Английская Википедия:2016 United States Senate election in Alaska

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Alaska sidebar The 2016 United States Senate election in Alaska was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alaska, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski won re-election to a third term in office. The primaries were held on August 16. She was challenged by several candidates, including Democrat Ray Metcalfe, a former Republican state legislator; Independent Margaret Stock, an attorney; and Libertarian Joe Miller, who had defeated Murkowski for the Republican nomination six years before.

Murkowski was re-elected with 44.4% of the vote, becoming the first person in history to win three elections to the U.S. Senate with pluralities but not majorities, having taken 48.6% in 2004 and 39.5% in 2010. Miller's 29.2% finish was then the best ever for a Libertarian candidate in a U.S. Senate election in terms of vote percentage.Шаблон:Efn This record was surpassed four years later by Ricky Dale Harrington Jr., who received 33.4% of the vote in the 2020 Arkansas Senate election, which had no Democratic candidate. This was also the first U.S. Senate election where four candidates received more than 10% of the vote since the 1942 Minnesota race, as well as being the first Senate race since then where the Democratic nominee finished fourth.

Background

After Republican U.S. Senator Frank Murkowski was elected Governor of Alaska in 2002, he appointed his daughter Lisa to the Senate to replace him. She was elected to a full term in 2004 but was defeated in the Republican primary in 2010 by Tea Party challenger Joe Miller. She ran as a write-in candidate in the general election and was re-elected to a second full term with 39.5% of the vote to Miller's 35.5% and Democratic nominee Scott McAdams' 23.5%. She is one of only two U.S. Senators to be elected via write-in votes, the other being Strom Thurmond in 1954.

Republican primary

As Murkowski was defeated in the Republican primary in 2010, it had been speculated that she would be challenged from the right again in 2016.

Candidates

Declared

• Paul Kendall
• Thomas Lamb, candidate for the state house in 2006
• Bob Lochner, mechanic and candidate for the state house in 1996
• Lisa Murkowski, incumbent U.S. Senator since 2002

Withdrew

• Dan Sullivan, former mayor of Anchorage and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014 (Not related to Alaska's other senator, also named Dan Sullivan)

Declined

• David Cuddy, former state representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 1996 and 2008
• Mike J. Dunleavy, state senator
• Joe Miller, former magistrate judge, the Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014
• Sarah Palin, former governor of Alaska and nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2008
• Sean Parnell, former governor of Alaska and candidate for Congress in 2008
• Mead Treadwell, former lieutenant governor and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014

Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary

Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.

Democratic candidates

Declared

• Edgar Blatchford, founder and former editor and publisher of Alaska Newspapers, Inc., former mayor of Seward and former commissioner of the Alaska Department of Commerce, Community and Economic Development
• Ray Metcalfe, former Republican state representative, founder of the Republican Moderate Party of Alaska and perennial candidate

Removed

• Richard Grayson, perennial candidate from New York

Declined

• Mark Begich, former U.S. Senator

Libertarian candidates

Declared

• Cean Stevens, small business owner, nominee for the state house in 2014 and Republican nominee for the state house in 2012

Subsequent events

Cean Stevens was originally the only Libertarian to file, and was the sole Libertarian in the primary. Stevens withdrew after winning the nomination, and the Alaska Libertarian Party nominated Joe Miller as her replacement.

Third party and independent candidates

Declared

• Breck Craig (independent)
• Ted Gianoutsos (independent), founder of the Veterans Party of Alaska and perennial candidate
• Margaret Stock (independent), attorney and retired Army Lt. Colonel

Failed to qualify

• Sid Hill (independent)
• Bruce Walden (Veterans Party), retired army sergeant and Republican candidate for the state house in 2006
• Jed Whittaker (independent), commercial fisherman, Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate in 1992 and Green Party nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1996

Declined

• Mark Begich (write-in), former U.S. Senator

General election

Debates

• Complete video of debate, November 4, 2016 - C-SPAN

Fundraising

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Lisa Murkowski (R)	$6,058,418	$7,055,457	$91,119
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Ray Metcalfe (D)	$20,865	$13,147	$7,718
Шаблон:Party shading/Independent | Margaret Stock (I)	$740,769	$738,918	$1,850
Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian | Joe Miller (L)	$122	$445	$99,402

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2016
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 7, 2016

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Lisa Murkowski (R)	Joe Miller (L)	Ray Metcalfe (D)	Margaret Stock (I)	Other	Undecided
Moore Information Шаблон:Webarchive	October 5–6, 2016	500	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49%	16%	9%	8%	1%	15%
Alaska Survey Research	September 28 – October 2, 2016	660	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50%	18%	12%	7%	2%	11%
Moore Information Шаблон:Webarchive	September 13–15, 2016	500	±4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48%	15%	15%	7%	1%	12%
Moore Information (R-Murkowski)	August 27–29, 2016	500	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 56%	—	12%	5%	10%	17%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Lisa Murkowski (R)	Ray Metcalfe (D)	Undecided
SurveyMonkey	November 1–7, 2016	409	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55%	33%	12%
SurveyMonkey	October 31 – November 6, 2016	382	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 57%	32%	11%
SurveyMonkey	October 27 – November 2, 2016	303	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 60%	25%	15%
SurveyMonkey	October 28 – November 3, 2016	334	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 56%	30%	14%
SurveyMonkey	October 26 – November 1, 2016	268	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 60%	22%	18%
SurveyMonkey	October 25–31, 2016	300	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 57%	26%	22%

Results

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Haines Borough (largest census-designated place: Haines)
• Juneau
• Sitka
• Skagway

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Republican to Libertarian

• Matanuska-Susitna (largest census-designated place: Knik-Fairview)
• Kenai Peninsula (largest city: Kenai)

External links

Official campaign websites

• Lisa Murkowski (R) for Senate
• Ray Metcalfe (D) for Senate
• Joe Miller (L) for Senate
• Margaret Stock (I) for Senate
• Breck Craig (I) for Senate
• Ted Gianoutsos (NA) for Senate Шаблон:Webarchive