Английская Википедия:2016 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses

The 2016 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses took place on February 1 in the U.S. state of Iowa, traditionally marking the Republican Party's first nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

The Democratic Party held its own Iowa caucuses on the same day.

Ted Cruz was able to defeat Donald Trump in the Iowa Caucus by winning over Evangelical caucus-goers;^[1] Cruz won 51,666 caucus votes or 27.6%, giving him a net gain of one delegate over Trump. Cruz visited all 99 counties of Iowa and held small events.^[2] Cruz outperformed his polling average, which predicted a narrow Trump victory in the caucus.

Following poor performances in the caucuses, Rand Paul,^[3] Mike Huckabee^[4] and Rick Santorum^[5] suspended their campaigns.

Procedure

According to the Republican Party of Iowa's bylaws, if more than one candidate is nominated at the Republican National Convention, all of Iowa's delegates are bound to vote "proportionally in accordance with the outcome of the Iowa Caucuses" on the first ballot, even if the candidate has withdrawn from the race.^[6] The ballot is a blank piece of paper, and the candidates that voters may vote for in the non-binding preference poll included the following:

Шаблон:Colbegin

Шаблон:Colend

Forums and debates

November 20, 2015 – Des Moines, Iowa The Presidential Family Forum was held in the Community Choice Credit Union Convention Center in Des Moines, Iowa. Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Mike Huckabee, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, and Rick Santorum attended the forum hosted by evangelical Christian advocacy group The Family Leader. It was hosted by politician and political activist Bob Vander Plaats and moderated by political consultant and pollster Frank Luntz.^[7] Protesters interrupted the beginning of the event and were removed by police.^[8]

Шаблон:Anchor

January 28, 2016 – Des Moines, Iowa The seventh debate was the second debate to air on Fox News. As in Fox's first debate, the moderators were Bret Baier, Megyn Kelly, and Chris Wallace.^[9] This was the last debate before actual voting began with the Iowa caucuses on February 1, 2016.^[10]^[11] Due to personality conflicts with Fox News, Donald Trump opted out of the debate.^[12]

Шаблон:Anchor

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Source:^[13]

Polling

Aggregate polls


Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Marco Rubio Шаблон:Nobold	Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold	Ted Cruz Шаблон:Nobold	Margin
RealClearPolitics	until February 1, 2016	February 1, 2016	16.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|28.6%	23.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|Шаблон:HsTrump +4.7
FiveThirtyEight	until February 1, 2016	February 1, 2016	18.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|25.6%	24.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|Шаблон:HsTrump +1.3

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Caucus results	February 1, 2016	Ted Cruz 27.64%	Donald Trump 24.30%	Marco Rubio 23.12%	Ben Carson 9.30%, Rand Paul 4.54%, Jeb Bush 2.80%, Carly Fiorina 1.86%, John Kasich 1.86%, Mike Huckabee 1.79%, Chris Christie 1.76%, Rick Santorum 0.95%, Jim Gilmore 0.01%, Other 0.06%
Emerson College^[14] Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 298	January 29–31, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 27.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 25.6%	Marco Rubio 21.6%	Mike Huckabee 4.7%, Jeb Bush 3.8%, John Kasich 3.8%, Rand Paul 3.4%, Ben Carson 3.4%, Chris Christie 3.2%, Carly Fiorina 1.7%, Rick Santorum 0.5%, Undecided 1%
Quinnipiac University^[15] Margin of error: ± 3.3% Sample size: 890	January 25–31, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 31%	Ted Cruz 24%	Marco Rubio 17%	Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Not decided 3%
Opinion Savvy^[16] Margin of error: ± 3.2% Sample size: 887	January 29–30, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 20.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 19.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Marco Rubio 18.6%	Ben Carson 9.0%, Rand Paul 8.6%, Jeb Bush 4.9%, Mike Huckabee 4.4%, John Kasich 4.0%, Carly Fiorina 3.8%, Chris Christie 3.0%, Rick Santorum 2.1%, Undecided 2.2%
Des Moines Register/ Bloomberg/Selzer^[17] Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 602	January 26–29, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 28%	Ted Cruz 23%	Marco Rubio 15%	Ben Carson 10%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 3%, Jeb Bush 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Jim Gimore 0%, Undecided 2%, Uncommitted 3%
Public Policy Polling^[18] Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 780	January 26–27, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 31%	Ted Cruz 23%	Marco Rubio 14%	Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gimore 1%, Undecided 2%
NBC/WSJ/Marist^[19] Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 415	January 24–26, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 32%	Ted Cruz 25%	Marco Rubio 18%	Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 4%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Other 0%, Undecided 3%
Monmouth University^[20] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500	January 23–26, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 30%	Ted Cruz 23%	Marco Rubio 16%	Ben Carson 10%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul 3%, John Kasich 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 0%, Undecided 3%
ARG^[21] Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 400	January 21–24, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 33%	Ted Cruz 26%	Marco Rubio 11%	Ben Carson 7%, Chris Christie 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Jeb Bush 3%, John Kasich 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 1%, Undecided 5%
Quinnipiac University^[22] Margin of error: ± 3.8% Sample size: 651	January 18–24, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 31%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 29%	Marco Rubio 13%	Ben Carson 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Not decided 2%
ISU/WHO-HD^[23] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 283	January 5–22, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 25.8%	Donald Trump 18.9%	Ben Carson 13.4%	Marco Rubio 12.3%, Rand Paul 6.9%, Jeb Bush 3.8%, Mike Huckabee 3.7%, Carly Fiorina 1.1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Chris Christie <1%, John Kasich <1%
Fox News^[24] Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 378	January 18–21, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 34%	Ted Cruz 23%	Marco Rubio 12%	Ben Carson 7%, Rand Paul 6%, Chris Christie 4%, Jeb Bush 4%, John Kasich 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Other 1%, Don't Know 2%
CBS/YouGov^[25] Margin of error: ± 5.9% Sample size: 492	January 18–21, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 34%	Marco Rubio 13%	Ben Carson 5%, Rand Paul 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Jeb Bush 1%, John Kasich 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No Preference 0%
Emerson College^[26] Margin of error: ± 5.9% Sample size: 271	January 18–20, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 33.1%	Ted Cruz 22.8%	Marco Rubio 14.2%	Ben Carson 9.1%, Chris Christie 5.4%, Jeb Bush 5.1%, John Kasich 2.9%, Rand Paul 2.7%, Carly Fiorina 2.1%, Mike Huckabee 1.7%, Undecided 1%
CNN/ORC^[27] Margin of error: ± 6.0% Sample size: 266	January 15–20, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 37%	Ted Cruz 26%	Marco Rubio 14%	Ben Carson 6%, Jeb Bush 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Rand Paul 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Chris Christie 1%, John Kasich 1%
Monmouth College/KBUR/Douglas Fulmer & Associates^[28] Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 687	January 18–19, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 27%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 25%	Ben Carson 11%	Marco Rubio 9%, Jeb Bush 7%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Rand Paul 3%, John Kasich 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Undecided 4%
Loras College^[29] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500	January 13–18, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 26%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 25%	Marco Rubio 13%	Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 6%, John Kasich 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Undecide 7%
Public Policy Polling^[30] Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 530	January 8–10, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 28%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 26%	Marco Rubio 13%	Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 6%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, John Kasich 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 2%
DM Register/Bloomberg^[31] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500	January 7–10, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 25%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 22%	Marco Rubio 12%	Ben Carson 11%, Rand Paul 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 1%
ARG^[32] Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 600	January 6–10, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 29%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 25%	Marco Rubio 10%	Ben Carson 8%, Chris Christie 6%, Rand Paul 4%, Jeb Bush 3%, John Kasich 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Other 1%, Undecided 5%
Quinnipiac University^[33] Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 602	January 5–10, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 31%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 29%	Marco Rubio 15%	Ben Carson 7%, Chris Christie 4%, Jeb Bush 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Rand Paul 2%, John Kasich 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Not decided 5%
Fox News^[34] Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 504	January 4–7, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 27%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 23%	Marco Rubio 15%	Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Other 1%, Undecided 2%
NBC/WSJ/Marist^[35] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 456	January 2–7, 2016	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 28%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 24%	Marco Rubio 13%	Ben Carson 11%, Rand Paul 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Other 1%, Undecided 3%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Gravis Marketing Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 440	December 18–21, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 31%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 31%	Marco Rubio 9%	Ben Carson 7%, Jeb Bush 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Chris Christie 2%, John Kasich 2%, George Pataki 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Unsure 5%
CBS News/YouGov Margin of error: ± 5.3% Sample size: 1252	December 14–17, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 40%	Donald Trump 31%	Marco Rubio 12%	Ben Carson 6%, Jeb Bush 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George Pataki 0%, No preference 0%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 522	December 10–13, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 28%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 25%	Marco Rubio 14%	Ben Carson 10%, Jeb Bush 7%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Chris Christie 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Rand Paul 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George Pataki 0%, Undecided 1%
Quinnipiac University Margin of error: ± 3.3% Sample size: 874	December 4–13, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 28%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 27%	Marco Rubio 14%	Ben Carson 10%, Jeb Bush 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Chris Christie 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, DK 3%
Loras College Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 499	December 7–10, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 29.7%	Donald Trump 23.4%	Ben Carson 10.8%	Marco Rubio 10.6%, Jeb Bush 6.2%, Carly Fiorina 3.4%, Rand Paul 2.4%, Mike Huckabee 1.8%, John Kasich 1.0%, Rick Santorum 1.0%, Chris Christie 0.4%, Lindsey Graham 0.0%, Undecided 9.0%
Fox News Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 450	December 7–10, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 28%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 26%	Marco Rubio 13%	Ben Carson 10%, Jeb Bush 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Uncommited 1%, Other 1%, DK 3%
DMR/Bloomberg Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400	December 7–10, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 31%	Donald Trump 21%	Ben Carson 13%	Marco Rubio 10%, Jeb Bush 6%, Chris Christie 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Rand Paul 3%, John Kasich 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Uncommited 3%, Undecided 4%
Monmouth University Шаблон:Webarchive Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 425	December 3–6, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 24%	Donald Trump 19%	Marco Rubio 17%	Ben Carson 13%, Jeb Bush 6%, Rand Paul 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, John Kasich 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham <1%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Uncommited 1%, Undecided 4%
CNN/ORC Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 552	November 28- December 6, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 33%	Ted Cruz 20%	Ben Carson 16%	Marco Rubio 11%, Jeb Bush 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No one 1%, Someone else 1%, No opinion 1%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 600	November 16–22, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 25%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 23%	Ben Carson 18%	Marco Rubio 13%, Rand Paul 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 1%, George Pataki 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, DK/NA 2%
CBS News/YouGov Margin of error: ± 6.2% Sample size: ?	November 15–19, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 30%	Ted Cruz 21%	Ben Carson 19%	Marco Rubio 11%, Jeb Bush 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Chris Christie 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Bobby Jindal 2%, John Kasich 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, George Pataki 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%
Iowa State University/WHO-HD Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: 518	November 2–15, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ben Carson 27%	Marco Rubio 17%	Donald Trump 15%	Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 5%, Rand Paul 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, John Kasich 1%, Chris Christie 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%
CNN/ ORC Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 548	October 29 – November 4, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 25%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ben Carson 23%	Marco Rubio 13%	Ted Cruz 11%, Jeb Bush 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Lindsey Graham 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No opinion 3%
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 356	October 30 – November 2, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 29.4%	Ben Carson 22.4%	Marco Rubio 18.0%	Ted Cruz 8.5%, Jeb Bush 6.0%, Carly Fiorina 5.2%, John Kasich 3.1%, Chris Christie 2.4%, Rand Paul 1.8%, Bobby Jindal 1.5%, Mike Huckabee 1.1%, Rick Santorum 0.4%, Lindsey Graham 0.3%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 3.9% Sample size: 638	October 30 – November 1, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 22%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ben Carson 21%	Ted Cruz 14%	Marco Rubio 10%, Bobby Jindal 6%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Jeb Bush 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Chris Christie 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 1%
KBUR/Monmouth University Margin of error: ± 3.37% Sample size: 874	October 29–31, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ben Carson 27.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 20.4%	Ted Cruz 15.1%	Marco Rubio 10.1%, Jeb Bush 9.0%, Carly Fiorina 4.1%, Lindsey Graham 0.2%, Mike Huckabee 1.7%, John Kasich 1.9%, Rand Paul 1.6%, Chris Christie 2.3%, Bobby Jindal 1.3%, Rick Santorum 0.7%, Jim Gilmore 0.3%, George Pataki 0%, Undecided 3.8%
Monmouth University Шаблон:Webarchive Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400	October 22–25, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ben Carson 32%	Donald Trump 18%	Ted Cruz 10%	Marco Rubio 10%, Jeb Bush 8%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Chris Christie 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 0%, Uncommitted 1%, Undecided 5%
Loras College Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500	October 19–22, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ben Carson 30.6%	Donald Trump 18.6%	Marco Rubio 10.0%	Jeb Bush 6.8%, Ted Cruz 6.2%, Bobby Jindal 4.6%, Carly Fiorina 2.4%, Chris Christie 1.8%, Rand Paul 1.8%, John Kasich 1.4%, Mike Huckabee 1.2%, Rick Santorum 0.8%, Lindsey Graham 0.4%, George Pataki 0%, Undecided 12.8%
CBS News/YouGov Margin of error: ± 6.5% Sample size: ?	October 15–22, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 27%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ben Carson 27%	Ted Cruz 12%	Marco Rubio 9%, Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No preference 3%
DMR/Bloomberg Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 401	October 16–21, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ben Carson 28%	Donald Trump 19%	Ted Cruz 10%	Marco Rubio 9%, Rand Paul 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, John Kasich 2%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Not sure 7%, Uncommitted 3%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive Margin of error: ± 4.1% Sample size: 574	October 14–20, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ben Carson 28%	Donald Trump 20%	Marco Rubio 13%	Ted Cruz 10%, Rand Paul 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, John Kasich 3%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 3%
NBC/WSJ Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 431	October 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 24%	Ben Carson 19%	Carly Fiorina 8%	Jeb Bush 7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Bobby Jindal 6%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Chris Christie 4%, John Kasich 3%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, George Pataki <1%, Jim Gilmore <1%, Undecided 7%
Gravis Marketing Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 454	October 2, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 18.8%	Ben Carson 14.1%	Ted Cruz 10.6%	Carly Fiorina 9.7%, Marco Rubio 8.9%, Jeb Bush 6.9%, John Kasich 2.6%, Rand Paul 2.4%, Mike Huckabee 1.8%, Lindsey Graham 1.8%, Bobby Jindal 1.7%, Chris Christie 1.4%, Rick Santorum 1.3%, George Pataki 0.3%, Unsure 17.9%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 488	September 18–20, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 24%	Ben Carson 17%	Carly Fiorina 13%	Ted Cruz 8%, Marco Rubio 8%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Jeb Bush 6%, Scott Walker 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Bobby Jindal 4%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Undecided 3%
CBS News/YouGov Margin of error: ± 5.7% Sample size: 705	September 3–10, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 29%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ben Carson 25%	Ted Cruz 10%	Marco Rubio 6%, Scott Walker 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Rick Santorum 3%, Jeb Bush 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Rick Perry 0%, No preference 4%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive Margin of error: ± 3.0% Sample size: 1038	August 27 – September 8, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 27%	Ben Carson 21%	Ted Cruz 9%	Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Marco Rubio 5%, John Kasich 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Scott Walker 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 4%
NBC News/Marist Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 390	August 26 – September 2, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 29%	Ben Carson 22%	Jeb Bush 6%	Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Scott Walker 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Marco Rubio 4%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Chris Christie 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Rick Perry 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 8%
Gravis Marketing/One America Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 507	August 29–31, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 31.7%	Ben Carson 15.8%	Ted Cruz 6.9%	Marco Rubio 5.8%, Scott Walker 5.6%, Bobby Jindal 5.2%, Carly Fiorina 4.6%, Jeb Bush 4.1%, Mike Huckabee 2.6%, Chris Christie 2.0%, John Kasich 1.4%, Rand Paul 1.3%, Rick Perry 0.9%, Rick Santorum 0.6%, Lindsey Graham 0.4%, George Pataki 0.1%, Undecided 10.9%
Monmouth University Шаблон:Webarchive Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 405	August 27–30, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 23%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ben Carson 23%	Carly Fiorina 10%	Ted Cruz 9%, Scott Walker 7%, Jeb Bush 5%, John Kasich 4%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Perry 1%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 0%, Undecided 5%
Des Moines Register/Bloomberg/Selzer Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400	August 23–26, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 23%	Ben Carson 18%	Ted Cruz 8%	Scott Walker 8%, Jeb Bush 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Chris Christie 2%, Bobby Jindal 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 0%, Undecided 10%
CNN/ORC Margin of error: ± 2% Sample size: 2,014	August 7–11, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 22%	Ben Carson 14%	Scott Walker 9%	Ted Cruz 8%, Carly Fiorina 7%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Jeb Bush 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Marco Rubio 5%, Chris Christie 3%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Bobby Jindal 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Someone else 0%, No one 2%, No opinion 4%
NBC/Marist Шаблон:Dead link Margin of error: ± 5.3% Sample size: 342	July 14–21, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Scott Walker 19%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Donald Trump 17%	Jeb Bush 12%	Ben Carson 8%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rick Perry 3%, Chris Christie 2%, John Kasich 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 14%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive Margin of error: ± 3.8% Sample size: 666	June 20–29, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Scott Walker 18%	Ben Carson 10%	Donald Trump 10%	Ted Cruz 9%, Rand Paul 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Rick Perry 4%, Rick Santorum 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Bobby Jindal 3%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, George Pataki 0%, DK/NA 5%
Morning Consult Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 265	May 31 – June 8, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Scott Walker 18%	Jeb Bush 10%	Mike Huckabee 10%	Rand Paul 10%, Marco Rubio 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Ben Carson 5%, Donald Trump 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Don't know/No opinion/Refused 21%, Someone else 3%
Gravis Marketing Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 364	May 28–29, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Scott Walker 17%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Marco Rubio 13%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ben Carson 12%	Jeb Bush 10%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Ted Cruz 6%, Rick Santorum 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Unsure 15%
Des Moines Register Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 402	May 25–29, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Scott Walker 17%	Ben Carson 10%	Rand Paul 10%	Jeb Bush 9%, Mike Huckabee 9%, Marco Rubio 6%, Rick Santorum 6%, Ted Cruz 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Donald Trump 4%, Rick Perry 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Uncommitted 4%, Not sure 7%
Quinnipiac University Margin of error: ± 3.8% Sample size: 667	April 25 – May 4, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Scott Walker 21%	Rand Paul 13%	Marco Rubio 13%	Ted Cruz 12%, Mike Huckabee 11%, Ben Carson 7%, Jeb Bush 5%, Chris Christie 3%, Rick Perry 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Don't know/No answer 6%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 462	April 23–26, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Scott Walker 23%	Marco Rubio 13%	Jeb Bush 12%	Mike Huckabee 10%, Rand Paul 10%, Ted Cruz 8%, Ben Carson 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Rick Perry 4%, Undecided 8%
Loras College Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 509	April 21–23, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Scott Walker 12.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Marco Rubio 10%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jeb Bush 9.6%	Mike Huckabee 8.6%, Ted Cruz 6.5%, Ben Carson 6.3%, Rand Paul 6.3%, Chris Christie 5.1%, Rick Santorum 3.5%, Donald Trump 3.1%, Rick Perry 2.6%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, John Kasich 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Undecided 22.8%
Gravis Marketing Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 388	April 13, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jeb Bush 16%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Scott Walker 13%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Marco Rubio 12%	Ben Carson 9%, Rand Paul 9%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Undecided 17%
Opinion Savvy Margin of error: ± 4.16% Sample size: 552	March 20, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Scott Walker 29%	Ben Carson 14%	Jeb Bush 12%	Mike Huckabee 11%, Ted Cruz 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Marco Rubio 5%, Donald Trump 3%, Other/Undecided 10%
Quinnipiac University Margin of error: ± 3.9% Sample size: 623	February 16–23, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Scott Walker 25%	Rand Paul 13%	Ben Carson 11%	Mike Huckabee 11%, Jeb Bush 10%, Ted Cruz 5%, Marco Rubio 4%, Chris Christie 4%, Rick Santorum 4%, Rick Perry 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, John Kasich 0%, Unsure 9%
Gravis Marketing Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 343	February 12–13, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Scott Walker 24%	Jeb Bush 10%	Rand Paul 10%	Chris Christie 9%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Marco Rubio 7%, Rick Santorum 6%, Ben Carson 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Unsure 15%
NBC News/Marist Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 320	February 3–10, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Huckabee 17%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jeb Bush 16%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Scott Walker 15%	Chris Christie 9%, Rand Paul 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Rick Santorum 5%, Rick Perry 4%, Ted Cruz 2%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Undecided 14%
Selzer & Co. Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 402	January 26–29, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Scott Walker 15%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Rand Paul 14%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mitt Romney 13%	Mike Huckabee 10%, Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Ted Cruz 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Rick Santorum 4%, Marco Rubio 3%, Rick Perry 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich 1%, Donald Trump 1%, Mike Pence 0%, Uncommitted 2%, Not sure 5%
Selzer & Co. Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 402	January 26–29, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Scott Walker 16%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Rand Paul 15%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Huckabee 13%	Ben Carson 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 6%, Ted Cruz 6%, Rick Santorum 5%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rick Perry 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich 1%, Donald Trump 1%, Mike Pence 0%, Uncommitted 3%, Not sure 5%
Loras College Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 316	January 21–26, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mitt Romney 13.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Huckabee 12.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ben Carson 10.5%	Jeb Bush 9.9%, Scott Walker 8.3%, Rand Paul 6.7%, Ted Cruz 5.1%, Marco Rubio 4.2%, Chris Christie 3.8%, Rick Santorum 3.8%, Rick Perry 2.9%, Bobby Jindal 1.6%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich 1%, Lindsey Graham 0.3% Undecided 14.7%
Loras College Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 316	January 21–26, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Huckabee 14.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jeb Bush 13.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ben Carson 12.8%	Scott Walker 9.9%, Rand Paul 7%, Chris Christie 5.4%, Ted Cruz 5.4%, Marco Rubio 4.2%, Rick Santorum 3.8%, Rick Perry 3.2%, Bobby Jindal 1.6%, Carly Fiorina 1.3%, John Kasich 1.3%, Lindsey Graham 0.6% Undecided 16%
Gravis Marketing Margin of error: ± 3% Sample size: 404	January 5–7, 2015	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mitt Romney 21%	Jeb Bush 14%	Scott Walker 10%	Mike Huckabee 9%, Rand Paul 8%, Ted Cruz 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Paul Ryan 5%, Marco Rubio 4%, Undecided 18%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Fox News Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 329	October 28–30, 2014	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Huckabee 13%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ben Carson 12%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Paul Ryan 9%	Jeb Bush 8%, Rand Paul 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Ted Cruz 7%, Rick Santorum 6%, Marco Rubio 5%, Scott Walker 5%, Rick Perry 3%, Bobby Jindal 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rob Portman 0%, Other 1%, None of the above 4%, Don't know 10%
Reuters/Ipsos Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 602	October 23–29, 2014	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mitt Romney 17%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Paul Ryan 13%	Chris Christie 12%	Jeb Bush 10%, Scott Walker 10%, Rand Paul 8%, Ted Cruz 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Rick Santorum 6%, Rick Perry 5%, Wouldn't vote 7%
Selzer & Co. Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 425	October 1–7, 2014	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mitt Romney 17%	Ben Carson 11%	Rand Paul 10%	Mike Huckabee 9%, Paul Ryan 8%, Ted Cruz 7%, Rick Perry 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Jeb Bush 4%, Scott Walker 4%, Rick Santorum 3%, Marco Rubio 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, John Kasich 1%, Mike Pence 0%, Rob Portman 0%, Uncommitted 1%, Not sure 9%
CNN/ORC Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 310	September 8–10, 2014	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Huckabee 21%	Paul Ryan 12%	Rand Paul 7%	Jeb Bush 6%, Chris Christie 6%, Rick Perry 5%, Marco Rubio 5%, Scott Walker 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Rick Santorum 3%
Suffolk University Margin of error: ± 6.83% Sample size: 206	August 23–26, 2014	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Huckabee 13.11%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Chris Christie 10.68%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Rick Perry 8.74%	Jeb Bush 7.28%, Rand Paul 6.8%, Paul Ryan 6.31%, Rick Santorum 5.83%, Marco Rubio 5.34%, Ted Cruz 4.85%, Scott Walker 4.37%, Bobby Jindal 2.91%, Jon Huntsman Jr. 0.97%, John Kasich 0.97%, Other 4.37%, Undecided 16.99%, Refused 0.49%
	August 23–26, 2014	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mitt Romney 35.29%	Mike Huckabee 8.82%	Chris Christie 6.47%	Rick Santorum 5.88%, Ted Cruz 5.29%, Rand Paul 5.29%, Jeb Bush 4.71, Rick Perry 4.71%, Paul Ryan 4.12%, Scott Walker 3.53%, Marco Rubio 2.35%, Bobby Jindal 1.76%, Jon Huntsman Jr. 1.18%, John Kasich 0.59%, Undecided 10%
NBC News/Marist Margin of error: ± 4.1% Sample size: 558	July 7–13, 2014	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jeb Bush 12%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Rand Paul 12%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Paul Ryan 11%	Rick Santorum 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Ted Cruz 7%, Rick Perry 7%, Marco Rubio 7%, Scott Walker 5%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Undecided 20%
Vox Populi Polling Margin of error: ± 6.6% Sample size: 222	June 4–5, 2014	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jeb Bush 18%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Huckabee 15%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Paul Ryan 13%	Rand Paul 12%, Marco Rubio 11%, Rick Santorum 10%, Ted Cruz 9%, Chris Christie 6%, Scott Walker 6%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 303	May 15–19, 2014	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Huckabee 20%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ted Cruz 15%	Jeb Bush 12%	Rand Paul 10%, Chris Christie 9%, Paul Ryan 8%, Scott Walker 6%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rick Santorum 3%, Someone else/Not sure 13%
The Daily Caller/Vox Populi Polling Шаблон:Webarchive Margin of error: ± 8.4% Sample size: 168	April 22–24, 2014	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Huckabee 20%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Paul Ryan 19%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jeb Bush 18%	Ted Cruz 9%, Marco Rubio 9%, Rand Paul 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Scott Walker 6%, Joe Scarborough 4%
Magellan Strategies Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 330	April 14–15, 2014	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jeb Bush 17%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Huckabee 17%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Chris Christie 14%	Rand Paul 11%, Ted Cruz 10%, Scott Walker 8%, John Kasich 5%, Marco Rubio 2%, Undecided 16%
Loras College Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 600	April 7–8, 2014	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Huckabee 14.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jeb Bush 10.7%	Rand Paul 8.5%	Paul Ryan 8.3%, Chris Christie 8%, Ted Cruz 6.2%, Marco Rubio 4.7%, Rick Santorum 4.7%, Scott Walker 4.7%, Rick Perry 3%, John Kasich 0.7%, Other 0.7%, Undecided 23.8%
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive Margin of error: ± 8.7% Sample size: 127	April 3–8, 2014	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Huckabee 11.02%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jeb Bush 10.24%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Rand Paul 10.24%	Ted Cruz 9.45%, Ben Carson 8.66%, Chris Christie 7.09%, Paul Ryan 6.3%, Sarah Palin 5.51%, Condoleezza Rice 5.51%, Marco Rubio 5.51%, Rick Santorum 5.51%, Scott Walker 5.51%, Bobby Jindal 3.15%, Rick Perry 3.15%, Undecided 3.15%
WPA Research Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: 402	March 30, 2014	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Huckabee 14%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Rand Paul 10%	Scott Walker 8%	Jeb Bush 7%, Ted Cruz 7%, Paul Ryan 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Rick Santorum 5%, Rick Perry 3%, Marco Rubio 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Other 2%, Undecided 26%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 5.8% Sample size: 283	February 20–23, 2014	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Huckabee 17%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Rand Paul 14%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jeb Bush 13%	Chris Christie 10%, Ted Cruz 10%, Paul Ryan 9%, Bobby Jindal 7%, Scott Walker 7%, Marco Rubio 3%, Other/Undecided 11%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Cygnal Margin of error: ± 2.37% Sample size: 1,705	July 10–12, 2013	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Marco Rubio 11.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Rand Paul 10.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Paul Ryan 9.3%	Jeb Bush 8.7%, Chris Christie 7.7%, Rick Santorum 6.7%, Ted Cruz 6.1%, Scott Walker 2.1%, Bobby Jindal 1.3%, Undecided 36.3%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 6.2% Sample size: 250	July 5–7, 2013	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Rand Paul 18%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Chris Christie 16%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Paul Ryan 15%	Jeb Bush 14%, Marco Rubio 11%, Ted Cruz 10%, Rick Santorum 6%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Susana Martinez 1%, Other/Undecided 7%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 5.4% Sample size: 326	Feb. 1–3, 2013	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Huckabee 16%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Marco Rubio 16%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Rand Paul 15%	Jeb Bush 14%, Chris Christie 12%, Paul Ryan 10%, Susana Martinez 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Perry 3%, Someone Else/Undecided 7%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: 5.1% Sample size: 363	July 12–15, 2012	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Rick Santorum 17%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Huckabee 17%	Chris Christie 16%	Rand Paul 11%, Marco Rubio 10%, Jeb Bush 8%, Paul Ryan 6%, Sarah Palin 4%, Scott Walker 4%, Someone else/Not sure 8%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: 5.3% Sample size: 346	May 3–5, 2012	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Rick Santorum 16%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Huckabee 16%	Chris Christie 15%	Jeb Bush 10%, Sarah Palin 10%, Rand Paul 9%, Marco Rubio 7%, Paul Ryan 5% Someone else/Not sure 10%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:2016IARep

Файл:Iowa Republican caucus, 2016.svg

Results of the Iowa Republican caucus, 2016 Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Controversy

Ben Carson accused Ted Cruz's campaign of winning the caucuses using dishonest tactics, such as falsely telling caucus-goers that Carson had dropped out in order to get them to switch their votes to Cruz.^[36] Donald Trump also accused Cruz of "stealing" the Iowa caucuses through fraud.^[37]

Exit polls

2016 Iowa Republican Caucuses by demographic subgroup (Edison entrance polling)^[38]
Demographic subgroup	Cruz	Trump	Rubio	Carson	% of total vote
Total vote	27.6	24.3	23.1	9.3	90%
Gender
Men	29	25	25	8	52%
Women	27	24	21	11	48%
Race/ethnicity
White	28	24	23	9	97%
Age
17–29 years old	27	19	24	10	12%
30–44 years old	31	22	22	6	16%
45–64 years old	28	25	24	10	46%
65+ years old	27	26	22	10	27%
Education
College Graduate	25	21	28	9	51%
Non-college	31	28	17	9	49%
Issue regarded as most important
Immigration	34	44	10	7	13%
Economy	18	24	30	9	27%
Terrorism	33	21	26	8	25%
Government spending	27	19	21	11	32%
Area type
Urban	24	23	28	7	20%
Suburban	28	22	25	7	36%
Rural	29	27	18	12	44%
Religion
Evangelical	33	21	21	12	62%
Non-Evangelical	19	29	26	5	38%

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:2016 Republican Primaries

[1] Шаблон:Cite web

[2] Шаблон:Cite web

[3] Шаблон:Cite web

[4] Шаблон:Cite web

[5] Шаблон:Cite web

[6] Article VIII, Republican Party of Iowa bylaws Шаблон:Webarchive, amended June 27, 2015.

[7] Шаблон:Cite news

[8] Шаблон:Cite web

[9] Шаблон:Cite news

[10] Шаблон:Cite magazine

[11] Шаблон:Cite web

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[18] Шаблон:Cite web

[Marist_Poll-19] Шаблон:Cite web

[20] Шаблон:Cite web

[21] Шаблон:Cite web

[22] Шаблон:Cite web

[23] Шаблон:Cite web

[24] Шаблон:Cite web

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[27] Шаблон:Cite web

[28] Шаблон:Cite web

[29] Шаблон:Cite web

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[31] Шаблон:Cite web

[32] Шаблон:Cite web

[33] Шаблон:Cite web

[34] Шаблон:Cite web

[maristpoll.marist.edu-35] Шаблон:Cite web

[dirty-36] Шаблон:Cite web

[stealing-37] Шаблон:Cite web

[38] Шаблон:Cite web

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Английская Википедия:2016 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses

Содержание

Procedure

Forums and debates

Endorsements

Polling

Aggregate polls

Results

Controversy

Exit polls

See also

References

External links

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