Английская Википедия:2014 United States Senate election in South Dakota
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsSD The 2014 United States Senate election in South Dakota took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of South Dakota, concurrently with the election of the Governor of South Dakota, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Tim Johnson decided to retire instead of running for re-election to a fourth term in office. As a result, this was the first open seat election since 1978. With Mike Rounds' election, Republicans held both of South Dakota's Senate seats for the first time since 1987 and gave South Dakota an all-GOP congressional delegation for the first time since 1963.
Businessman Rick Weiland ran unopposed for the Democratic nomination, while the Republicans picked former Governor of South Dakota Mike Rounds. Also running were two independent candidates: former Republican U.S. Senator Larry Pressler, who served three terms in the Senate from 1979 to 1997, and former Republican state senator Gordon Howie.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Rick Weiland, businessman, former staffer for Tom Daschle, nominee for South Dakota's at-large congressional district (SD-AL) in 1996 and candidate for SD-AL in 2002[1][2]
Withdrew
Declined
- Jason Frerichs, Minority Leader of the South Dakota Senate (running for re-election)[6][7]
- Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, former U.S. Representative[8]
- Brendan Johnson, United States Attorney for the District of South Dakota and son of incumbent senator Tim Johnson[9]
- Tim Johnson, incumbent U.S. Senator[10]
- Pat O'Brien, author, television anchor and radio host[11]
- Ron J. Volesky, attorney and former state senator[12][13]
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Brendan Johnson |
Stephanie Herseth Sandlin |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 18–19, 2013 | 390 | ± 5% | 16% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 68% | 16% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Steve Jarding |
Brendan Johnson |
Rick Weiland |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nielson Brothers Polling | October 2–6, 2013 | 282 | ± 5.84% | 6.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 30.7% | 10.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 52.7% |
Results
Weiland faced no opposition in the Democratic primary.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Annette Bosworth, physician[14][15]
- Stace Nelson, state representative[16]
- Jason Ravnsborg, attorney[17]
- Larry Rhoden, Majority Whip of the South Dakota Senate[18]
- Mike Rounds, former Governor of South Dakota[19][20]
Declined
- Steve T. Kirby, former Lieutenant Governor of South Dakota and candidate for governor in 2002[21][22]
- William Napoli, former state senator[23]
- Kristi Noem, U.S. Representative[24]
- Mark Venner, former state representative[25]
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Annette Bosworth |
Stace Nelson |
Larry Rhoden |
Mike Rounds |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling | September 4–5, 2013 | 252 | ±6.17% | 6% | 8% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 58% | 22% |
| Nielson Brothers Polling | October 2–6, 2013 | 410 | ± 4.84% | 2.7% | 10.4% | 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46.1% | 37% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | April 8–10, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.38% | 8% | 14% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 61% | 9% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Kristi Noem |
Mike Rounds |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 18–19, 2013 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 17% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Independents and Third Parties
Candidates
Declared
- Gordon Howie (Independent), former Republican state senator and Republican candidate for Governor in 2010[26]
- Larry Pressler (Independent), former Republican U.S. Senator[27][28]
Disqualified
- Clayton Walker (Independent), small business consultant and Democratic candidate for state representative in 2010[29][30]
Withdrew
- Kurt Evans (Libertarian), teacher and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2002[31][32]
General election
Campaign
Rounds was widely seen as the front runner throughout the campaign.[33] However, he faced ongoing criticism on the election trail for his possible involvement with the State's ongoing EB-5 visa investigation, concerning the conflict of interest that Rounds' administration had when administering the EB-5 program. State officials misused funds to pay for their salaries, did not disclose that they owned companies which they gave contracts to, directed money towards companies that went bankrupt and arranged for loans from unknown sources from shell companies located in tax havens.[34][35][36] In October 2014, Rounds admitted that he had approved a $1 million state loan to meat-packing company Northern Beef shortly after learning that Secretary of Tourism and State Development Richard Benda had agreed to join the company, with Benda then getting another $600,000 in loans that was ultimately used to pay his own salary.[37][38] Benda committed suicide in October 2013, days before a possible indictment over embezzlement and grand theft charges.[39]
Columnist Jonathan Ellis of the Argus Leader called Rounds' fundraising "anemic" compared to the amount of outside money coming into the state on Weiland's side, and criticized the entire Rounds campaign as "more suited for sheriff of Mayberry County than U.S. Senate."[40]
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 29, 2014
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[41] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[42] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[43] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[44] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Rick Weiland (D) |
Mike Rounds (R) |
Larry Pressler (I) |
Gordon Howie (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nielson Brothers Polling | June 10–14, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 27% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 54% | — | — | — | 19% |
| Harper Polling | September 4–5, 2013 | 517 | ± 4.31% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% | — | — | — | 10% |
| Nielson Brothers Polling | October 2–6, 2013 | 818 | ± 3.43% | 35% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% | — | — | — | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 10–13, 2013 | 882 | ± 3.3% | 34% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 40% | — | — | 11%[45] | 15% |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 25–26, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 31% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% | — | — | 6% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling^ | April 30 – May 1, 2014 | 745 | ± 3.6% | 28% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 38% | 15% | 4% | — | 15% |
| SurveyUSA | May 6–10, 2014 | 504 | ± 4.5% | 30% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% | 17% | 3% | 2%[46] | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 4–5, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 29% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% | 18% | — | 2% | 7% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 631 | ± 4.5% | 34% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 59% | — | — | 3% | 5% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs^ | July 16–23, 2014 | 3,837 | ± 1.44% | 24% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 34% | 10% | 3% | — | 29% |
| Nielson Brothers Polling | July 23–28, 2014 | 578 | ± 4.04% | 30% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 14% | 4% | — | 9% |
| Public Opinion Strategies* | August 11–13, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.38% | 24% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% | 15% | 4% | — | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling^ | August 12–13, 2014 | 726 | ± 3.6% | 31% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 39% | 16% | 5% | — | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling^ | August 27–28, 2014 | 709 | ± 3.7% | 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 39% | 17% | 4% | — | 7% |
| 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | — | — | — | 13% | ||||
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 526 | ± 6% | 29% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 6% | — | 1% | 21% |
| SurveyUSA | September 3–7, 2014 | 510 | ± 4.4% | 28% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 39% | 25% | 3% | — | 5% |
| 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% | — | 3% | — | 11% | ||||
| ccAdvertising | September 22–23, 2014 | 1,769 | ± ? | 17% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 39% | 17% | — | — | 27% |
| Public Opinion Strategies* | September 22–23, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.38% | 23% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 41% | 19% | 4% | — | 12% |
| Nielson Brothers Polling | September 21–25, 2014 | 647 | ± 3.24% | 26% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 39% | 24% | 4% | — | 7% |
| 636 | ± 3.27% | 37.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | — | 7% | — | 10% | ||
| 623 | ± 3.3% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 40% | 39% | 8% | — | 13% | ||
| Public Policy Polling^ | September 29–30, 2014 | 703 | ± 3.7% | 28% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 35% | 24% | 8% | — | 5% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 382 | ± 7% | 27% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% | 12% | — | 1% | 17% |
| SurveyUSA | October 1–5, 2014 | 616 | ± 4% | 28% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 35% | 32% | 3% | — | 2% |
| 47% | 47% | — | 3% | — | 3% | ||||
| — | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (United States) | 54% | 3% | — | 4% | ||||
| Harper Polling | October 9–11, 2014 | 630 | ± 3.9% | 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 37% | 23% | 5% | — | 2% |
| Public Opinion Strategies* | October 18–20, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.38% | 24% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 16% | 3% | — | 9% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 527 | ± 8% | 25% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 38% | 17% | — | 0% | 21% |
| NBC News/Marist | October 19–23, 2014 | 730 LV | ± 3.6% | 29% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 16% | 3% | <1% | 7% |
| 990 RV | ± 3.1% | 28% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 16% | 4% | <1% | 9% | ||
| Mason-Dixon | October 20–23, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% | 13% | 2% | — | 10% |
| SurveyUSA | October 21–26, 2014 | 611 | ± 4% | 32% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 19% | 2% | — | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 22–26, 2014 | 908 | ± 3.5% | 31% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | 21% | — | — | 3% |
| Monmouth University | October 24–27, 2014 | 429 | ± 4.7% | 31% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | 19% | 1% | — | 4% |
| 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | — | 1% | — | 11% |
- With Herseth Sandlin
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D) |
Kristi Noem (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 18–19, 2013 | 1,069 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 47% | — | 5% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D) |
Mike Rounds (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 18–19, 2013 | 1,069 | ± 3% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% | — | 7% |
- With B. Johnson
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Brendan Johnson (D) |
Kristi Noem (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 18–19, 2013 | 1,069 | ± 3% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% | — | 14% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Brendan Johnson (D) |
Mike Rounds (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 18–19, 2013 | 1,069 | ± 3% | 32% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 53% | — | 15% |
- With T. Johnson
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Tim Johnson (D) |
Kristi Noem (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 18–19, 2013 | 1,069 | ± 3% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% | — | 7% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Tim Johnson (D) |
Mike Rounds (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 18–19, 2013 | 1,069 | ± 3% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% | — | 7% |
- With Weiland
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Rick Weiland (D) |
Annette Bosworth (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling | September 4–5, 2013 | 517 | ± 4.31% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 38% | 36% | — | 26% |
| Nielson Brothers Polling | October 2–6, 2013 | 815 | ± 3.43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 38% | 33% | — | 30% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Rick Weiland (D) |
Stace Nelson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling | September 4–5, 2013 | 517 | ± 4.31% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 40% | — | 22% |
| Nielson Brothers Polling | October 2–6, 2013 | 815 | ± 3.43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 36% | 35% | — | 30% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Rick Weiland (D) |
Larry Rhoden (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling | September 4–5, 2013 | 517 | ± 4.31% | 35% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 41% | — | 23% |
| Nielson Brothers Polling | October 2–6, 2013 | 815 | ± 3.43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 37% | 32% | — | 31% |
- * Internal polling for the Mike Rounds campaign
- ^ Internal polling for the Rick Weiland campaign
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Maps
See also
- 2014 South Dakota gubernatorial election
- 2014 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota
- 2014 United States Senate elections
- 2014 United States elections
References
External links
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
- Mike Rounds for U.S. Senate
- Rick Weiland for U.S. Senate
- Larry Pressler for U.S. Senate
- Gordon Howie for U.S. Senate
Шаблон:2014 United States elections Шаблон:US Third Party Election
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- ↑ Stephanie Herseth Sandlin won’t run in South Dakota - James Hohmann - POLITICO.com
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- ↑ Kurt Evans (L) 11%
- ↑ Clayton Walker (I) 2%
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