Английская Википедия:2016 Montana gubernatorial election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsMT The 2016 Montana gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Montana, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic Governor Steve Bullock won re-election to a second term in office with 50.3% of the vote, defeating Republican challenger Greg Gianforte. Less than a year later, Gianforte won a seat in the U.S. House of Representatives, and in 2020 was elected governor.
In the concurrent presidential election, Democrat Hillary Clinton lost Montana by more than 20%, with Bullock thus over-performing her vote share by more than 14% and her margin of defeat by more than 24%.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Steve Bullock, incumbent governor
- Running mate: Mike Cooney, incumbent lieutenant governor[1]
- Bill McChesney, former state representative[2]
- Running mate: Mike Anderson
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Greg Gianforte, founder of RightNow Technologies and conservative activist[3][4][5]
- Running mate: Lesley Robinson, Phillips County Commissioner
- Terry Nelson, planning administrator for Ravalli County, Montana[6]
- Running mate: Niki Sardot
Withdrawn
- Brad Johnson, chairman of the Montana Public Service Commission and former secretary of state of Montana[7]
- Mark Perea, businessman and nominee for the state senate in 2012[8] (did not file)
Declined
- Tim Fox, Attorney General of Montana (running for re-election)[3]
- Ryan Zinke, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[3]
- Taylor Brown, state senator[9]
- Jeff Essman, state representative and former president of the State Senate[10]
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Third parties
Independent
Declared
- Christopher Zarcone[8]
Libertarian
Declared
- Ted Dunlap, perennial candidate[11]
- Running mate: Ron Vandevender, perennial candidate
Withdrew
- Ron Vandevender, perennial candidate[8]
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, September 19, 2016 - C-SPAN
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[12] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | August 12, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[13] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 8, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[16] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2016 |
| Governing[17] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 27, 2016 |
Polling
Шаблон:Election box endШаблон:Hidden begin- with Ryan Zinke
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Bullock (D) |
Greg Gianforte (R) |
Ted Dunlap (L) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 449 | ± 4.6% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 7% | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 410 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 44% | 8% | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 403 | ± 4.6% | 46% | 46% | 7% | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 376 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 43% | 7% | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 385 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 41% | 7% | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 405 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 39% | 7% | 1% |
| Mason-Dixon | October 10–12, 2016 | 1,003 | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 45% | 2% | 6% |
| Montana State University Billings | October 3–10, 2016 | 590 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | 32% | 3% | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Bullock (D) |
Ryan Zinke (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing | February 24–25, 2015 | 1,035 | ± 3% | 44% | 44% | — | 11% |
| Gravis Marketing | November 24–25, 2014 | 836 | ± 3% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | — | 10% |
- with Tim Fox
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Bullock (D) |
Tim Fox (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing | February 24–25, 2015 | 1,035 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 38% | — | 16% |
| Gravis Marketing | November 24–25, 2014 | 836 | ± 3% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% | — | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 20–22, 2013 | 741 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 43% | — | 11% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
References
External links
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
Шаблон:2016 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ 3,0 3,1 3,2 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 8,0 8,1 8,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
