Английская Википедия:2014 United States Senate election in Oregon
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsOR The 2014 United States Senate election in Oregon took place on November 4, 2014 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oregon, concurrently with the election of the Governor of Oregon, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Jeff Merkley successfully ran for reelection to a second term. Despite it being a national midterm Republican wave, this was actually his best Senate election in terms of margin of victory, winning by almost 20%.[1] Primary elections were held on May 20, 2014. Merkley easily won the Democratic nomination, while the Republicans nominated pediatric neurosurgeon Monica Wehby. Initially, the race was considered potentially competitive, but Wehby's campaign collapsed after she faced multiple allegations of stalking and harassment from former partners, and was found to have plagiarized portions of her campaign website.[2]
Background
Democrat Jeff Merkley, the Speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives, had narrowly defeated two-term Republican incumbent Gordon H. Smith with 49% of the vote in 2008.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- William Bryk, attorney from New York and perennial candidate[3]
- Pavel Goberman, fitness instructor and perennial candidate[4]
- Jeff Merkley, incumbent senator[1]
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Mark Callahan, information technology consultant and perennial candidate[5]
- Jason Conger, state representative[6]
- Tim Crawley, attorney[7]
- Jo Rae Perkins, former Chairwoman of the Linn County Republican Party and candidate for Mayor of Albany in 2010[5]
- Monica Wehby, pediatric neurosurgeon[8]
Withdrew
- Sam Carpenter, businessman[9]
Declined
- Bruce Hanna, state representative[10]
- Rick Miller, owner and founder of Avamere[11]
- Gordon H. Smith, former U.S. Senator[12]
- Greg Walden, U.S. Representative and Chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee[13]
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Mark Callahan |
Jason Conger |
Tim Crawley |
Jo Rae Perkins |
Monica Wehby |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benenson Strategy Group | April 14–17, 2014 | 410 | ± ? | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 24% | — | — | 22% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 55% |
| Wenzel Strategies | May 1–4, 2014 | 607 | ± ? | 4% | 22% | 3% | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 26% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | May 12–13, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.38% | 2% | 24% | 2% | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 41% | 26% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Independents
The filing deadline for independent candidates is August 26, 2014. In order to qualify, a candidate must submit 17,893 signatures of registered voters or obtain signatures from at least 1,000 electors at a valid assembly of electors.[14]
Candidates
Declared
- Karl King, massage therapist[15]
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 14, 2014
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[16] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[18] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[19] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Jeff Merkley (D) |
Monica Wehby (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling | April 1–2, 2014 | 670 | ± 3.91% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 34% | — | 20% |
| Benenson Strategy Group | April 14–17, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% | 32% | — | 16% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 21–22, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 37% | 5% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 22–27, 2014 | 956 | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% | 36% | — | 15% |
| The Tarrance Group* | June 1–3, 2014 | 615 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% | 39% | 9%[20] | 11% |
| SurveyUSA | June 5–9, 2014 | 560 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% | 32% | 9% | 9% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 2,088 | ± 2.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% | 39% | 1% | 7% |
| SurveyUSA | August 1–5, 2014 | 564 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% | 33% | 7% | 9% |
| Moore Information^ | August 5–9, 2014 | 500 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 38% | — | 16% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 1,541 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% | 39% | 1% | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 2–3, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 35% | 5% | 12% |
| Polling Company/WomanTrend | September 9–11, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | 34% | 7%[21] | 14% |
| SurveyUSA | September 22–24, 2014 | 568 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% | 32% | 8% | 8% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 1,508 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% | 39% | 1% | 8% |
| DHM Research | October 2014 | ? | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 26% | 6% | 19% |
| SurveyUSA | October 16–19, 2014 | 561 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% | 32% | 7% | 8% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,421 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% | 39% | 1% | 9% |
| SurveyUSA | October 23–27, 2014 | 552 | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% | 32% | 8% | 6% |
| Elway Research | October 26–27, 2014 | 403 | ± 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 30% | 3%[22] | 18% |
- ^ Internal poll for Dennis Richardson campaign
- * Internal poll for Monica Wehby campaign
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Jeff Merkley (D) |
Allen Alley (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 21–24, 2012 | 686 | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% | 37% | — | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 3–5, 2012 | 614 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% | 36% | — | 12% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Jeff Merkley (D) |
Jason Atkinson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 21–24, 2012 | 686 | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% | 34% | — | 23% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Jeff Merkley (D) |
Jason Conger (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling | April 1–2, 2014 | 670 | ± 3.91% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 40% | — | 12% |
| Benenson Strategy Group | April 14–17, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% | 34% | — | 16% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Jeff Merkley (D) |
Bruce Hanna (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 21–24, 2012 | 686 | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% | 35% | — | 23% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 3–5, 2012 | 614 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% | 34% | — | 14% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Jeff Merkley (D) |
Gordon Smith (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | December 3–5, 2012 | 614 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 43% | — | 10% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Jeff Merkley (D) |
Bruce Starr (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | December 3–5, 2012 | 614 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% | 32% | — | 16% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Jeff Merkley (D) |
Greg Walden (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 21–24, 2012 | 686 | ± 3.7% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% | — | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 3–5, 2012 | 614 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 42% | — | 11% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Clackamas (largest city: Lake Oswego)
- Coos (Largest city: Coos Bay)
- Deschutes (largest municipality: Bend)
- Jackson (largest city: Medford)
- Marion (largest city: Salem)
- Tillamook (largest city: Tillamook)
- Polk (largest city: Salem)
- Yamhill (largest city: McMinnville)
See also
References
External links
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
- Jeff Merkley for U.S. Senate incumbent
- Mark Callahan for U.S. Senate
- Jason Conger for U.S. Senate
- Tim Crawley for U.S. Senate
- Pavel Goberman for U.S. Senate
- Karl King for U.S. Senate
- Jo Rae Perkins for U.S. Senate
- Monica Wehby for U.S. Senate
Шаблон:2014 United States elections Шаблон:Oregon elections
- ↑ 1,0 1,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 5,0 5,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Karl King (I) 5%, Mike Montchalin (L) 4%
- ↑ Christina Lugo (G) 4%, Mike Montchalin (L) 3%
- ↑ Christina Lugo (G) 1%, Mike Montchalin (L) 2%
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