Английская Википедия:2016 United States Senate election in Alabama
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Alabama sidebar The 2016 United States Senate election in Alabama was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alabama, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Senator Richard Shelby won re-election to a sixth term in office. The primaries were held on March 1. Ron Crumpton, a marijuana legalization activist, was the Democratic nominee.[1] Shelby won re-election with 63.96% of the vote. Despite an overwhelming victory statewide, this marks Shelby's first race as either a Republican or Democrat in which he has failed to carry Jefferson County (home of Birmingham, the state's largest city). In Jefferson, Crumpton took 51.99% (156,574 votes) to Senator Shelby's 47.86% (144,136 votes),[2] this shift is due in part to increase of Democratic support in urban core areas across the nation.
Background
Shelby was first elected to the Senate in 1986 as a Democrat and was easily re-elected in 1992 as such. He switched his party affiliation to Republican on November 9, 1994, one day after the Republicans won control of both houses in the midterm elections. He won his first full term as a Republican in 1998 by a large margin and faced no significant opposition in 2004 or 2010.
Republican primary
Following the divisive Republican primary in Mississippi ahead of the 2014 election in which Senator Thad Cochran was almost defeated, it had been speculated that Shelby could also face a Tea Party primary challenger, due to his lengthy tenure and support for federal largesse. However, that did not happen, in part due to his large campaign war chest, which stood at $19.4 million as of September 2015.[1] If Shelby had decided to retire, numerous high-profile Alabama Republicans were speculated to run, including U.S. Representatives Robert Aderholt, Mo Brooks, Bradley Byrne, Gary Palmer, Martha Roby, and Mike Rogers, State Treasurer Young Boozer, State Speaker Mike Hubbard, Lieutenant Governor Kay Ivey, State Senate President Pro Tempore Del Marsh, Secretary of State John Merrill, U.S. Appeals Court Judge William H. Pryor Jr., former governor Bob Riley, and Attorney General Luther Strange.[3][4][5] Shelby announced in January 2015 that he would run for re-election.[6]
Candidates
Declared
- Richard Shelby, incumbent U.S. Senator since 1987[6]
- Marcus Bowman, Uber driver[7]
- John Martin, pilot and candidate for AL-02 in 2008[7]
- Jonathan McConnell, businessman[7][8][9]
- Shadrack McGill, former state senator and candidate for Jackson County Revenue Commissioner in 2014[7][10]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Marcus Bowman |
John Martin |
Shadrack McGill |
Jonathan McConnell |
Richard Shelby |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Partners Strategies (R-McConnell) | January 29–30, 2016 | 1,299 | ± 2.7% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 25% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% | 16% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R-Shelby) | January 25–26, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 75% | 13% |
| Thomas Partners Strategies (R-McConnell) | December 2015 | – | – | 1% | 2% | 3% | 15% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 64% | 21% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R-Shelby) | November 2015 | – | – | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 71% | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Shelby |
Someone Else |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Partners Strategies (R-McConnell) | January 29–30, 2016 | 1,299 | ±2.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% | 29% | 16% |
| Thomas Partners Strategies (R-McConnell) | December 2015 | ? | ±?% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 64% | 15% | 21% |
| Thomas Partners Strategies (R-McConnell) | October 2015 | ? | ±?% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% | 22% | 26% |
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Ron Crumpton, marijuana legalization activist and nominee for the State Senate in 2014[9][11]
- Charles Nana, process engineer[9][12]
Failed to qualify
- Reginald Hill, candidate for Huntsville School Board in 2012 and write-in candidate for AL-05 in 2014[13]
Declined
- Stephen Black, non-profit executive[3]
- Bobby Bright, former U.S. Representative[3]
- Parker Griffith, former U.S. Representative, and nominee for Governor of Alabama in 2014[3]
- Sue Bell Cobb, former chief justice of the Supreme Court of Alabama[3]
- Marsha Folsom, businesswoman, former First Lady of Alabama, and nominee for Alabama's 4th congressional district in 2000[14]
- Walt Maddox, Mayor of Tuscaloosa[3]
- Terri Sewell, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[3]
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Candidates
- Richard Shelby (R), incumbent senator
- Ron Crumpton (D), marijuana legalization activist and nominee for the State Senate in 2014
- Charles Nana (D) (write-in), process engineer[15] (previously sought the Democratic nomination)
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[16] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[18] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[19] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 8, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2016 |
Polling
- ↑ 1,0 1,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ 3,0 3,1 3,2 3,3 3,4 3,5 3,6 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 6,0 6,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 7,0 7,1 7,2 7,3 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 9,0 9,1 9,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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