Английская Википедия:2016 Missouri gubernatorial election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsMO The 2016 Missouri gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor of Missouri, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The primaries were held on August 2. Incumbent Democratic Governor Jay Nixon was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third term in office.[1] State Attorney General Chris Koster and businessman, author and former U.S. Navy SEAL Eric Greitens won the Democratic and Republican primaries, respectively.[2][3] On election day, November 8, 2016, the Associated Press declared Greitens the winner of the election, and Koster conceded shortly after.[4]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Chris Koster, Attorney General of Missouri[5][6][7]
- Eric Morrison, pastor, community leader [8]
- Leonard Steinman, perennial candidate[9]
- Charles Wheeler, former mayor of Kansas City and former state senator[10]
Declined
- Claire McCaskill, U.S. Senator, former state auditor of Missouri and nominee for governor in 2004[11][12]
- Clint Zweifel, State Treasurer of Missouri[13]
- Joe Maxwell, former lieutenant governor of Missouri[14]
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Koster |
Eric Morrison |
Leonard Steinman |
Charles Wheeler |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon | July 23–27, 2016 | 400 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 73% | 3% | 1% | 8% | — | 15% |
SurveyUSA Шаблон:Webarchive | July 20–24, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 57% | 7% | 3% | 7% | — | 26% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- John Brunner, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[15]
- Eric Greitens, businessman, author and former U.S. Navy SEAL[16]
- Catherine Hanaway, former Speaker of the Missouri House of Representatives and former United States Attorney for the Eastern District of Missouri[17]
- Peter Kinder, Lieutenant Governor of Missouri[18]
Former
- Tom Schweich, State Auditor of Missouri (died February 26, 2015)[7][19][20][21][22]
Withdrew
- Randy Asbury, former state representative[15][23]
- Bob Dixon, state senator[24][25]
- Mike Parson, state senator (running for Lieutenant Governor)[26][27]
Declined
- Tim Jones, Speaker of the Missouri House of Representatives[28][29][30][31]
- Bart Korman, state representative[32][33]
- Blaine Luetkemeyer, U.S. Representative[19][34][35][36]
- Ron Richard, state senator and former Speaker of the Missouri House of Representatives[37]
- Dave Spence, businessman and nominee for governor in 2012[38]
- Jim Talent, former U.S. Senator[39]
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Brunner |
Eric Greitens |
Catherine Hanaway |
Peter Kinder |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon | July 23–27, 2016 | 400 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 23% | 21% | 21% | 18% | 17% |
SurveyUSA Шаблон:Webarchive | July 20–24, 2016 | 773 | ± 3.6% | 21% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 25% | 18% | 18% | 18% |
OnMessage Inc. | July 17–18, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 23% | 21% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 25% | 19% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | July 11–12, 2016 | 462 | ± 3.2% | 16% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 24% | 22% | 15% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 23% |
Remington Research Group (R)/Missouri Scout | July 7–8, 2016 | 1,022 | ± 3.0% | 22% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 29% | 16% | 12% | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Brunner |
Catherine Hanaway |
Peter Kinder |
Tom Schweich |
Dave Spence |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group | February 2–3, 2015 | 747 | 3.6% | 10% | 13% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 16% | — | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 62% |
— | 12% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 24% | 15% | — | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 48% | ||||
— | 16% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 19% | — | 18% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 47% | ||||
Remington Research Group | January 2015 | 1,355 | ? | — | 44% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 56% | — | — | — |
— | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% | — | 37% | 25% | — | — |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Third party and independent candidates
Green Party
Candidates
Declared
Independent
Candidates
Declared
- Les Turilli, Jr., businessman[42]
Libertarian Party
Candidates
Declared
- Cisse W. Spragins, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and nominee for Missouri Secretary of State in 2012[43]
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, September 30, 2016 - C-SPAN
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[44] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | August 12, 2016 |
Daily Kos[45] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 8, 2016 |
Rothenberg Political Report[46] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2016 |
Real Clear Politics[48] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2016 |
Governing[49] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2016 |
Polling
- Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Chris Koster (D) |
Eric Greitens (R) |
Other/Undecided Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | October 28 – November 1, 2016 | November 1, 2016 | 45.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46.0% | 8.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Greitens +0.5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Koster (D) |
Eric Greitens (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 1,368 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 47% | — | 5% |
SurveyMonkey | October 31–Nov 6, 2016 | 1,119 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 46% | — | 5% |
SurveyMonkey | October 28–Nov 3, 2016 | 879 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 47% | — | 4% |
Public Policy Polling | November 1–2, 2016 | 871 | ± 3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 44% | 4% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey | October 27 – November 2, 2016 | 774 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 47% | — | 3% |
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) | October 31 – November 1, 2016 | 1,722 | ± 2.4% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 4% | 4% |
DFM Research | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | 508 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 39% | 10% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey | October 26 – November 1, 2016 | 649 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% | 46% | — | 2% |
Monmouth University | October 28–31, 2016 | 405 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 46% | 2% | 5% |
SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 671 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 44% | — | 2% |
Missouri Scout/BK Strategies (R) | October 27–28, 2016 | 1,698 | ± 2.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 45% | — | 9% |
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon | October 24–26, 2016 | 625 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 45% | — | 9% |
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) | October 23–25, 2016 | 2,559 | ± 1.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 45% | 4% | 4% |
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) | October 9–11, 2016 | 2,171 | ± 2.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 42% | 5% | 5% |
Monmouth University | October 9–11, 2016 | 406 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 43% | 2% | 8% |
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) | October 4–5, 2016 | 1,588 | ± 2.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | 41% | 5% | 10% |
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) | September 26–27, 2016 | 1,279 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 35% | 5%[50] | 10% |
The Tarrance Group (R-Greitens) | September 19–22, 2016 | 606 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 42% | — | 13% |
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) | September 19–20, 2016 | 1,076 | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 37% | 4%[51] | 13% |
The Missouri Times/Gravis Marketing | September 11–13, 2016 | 604 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 41% | — | 8% |
The Missouri Times/Gravis Marketing | September 4–6, 2016 | 589 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 41% | 3%[52] | 9% |
Missouri Scout/Remington Research Group (R) | September 1–2, 2016 | 1,275 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 42% | — | 12% |
Monmouth University | August 19–22, 2016 | 401 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 40% | 3% | 6% |
Remington Research Group (R) | August 5–6, 2016 | 1,280 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 43% | — | 7% |
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon | July 23–24, 2016 | 625 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% | 33% | — | 15% |
DFM Research | March 17–24, 2016 | 674 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% | 24% | 3% | 31% |
Public Policy Polling | September 22–23, 2015 | 731 | ± 3.6% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% | — | 20% |
Public Policy Polling | August 7–9, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% | 34% | — | 26% |
- with John Brunner
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Koster (D) |
John Brunner (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon | July 23–24, 2016 | 625 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 40% | — | 14% |
DFM Research | March 17–24, 2016 | 674 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% | 28% | 2% | 28% |
Public Policy Polling | August 7–9, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% | 36% | — | 23% |
- with Catherine Hanaway
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Koster (D) |
Catherine Hanaway (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon | July 23–24, 2016 | 625 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% | 36% | — | 12% |
DFM Research | March 17–24, 2016 | 674 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% | 31% | 3% | 23% |
Public Policy Polling | August 7–9, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% | 36% | — | 23% |
Gravius Public Polling | January 7–8, 2015 | ? | ± 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 29% | 23% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 48% |
Wilson Perkins Allen (R-Hanaway) | January 15–19, 2014 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 35% | — | 32% |
- with Peter Kinder
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Koster (D) |
Peter Kinder (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon | July 23–24, 2016 | 625 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 46% | — | 7% |
DFM Research | March 17–24, 2016 | 674 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% | 37% | 2% | 22% |
Public Policy Polling | August 7–9, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% | — | 24% |
- with Bob Dixon
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Koster (D) |
Bob Dixon (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 7–9, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% | 35% | — | 26% |
- with Bart Korman
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Koster (D) |
Bart Korman (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 7–9, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% | 31% | — | 30% |
- with Tom Schweich
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Koster (D) |
Tom Schweich (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravius Public Polling | January 7–8, 2015 | ? | ± 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 30% | 26% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 44% |
- with Randy Asbury
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Koster (D) |
Randy Asbury (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 7–9, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% | 35% | — | 25% |
- with Claire McCaskill
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Claire McCaskill (D) |
Catherine Hanaway (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravius Public Polling | January 7–8, 2015 | ? | ± 6% | 19% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 30% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 51% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Claire McCaskill (D) |
Tom Schweich (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravius Public Polling | January 7–8, 2015 | ? | ± 6% | 20% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 34% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 46% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Adair (largest city: Kirksville)
- Audrain (Largest city: Mexico)
- Bates (Largest city: Butler)
- Buchanan (Largest city: St. Joseph)
- Chariton (Largest city: Salisbury)
- Clark (Largest city: Kahoka)
- Clay (Largest city: Liberty)
- Clinton (Largest city: Cameron)
- Dunklin (Largest city: Kennett)
- Franklin (Largest city: Washington)
- Greene (largest city: Springfield)
- Henry (Largest city: Clinton)
- Hickory (Largest city: Hermitage)
- Howard (Largest city: Fayette)
- Iron (Largest city: Ironton)
- Jefferson (Largest city: Arnold)
- Johnson (largest city: Warrensburg)
- Knox (Largest city: Edina)
- Lafayette (Largest city: Odessa)
- Lewis (Largest city: Canton)
- Linn (Largest city: Brookfield)
- Madison (Largest city: Fredericktown)
- Mississippi (Largest city: Charleston)
- Monroe (Largest city: Monroe City)
- New Madrid (Largest city: New Madrid)
- Nodaway (Largest city: Maryville)
- Pemiscot (Largest city: Caruthersville)
- Pettis (largest city: Sedalia)
- Pike (Largest city: Bowling Green)
- Platte (largest city: Kansas City)
- Ray (Largest city: Richmond)
- Reynolds (Largest city: Ellington)
- Saline (Largest city: Marshall)
- Scott (Largest city: Sikeston)
- Shannon (Largest city: Winona)
- St. Charles (largest city: O'Fallon)
- St. Francois (Largest city: Farmington)
- Ste. Genevieve (largest city: Ste. Genevieve)
- Washington (Largest city: Potosi)
- Wayne (Largest city: Piedmont)
Campaign finance investigations
On April 28, 2017, the Missouri Ethics Commission fined Greitens' campaign $1,000 for violating state campaign ethics rules regarding campaign disclosure. Greitens did not contest the fine.[53]
In 2018, Missouri Attorney General Josh Hawley announced the opening of an investigation of Greitens' 2016 campaign financing.[54]
On June 1, 2018, Eric Greitens resigned from office, leaving Mike Parson, his lieutenant governor, to succeed him.
Notes
References
External links
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
Шаблон:Missouri elections Шаблон:2016 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 7,0 7,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 15,0 15,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 19,0 19,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Cisse Spragins (L) 3%, Lester Turilli (I) 2%
- ↑ Cisse Spragins (L) 2%, Lester Turilli (I) 2%
- ↑ Cisse Spragins (L) 2%, Lester Turilli (I) 1%
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ ELECTIONS ‘She’s a lucky duck’: GOP implodes again for McCaskill, Politico, Daniel Strauss, April 23, 2018. Retrieved April 30, 2018.
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