 611 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 36% 14%
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013 601 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 39% 11%
Public Policy Polling May 17–20, 2013 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 41% 11%
Public Policy Polling June 12–14, 2013 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 40% 15%
Public Policy Polling July 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 38% 12%
Public Policy Polling August 8–11, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 39% 14%
Public Policy Polling September 6–9, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 36% 14%
Public Policy Polling October 4–6, 2013 746 ± ?% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 40% 13%
Public Policy Polling November 8–11, 2013 701 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 42% 14%
Public Policy Polling December 5–8, 2013 1,281 ± 2.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 42% 14%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 1,384 ± 2.6% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% 15%
Harper Polling January 20–21, 2014 778 ± 3.51% 44% 44% 12%
Rasmussen Reports January 22–23, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 3% 10%
Public Policy Polling February 6–9, 2014 708 ± 3.7% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% 17%
American Insights February 11–15, 2014 611 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 38% 35% 26%
Hickman Analytics February 17–20, 2014 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 41% 13%
Public Policy Polling March 6–9, 2014 884 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 43% 13%
SurveyUSA March 27–31, 2014 1,489 ± 2.6% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% 9%
Public Policy Polling April 3–6, 2014 740 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% 41% 16%
New York Times/Kaiser Family April 8–15, 2014 900 ± ? Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% 40% 5% 14%
Magellan Strategies April 14–15, 2014 804 ± 3.46% 43% 43% 8% 6%
Rasmussen Reports May 7–8, 2014 750 ± 4% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% 5% 7%
Public Policy Polling May 9–11, 2014 877 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 38% 36% 11% 15%
41% 41% 18%
Civitas Institute May 20–22, 2014 600 ± 4% 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 39% 8% 15%
41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% 12%
Magellan Strategies June 5–8, 2014 700 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 46% 7%
Public Policy Polling June 12–15, 2014 1,076 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 39% 34% 11% 16%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% 38% 20%
Civitas Institute June 18–19 & 22, 2014 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% 36% 9% 12%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 43% 9%
Public Policy Polling July 17–20, 2014 1,062 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% 34% 8% 16%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% 39% 19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 2,678 ± 3.5% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% 2% 7%
Gravis Marketing July 22–27, 2014 1,380 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 41% 15%
Civitas Institute July 28–29, 2014 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% 39% 7% 12%
43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% 10%
Rasmussen Reports August 5–6, 2014 750 ± 4% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% 6% 9%
Public Policy Polling August 14–17, 2014 856 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% 38% 8% 13%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% 42% 14%
Suffolk University August 16–19, 2014 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45.4% 43% 5.2% 6.4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 2014 2,059 ± 3% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% 5% 0% 10%
Garin-Hart-Yang September 3–6, 2014 802 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 45% 7%
Elon University September 5–9, 2014 629 LV ± 3.91% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44.9% 40.8% 9.1% 5.2%
983 RV ± 3.13% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42.7% 36.8% 10.7% 9.8%
American Insights September 5–10, 2014 459 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 36% 6% 13%
Rasmussen Reports September 8–10, 2014 1,000 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 39% 6% 9%
Civitas Institute September 9–10, 2014 490 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 43% 5% 6%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 46% 7%
Public Policy Polling September 11–14, 2014 1,266 ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 40% 5% 11%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 42% 12%
Fox News September 14–16, 2014 605 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% 36% 6% 13%
High Point University September 13–18, 2014 410 ± 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% 40% 6% 12%
Global Strategy Group September 16–18, 2014 600 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 41% 5% 9%
Gravis Marketing September 22–23, 2014 860 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 42% 12%
CNN/ORC September 22–25, 2014 595 LV ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 43% 7% 4%
860 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 39% 9% 6%
Civitas September 25, 27–28, 2014 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 41% 4% 1% 8%
860 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 43% 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 2014 2,002 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 45% 2% 1% 6%
Greenberg Quinlan RosnerШаблон:Dead link September 25 – October 1, 2014 1,000 ± 2.09% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 41% 14%
NBC News/Marist September 27 – October 1, 2014 665 LV ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 40% 7% <1% 9%
1,132 RV ± 2.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% 37% 8% 1% 12%
Morey Group October 1–6, 2014 956 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 40.1% 37.8% 2% 20.2%
Suffolk University October 4–7, 2014 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46.8% 45.4% 4.4% 3.4%
Rasmussen Reports October 6–7, 2014 970 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 46% 2% 4%
High Point University Шаблон:Nowrap 584 ± 4.1% 39.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 40.4% 7% 13%
SurveyUSA October 10–12, 2014 554 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 41% 7% 8%
45% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% 9%
Civitas Institute October 15–18, 2014 600 ± 4% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% 6% 11%
44% 44% 12%
Gravis Marketing October 16–18, 2014 1,022 ± 3% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 9%
Public Policy Polling October 16–18, 2014 780 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 43% 5% 7%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 44% 8%
SurveyUSA October 16–20, 2014 568 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 43% 6% 5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 1,910 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 41% 2% 0% 13%
NBC News/Marist October 19–23, 2014 756 LV ± 3.6% 43% 43% 7% <1% 6%
1,070 RV ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% 40% 8% 1% 9%
SurveyUSA October 21–25, 2014 802 ± 4% 44% 44% 5% 3% 5%
Elon University October 21–25, 2014 687 LV ± 3.74% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44.7% 40.7% 6.3% 6.6%
996 RV ± 3.11% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44.8% 37.5% 7.7% 8.5%
Monmouth University October 23–26, 2014 432 ± 4.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 46% 1% 4%
Vox Populi October 26–27, 2014 615 ± 3.95% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 9%
Public Policy Polling October 28–29, 2014 657 ± ? Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 46% 4% 3%
Rasmussen Reports October 28–29, 2014 982 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 46% 3% 3%
CNN/ORC October 27–30, 2014 559 LV ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 46% 4% 2%
896 RV ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 41% 8% 4%
Fox News October 28–30, 2014 909 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% 42% 4% 1% 9%
Harper Polling October 28–30, 2014 511 ± 4.34% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% 6% 4%
45% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 7%
Civitas Institute October 29–30, 2014 600 ± 4% 41% 41% 6% 10%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 44% 11%
Gravis Marketing October 29–30, 2014 1,006 ± 3% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 8%
YouGov October 25–31, 2014 1,727 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 41% 3% 12%
Public Policy Polling October 30–31, 2014 738 ± ? Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 45% 4% 5%
Public Policy Polling November 1–3, 2014 1,333 ± 2.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 44% 5% 6%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 46% 6%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kay
Hagan (D)
Ted
Alexander (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 6–9, 2014 708 ± 3.7% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% 17%
Public Policy Polling March 6–9, 2014 884 ± 3.3% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% 12%
SurveyUSA March 27–31, 2014 1,489 ± 2.6% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% 10%
Public Policy Polling April 3–6, 2014 740 ± 3.6% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% 15%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kay
Hagan (D)
Phil
Berger (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 10–13, 2013 608 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 38% 15%
Public Policy Polling February 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 38% 13%
Public Policy Polling March 7–10, 2013 611 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 37% 12%
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013 601 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 39% 13%
Public Policy Polling May 17–20, 2013 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 42% 12%
Public Policy Polling June 12–14, 2013 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 40% 17%
Public Policy Polling July 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 39% 12%
Public Policy Polling August 8–11, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 39% 14%
Public Policy Polling September 6–9, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 36% 11%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kay
Hagan (D)
Cherie K.
Berry (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 38% 16%
Public Policy Polling March 7–10, 2013 611 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 38% 12%
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013 601 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 41% 13%
Public Policy Polling May 17–20, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 45% 45% 9%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kay
Hagan (D)
Alex
Bradshaw (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 6–9, 2014 884 ± 3.3% 43% 43% 14%
Public Policy Polling April 3–6, 2014 740 ± 3.6% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% 17%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kay
Hagan (D)
Greg
Brannon (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 35% 17%
Public Policy Polling March 7–10, 2013 611 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 36% 13%
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013 601 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 36% 15%
Public Policy Polling May 17–20, 2013 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 40% 11%
Public Policy Polling June 12–14, 2013 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 40% 15%
Public Policy Polling July 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 39% 12%
Public Policy Polling August 8–11, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 38% 15%
Public Policy Polling September 6–9, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 36% 12%
Public Policy Polling October 4–6, 2013 746 ± ?% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 40% 14%
Public Policy Polling November 8–11, 2013 701 ± 4% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% 14%
Public Policy Polling December 5–8, 2013 1,281 ± 2.7% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% 11%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 1,384 ± 2.6% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% 16%
Rasmussen Reports January 22–23, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% 4% 14%
Public Policy Polling February 6–9, 2014 708 ± 3.7% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% 17%
American Insights February 11–15, 2014 611 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 38% 36% 26%
Public Policy Polling March 6–9, 2014 884 ± 3.3% 43% 43% 14%
SurveyUSA March 27–31, 2014 1,489 ± 2.6% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 9%
Public Policy Polling April 3–6, 2014 740 ± 3.6% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% 18%
New York Times/Kaiser Family April 8–15, 2014 900 ± ? Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% 39% 4% 17%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kay
Hagan (D)
James P.
Cain (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 17–20, 2013 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 41% 11%
Public Policy Polling June 12–14, 2013 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 38% 16%
Public Policy Polling July 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 36% 15%
Public Policy Polling August 8–11, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 39% 14%
Public Policy Polling September 6–9, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 37% 13%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kay
Hagan (D)
Renee
Ellmers (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 6–9, 2012 578 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 39% 19%
Public Policy Polling January 10–13, 2013 608 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 40% 14%
Public Policy Polling February 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 38% 15%
Public Policy Polling March 7–10, 2013 611 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 36% 15%
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013 601 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 40% 12%
Public Policy Polling May 17–20, 2013 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 39% 12%
Public Policy Polling June 12–14, 2013 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 39% 15%
Public Policy Polling July 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 36% 14%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kay
Hagan (D)
Terry
Embler (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 33% 20%
Public Policy Polling March 7–10, 2013 611 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 33% 15%
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013 601 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 37% 16%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kay
Hagan (D)
Bill
Flynn (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 5–8, 2013 1,281 ± 2.7% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% 12%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 1,384 ± 2.6% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% 15%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kay
Hagan (D)
Dan
Forest (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 7–10, 2013 611 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 40% 11%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kay
Hagan (D)
Virginia
Foxx (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 6–9, 2012 578 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 39% 12%
Public Policy Polling January 10–13, 2013 608 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 40% 13%
Public Policy Polling February 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 38% 15%
Public Policy Polling March 7–10, 2013 611 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 37% 14%
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013 601 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 39% 13%
Public Policy Polling May 17–20, 2013 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 42% 10%
Public Policy Polling June 12–14, 2013 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 39% 15%
Public Policy Polling July 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 37% 13%
Public Policy Polling August 8–11, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 39% 13%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kay
Hagan (D)
Heather
Grant (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 8–11, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 37% 16%
Public Policy Polling September 6–9, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 36% 15%
Public Policy Polling November 8–11, 2013 701 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% 40% 17%
Public Policy Polling December 5–8, 2013 1,281 ± 2.7% 43% 43% 14%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 1,384 ± 2.6% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% 17%
Public Policy Polling February 6–9, 2014 708 ± 3.7% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 41% 20%
Public Policy Polling March 6–9, 2014 884 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% 42% 15%
SurveyUSA March 27–31, 2014 1,489 ± 2.6% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% 10%
Public Policy Polling April 3–6, 2014 740 ± 3.6% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% 19%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kay
Hagan (D)
Mark
Harris (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 17–20, 2013 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 40% 13%
Public Policy Polling June 12–14, 2013 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 37% 17%
Public Policy Polling July 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 35% 15%
Public Policy Polling August 8–11, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 37% 16%
Public Policy Polling September 6–9, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 36% 14%
Public Policy Polling October 4–6, 2013 746 ± ?% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 38% 16%
Public Policy Polling November 8–11, 2013 701 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% 41% 16%
Public Policy Polling December 5–8, 2013 1,281 ± 2.7% 43% 43% 14%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 1,384 ± 2.6% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% 16%
Harper Polling January 20–21, 2014 778 ± 3.51% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 40% 15%
Public Policy Polling February 6–9, 2014 708 ± 3.7% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% 18%
American Insights February 11–15, 2014 611 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 39% 35% 26%
Public Policy Polling March 6–9, 2014 884 ± 3.3% 43% 43% 14%
SurveyUSA March 27–31, 2014 1,489 ± 2.6% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 10%
Public Policy Polling April 3–6, 2014 740 ± 3.6% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% 17%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kay
Hagan (D)
George
Holding (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 6–9, 2012 578 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 39% 13%
Public Policy Polling January 10–13, 2013 608 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 37% 18%
Public Policy Polling February 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 36% 19%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kay
Hagan (D)
Edward
Kryn (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 6–9, 2014 708 ± 3.7% 40% 40% 20%
Public Policy Polling March 6–9, 2014 884 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% 41% 16%
Public Policy Polling April 3–6, 2014 740 ± 3.6% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 41% 19%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kay
Hagan (D)
Patrick
McHenry (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 6–9, 2012 578 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 40% 12%
Public Policy Polling January 10–13, 2013 608 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 39% 16%
Public Policy Polling February 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 40% 15%
Public Policy Polling March 7–10, 2013 611 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 39% 12%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kay
Hagan (D)
Sue
Myrick (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 6–9, 2012 578 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 44% 11%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kay
Hagan (D)
Robert
Pittenger (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 10–13, 2013 608 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 38% 16%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kay
Hagan (D)
Jim
Snyder (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 6–9, 2014 884 ± 3.3% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% 15%
Public Policy Polling April 3–6, 2014 740 ± 3.6% 41% 41% 18%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Kay
Hagan (D)
Lynn
Wheeler (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 12–14, 2013 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 36% 19%
Public Policy Polling July 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 34% 17%
Public Policy Polling August 8–11, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 36% 17%
Public Policy Polling September 6–9, 2013 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 35% 17%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Шаблон:Portal

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:Elections in North Carolina footer Шаблон:2014 United States elections

  1. Шаблон:Cite web
  2. CNN: Sen. Kay Hagan to run again in 2014
  3. 3,0 3,1 3,2 3,3 3,4 3,5 Шаблон:Cite web
  4. 4,0 4,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  5. News & Observer: 2 long-shot Democrats challenge Kay Hagan
  6. News & Observer: Kay Hagan gets a challenger
  7. Шаблон:Cite web
  8. SenatorWestphal.com Шаблон:Webarchive - on his site, Westphal wrote: "I could not raise the $1470 filing fee for the Senate race in North Carolina, therefore, I am heading to Fort Myers on February 28th. It is my intention to file for the House of Representatives in the 11th District, which Шаблон:Sic the Fort Myers area."
  9. Шаблон:Cite web
  10. Shelby Star
  11. Dr. Greg Brannon steps up to challenge Hagan in 2014
  12. Heather Grant to run for U.S. Senate seat - journalpatriot: News
  13. Шаблон:Cite web
  14. [1] Шаблон:Webarchive
  15. WBTV/Associated Press
  16. WRAL/AP: Tillis says he'll run for US SenateШаблон:Dead link
  17. 17,0 17,1 17,2 17,3 Шаблон:Cite web
  18. Шаблон:Cite web
  19. Fox 8
  20. Шаблон:Cite web
  21. News & Observer Under the Dome: Phil Berger won't run for US Senate
  22. Шаблон:Cite web
  23. Шаблон:Cite news
  24. News & Observer Under the Dome: Pete Brunstetter says he won't seek US Senate seat
  25. Шаблон:Cite web
  26. House Republican Won't Run for Senate #NCSEN | At the Races
  27. Шаблон:Cite web
  28. Шаблон:Cite news
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  37. News & Observer: What NC voters might learn from final Hagan-Tillis debates
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  41. Шаблон:Cite web