Английская Википедия:2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina
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The 2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of North Carolina, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary took place on May 6, 2014.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Kay Hagan ran for re-election to a second term in office and lost to Republican Thom Tillis, Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives by about 45,000 votes and a margin of 1.6%.[1] This made the election the second-closest race of the 2014 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in Virginia.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Kay Hagan, incumbent U.S. Senator[2][3]
- Ernest T. Reeves,[4] retired U.S. Army captain[5]
- Will Stewart, small business owner[6]
Withdrew
- Fred Westphal, retired University of Miami professor and political activist[7][8]
Results
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Republican primary
Candidates
The eight Republican candidates on the 2014 U.S. Senate primary ballot were the most in party history in North Carolina, more than the seven on the ballot in the 2002 Republican primary won by Elizabeth Dole.[9]
Declared
- Ted Alexander, former mayor of Shelby[10]
- Alex Bradshaw[4]
- Greg Brannon, physician and Tea Party activist[11]
- Heather Grant, nurse practitioner[12]
- Mark Harris, pastor of First Baptist Church of Charlotte and president of the Baptist State Convention of North Carolina[13]
- Edward Kryn, retired physician[14]
- James Snyder Jr., former state representative, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2002 and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2004[15]
- Thom Tillis, Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives[3][16]
Withdrew
- Terry Embler, police detective[17][18]
- Bill Flynn, radio host and candidate for North Carolina's 6th congressional district in 2012[19][20]
Declined
- Phil Berger, President pro tempore of the North Carolina Senate[3][17][21]
- Cherie K. Berry, North Carolina Commissioner of Labor[22]
- Peter S. Brunstetter, state senator[23][24]
- James P. Cain, attorney and former United States Ambassador to Denmark[3][25]
- Renee Ellmers, U.S. Representative[26]
- Dan Forest, Lieutenant Governor of North Carolina[27]
- Virginia Foxx, U.S. Representative[28]
- George Holding, U.S. Representative[17]
- Patrick McHenry, U.S. Representative[29]
- Sue Myrick, former U.S. Representative and former Mayor of Charlotte[3]
- Robert Pittenger, U.S. Representative[17]
- Kieran Shanahan, attorney[3]
- Lynn Wheeler, former member of the Charlotte City Council and former mayor pro tempore of Charlotte[30]
Endorsements
Polling
- Primary
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Ted Alexander |
Alex Bradshaw |
Greg Brannon |
Heather Grant |
Mark Harris |
Edward Kryn |
Jim Snyder |
Thom Tillis |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 6–9, 2014 | 305 | ± 5.6% | 10% | — | 13% | 13% | 8% | 2% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 20% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 34% |
American Insights | February 11–15, 2014 | 168 | ± 7.6% | — | — | 4% | 4% | 7% | — | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 74% |
Public Policy Polling | March 6–9, 2014 | 392 | ± 5% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 14% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 36% |
SurveyUSA | March 17–19, 2014 | 405 | ± 5% | 7% | 4% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 28% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 23% |
SurveyUSA | March 19–23, 2014 | 405 | ± 5% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 5% | 9% | 0% | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 27% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 38% |
SurveyUSA | March 27–31, 2014 | 433 | ± 4.8% | 6% | 1% | 15% | 6% | 11% | 2% | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 23% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 34% |
Public Policy Polling | April 3–6, 2014 | 314 | ± 5.5% | 6% | 5% | 15% | 7% | 11% | 1% | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 18% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 34% |
SurveyUSA | April 16–22, 2014 | 392 | ± 5% | 1% | 1% | 20% | 2% | 15% | 2% | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 39% | 19% |
Public Policy Polling | April 26–28, 2014 | 694 | ± 3.7% | 2% | 1% | 20% | 5% | 11% | 2% | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | May 3–4, 2014 | 925 | ± 3.2% | 2% | 0% | 28% | 4% | 15% | 1% | 1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 40% | 11% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Phil Berger |
Cherie Berry |
Greg Brannon |
Renee Ellmers |
Terry Embler |
Dan Forest |
Virginia Foxx |
George Holding |
Patrick McHenry |
Thom Tillis |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 7–10, 2013 | 518 | ± 4.3% | 7% | 18% | 5% | 10% | 1% | — | 18% | 3% | 10% | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 27% |
Public Policy Polling | March 7–10, 2013 | 530 | ± 4.3% | 8% | 12% | 4% | 10% | 1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 18% | 13% | — | 7% | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 24% |
Public Policy Polling | April 11–14, 2013 | 468 | ± 4.5% | 11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 18% | 6% | 12% | 1% | — | 13% | — | — | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 32% |
Public Policy Polling | May 17–20, 2013 | 366 | ± 5.1% | 10% | 14% | 7% | 10% | — | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 15% | — | — | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 38% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Phil Berger |
Renee Ellmers |
Virginia Foxx |
George Holding |
Richard Hudson |
Patrick McHenry |
Mark Meadows |
Sue Myrick |
Robert Pittenger |
Thom Tillis |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 6–9, 2012 | 462 | ± 4.6% | — | 11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 17% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 4% | 14% | — | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 25% |
Public Policy Polling | January 10–13, 2013 | 449 | ± 4.6% | 5% | 11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 21% | 2% | 5% | 15% | — | — | 6% | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 33% |
- Runoff
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Greg Brannon |
Thom Tillis |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | April 26–28, 2014 | 694 | ± 3.7% | 32% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% | 18% |
Public Policy Polling | May 3–4, 2014 | 925 | ± 3.2% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 14% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Mark Harris |
Thom Tillis |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | April 26–28, 2014 | 694 | ± 3.7% | 27% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 53% | 20% |
Public Policy Polling | May 3–4, 2014 | 925 | ± 3.2% | 34% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% | 16% |
Results
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Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Tim D'Annunzio, businessman, Republican candidate for NC-08 in 2010 and Republican nominee for NC-04 in 2012[31]
- Sean Haugh, pizza delivery man and nominee for the this seat in 2002[32]
Results
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Other parties
Certified write-in candidates
- Barry Gurney, small business owner[33]
- John W. Rhodes, former Republican state representative[33]
- David Waddell, Constitution Party member and former Indian Trail town councilman[33][34]
General election
Candidates
- Kay Hagan (D), incumbent U.S. Senator
- Sean Haugh (L), pizza delivery man and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2002
- Thom Tillis (R), Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives
Outside spending
In July 2014, Jim Morrill of The Charlotte Observer calculated that as of the end of June, more than $26 million had been spent by outside advocacy groups on the election, with $17 million of it attacking Hagan or supporting Tillis and less than $9 million supporting Hagan or attacking Tillis. By contrast, outside groups spent $25 million during the entire 2008 election. He reported that only $11.4 million had been reported to the FEC, with the rest of the "dark money" coming from groups that did not have to disclose their donors. 27% of the money spent supporting Tillis came from groups required to disclose their donors whereas 69% of the money supporting Hagan did so.[35]
OpenSecrets placed the final cost of outside spending at $8.5 million for Hagan and $35.5 million attacking Tillis, and $13.7 million for Tillis and $20.9 million attacking Hagan, placing the totals by candidate at $44 million for Hagan, and $34.6 million for Tillis.[36]
Debates
Three televised debates between the candidates were held: the first on September 3 moderated by Norah O'Donnell of CBS, the second on October 7 moderated by George Stephanopoulos of ABC, and the third (the only one to feature Sean Haugh) on October 9 moderated by Jon Evans of WECT-TV.[37]
Video of the first debate is available here, with the second here and the third here.
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[38] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg Political Report[40] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
Real Clear Politics[41] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kay Hagan (D) |
Thom Tillis (R) |
Sean Haugh (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 6–9, 2012 | 578 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 38% | — | — | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | January 10–13, 2013 | 608 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 37% | — | — | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | February 7–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 38% | — | — | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | March 7–10, 2013 | 611 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% | 36% | — | — | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | April 11–14, 2013 | 601 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 39% | — | — | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | May 17–20, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 41% | — | — | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | June 12–14, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | 40% | — | — | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | July 12–14, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 38% | — | — | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | August 8–11, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 39% | — | — | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | September 6–9, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% | 36% | — | — | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | October 4–6, 2013 | 746 | ± ?% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 40% | — | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | November 8–11, 2013 | 701 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% | 42% | — | — | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | December 5–8, 2013 | 1,281 | ± 2.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% | 42% | — | — | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 1,384 | ± 2.6% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | — | — | 15% |
Harper Polling | January 20–21, 2014 | 778 | ± 3.51% | 44% | 44% | — | — | 12% |
Rasmussen Reports | January 22–23, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | — | 3% | 10% |
Public Policy Polling | February 6–9, 2014 | 708 | ± 3.7% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% | — | — | 17% |
American Insights | February 11–15, 2014 | 611 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 38% | 35% | — | — | 26% |
Hickman Analytics | February 17–20, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | 41% | — | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | March 6–9, 2014 | 884 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | 43% | — | — | 13% |
SurveyUSA | March 27–31, 2014 | 1,489 | ± 2.6% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | — | — | 9% |
Public Policy Polling | April 3–6, 2014 | 740 | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% | 41% | — | — | 16% |
New York Times/Kaiser Family | April 8–15, 2014 | 900 | ± ? | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | 40% | — | 5% | 14% |
Magellan Strategies | April 14–15, 2014 | 804 | ± 3.46% | 43% | 43% | — | 8% | 6% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 7–8, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | — | 5% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling | May 9–11, 2014 | 877 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 38% | 36% | 11% | — | 15% |
41% | 41% | — | — | 18% | ||||
Civitas Institute | May 20–22, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 39% | 8% | — | 15% |
41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | — | — | 12% | ||||
Magellan Strategies | June 5–8, 2014 | 700 | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 46% | — | — | 7% |
Public Policy Polling | June 12–15, 2014 | 1,076 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 39% | 34% | 11% | — | 16% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | 38% | — | — | 20% | ||||
Civitas Institute | June 18–19 & 22, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | 36% | 9% | — | 12% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 43% | — | — | 9% | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 17–20, 2014 | 1,062 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% | 34% | 8% | — | 16% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | 39% | — | — | 19% | ||||
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 2,678 | ± 3.5% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | — | 2% | 7% |
Gravis Marketing | July 22–27, 2014 | 1,380 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% | 41% | — | — | 15% |
Civitas Institute | July 28–29, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% | 39% | 7% | — | 12% |
43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | — | — | 10% | ||||
Rasmussen Reports | August 5–6, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | — | 6% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling | August 14–17, 2014 | 856 | ± 3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | 38% | 8% | — | 13% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% | 42% | — | — | 14% | ||||
Suffolk University | August 16–19, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45.4% | 43% | 5.2% | — | 6.4% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 2,059 | ± 3% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 5% | 0% | 10% |
Garin-Hart-Yang | September 3–6, 2014 | 802 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 45% | — | — | 7% |
Elon University | September 5–9, 2014 | 629 LV | ± 3.91% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44.9% | 40.8% | — | 9.1% | 5.2% |
983 RV | ± 3.13% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42.7% | 36.8% | — | 10.7% | 9.8% | ||
American Insights | September 5–10, 2014 | 459 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 36% | 6% | — | 13% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 8–10, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | 39% | — | 6% | 9% |
Civitas Institute | September 9–10, 2014 | 490 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 43% | 5% | — | 6% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 46% | — | — | 7% | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 11–14, 2014 | 1,266 | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% | 40% | 5% | — | 11% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 42% | — | — | 12% | ||||
Fox News | September 14–16, 2014 | 605 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% | 36% | 6% | — | 13% |
High Point University | September 13–18, 2014 | 410 | ± 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | 40% | 6% | — | 12% |
Global Strategy Group | September 16–18, 2014 | 600 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | 41% | 5% | — | 9% |
Gravis Marketing | September 22–23, 2014 | 860 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 42% | — | — | 12% |
CNN/ORC | September 22–25, 2014 | 595 LV | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 43% | 7% | — | 4% |
860 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 39% | 9% | — | 6% | ||
Civitas | September 25, 27–28, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 41% | 4% | 1% | 8% |
860 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% | 43% | — | — | 8% | ||
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 2,002 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 6% |
Greenberg Quinlan RosnerШаблон:Dead link | September 25 – October 1, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 2.09% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | 41% | — | 14% | |
NBC News/Marist | September 27 – October 1, 2014 | 665 LV | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% | 40% | 7% | <1% | 9% |
1,132 RV | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 12% | ||
Morey Group | October 1–6, 2014 | 956 | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 40.1% | 37.8% | — | 2% | 20.2% |
Suffolk University | October 4–7, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46.8% | 45.4% | 4.4% | — | 3.4% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 6–7, 2014 | 970 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 46% | — | 2% | 4% |
High Point University | Шаблон:Nowrap | 584 | ± 4.1% | 39.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 40.4% | 7% | — | 13% |
SurveyUSA | October 10–12, 2014 | 554 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% | 41% | 7% | — | 8% |
45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | — | — | 9% | ||||
Civitas Institute | October 15–18, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% | 6% | — | 11% |
44% | 44% | — | — | 12% | ||||
Gravis Marketing | October 16–18, 2014 | 1,022 | ± 3% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | — | — | 9% |
Public Policy Polling | October 16–18, 2014 | 780 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 43% | 5% | — | 7% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 44% | — | — | 8% | ||||
SurveyUSA | October 16–20, 2014 | 568 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 43% | 6% | — | 5% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,910 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% | 41% | 2% | 0% | 13% |
NBC News/Marist | October 19–23, 2014 | 756 LV | ± 3.6% | 43% | 43% | 7% | <1% | 6% |
1,070 RV | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | 40% | 8% | 1% | 9% | ||
SurveyUSA | October 21–25, 2014 | 802 | ± 4% | 44% | 44% | 5% | 3% | 5% |
Elon University | October 21–25, 2014 | 687 LV | ± 3.74% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44.7% | 40.7% | — | 6.3% | 6.6% |
996 RV | ± 3.11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44.8% | 37.5% | — | 7.7% | 8.5% | ||
Monmouth University | October 23–26, 2014 | 432 | ± 4.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 46% | 1% | — | 4% |
Vox Populi | October 26–27, 2014 | 615 | ± 3.95% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | — | — | 9% |
Public Policy Polling | October 28–29, 2014 | 657 | ± ? | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 46% | 4% | — | 3% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 28–29, 2014 | 982 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 46% | — | 3% | 3% |
CNN/ORC | October 27–30, 2014 | 559 LV | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 46% | 4% | — | 2% |
896 RV | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 41% | 8% | — | 4% | ||
Fox News | October 28–30, 2014 | 909 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% | 42% | 4% | 1% | 9% |
Harper Polling | October 28–30, 2014 | 511 | ± 4.34% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 6% | — | 4% |
45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | — | — | 7% | ||||
Civitas Institute | October 29–30, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 41% | 41% | 6% | — | 10% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | 44% | — | — | 11% | ||||
Gravis Marketing | October 29–30, 2014 | 1,006 | ± 3% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | — | — | 8% |
YouGov | October 25–31, 2014 | 1,727 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% | 41% | — | 3% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | October 30–31, 2014 | 738 | ± ? | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 45% | 4% | — | 5% |
Public Policy Polling | November 1–3, 2014 | 1,333 | ± 2.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 44% | 5% | — | 6% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 46% | — | — | 6% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kay Hagan (D) |
Ted Alexander (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 6–9, 2014 | 708 | ± 3.7% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | 17% |
Public Policy Polling | March 6–9, 2014 | 884 | ± 3.3% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | 12% |
SurveyUSA | March 27–31, 2014 | 1,489 | ± 2.6% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 10% |
Public Policy Polling | April 3–6, 2014 | 740 | ± 3.6% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 15% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kay Hagan (D) |
Phil Berger (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | January 10–13, 2013 | 608 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 38% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | February 7–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | March 7–10, 2013 | 611 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% | 37% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | April 11–14, 2013 | 601 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 39% | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | May 17–20, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 42% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | June 12–14, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% | 40% | 17% |
Public Policy Polling | July 12–14, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | August 8–11, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 39% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | September 6–9, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% | 36% | 11% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kay Hagan (D) |
Cherie K. Berry (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 7–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 38% | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | March 7–10, 2013 | 611 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% | 38% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | April 11–14, 2013 | 601 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 41% | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | May 17–20, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 45% | 45% | 9% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kay Hagan (D) |
Alex Bradshaw (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 6–9, 2014 | 884 | ± 3.3% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | April 3–6, 2014 | 740 | ± 3.6% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% | 17% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kay Hagan (D) |
James P. Cain (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 17–20, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 41% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | June 12–14, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 38% | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | July 12–14, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 36% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | August 8–11, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 39% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | September 6–9, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% | 37% | 13% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kay Hagan (D) |
Renee Ellmers (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 6–9, 2012 | 578 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | 39% | 19% |
Public Policy Polling | January 10–13, 2013 | 608 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 40% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | February 7–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 38% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | March 7–10, 2013 | 611 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 36% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | April 11–14, 2013 | 601 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 40% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | May 17–20, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 39% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | June 12–14, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 39% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | July 12–14, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 36% | 14% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kay Hagan (D) |
Terry Embler (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 7–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 33% | 20% |
Public Policy Polling | March 7–10, 2013 | 611 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% | 33% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | April 11–14, 2013 | 601 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 37% | 16% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kay Hagan (D) |
Bill Flynn (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 5–8, 2013 | 1,281 | ± 2.7% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 1,384 | ± 2.6% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% | 15% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kay Hagan (D) |
Dan Forest (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 7–10, 2013 | 611 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% | 40% | 11% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kay Hagan (D) |
Virginia Foxx (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 6–9, 2012 | 578 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | January 10–13, 2013 | 608 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | February 7–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 38% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | March 7–10, 2013 | 611 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 37% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | April 11–14, 2013 | 601 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 39% | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | May 17–20, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 42% | 10% |
Public Policy Polling | June 12–14, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 39% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | July 12–14, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 37% | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | August 8–11, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 39% | 13% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kay Hagan (D) |
Heather Grant (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 8–11, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 37% | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | September 6–9, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 36% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | November 8–11, 2013 | 701 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% | 40% | 17% |
Public Policy Polling | December 5–8, 2013 | 1,281 | ± 2.7% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 1,384 | ± 2.6% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% | 17% |
Public Policy Polling | February 6–9, 2014 | 708 | ± 3.7% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 41% | 20% |
Public Policy Polling | March 6–9, 2014 | 884 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% | 42% | 15% |
SurveyUSA | March 27–31, 2014 | 1,489 | ± 2.6% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 10% |
Public Policy Polling | April 3–6, 2014 | 740 | ± 3.6% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 19% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kay Hagan (D) |
George Holding (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 6–9, 2012 | 578 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 39% | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | January 10–13, 2013 | 608 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | 37% | 18% |
Public Policy Polling | February 7–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 36% | 19% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kay Hagan (D) |
Edward Kryn (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 6–9, 2014 | 708 | ± 3.7% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
Public Policy Polling | March 6–9, 2014 | 884 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% | 41% | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | April 3–6, 2014 | 740 | ± 3.6% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 41% | 19% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kay Hagan (D) |
Patrick McHenry (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 6–9, 2012 | 578 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 40% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | January 10–13, 2013 | 608 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | 39% | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | February 7–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | 40% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | March 7–10, 2013 | 611 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kay Hagan (D) |
Sue Myrick (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 6–9, 2012 | 578 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | 44% | 11% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kay Hagan (D) |
Robert Pittenger (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | January 10–13, 2013 | 608 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 38% | 16% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kay Hagan (D) |
Jim Snyder (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 6–9, 2014 | 884 | ± 3.3% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | April 3–6, 2014 | 740 | ± 3.6% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kay Hagan (D) |
Lynn Wheeler (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 12–14, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | 36% | 19% |
Public Policy Polling | July 12–14, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 34% | 17% |
Public Policy Polling | August 8–11, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 36% | 17% |
Public Policy Polling | September 6–9, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 35% | 17% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Caswell (largest city: Yanceyville)
- Duplin (largest city: Wallace)
- Franklin (largest city: Wake Forest)
- Haywood (largest city: Waynesville)
- Jones (largest city: Maysville)
- Madison (largest city: Mars Hill)
- Montgomery (largest city: Troy)
- Chowan (largest municipality: Edenton)
- Columbus (largest municipality: Whiteville)
- Nash (largest municipality: Rocky Mount)
- New Hanover (largest municipality: Wilmington)
- Watauga (largest municipality: Boone)
- Alamance (largest municipality: Burlington)
- Brunswick (largest municipality: Leland)
- Greene (largest municipality: Snow Hill)
- Lee (largest municipality: Sanford)
- Person (largest municipality: Roxboro)
- Rockingham (largest municipality: Eden)
- Yancey (largest municipality: Burnsville)
- Pender (largest municipality: Hampstead)
- Sampson (largest municipality: Clinton)
- Swain (largest municipality: Cherokee)
- Washington (largest municipality: Plymouth)
See also
References
External links
- U.S. Senate elections in North Carolina, 2014 at Ballotpedia
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets
- Kay Hagan for U.S. Senate
- Thom Tillis for U.S. Senate
- Sean Haugh for U.S. Senate
- Barry Gurney for U.S. Senate
- John W. Rhodes for U.S. Senate
- David Waddell for U.S. Senate
Шаблон:Elections in North Carolina footer Шаблон:2014 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ CNN: Sen. Kay Hagan to run again in 2014
- ↑ 3,0 3,1 3,2 3,3 3,4 3,5 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 4,0 4,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ News & Observer: 2 long-shot Democrats challenge Kay Hagan
- ↑ News & Observer: Kay Hagan gets a challenger
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ SenatorWestphal.com Шаблон:Webarchive - on his site, Westphal wrote: "I could not raise the $1470 filing fee for the Senate race in North Carolina, therefore, I am heading to Fort Myers on February 28th. It is my intention to file for the House of Representatives in the 11th District, which Шаблон:Sic the Fort Myers area."
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Shelby Star
- ↑ Dr. Greg Brannon steps up to challenge Hagan in 2014
- ↑ Heather Grant to run for U.S. Senate seat - journalpatriot: News
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ [1] Шаблон:Webarchive
- ↑ WBTV/Associated Press
- ↑ WRAL/AP: Tillis says he'll run for US SenateШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ 17,0 17,1 17,2 17,3 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Fox 8
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ News & Observer Under the Dome: Phil Berger won't run for US Senate
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ News & Observer Under the Dome: Pete Brunstetter says he won't seek US Senate seat
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ House Republican Won't Run for Senate #NCSEN | At the Races
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 33,0 33,1 33,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ News & Observer: What NC voters might learn from final Hagan-Tillis debates
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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