Английская Википедия:2014 Wisconsin gubernatorial election
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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:See also Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsWI The 2014 Wisconsin gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to determine the governor and lieutenant governor of the U.S. state of Wisconsin. It occurred concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker won re-election to a second term in office, defeating Democratic businesswoman and Madison school board member Mary Burke and two minor party candidates in the general election.
Walker, who was elected in 2010, survived an attempted recall in 2012, the first governor in United States history to do so, defeating Democrat Tom Barrett both times. Wisconsin voters have elected a governor from a different political party than the sitting president in 27 of the last 31 elections since 1932; only once has a Democratic candidate been elected governor in Wisconsin in the last 18 contests when a Democrat was in the White House.[1] Eleven of the last twelve Wisconsin governors, dating back to Republican Vernon Wallace Thomson in the late 1950s, had, unlike Burke, previously won an election to state government, the exception being Republican Lee S. Dreyfus in 1978.[2]
The polling leading up to the election was very close, with no candidate clearly in the lead. The consensus among most analysts was that the race was either a tossup or leaning Republican. As of 2023, this is the last time a Republican was elected governor of Wisconsin.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Scott Walker, incumbent governor[3]
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no party in partisan race no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Mary Burke, businesswoman, member of the Madison school district board and former Wisconsin Secretary of Commerce[4]
- Brett Hulsey, state representative[5]
Disqualified
- Marcia Mercedes Perkins[5]
- Hari Trivedi, independent candidate for governor in the 2012 recall election[5]
Declined
- Chris Abele, Milwaukee County Executive[6]
- Tom Barrett, Mayor of Milwaukee and nominee for governor in 2010 and 2012[7]
- Deb Carey, founder and president of New Glarus Brewing Company[8]
- Russ Feingold, former U.S. Senator[9]
- Mark L. Harris, Winnebago County Executive[10]
- Ron Kind, U.S. Representative[11]
- Jon Erpenbach, state senator[12]
- Kathleen Falk, former Dane County Executive and candidate for governor in 2012[13]
- Kathleen Vinehout, state senator and candidate for governor in 2012[14]
- Peter W. Barca, Minority Leader of the Wisconsin State Assembly and former U.S. Representative[12][15]
- Dave Cieslewicz, former mayor of Madison[16]
- Lori Compas, executive director of the Wisconsin Business Alliance and nominee for the Wisconsin Senate in 2012[17][18]
- Kevin Conroy, biotechnology executive[12]
- John Dickert, Mayor of Racine[19]
- Dave Hansen, state senator[18]
- Dianne Hesselbein, state representative[17]
- Sara Johann, political activist[17][20]
- Steve Kagen, former U.S. Representative[15]
- Jessica King, former state senator[17][19]
- Herb Kohl, former U.S. Senator[19]
- Chris Larson, Minority Leader of the Wisconsin Senate[19]
- Julie Lassa, state senator[17][18]
- Cory Mason, state representative[13]
- Mahlon Mitchell, president of the Professional Fire Fighters of Wisconsin and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2012[12][15]
- Gwen Moore, U.S. Representative[17]
- Tom Nelson, Outagamie County Executive and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2010[12][15][16]
- Dave Obey, former U.S. Representative[19]
- Joe Parisi, Dane County Executive[12]
- Jennifer Shilling, state senator[17][18]
- Chris Taylor, state representative[17][19]
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mary Burke |
Brett Hulsey |
Marcia Mercedes Perkins |
Hari Trivedi |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquette University | May 15–18, 2014 | ? | ± ? | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 66% | 3% | 1% | 1% | — | 24% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no party in partisan race no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Third parties and independents
Candidates
Declared
- Robert Burke (Libertarian Party), founder of the Libertarian Party of Pierce-St. Croix[21]
- Running mate: Joseph Brost
- Dennis Fehr (The People's Party), businessman and founder of The People's Party[22]
- Brett Hulsey (write-in), state representative[23]
Disqualified
- Francis Klein (Pirate Party)[24]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[28] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Scott Walker (R) |
Mary Burke (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2014 | 1,494 | ± 3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% | 43% | 1% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 28–30, 2014 | 1,814 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 47% | — | 5% |
| Marquette University | October 23–26, 2014 | 1,164 LV | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 43% | 1% | 7% |
| 1,409 RV | ± 2.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 45% | 1% | 9% | ||
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 3,308 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 45% | 0% | 10% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 20–21, 2014 | 973 | ± 3% | 48% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 1% | 2% |
| WPR/St. Norbert College Шаблон:Webarchive | October 18–21, 2014 | 525 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 46% | — | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 17–18, 2014 | 860 | ± ? | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 46% | — | 7% |
| Marquette University | October 9–12, 2014 | 803 LV | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 47% | 0% | 5% |
| 1,004 RV | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 45% | 1% | 6% | ||
| Gravis Marketing | October 3–4, 2014 | 837 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 46% | — | 4% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 1,444 | ± 3% | 48% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 0% | 3% |
| Marquette University | September 25–28, 2014 | 585 LV | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% | 45% | 1% | 4% |
| 801 RV | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 45% | 1% | 8% | ||
| Gravis Marketing | September 22–23, 2014 | 908 | ± 3% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | — | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 15–16, 2014 | 650 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 46% | 3% | 3% |
| Marquette University | September 11–14, 2014 | 589 LV | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 46% | 1% | 4% |
| 800 RV | ± 3.5% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 1% | 7% | ||
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 1,473 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 45% | 0% | 5% |
| We Ask America | September 3, 2014 | 1,170 LV | ± 3% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 2% | 6% |
| Marquette University | August 21–24, 2014 | 609 LV | ± 4.1% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 1% | 4% |
| 815 RV | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 44% | 1% | 8% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | August 13–14, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 47% | — | 5% |
| Gravis Marketing | July 31–August 2, 2014 | 1,346 | ± 3% | 47% | 47% | — | 6% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,968 | ± ? | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 46% | 1% | 5% |
| Marquette University | July 17–20, 2014 | 549 LV | ± 4.3% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 1% | 8% |
| 804 RV | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 45% | 1% | 8% | ||
| Marquette University | May 15–18, 2014 | 805 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 46% | — | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 17–20, 2014 | 1,144 | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 45% | — | 7% |
| Magellan Strategies | April 14–15, 2014 | 851 | ± 3.36% | 47% | 47% | 2% | 4% |
| St. Norbert College | March 24–April 3, 2014 | 401 | ± 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% | 40% | — | 5% |
| Marquette University | March 20–23, 2014 | 801 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 41% | — | 11% |
| Gravis Marketing | March 17, 2014 | 988 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 44% | — | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 10–11, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 45% | 45% | 5% | 5% |
| Marquette University | January 20–23, 2014 | 802 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 41% | — | 8% |
| Marquette University | October 21–24, 2013 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 45% | — | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 13–16, 2013 | 1,180 | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 42% | — | 10% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Scott Walker (R) |
Jon Erpenbach (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 1,799 | ± 2.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 42% | — | 9% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Scott Walker (R) |
Russ Feingold (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 1,799 | ± 2.3% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | — | 4% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Scott Walker (R) |
Mahlon Mitchell (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 1,799 | ± 2.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 39% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Scott Walker (R) |
Brett Hulsey (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquette University | May 15–18, 2014 | 805 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 39% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Scott Walker (R) |
Steve Kagen (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 1,799 | ± 2.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 41% | — | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Scott Walker (R) |
Tom Nelson (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | September 13–16, 2013 | 1,180 | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 40% | — | 12% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Scott Walker (R) |
Ron Kind (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 1,799 | ± 2.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 42% | — | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Scott Walker (R) |
Kathleen Vinehout (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquette University | October 21–24, 2013 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 44% | — | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 13–16, 2013 | 1,180 | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 41% | — | 10% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Scott Walker (R) |
Peter W. Barca (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquette University | October 21–24, 2013 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 42% | — | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 13–16, 2013 | 1,180 | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 43% | — | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 1,799 | ± 2.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 43% | — | 9% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Crawford (largest municipality: Prairie du Chien)
- Eau Claire (largest municipality: Eau Claire)
- Green (largest municipality: Monroe)
- Sauk (largest city: Baraboo)
- Vernon (largest municipality: Viroqua)
By congressional districts
Walker won 6 of the 8 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.[29]
| District | Walker | Burke | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 58.25% | 40.73% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Paul Ryan |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr | 33.35% | 65.51% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Mark Pocan |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 50.1% | 48.52% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Ron Kind |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr | 27.35% | 71.65% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Gwen Moore |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 67.64% | 31.53% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jim Sensenbrenner |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 60.71% | 38.17% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Glenn Grothman |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 57.84% | 40.98% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Sean Duffy |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 60.16% | 38.76% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Reid Ribble |
References
External links
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
Шаблон:2014 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ 5,0 5,1 5,2 Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ 12,0 12,1 12,2 12,3 12,4 12,5 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 13,0 13,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 15,0 15,1 15,2 15,3 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 16,0 16,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 17,0 17,1 17,2 17,3 17,4 17,5 17,6 17,7 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 18,0 18,1 18,2 18,3 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 19,0 19,1 19,2 19,3 19,4 19,5 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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