Английская Википедия:2016 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsNH The 2016 New Hampshire gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the governor of New Hampshire, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

The primaries were held on September 13.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Maggie Hassan was eligible to run for re-election to a third term in office, but she instead successfully ran for the U.S. Senate against incumbent Kelly Ayotte.[1][2][3][4] In the general election, Republican nominee Chris Sununu defeated Democrat Colin Van Ostern and Libertarian state representative Max Abramson to become the first Republican governor of New Hampshire elected since 2002. With a margin of 2.27%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2016 gubernatorial election cycle, behind only the election in North Carolina.

Background

Governor Maggie Hassan, the incumbent from the Democratic Party, declined to run for reelection, choosing to seek a U.S. Senate seat instead. Both major parties had multiple declared candidates, leading to primary elections that were held September 13, 2016.

New Hampshire and Vermont are the only states in the country whose governors are elected every two years.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Connolly
Derek
Dextraze
Ian
Freeman
Steve
Marchand
Colin
Van Ostern
Other Undecided
InsideSources/NH Journal July 19–21, 2016 444 ± 5.1% 7% 1% 3% 6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 13% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 71%
Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University May 25–28, 2016 405 ± 4.9% 5% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 12% 6% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 74%
Public Policy Polling November 30–December 2, 2015 458 ± 4.6% 15% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 21% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 64%

Results

Файл:2016 NH GOV Dem primary.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Frank
Edelblut
Jeannie
Forrester
Ted
Gatsas
Jon
Lavoie
Chris
Sununu
Other Undecided
NH JournalШаблон:Citation needed July 19–21, 2016 619 ± 5.1% 4% 5% 21% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 27% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided| 41%
Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University May 25–28, 2016 405 ± 4.9% 0% 7% 10% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 44% 3% 36%
Public Policy Polling November 30–December 2, 2015 454 ± 4.6% 12% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 60% 28%

Results

Файл:2016 NH GOV GOP primary.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Declared

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Mike Gill, businessman[25]
  • Jilletta Jarvis, training project manager[26][27]

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Шаблон:USRaceRating August 12, 2016
Daily Kos[29] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[30] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics[32] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2016
Governing[33] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 27, 2016

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Colin
Van Ostern (D)
Chris
Sununu (R)
Other/Undecided
Шаблон:Efn
Margin
Real Clear Politics October 28 – November 6, 2016 November 6, 2016 43.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|44.4% 12.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Sununu +1.2%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Colin
Van Ostern (D)
Chris
Sununu (R)
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 696 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% 42% 3%
WMUR/UNH November 3–6, 2016 707 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 37% 2% 13%
SurveyMonkey Oct 31–Nov 6, 2016 672 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% 41% 3%
WMUR/UNH November 2–5, 2016 645 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 38% 3% 12%
WMUR/UNH November 1–4, 2016 588 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 37% 2% 14%
WMUR/UNH Oct 31–Nov 3, 2016 515 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 37% 2% 14%
SurveyMonkey Oct 28–Nov 3, 2016 672 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% 42% 4%
Suffolk University Oct 31–Nov 2, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% 6% 15%
American Research Group Oct 31–Nov 2, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 2% 6%
WMUR/UNH Oct 30–Nov 2, 2016 466 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 38% 2% 14%
WBUR/MassINC Oct 29–Nov 1, 2016 500 LV ± 4.4% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 1% 5%
43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% <1% 10%
UMass Lowell/7News Oct 28–Nov 2, 2016 695 LV ± 4.3% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 5% 4%
901 RV ± 3.8% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 5% 8%
SurveyMonkey Oct 27–Nov 2, 2016 658 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% 42% 4%
Public Policy Polling Oct 31–Nov 1, 2016 781 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 44% 9%
WMUR/UNH Oct 29–Nov 1, 2016 468 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% 40% 3% 14%
WBUR/MassINC Oct 29–Nov 1, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 1% 5%
43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 10%
SurveyMonkey Oct 26–Nov 1, 2016 635 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 43% 4%
WMUR/UNH October 28–31, 2016 513 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 40% 2% 14%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 659 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 43% 4%
WMUR/UNH October 27–30, 2016 463 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% 40% 2% 14%
WMUR/UNH October 26–30, 2016 641 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% 40% 2% 14%
WMUR/UNH October 26–29, 2016 516 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 41% 5% 12%
NH Journal October 26–28, 2016 408 ± 4.2% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 2% 11%
Monmouth University October 22–25, 2016 401 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 43% 4% 5%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 20–24, 2016 768 LV ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 46% 2% 4%
1,020 RV ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 46% 2% 5%
UMass Amherst/WBZ October 17–21, 2016 772 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 43% 6% 7%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 39% 5% 14%
WMUR/UNH October 11–17, 2016 770 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 38% 4% 15%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey Шаблон:Webarchive October 8–16, 2016 569 ± 0.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 43% 4%
WBUR/MassINC October 10–12, 2016 501 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 44% 2% 8%
41% 41% 2% 15%
7News/UMass Lowell October 7–11, 2016 517 ± 4.9% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% 6% 13%
Suffolk University October 3–5, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% 2% 20%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Save the Children Action Network Sept 29–Oct 4, 2016 500 ± 4.3% 44% 44% 6% 6%
WBUR/MassINC September 27–29, 2016 502 ± 4.4% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 2% 7%
41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 2% 11%
American Research Group September 20–25, 2016 522 ± 4.2% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 1% 10%
Monmouth University September 17–20, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 1% 7%
Public Policy Polling January 4–6, 2016 1,036 ± 3.0% 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% 26%
Public Policy Polling November 30–December 2, 2015 990 ± 3.1% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% 25%
Public Policy Polling October 16–18, 2015 880 ± 3.3% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% 25%
Public Policy Polling August 21–24, 2015 841 ± 3.4% 32% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% 29%
WMUR/UNH July 7–20, 2015 472 ± 4.5% 26% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 37%
Public Policy Polling April 9–13, 2015 747 ± 3.6% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 37% 29%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with Maggie Hassan
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Jeb
Bradley (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 21–24, 2015 841 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 39% 13%
Public Policy Polling April 9–13, 2015 747 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 36% 11%

Шаблон:External links

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Donnalee
Lozeau (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 9–13, 2015 747 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% 25% 20%

Шаблон:External links

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Chris
Sununu (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 21–24, 2015 841 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 41% 11%
Public Policy Polling April 9–13, 2015 747 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% 35% 13%

Шаблон:External links

with Stefany Shaheen
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Stefany
Shaheen (D)
Jeb
Bradley (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 16–18, 2015 880 ± 3.3% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% 23%

Шаблон:External links

with Chris Pappas
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chris
Pappas (D)
Jeb
Bradley (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 21–24, 2015 841 ± 3.4% 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 38% 29%

Шаблон:External links

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chris
Pappas (D)
Chris
Sununu (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 21–24, 2015 841 ± 3.4% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 38% 28%
with Terie Norelli
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Terie
Norelli (D)
Jeb
Bradley (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 21–24, 2015 841 ± 3.4% 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% 29%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Terie
Norelli (D)
Chris
Sununu (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 21–24, 2015 841 ± 3.4% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% 27%
with Mark Connolly
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Connolly (D)
Frank
Edelblut (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 4–6, 2016 1,036 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 31% 24% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 45%
Public Policy Polling November 30–December 2, 2015 990 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 33% 24% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 43%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Connolly (D)
Chris
Sununu (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 4–6, 2016 1,036 ± 3% 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 38% 25%
Public Policy Polling November 30–December 2, 2015 990 ± 3.1% 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% 24%

Шаблон:External links

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Stefany
Shaheen (D)
Chris
Sununu (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 16–18, 2015 880 ± 3.3% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% 19%
with Jackie Cilley
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jackie
Cilley (D)
Jeb
Bradley (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 9–13, 2015 747 ± 3.6% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 37% 31%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jackie
Cilley (D)
Donnalee
Lozeau (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 9–13, 2015 747 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 32% 26% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 43%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jackie
Cilley (D)
Chris
Sununu (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 9–13, 2015 747 ± 3.6% 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 37% 27%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Colin
Van Ostern (D)
Frank
Edelblut (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 4–6, 2016 1,036 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 30% 25% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 45%
Public Policy Polling November 30–December 2, 2015 990 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 30% 26% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 44%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Colin
Van Ostern (D)
Jeb
Bradley (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 16–18, 2015 880 ± 3.3% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% 29%
Public Policy Polling August 21–24, 2015 841 ± 3.4% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 38% 31%
Public Policy Polling April 9–13, 2015 747 ± 3.6% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 37% 32%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Colin
Van Ostern (D)
Donnalee
Lozeau (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 9–13, 2015 747 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 31% 27% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 42%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Results by county

County Sununu# Sununu% Van Ostern# Van Ostern% Abramson# Abramson% Scatter# Scatter% Total votes Margin
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Belknap 18,798 54.70% 14,069 40.94% 1,403 4.08% 94 0.00% 34,364 13.76%
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Carroll 15,192 52.38% 12,503 43.29% 1,126 3.90% 58 0.00% 28,879 9.09%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Cheshire 17,107 42.25% 21,471 53.02% 1,802 4.45% 114 0.00% 40,494 -10.77%
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Coos 7,424 48.90% 7,006 46.14% 702 4.62% 51 0.00% 15,183 2.76%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Grafton 19,685 39.65% 27,621 55.64% 2,215 4.46% 122 0.00% 49,643 -15.99%
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Hillsborough 103,811 49.70% 95,231 45.59% 9,128 4.37% 698 0.00% 208,868 4.11%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Merrimack 37,295 45.51% 41,195 50.26% 3,245 3.96% 222 0.00% 81,957 -4.75%
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Rockingham 94,385 53.52% 74,076 42.00% 7,499 4.25% 411 0.00% 176,371 11.52%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Strafford 29,578 44.12% 34,173 50.97% 3,128 4.67% 164 0.00% 67,043 -6.85%
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Sullivan 10,765 48.80% 10,244 46.43% 995 4.51% 57 0.00% 22,061 2.37%

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Results by congressional district

Sununu won 1 of the 2 congressional districts, which elected a Democrat.[34]

District Sununu Van Ostern Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 50% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Carol Shea-Porter
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 47% 48% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Annie Kuster

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:New Hampshire elections Шаблон:2016 United States elections