Английская Википедия:2016 United States Senate election in Arizona
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Arizona The 2016 United States Senate election in Arizona was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the U.S. Senate to represent the State of Arizona, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, other elections to the U.S. Senate in other states and elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, as well as various state and local elections.
The Democratic primary was held on March 22, 2016, while the Republican primary election took place on August 30, 2016.[1] After serving in the Arizona State Legislature and U.S. House of Representatives for a number of years, Democrat Ann Kirkpatrick sought to unseat incumbent Republican senator John McCain, who won re-election to his sixth and final term in office.
After hinting in September 2013 that he could retire,[2] McCain subsequently said that the chances he would run again were "pretty good", but his campaign had emphasized that he had not made a decision yet.[3] On April 7, 2015, McCain announced that he would run for re-election.[4] McCain faced strong primary opposition from the Tea Party, but he ultimately defeated challenger Kelli Ward in the August 30 primary.[5][6]
McCain won with 53.7% of the vote compared to Kirkpatrick's 40.8%, with 5.5% voting for the Green candidate Gary Swing. Although McCain won reelection by double digits, this was the closest margin of his Senate career. It was also his first election in which he failed to win the traditionally Democratic counties of Coconino and Pima. Шаблон:As of, this was the last time a Republican won the election for a U.S. Senate seat in Arizona. Kirkpatrick would later successfully run again for the U.S. House of Representatives in Arizona's 2nd congressional district in 2018.
Republican primary
John McCain, the 2008 Republican presidential nominee, was re-elected to a fifth term with 59.3% of the vote in 2010. In September 2013 he hinted that he may retire, saying that "[President Obama's] in his last term, I'm probably in mine." When asked if that meant he wouldn't run for re-election, he said "I don't know. I was trying to make a point. I have to decide in about two years so I don't have to make a decision [now]. I don't want to be one of these old guys that should've shoved off."[2] He then said in October 2013 that he was "seriously thinking" about running for re-election.[7] By April 2014 he had held his first fundraiser[8] and acknowledged that "elements on the right" would like to primary him, which he said was "fine with me... you know me: a fight not joined is a fight not enjoyed... I know that I will be very well-prepared." Jennifer Duffy of The Cook Political Report noted that McCain did not fit the profile of a "complacent, long-serving incumbent", saying: "It's not an easy thing to take him on. He is going to be well-prepared, and he has a well-earned reputation for running really tough campaigns. He raises a lot of money and he puts together a good organization."[9]
In September 2014, McCain began having "serious conversations" with state Republicans, local officials and key supporters about running for re-election. He faced a primary challenge in 2010 from former Congressman J. D. Hayworth, who some felt was the weaker opponent. McCain massively outspent and easily defeated him. However, he could face a stronger challenger in 2016.[5] A survey by Public Policy Polling in March 2014 found that McCain was the most unpopular Senator in the country, with 30% of Arizonans approving of him to 54% who disapproved. His unpopularity was bipartisan, with his approvals at 35%–55% with Republicans, 29%–53% with Democrats and 25%–55% with independents.[10] An April 2014 survey by The Polling Company for Citizens United Political Victory Fund found that 64.2% of Republican primary voters favored "a new person" to 29.3% who thought that "Senator McCain deserves to be re-elected to another six-year term." It also found him trailing in match-ups with a generic primary opponent and against specific opponents (see below).[11]
Further compounding matters for McCain was his relationship with the Arizona Republican Party.[5] After his re-election in 2010, McCain adopted more orthodox conservative stances and attitudes and largely opposed actions of the Obama administration. By 2013, however, he had become a key figure in the Senate for negotiating deals on certain issues in an otherwise partisan environment. By early 2014, McCain's apostasies were enough that the Arizona Republican Party formally censured him for having what they saw as a liberal record that had been "disastrous and harmful". The action had no practical effect but showed that McCain's history of being criticized at the state level as insufficiently conservative was still ongoing.[12] Tea Party leaders have said that they are "sick to death" of McCain and will oppose him if he seeks re-election,[5] with one prominent critic of McCain saying that Arizona conservatives were preparing for a "civil war".[6] However, McCain still had a large warchest – $1.7 million as of June 2014 – and would be helped by Arizona state law, which allows independents to vote in the Republican primary.[5]
By early October 2014, McCain was telling reporters that the odds of his running for re-election were "pretty good", saying that whether or not Republicans retake control of the Senate in the 2014 elections would be a factor in his decision-making, "but it certainly wouldn't be the deciding factor."[6] In late October, it was revealed that McCain had scheduled a meeting with supporters two days after the 2014 midterm elections to "discuss my thoughts on my own re-election in 2016."[3] At that meeting, following the Republican takeover of the Senate, he said that he was "seriously considering" and "leaning towards" running for re-election and will make an announcement in early 2015.[13]
In December 2014, Politico reported that McCain and his allies were waging an "aggressive and systematic campaign" to purge the Arizona Republican Party's apparatus of Tea Party and far-right conservatives who hold "obscure, but influential, local party offices" and replace them with McCain loyalists.[14][15] The Super PAC "Arizona Grassroots Action" was created, which raised almost $300,000 and supported McCain-allied candidates with mailers and automated phone calls, bringing attention to what were previously low-profile and uncontested races.[14] Before August 26, when elections for party offices were held, almost all of the 3,925 precinct committeemen (who vote for local party chairmen, who in turn make decisions on how the party will spend state and local funds, which candidates receive endorsements or funding etc.) were opposed to McCain. After the elections, 1,531 (39%) were regarded as supportive of McCain.[14] Most notably, Timothy Schwartz, who authored the resolution which censured McCain, was ousted.[14][16] Schwartz attacked McCain for using his "prominence and money and influence" to "ramrod" his critics and former Maricopa County Republican Party Chairman A.J. LaFaro said that McCain was "vindictive" and engaging in the equivalent of "ethnic cleansing".[14]
Tea Party Congressmen Matt Salmon and David Schweikert had been widely regarded as two of the most serious potential challengers to McCain. The pair, who are close friends, agreed that if one of them decided to run against McCain, the other would not do so, to ensure that the anti-McCain vote wouldn't be split between them.[17] Schweikert has acknowledged that he polled the race in 2014 but was considered the less likely of the two to run – he had much less cash-on-hand than Salmon and admitted that his wife was "not thrilled" at the idea of him running for the Senate.[17] Salmon later stated that he would not challenge McCain in the primary.[18]
In early February, McCain said that he was "most likely" running for re-election[19] and Club for Growth President David McIntosh said that the organization would "watch closely" the primary race, particularly if Salmon or Schweikert ran, and would "do research and polling and determine if there's a path to victory [against McCain]."[20] Towards the end of February, Salmon and Schweikert began to distance themselves from the race,[21][22] with State Senator Kelli Ward revealing that she was considering a run.[23]
McCain officially announced on April 7, 2015, that he was running for re-election.[4]
Candidates
Declared
- John McCain, incumbent U.S. Senator[4]
- Clair Van Steenwyk, talk radio host, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2012 and candidate for AZ-08 in 2014[24]
- Kelli Ward, former state senator[25]
Withdrawn
- Alex Meluskey, printing company owner and FairTax activist[26][27][28]
- David Pizer, businessman[29][30]
Declined
- Jan Brewer, former Governor of Arizona[31]
- Jeff DeWit, State Treasurer of Arizona[32]
- Trent Franks, U.S. Representative[33][34]
- Paul Gosar, U.S. Representative[35]
- Christine Jones, former Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary for Go Daddy and candidate for Governor in 2014[36][37][38] (running for AZ-05)
- Martha McSally, U.S. Representative and future U.S. Senator interim appointee for this seat (2019-2020)[39]
- Matt Salmon, U.S. Representative[18]
- David Schweikert, U.S. Representative from Arizona's 6th congressional district[5][37][40]
- John Shadegg, former U.S. Representative[33]
- Grant Woods, former Arizona Attorney General[33]
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John McCain |
Kelli Ward |
Clair Van Steenwyk |
Alex Meluskey |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 1–3, 2015 | 300 | ± 5.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% | 31% | — | — | — | 25% |
| Behavior Research Center | October 24 – November 5, 2015 | 577 | ± 4.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 41% | 11% | 2% | 1% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 45% |
| Behavior Research Center | January 6–17, 2016 | 398 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | 11% | 1% | 1% | 1%[41] | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 39% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 13–15, 2016 | 443 | ± 4.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 39% | 26% | 2% | 4% | 3%[42] | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 27% |
| 41% | 41% | — | — | — | 17% | ||||
| NMB Research | July 11, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | 22% | 2% | 6% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 23% |
| Data Orbital LLC | August 11, 2016 | 500 | ±4.38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% | 29% | — | — | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 17% |
| CNN/ORC | August 18–23, 2016 | 413 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 55% | 29% | 4% | — | 1% | 3% |
- with Jan Brewer
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John McCain |
Jan Brewer |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Polling Company | April 11–12, 2014 | 600 | ± 4.1% | 29% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47.7% | — | 23.3% |
- with Christine Jones
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John McCain |
Christine Jones |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 1–3, 2015 | 300 | ± 5.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 27% | — | 25% |
- with Matt Salmon
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John McCain |
Matt Salmon |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Polling Company | April 11–12, 2014 | 600 | ± 4.1% | 30.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48.2% | — | 21.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 1–3, 2015 | 300 | ± 5.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% | 40% | — | 18% |
- with David Schweikert
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John McCain |
David Schweikert |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Polling Company | April 11–12, 2014 | 600 | ± 4.1% | 33.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 40.1% | — | 26% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 1–3, 2015 | 300 | ± 5.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 40% | 39% | — | 20% |
- Generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John McCain |
A different Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Polling Company | April 11–12, 2014 | 600 | ± 4.1% | 30.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 60.7% | — | 8.8% |
- Someone more conservative
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John McCain |
Someone more conservative |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 1–3, 2015 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% | — | 12% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Ann Kirkpatrick, U.S. Representative[43]
Withdrawn
- Leonard Clark, teacher, State House candidate in 2002, 2004, and 2008 and Green Party nominee for AZ-03 in 2010[44][45]
- Richard Sherzan, retired administrative law judge and former Iowa state representative[46][47][48]
Declined
- Richard Carmona, former Surgeon General and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[33][37][49]
- Fred DuVal, former chairman of the Arizona Board of Regents and nominee for governor in 2014[35]
- Ruben Gallego, U.S. Representative[37]
- Phil Gordon, former Mayor of Phoenix[33]
- Mark Kelly, retired astronaut and husband of former Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords and future U.S. Senator for this seat[33][37]
- Janet Napolitano, President of the University of California System, former Secretary of Homeland Security and former Governor of Arizona[33][37]
- Greg Stanton, Mayor of Phoenix[37]
- Nan Walden, businesswoman, attorney and former chief of staff to Senator Bill Bradley[49]
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Green primary
Candidates
Declared
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Libertarian primary
Candidates
- Merissa Hamilton (Write-In)
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change
Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Debates
| Date | Location | McCain | Kirkpatrick | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 10, 2016 | Phoenix, Arizona | Participant | Participant | Full debate – C-SPAN |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[51] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[52] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[53] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[54] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 8, 2016 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John McCain (R) |
Ann Kirkpatrick (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 2,609 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 45% | — | 5% |
| Insights West | November 4–6, 2016 | 392 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 42% | — | 9% |
| Data Orbital | November 4–6, 2016 | 550 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 56% | 44% | — | 0% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 2,322 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 45% | — | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 1,748 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 45% | — | 5% |
| Data Orbital | November 1–2, 2016 | 550 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% | 41% | 2% | 6% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 1,461 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 44% | — | 6% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist | October 30–November 1, 2016 | 719 LV | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% | 39% | 5% | 2% |
| 948 RV | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% | 38% | 5% | 2% | ||
| The Times-Picayune/Lucid | October 28–November 1, 2016 | 1,113 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% | 40% | — | 8% |
| CNN/ORC | October 27–November 1, 2016 | 769 LV | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 54% | 41% | 1% | 3% |
| 867 RV | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 54% | 41% | 3% | 1% | |||
| SurveyMonkey | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 1,320 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 44% | — | 6% |
| Emerson College | October 29–31, 2016 | 700 | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 40% | 6% | 9% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 1,457 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 46% | — | 5% |
| Data Orbital | October 29–30, 2016 | 550 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 39% | 3% | 10% |
| CBS News/YouGov | October 26–28, 2016 | 994 | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | 38% | 8% | 11% |
| Monmouth University | October 21–24, 2016 | 401 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 40% | 5% | 4% |
| Washington Post/SurveyMonkey Шаблон:Webarchive | October 8–16, 2016 | 1,028 | ± 0.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 45% | — | 6% |
| Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite | October 10–15, 2016 | 660 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% | 40% | 8% | 0% |
| Highground | October 14, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% | 35% | 8% | 9% |
| Emerson College | October 2–4, 2016 | 600 | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% | 36% | 7% | 5% |
| Insights West | September 12–14, 2016 | 484 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% | 35% | 1% | 11% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist | September 6–8, 2016 | 649 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 57% | 38% | 1% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 26–28, 2016 | 837 | ± 3.0% | 43% | 43% | — | 15% |
| CNN/ORC | August 18–23, 2016 | 809 LV | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center rowspan=2| 52% | 39% | 2% | 2% |
| 842 RV | |||||||
| Public Policy Polling | June 22–23, 2016 | 691 | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% | 40% | — | 19% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner – Democracy Corps | June 11–20, 2016 | 300 | ± 5.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% | 42% | — | 14% |
| Шаблон:Nowrap | June 6–19, 2016 | 448 | ± 4.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% | 31% | — | 29% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 8–9, 2016 | 747 | ± 3.6% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% | — | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 13–15, 2016 | 896 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% | 36% | — | 23% |
| Behavior Research Center | April 4–11, 2016 | 564 | ± 4.2% | 42% | 42% | — | 16% |
| The Merrill Poll | March 7–11, 2016 | 701 | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% | 40% | 3% | 16% |
| Behavior Research Center | January 6–17, 2016 | 590 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 38% | 37% | — | 25% |
| Strategies 360 Шаблон:Webarchive | December 4–9, 2015 | 504 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% | 36% | — | 13% |
| Behavior Research Center | October 24–November 5, 2015 | 577 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 37% | 31% | — | 32% |
| Gravis Marketing | August 13–16, 2015 | 1,433 | ± 2.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 35% | — | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 1–3, 2015 | 600 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% | 36% | — | 23% |
- with John McCain
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John McCain (R) |
Richard Carmona (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 1–3, 2015 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% | 34% | — | 25% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 28–March 2, 2014 | 870 | ± 3.3% | 35% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% | — | 24% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John McCain (R) |
Fred DuVal (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 1–3, 2015 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% | 36% | — | 24% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John McCain (R) |
Gabrielle Giffords (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 28–March 2, 2014 | 870 | ± 3.3% | 35% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% | — | 23% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John McCain (R) |
Janet Napolitano (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 28–March 2, 2014 | 870 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% | 36% | — | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John McCain (R) |
Kyrsten Sinema (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 1–3, 2015 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% | 36% | — | 22% |
- with Christine Jones
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Christine Jones (R) |
Richard Carmona (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 1–3, 2015 | 600 | ± 4% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% | — | 22% |
- with Matt Salmon
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Salmon (R) |
Richard Carmona (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 1–3, 2015 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | 35% | — | 21% |
- with David Schweikert
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Schweikert (R) |
Richard Carmona (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 1–3, 2015 | 600 | ± 4% | 39% | 39% | — | 22% |
- with Kelli Ward
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kelli Ward (R) |
Ann Kirkpatrick (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breitbart/Gravis Marketing | August 27, 2016 | 1,244 | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% | 19% | — | 29% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 13–15, 2016 | 896 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 37% | 35% | — | 28% |
| Gravis Marketing | August 13–16, 2015 | 1,433 | ± 2.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | 38% | — | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kelli Ward (R) |
Richard Carmona (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 1–3, 2015 | 600 | ± 4% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% | — | 26% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
Шаблон:John McCain Шаблон:2016 United States elections Шаблон:US Third Party Election Шаблон:Arizona elections Шаблон:Authority control
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 2,0 2,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 3,0 3,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 4,0 4,1 4,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 5,0 5,1 5,2 5,3 5,4 5,5 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 6,0 6,1 6,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Sanchez, Yvonne Wingett. "Arizona GOP censures McCain for 'disastrous' record", The Arizona Republic (January 25, 2014). Retrieved January 26, 2014.
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 14,0 14,1 14,2 14,3 14,4 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 17,0 17,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 18,0 18,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 33,0 33,1 33,2 33,3 33,4 33,5 33,6 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 35,0 35,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 37,0 37,1 37,2 37,3 37,4 37,5 37,6 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite press release
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ David Pizer
- ↑ Scott McBean
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег
<ref>; для сносокkirkpatrick-dsccне указан текст - ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 49,0 49,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- Английская Википедия
- Страницы с неработающими файловыми ссылками
- 2016 Arizona elections
- 2016 United States Senate elections
- John McCain
- United States Senate elections in Arizona
- Страницы, где используется шаблон "Навигационная таблица/Телепорт"
- Страницы с телепортом
- Википедия
- Статья из Википедии
- Статья из Английской Википедии
- Страницы с ошибками в примечаниях
.jpg){kind=link}
