Английская Википедия:2016 Missouri gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsMO The 2016 Missouri gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor of Missouri, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

The primaries were held on August 2. Incumbent Democratic Governor Jay Nixon was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third term in office.[1] State Attorney General Chris Koster and businessman, author and former U.S. Navy SEAL Eric Greitens won the Democratic and Republican primaries, respectively.[2][3] On election day, November 8, 2016, the Associated Press declared Greitens the winner of the election, and Koster conceded shortly after.[4]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chris
Koster
Eric
Morrison
Leonard
Steinman
Charles
Wheeler
Other Undecided
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon July 23–27, 2016 400 ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 73% 3% 1% 8% 15%
SurveyUSA Шаблон:Webarchive July 20–24, 2016 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 57% 7% 3% 7% 26%

Results

Файл:2016 Missouri gubernatorial Democratic primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Former

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Brunner
Eric
Greitens
Catherine
Hanaway
Peter
Kinder
Undecided
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon July 23–27, 2016 400 ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 23% 21% 21% 18% 17%
SurveyUSA Шаблон:Webarchive July 20–24, 2016 773 ± 3.6% 21% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 25% 18% 18% 18%
OnMessage Inc. July 17–18, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 23% 21% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 25% 19% 12%
Public Policy Polling July 11–12, 2016 462 ± 3.2% 16% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 24% 22% 15% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 23%
Remington Research Group (R)/Missouri Scout July 7–8, 2016 1,022 ± 3.0% 22% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 29% 16% 12% 21%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Brunner
Catherine
Hanaway
Peter
Kinder
Tom
Schweich
Dave
Spence
Other Undecided
Remington Research Group February 2–3, 2015 747 3.6% 10% 13% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 16% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 62%
12% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 24% 15% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 48%
16% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 19% 18% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 47%
Remington Research Group January 2015 1,355 ? 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 56%
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% 37% 25%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Файл:2016 Missouri gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Third party and independent candidates

Green Party

Candidates

Declared

Independent

Candidates

Declared
  • Les Turilli, Jr., businessman[42]

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Declared

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[44] Шаблон:USRaceRating August 12, 2016
Daily Kos[45] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[46] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics[48] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2016
Governing[49] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2016

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Chris
Koster (D)
Eric
Greitens (R)
Other/Undecided
Шаблон:Efn
Margin
Real Clear Politics October 28 – November 1, 2016 November 1, 2016 45.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46.0% 8.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Greitens +0.5%

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chris
Koster (D)
Eric
Greitens (R)
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 1,368 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 47% 5%
SurveyMonkey October 31–Nov 6, 2016 1,119 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% 46% 5%
SurveyMonkey October 28–Nov 3, 2016 879 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% 47% 4%
Public Policy Polling November 1–2, 2016 871 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 44% 4% 6%
SurveyMonkey October 27 – November 2, 2016 774 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% 47% 3%
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) October 31 – November 1, 2016 1,722 ± 2.4% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 4% 4%
DFM Research October 27 – November 1, 2016 508 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 39% 10% 6%
SurveyMonkey October 26 – November 1, 2016 649 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% 46% 2%
Monmouth University October 28–31, 2016 405 ± 4.9% 46% 46% 2% 5%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 671 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% 44% 2%
Missouri Scout/BK Strategies (R) October 27–28, 2016 1,698 ± 2.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 45% 9%
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon October 24–26, 2016 625 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 45% 9%
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) October 23–25, 2016 2,559 ± 1.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 45% 4% 4%
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) October 9–11, 2016 2,171 ± 2.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 42% 5% 5%
Monmouth University October 9–11, 2016 406 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 43% 2% 8%
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) October 4–5, 2016 1,588 ± 2.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 41% 5% 10%
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) September 26–27, 2016 1,279 ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% 35% 5%[50] 10%
The Tarrance Group (R-Greitens) September 19–22, 2016 606 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 42% 13%
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) September 19–20, 2016 1,076 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 37% 4%[51] 13%
The Missouri Times/Gravis Marketing September 11–13, 2016 604 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% 41% 8%
The Missouri Times/Gravis Marketing September 4–6, 2016 589 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 41% 3%[52] 9%
Missouri Scout/Remington Research Group (R) September 1–2, 2016 1,275 ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 42% 12%
Monmouth University August 19–22, 2016 401 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% 40% 3% 6%
Remington Research Group (R) August 5–6, 2016 1,280 ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 43% 7%
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon July 23–24, 2016 625 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% 33% 15%
DFM Research March 17–24, 2016 674 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% 24% 3% 31%
Public Policy Polling September 22–23, 2015 731 ± 3.6% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 20%
Public Policy Polling August 7–9, 2015 859 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 34% 26%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with John Brunner
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chris
Koster (D)
John
Brunner (R)
Other Undecided
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon July 23–24, 2016 625 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 40% 14%
DFM Research March 17–24, 2016 674 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 28% 2% 28%
Public Policy Polling August 7–9, 2015 859 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% 36% 23%
with Catherine Hanaway
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chris
Koster (D)
Catherine
Hanaway (R)
Other Undecided
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon July 23–24, 2016 625 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% 36% 12%
DFM Research March 17–24, 2016 674 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% 31% 3% 23%
Public Policy Polling August 7–9, 2015 859 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 36% 23%
Gravius Public Polling January 7–8, 2015 ? ± 6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 29% 23% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 48%
Wilson Perkins Allen (R-Hanaway) January 15–19, 2014 700 ± 3.7% 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 35% 32%
with Peter Kinder
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chris
Koster (D)
Peter
Kinder (R)
Other Undecided
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon July 23–24, 2016 625 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 46% 7%
DFM Research March 17–24, 2016 674 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% 37% 2% 22%
Public Policy Polling August 7–9, 2015 859 ± 3.3% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% 24%
with Bob Dixon
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chris
Koster (D)
Bob
Dixon (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 7–9, 2015 859 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% 35% 26%
with Bart Korman
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chris
Koster (D)
Bart
Korman (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 7–9, 2015 859 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% 31% 30%
with Tom Schweich
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chris
Koster (D)
Tom
Schweich (R)
Other Undecided
Gravius Public Polling January 7–8, 2015 ? ± 6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 30% 26% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 44%
with Randy Asbury
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chris
Koster (D)
Randy
Asbury (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 7–9, 2015 859 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 35% 25%
with Claire McCaskill
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Claire
McCaskill (D)
Catherine
Hanaway (R)
Other Undecided
Gravius Public Polling January 7–8, 2015 ? ± 6% 19% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 30% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 51%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Claire
McCaskill (D)
Tom
Schweich (R)
Other Undecided
Gravius Public Polling January 7–8, 2015 ? ± 6% 20% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 46%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Файл:MO 2016 GOV STATE SENATE.svg
State Senate Districts results
Файл:MO 2016 GOV SH.svg
State House Districts results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Campaign finance investigations

On April 28, 2017, the Missouri Ethics Commission fined Greitens' campaign $1,000 for violating state campaign ethics rules regarding campaign disclosure. Greitens did not contest the fine.[53]

In 2018, Missouri Attorney General Josh Hawley announced the opening of an investigation of Greitens' 2016 campaign financing.[54]

On June 1, 2018, Eric Greitens resigned from office, leaving Mike Parson, his lieutenant governor, to succeed him.

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Шаблон:Missouri elections Шаблон:2016 United States elections

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