Английская Википедия:2014 United States Senate election in South Carolina

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsSC The 2014 United States Senate election in South Carolina took place on November 4, 2014, concurrently with a special election for South Carolina's other Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Lindsey Graham won reelection to a third term. He faced Democratic state senator Brad Hutto and Independent Thomas Ravenel in the general election. He defeated both of them by a 15-point margin.

As of 2022, this is the last time that Barnwell County, Darlington County, and Calhoun County voted Democratic in a Senate election.

Republican primary

Of all the Republican senators up for re-election in the 2014 cycle, Graham was considered one of the most vulnerable to a primary challenge, largely due to his low approval ratings and reputation for working with and compromising with Democrats.^[1]^[2] He expected a primary challenge from conservative activists, including the Tea Party movement,^[3] and Chris Chocola, president of the Club for Growth, indicated that his organization would support a primary challenge if an acceptable standard-bearer emerged.^[4]

However, a serious challenger to Graham failed to emerge and he was widely viewed as likely to win,^[1] which has been ascribed to his "deft maneuvering" and "aggressive" response to the challenge. He befriended potential opponents from the state's congressional delegation and helped them with fundraising and securing their preferred committee assignments; he assembled a "daunting multimillion-dollar political operation" dubbed the "Graham machine" that built six regional offices across the state and enlisted the support of thousands of paid staffers and volunteers, including over 5,000 precinct captains; he assembled a "staggering" campaign warchest and "blanketed" the state with positive ads; he focused on constituent services and local issues; and he refused to "pander" to the Tea Party supporters, instead confronting them head-on, arguing that the Republican party needs to be more inclusive.^[5]^[6]^[7]

Candidates

Declared

Det Bowers, pastor and businessman^[8]
Lee Bright, state senator^[9]
Richard Cash, businessman and candidate for South Carolina's 3rd congressional district in 2010^[10]
Bill Connor, attorney, lieutenant colonel in the United States Army Reserve and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2010^[11]
Benjamin Dunn, attorney^[12]
Lindsey Graham, incumbent U.S. Senator
Nancy Mace, businesswoman and author^[9]

Withdrew

Dave Feliciano, police officer^[13]

Declined

Bruce Carroll, co-founder of GOProud and blogger at gay conservative site GayPatriot^[14]
Tom Davis, state senator^[15]
Trey Gowdy, U.S. Representative^[16]
Mark Sanford, U.S. Representative and former governor of South Carolina^[17]^[18]
Mick Mulvaney, U.S. Representative^[19]
Thomas Ravenel, former South Carolina state treasurer (running as an independent)^[20]^[21]
Joe Wilson, U.S. Representative^[22]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Debates

Complete video of debate, June 7, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Lindsey Graham	Det Bowers	Lee Bright	Richard Cash	Bill Connor	Benjamin Dunn	Nancy Mace	Undecided
Landmark/Rosetta Stone	August 25, 2013	500	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 42.4%	—	12.6%	6.7%	—	—	10%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided \| 28.3%
Harper Polling	October 27–28, 2013	379	± 5.03%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 51%	—	15%	4%	4%	—	4%	22%
Gravis Marketing	November 30 – December 2, 2013	601	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 54%	—	10%	5%	2%	—	6%	23%
North Star^	January 20–26, 2014	600	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 53%	—	11%	3%	3%	—	8%	23%
Wenzel Strategies*	February 3–4, 2014	623	± 3.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 45.9%	—	17.4%	4.9%	4.2%	—	5.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided \| 22.5%
Winthrop University	February 16–23, 2014	901	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 45%	—	8.5%	2.9%	3.5%	—	3.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided \| 36.5%
Gravis Marketing	March 6–7, 2014	735	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 60%	—	10%	4%	2%	—	7%	17%
TargetPoint	March 16–22, 2014	600	± 2.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 56%	4%	6%	7%	1%	1%	5%	20%
Clemson University Шаблон:Webarchive	May 22–29, 2014	400	± 6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 49%	1%	9%	3%	1%	0%	2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided \| 35%

^ Internal poll for Lindsey Graham campaign
* Internal poll for Lee Bright campaign

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Lindsey Graham	Tom Davis	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 7–9, 2012	506	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 67%	17%	16%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Lindsey Graham	Jim DeMint	Undecided
Gravis Marketing	November 30 – December 2, 2013	601	± 4%	36%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 47%	17%
Gravis Marketing	March 6–7, 2014	735	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 44%	42%	14%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Lindsey Graham	Trey Gowdy	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 7–9, 2012	506	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 57%	29%	14%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Lindsey Graham	Mick Mulvaney	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 7–9, 2012	506	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 64%	20%	17%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Lindsey Graham	Mark Sanford	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 28–30, 2011	559	± 4.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 52%	34%	14%
Public Policy Polling	December 7–9, 2012	506	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 64%	26%	10%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Lindsey Graham	Tim Scott	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 7–9, 2012	506	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 54%	32%	14%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Lindsey Graham	Joe Wilson	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 28–30, 2011	559	± 4.1%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 43%	16%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Lindsey Graham	Шаблон:Nowrap conservative	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 28–30, 2011	559	± 4.1%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 52%	11%
Public Policy Polling	May 22–23, 2011	638	± 3.9%	32%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 57%	11%
Public Policy Polling	December 7–9, 2012	506	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 51%	40%	9%
Gravis Marketing	November 30 – December 2, 2013	601	± 4%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 39%	24%
Gravis Marketing	March 6–7, 2014	735	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 43%	32%	25%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Lindsey Graham	Lee Bright	Undecided
Landmark/Rosetta Stone	August 25, 2013	500	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 49.4%	23.7%	26.9%
North Star^	January 20–26, 2014	600	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 57%	27%	16%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Lindsey Graham	Richard Cash	Undecided
Landmark/Rosetta Stone	August 25, 2013	500	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 49.3%	20.5%	30.2%
North Star^	January 20–26, 2014	600	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 58%	26%	16%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Lindsey Graham	Bill Connor	Undecided
North Star^	January 20–26, 2014	600	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 59%	25%	16%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Lindsey Graham	Nancy Mace	Undecided
Landmark/Rosetta Stone	August 25, 2013	500	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 48.2%	23.2%	28.6%
North Star^	January 20–26, 2014	600	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 59%	26%	15%

^ Internal poll for Lindsey Graham campaign

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Brad Hutto, state senator^[23]
Jay Stamper, entrepreneur

Declined

Jim Hodges, former governor of South Carolina^[24]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Brad Hutto	Jay Stamper	Undecided
Clemson University	May 26 – June 2, 2014	400	± 6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 8%	3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided \| 89%

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Victor Kocher, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2002^[23]^[25]

Independent

In March 2014, with only controversial businessman and prankster Jay Stamper running for the Democrats, Dick Harpootlian, former chairman of the South Carolina Democratic Party, had stated that business leaders were working on an effort to recruit a potential independent candidate to run in case Graham was defeated in the primary.^[24] Such a "contingency" plan was rendered moot by the entry of Democratic state senator Brad Hutto into the race.^[24]

Former Republican state treasurer Thomas Ravenel had confirmed that was considering running for the Senate as an independent and was likely to do so if Lindsey Graham won the Republican primary.^[26] In April 2014, with Graham polling strongly in the primary, Ravenel announced he would run.^[27] He officially announced his candidacy on July 4.^[28]

Candidates

Declared

Thomas Ravenel, former Republican state treasurer^[20]^[21]^[27]

General election

Debates

Graham initially declined to debate his opponents. A spokesman said that his campaign was "in discussions with other groups, as well as looking at the schedule." Hutto said that Graham is "terrified at the thought of defending his own record in a public debate" and Ravenel said Graham's decision was "highly arrogant and disrespectful."^[29] Graham claimed he refused to debate because of the presence of independent candidate Thomas Ravenel, a convicted felon. He ultimately agreed to debate Hutto alone on October 27.^[30]

Complete video of debate, October 27, 2014

Fundraising

The following are Federal Election Commission disclosures for the pre-primary reporting period.

Candidate (party)	Receipts	Disbursements ....	Cash on hand	Debt
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Шаблон:Sortname (R)	$7,014,854	$9,063,768	$0	$276,312
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| Шаблон:Sortname (D)	$399,770	$342,366	$132,401	$75,000

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[31]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[32]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report^[33]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics^[34]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Lindsey Graham (R)	Brad Hutto (D)	Thomas Ravenel (I)	Other	Undecided
Rasmussen Reports	July 9–10, 2014	750	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 49%	30%	—	10%	11%
Voter Survey Service	July 7–13, 2014	1,000	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 46%	33%	—	9%	12%
Voter Survey Service	July 16–20, 2014	650	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 45%	33%	10%	4%^[35]	8%
Voter Survey Service	July 16–20, 2014	650	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 46%	33%	—	9%^[35]	12%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	July 5–24, 2014	1,183	± 5.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 48%	36%	—	7%	10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	August 18 – September 2, 2014	833	± 5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 42%	29%	8%	2%	19%
Winthrop University	September 21–28, 2014	1,082	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 46.3%	28%	8%	3.5%^[36]	14.3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20 – October 1, 2014	2,663	± 2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 44%	27%	8%	1%	20%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	1,566	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 43%	28%	8%	2%	19%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Lindsey Graham (R)	Jay Stamper (D)	Undecided
Harper Polling	October 27–28, 2013	676	± 3.77%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 47%	30%	23%

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Nancy Mace (R)	Jay Stamper (D)	Undecided
Harper Polling	October 27–28, 2013	676	± 3.77%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 40%	33%	27%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Barnwell (largest town: Barnwell)
Calhoun (largest town: St. Matthews)
Darlington (largest city: Hartsville)
Dillon (Largest city: Dillon)

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Chester (largest town: Chester)
McCormick (largest town: McCormick)

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:South Carolina elections Шаблон:2014 United States elections

[weakfield-1] 1,0 ^1,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[2] Шаблон:Cite web

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[4] Шаблон:Cite news

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[7] Шаблон:Cite news

[8] Шаблон:Cite web

[MaceBright-9] 9,0 ^9,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[10] Шаблон:Cite news

[11] Шаблон:Cite web

[12] Шаблон:Cite web

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[19] Шаблон:Cite web

[ravenel-20] 20,0 ^20,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[ravenel2-21] 21,0 ^21,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[22] Шаблон:Cite web

[whosfiled-23] 23,0 ^23,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[contingency-24] 24,0 ^24,1 ^24,2 Шаблон:Cite web

[25] Шаблон:Cite web

[26] Шаблон:Cite news

[charm-27] 27,0 ^27,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[28] Шаблон:Cite web

[29] Шаблон:Cite web

[30] Шаблон:Cite web

[31] Шаблон:Cite web

[32] Шаблон:Cite web

[33] Шаблон:Cite web

[34] Шаблон:Cite web

[kocher-35] 35,0 ^35,1 Victor Kocher (L)

[36] Victor Kocher (L) 2.6%, Other 0.9%

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Английская Википедия:2014 United States Senate election in South Carolina

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Debates

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Independent

Candidates

Declared

General election

Debates

Fundraising

Predictions

Polling

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

References

External links

Навигация

Поиск