Английская Википедия:2016 Galician regional election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Infobox election The 2016 Galician regional election was held on Sunday, 25 September 2016, to elect the 10th Parliament of the autonomous community of Galicia. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with a regional election in the Basque Country.

Alberto Núñez Feijóo announced the election would be brought forward to September, after initially scheduling to hold it throughout October, following Lehendakari Iñigo Urkullu's announcement of a Basque election for 25 September.[1][2] Feijóo defended his decision in that it would make "no sense" to hold the election only weeks after the Basque poll, specially considering the state of political instability in Spain over the government formation process after the general election in June.[3] The election took place in a situation in which the Spanish political landscape had undergone a major transformation within a short time, with a decrease in support for the People's Party (PP) and the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) nationally and the emergence of new parties such as Podemos and Citizens (C's).

Feijóo's PP, with 47.6% and 41 seats, went on to secure a third consecutive absolute majority, the only one at the time in Spain after the 2015 electoral cycle. The Podemos-supported En Marea list, which had already achieved major breakthroughs in the region at the 2015 and 2016 general elections, placed narrowly ahead of the Socialists' Party of Galicia (PSdeG–PSOE) which scored the worst result of its history in a Galician regional election. Concurrently, the Galician Nationalist Bloc (BNG) saw a slight drop in support but was able to outperform opinion poll predictions of an electoral meltdown. Finally, with 3.4%, Cs fell well below their aspirations of entering parliament, failing to secure any seat.[4]

The results of the Basque and Galician elections, both of which saw very poor PSOE's performances after being overtaken by the Podemos-led alliances and polling at record-low levels of support,[5] prompted dissenters within the party—led by Andalusian president Susana Díaz—to call for Pedro Sánchez's resignation as PSOE secretary-general.[6][7] Sánchez's refusal to resign and his announcement of a party congress for later in the year—amid an ongoing government formation process and with the growing risk of a third general election in a row being held in Spain—led to an attempt from his critics to force his downfall,[8][9] triggering a severe party crisis and a break down of party discipline which led to Sánchez's ousting on 1 October 2016,[10] a divided PSOE abstaining in Mariano Rajoy's investiture on 29 October and a subsequent party leadership election in 2017 which would see Sánchez returning to his post of secretary-general and taking full control over the party.[11][12]

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Galicia was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Galicia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Galician Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[13] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Galicia and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Galicians abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Шаблон:Lang-es).[14]

The 75 members of the Parliament of Galicia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of A Coruña, Lugo, Ourense and Pontevedra, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 10 seats and the remaining 35 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[13][15]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency was entitled the following seats:

Seats Constituencies
25 A CoruñaШаблон:Font color
22 Pontevedra
14 LugoШаблон:Font color, Ourense

The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[16]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Galicia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Galicia (DOG), with election day taking place between the fifty-fourth and the sixtieth day from publication. The previous election was held on 21 October 2012, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 21 October 2016. The election decree was required to be published in the DOG no later than 27 September 2016, with the election taking place up to the sixtieth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Saturday, 26 November 2016.[13][15]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Galicia and call a snap election, provided that it did not occur before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[17]

Background

While the People's Party (PP) under Alberto Núñez Feijóo had been able to remain at the helm of the Xunta de Galicia following the 2012 regional election, the party struggled to maintain its electoral standing in the ensuing years as a result of the corruption scandals beleaguering the party at the national level.[18] In the 2014 European Parliament election, the PP obtained its worst result since 1989 up until that time, securing 35.2% of the vote though remaining in first place regionally as a result of a collapse in the vote for the opposition Socialists' Party of Galicia (PSdeG–PSOE) and Galician Nationalist Bloc (BNG).[19]

The emergence of Podemos and Citizens (C's) and the reorganization of the political space of non-Galician nationalists to the left of the PSOE, including the late Galician Left Alternative (AGE) comprising United Left (EU) and Anova, into the local "tides" (Шаблон:Lang-es)—popular unity candidacies established at the local level to contest the 2015 local elections, such as Marea Atlántica, Compostela Aberta or Ferrol en Común, among others—brought about the PP's downfall from the local governments of the main Galician urban centres and in left-from-centre parties securing much of the local power in Galicia, with the mareas newly found popularity coming at the expense of both the PSdeG and the BNG.[20][21][22] The establishment of the En Marea alliance between Podemos, EU and Anova would see the PP seeing off its worst electoral result in a general election on 20 December 2015,[23] although the party would see a slight recovery in the next general election held in June 2016.[24]

After his defeat in the 2012 election, Pachi Vázquez announced his intention to abandon the PSdeG's leadership within a year and to allow for a primary election to be held to elect his successor.[25] The primaries were held on 7 September 2013, with José Ramón Gómez Besteiro emerging as the winner with 77% of the votes,[26] subsequently ratified at a special party congress held on 29 September.[27] Gómez Besteiro came under public scrutiny after being indicted on 3 July 2015 for four crimes, including influence peddling, bribery, prevarication and a crime against regional planning, allegedly committed during Besteiro's time in the local government of Lugo in 2005.[28] On 12 March 2016, Besteiro was accused of six further crimes—new bribery, prevarication and influence peddling crimes, as well as abuse of public administrations, subsidy fraud and embezzlement of public funds[29]—which prompted him to announce the following day his declination to be the party's leading candidate to the Xunta de Galicia in the next regional election.[30] Mounting pressure from his party's colleagues, however, eventually led to Besteiro also resigning as party leader on 18 March.[31] Xoaquín Fernández Leiceaga was elected on 28 May through a primary election to be Besteiro's replacement as candidate to the Xunta,[32] while a management committee took charge of the party.[33]

The national PSOE was also beleaguered by an internal crisis over Pedro Sánchez's leadership as a result of the party having secured its worst electoral results since the Spanish transition to democracy in the 2015 and 2016 general elections,[34][35] with Sánchez himself having announced an early party congress, to be held at some point following the Basque and Galician elections, in which he would be running for re-election.[36][37] The PSOE branches in both regions were widely seen as being supportive of Sánchez, prompting dissenters to frame the elections as a test on Sánchez and of the broader political mood in Spain after nine months of political impasse over the government formation process.[38]

Parliamentary composition

The Parliament of Galicia was officially dissolved on 2 August 2016, after the publication of the dissolution decree in the Official Journal of Galicia.[39] The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.[40]

Parliamentary composition in August 2016[41]
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| People's Parliamentary Group of Galicia width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| PP 41 41
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Socialists' Parliamentary Group of Galicia bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| PSdeG–PSOE 18 18
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Galician Nationalist Bloc's Parliamentary Group bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| BNG 7 7
rowspan="2" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Galician Left Alternative's Parliamentary Group bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| EU 4 6
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Anova 2
Mixed Parliamentary Group bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Cerna 2 3
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| INDEP 1Шаблон:Efn

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[15][42]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances
Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Шаблон:Abbr Шаблон:Abbr
Votes (%) Seats
width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| PP Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Alberto Núñez Feijóo 2017 (cropped).jpg Alberto Núñez Feijóo Conservatism
Christian democracy
45.80% Шаблон:Big Шаблон:Tick [43]
[44]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| PSdeG–
PSOE
Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Xoaquín Fernández Leiceaga 2016 (cropped).jpg Xoaquín Fernández Leiceaga Social democracy 20.61% Шаблон:Big Шаблон:Xmark [32]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| En Marea Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Luis Villares 2016b (cropped).jpg Luis Villares Galician nationalism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism
13.91%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Big Шаблон:Xmark [45]
[46]
[47]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| BNGNós Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Ana Pontón 2016 (cropped).jpg Ana Pontón Galician nationalism
Left-wing nationalism
Socialism
10.11% Шаблон:Big Шаблон:Xmark [48]
[49]
[50]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| C's Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Cristina Losada 2012 (cropped).jpg Cristina Losada Liberalism colspan="2" Шаблон:N/a Шаблон:Xmark [51]

Campaign

Party slogans

Шаблон:Nowrap Original slogan English translation Шаблон:Abbr
width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| PP « En Galicia sí » "In Galicia, yes" [52][53]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| PSdeG–PSOE « Unha resposta nova » "A new response" [52][54]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| En Marea « Un país xusto » "A fair country" [55]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| BNGNós « Construír Galiza con ilusión, Galiza contigo » "Build Galicia with hope, Galicia with you" [52][56]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| C's « No nos conformemos. Galicia merécese máis »Шаблон:Efn "Don't conform. Galicia deserves more" [57]

Election debates

2016 Galician regional election debates
Date Organisers Moderator(s) Шаблон:Smaller Шаблон:Colors Шаблон:Smaller
PP PSdeG En Marea BNG C's Audience Шаблон:Abbr
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|
12 September TVG Marta Darriba
Kiko Novoa
Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes 15.3%
Шаблон:Smaller
[58]
[59]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Galicia.

Шаблон:Smaller

Шаблон:Smaller Шаблон:Smaller

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Galicia.

Results

Overall

Summary of the 25 September 2016 Parliament of Galicia election results
Файл:GaliciaParliamentDiagram2016.svg
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| People's Party (PP) 682,150 47.56 +1.76 41 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| In Tide (En Marea)1 273,523 19.07 +5.16 14 +5
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Socialists' Party of Galicia (PSdeG–PSOE) 256,381 17.87 –2.74 14 –4
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Galician Nationalist BlocWe–Galician Candidacy (BNG–Nós) 119,446 8.33 –1.78 6 –1
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 48,553 3.38 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 15,135 1.06 +0.50 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Ourensan Democracy (DO) 7,723 0.54 +0.25 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Commitment to Galicia (CxG) 4,109 0.29 –0.72 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Anti-Corruption and Justice Party (PAyJ) 2,535 0.18 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Let's Win Galicia: Yes We Can (Gañemos) 2,344 0.16 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Zero CutsGreen Group (Recortes Cero–GV) 2,276 0.16 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Citizens–Centrum (C–C) 1,534 0.11 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Communists of Galicia (PCPE–CdG) 1,263 0.09 –0.03 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Blank Seats (EB) 1,111 0.08 –1.11 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Citizens of Galicia Democratic Action (ADCG) 651 0.05 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| XXI Convergence (C21) 493 0.03 –0.04 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Independent Alternative of Galicia (AIdG) 367 0.03 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| United for the Future! (Unidos SI–DEF) 296 0.02 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Galicia New Way (VN) 281 0.02 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Libertarian Party (P–LIB) 210 0.01 New 0 ±0
Blank ballots 14,037 0.98 –1.68
Total 1,434,418 75 ±0
Valid votes 1,434,418 99.00 +1.53
Invalid votes 14,544 1.00 –1.53
Votes cast / turnout 1,448,962 53.63 –1.28
Abstentions 1,252,970 46.37 +1.28
Registered voters 2,701,932
Sources[40][60]
Шаблон:Hidden

Шаблон:Bar box Шаблон:Bar box

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PP En Marea PSdeG BNGNós
colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
% S % S % S % S
A Coruña style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 47.8 13 19.4 5 17.2 5 8.8 2
Lugo style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 52.8 8 15.4 2 19.1 3 7.4 1
Ourense style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 53.1 9 13.8 2 17.6 2 6.0 1
Pontevedra style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 43.3 11 22.0 5 18.4 4 9.0 2
Total style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 47.6 41 19.1 14 17.9 14 8.3 6
Sources[40][60]

Aftermath

Under Article 15 of the Statute, investiture processes to elect the president of the Regional Government of Galicia required of an absolute majority—more than half the votes cast—to be obtained in the first ballot. If unsuccessful, a new ballot would be held 24 hours later requiring only of a simple majority—more affirmative than negative votes—to succeed. If the proposed candidate was not elected, successive proposals were to be transacted under the same procedure.[13]

Investiture
Alberto Núñez Feijóo (PP)
Ballot → 10 November 2016
Required majority → 38 out of 75 Шаблон:Tick
Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Composition bar
Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Composition bar
Abstentions Шаблон:Composition bar
Absentees Шаблон:Composition bar
Sources[40]

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Opinion poll sources

Шаблон:Reflist

Other

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:Galician elections Шаблон:Regional elections in Spain in the 2010s

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