Английская Википедия:2016 Indiana gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsIN Шаблон:Mike Pence series The 2016 Indiana gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Indiana, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on May 3, 2016. Republican lieutenant governor Eric Holcomb won the race with 51.4% of the vote.

Incumbent Republican governor Mike Pence was running for reelection to a second term in office until July 15, 2016, when Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump selected Pence as his vice presidential running mate. As Pence was barred by Indiana law from simultaneously running for both offices, he subsequently withdrew from the gubernatorial election. Pence went on to be elected Vice President of the United States. He was replaced on the ballot for governor by his former running mate, incumbent lieutenant governor Eric Holcomb, who was selected by the Indiana Republican State Committee as the nominee on July 26, 2016. Holcomb later selected State Auditor Suzanne Crouch on August 1, 2016, to be his running mate as the nomination for lieutenant governor was made vacant by the decision of Holcomb to seek the gubernatorial nomination; she was confirmed at a subsequent meeting of the Indiana Republican State Committee later that day.

John Gregg, the former Speaker of the Indiana House of Representatives, was the Democratic nominee. Gregg previously ran for Governor in 2012, but was defeated by Pence.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Mike Pence, incumbent governor (withdrew after primary to run for Vice President of the United States as the running mate of Donald Trump)

Declined

• Greg Ballard, former mayor of Indianapolis
• Susan Brooks, U.S. Representative and former United States Attorney for the Southern District of Indiana (ran for re-election)
• Luke Messer, U.S. Representative (ran for re-election)
• Todd Young, U.S. Representative (ran for the U.S. Senate)

Republican State Committee selection

On July 15, 2016, Donald Trump announced that Pence would be his running mate as vice president in the 2016 presidential election. Under Indiana law, Pence was unable to run for both governor and vice president simultaneously; he therefore withdrew from the gubernatorial election, creating a vacancy on the Republican ticket. On July 26, the chairman of the Indiana Republican Party, Jeff Cardwell, announced that Eric Holcomb had been nominated by the Indiana Republican State Committee to replace Pence on the ballot for governor. The vote totals were not released. Holcomb later selected Suzanne Crouch on August 1, 2016, to be his running mate as the nomination for lieutenant governor was made vacant by the decision of Holcomb to seek the gubernatorial nomination; she was then confirmed by the Committee at a meeting later that day.

Candidates

Declared

• Susan Brooks, U.S. Representative and former United States Attorney for the Southern District of Indiana
• Eric Holcomb, Lieutenant Governor of Indiana
  • Running mate: Suzanne Crouch, Indiana State Auditor
• Todd Rokita, U.S. Representative and former Indiana Secretary of State
• Jim Tomes, state senator

Declined

• Brian Bosma, Speaker of the Indiana House of Representatives
• Mitch Daniels, former governor of Indiana
• Lloyd Winnecke, Mayor of Evansville

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• John R. Gregg, former Speaker of the Indiana House of Representatives and nominee for Governor in 2012
  • Running mate: Christina Hale, state representative

Withdrawn

• Glenda Ritz, Indiana Superintendent of Public Instruction (subsequently ran for re-election)
• Karen Tallian, state senator

Declined

• Evan Bayh, former U.S. Senator and former governor of Indiana (ran for the U.S. Senate)
• Pete Buttigieg, Mayor of South Bend
• Greg Goodnight, Mayor of Kokomo
• Baron Hill, former U.S. Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1990
• Scott Pelath, Minority Leader of the Indiana House of Representatives
• Tony Roswarski, Mayor of Lafayette
• Tom Sugar, vice president of Complete College America and former aide to Evan Bayh

Libertarian Party convention

Candidates

Declared

• Rex Bell, businessman
• Jim Wallace

Nominated

• Rex Bell, businessman
  • Running mate: Karl Tatgenhorst

General election

Candidates

• Democratic: John R. Gregg, former Speaker of the Indiana House of Representatives and nominee for Governor in 2012
  • Running mate: Christina Hale, state representative
• Libertarian: Rex Bell, businessman
  • Running mate: Karl Tatgenhorst
• Republican: Eric Holcomb, Lieutenant Governor of Indiana
  • Running mate: Suzanne Crouch, Indiana State Auditor

Debates

• Complete video of debate, September 27, 2016 - C-SPAN
• Complete video of debate, October 3, 2016 - C-SPAN
• Complete video of debate, October 25, 2016 - C-SPAN

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 12, 2016
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2016
Governing	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 27, 2016

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Eric Holcomb (R)	John Gregg (D)	Other/Undecided Шаблон:Efn	Margin
Real Clear Politics	October 27 – November 3, 2016	November 3, 2016	40.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44.0%	15.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Gregg +3.3%

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Eric Holcomb (R)	John Gregg (D)	Rex Bell (L)	Undecided
SurveyMonkey	November 1–7, 2016	1,700	± 4.6%	47%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49%	–	4%
SurveyMonkey	October 31 – November 6, 2016	1,383	± 4.6%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49%	–	5%
WTHR/Howey	November 1–3, 2016	600	± 4.0%	42%	42%	5%	11%
SurveyMonkey	October 28 – November 3, 2016	923	± 4.6%	47%	47%	–	6%
SurveyMonkey	October 27 – November 2, 2016	790	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48%	47%	–	5%
Gravis Marketing	October 30 – November 1, 2016	399	± 4.9%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42%	4%	16%
SurveyMonkey	October 26 – November 1, 2016	638	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49%	47%	–	4%
SurveyMonkey	October 25–31, 2016	674	± 4.6%	47%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48%	–	5%
Monmouth University	October 27–30, 2016	402	± 4.9%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48%	4%	5%
Gravis Marketing	October 22–24, 2016	596	± 2.3%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42%	4%	16%
Ball State University (PSRAI)	October 10–16, 2016	544	± 4.8%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48%	–	–
Monmouth University	October 11–13, 2016	402	± 4.9%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50%	4%	7%
BK Strategies (R-Holcomb)	October 11–13, 2016	800	± 3.5%	42%	42%	3%	13%
WTHR/HoweyШаблон:Dead link	October 3–5, 2016	600	± 4.0%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41%	5%	15%
WTHR/Howey Шаблон:Webarchive	September 6–8, 2016	600	± 4.0%	35%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40%	6%	19%
Monmouth University	August 13–16, 2016	403	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42%	41%	4%	13%
Expedition Strategies (D-Gregg)	August 1–3, 2016	600	± 4.0%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46%	6%	9%
The Tarrance Group	July 20–21, 2016	503	± 4.4%	34%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42%	–	24%

with Mike Pence

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike Pence (R)	John Gregg (D)	Other	Undecided
Bellwether Research	May 11–15, 2016	600	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40%	36%	—	24%
WTHR/Howey	April 18–21, 2016	500	± 4.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49%	45%	1%	5%
Bellwether Research	May 29–June 3, 2015	800	± 3.5%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41%	—	19%
Bellwether Research	April 12–14, 2015	607	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43%	37%	—	21%
GQR Research	April 7–9, 2015	500	± 4.4%	47%	47%	—	6%

with Susan Brooks

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Susan Brooks (R)	John Gregg (D)	Other	Undecided
The Tarrance Group	July 20–21, 2016	503	± 4.4%	36%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41%	—	23%

with Todd Rokita

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Todd Rokita (R)	John Gregg (D)	Other	Undecided
The Tarrance Group	July 20–21, 2016	503	± 4.4%	36%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41%	—	23%
Public Opinion Strategies	July 16–18, 2016	600	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45%	43%	—	12%

with Baron Hill

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike Pence (R)	Baron Hill (D)	Undecided
Bellwether Research	April 12–14, 2015	607	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43%	36%	21%

with Glenda Ritz

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike Pence (R)	Glenda Ritz (D)	Other	Undecided
Bellwether Research	May 29–June 3, 2015	800	± 3.5%	42%	42%	—	16%
Bellwether Research	April 12–14, 2015	607	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42%	39%	—	18%

Results

Holcomb won with 51.4% of the votes, Gregg taking 45.4%, and Libertarian Rex Bell finishing with 3.2%.

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Crawford (Largest city: Marengo)
• Greene (Largest city: Linton)
• Madison (largest city: Anderson)
• Pike (Largest city: Petersburg)
• Scott (Largest city: Scottsburg)
• Starke (largest city: Knox)

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

• Eric Holcomb (R) for Governor
• John Gregg (D) for Governor
• Rex Bell (L) for Governor