Английская Википедия:2016 United States Senate election in Connecticut

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Шаблон:See alsoШаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsCT The 2016 United States Senate election in Connecticut was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Connecticut, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Richard Blumenthal won re-election to a second term in office. Blumenthal's final vote total of 1,008,714 at the time made him the largest vote-receiver in the history of statewide elections in the state (Blumenthal’s record was later broken by then Vice President Joe Biden in the 2020 Presidential election, Biden received 1,080,680 votes). He also became the first person ever to exceed 1 million votes in the history of statewide elections in Connecticut. He remains the highest voter-receiver in the history of statewide elections besides the presidency.

Democratic nomination

Candidates

Declared

• Richard Blumenthal, incumbent U.S. Senator

Republican nomination

Declared

• Dan Carter, State Representative

Withdrew at convention

• Jack Orchulli, CEO and co-founder of a Michael Kors apparel company and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2004

Failed to qualify

• August Wolf, investment executive and former Olympic athlete

Declined

• Larry Kudlow, economist, television personality and columnist
• Linda McMahon, businesswoman, former CEO of WWE, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2010 and 2012
• Rob Simmons, Stonington First Selectman, former U.S. Representative and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010
• Joe Visconti, former West Hartford Town Councilor, nominee for CT-01 in 2008 and Independent candidate for governor in 2014
• David Walker, former Comptroller General of the United States and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2014

Republican convention

The Republican state convention was held May 9, 2016, at the Connecticut Convention Center to select candidates for the U.S. Senate and U.S. House of Representatives. State Representative Dan Carter received the nomination with 76.7% of the delegate vote. Neither Jack Orchulli nor August Wolf received the necessary 15% of the delegate vote necessary to be granted an automatic primary on August 9, 2016. In the first round of voting, August Wolf received 179 delegate votes, equalling 15.1% and qualifying for a primary. However, before balloting closed, Jack Orchulli dropped from the race and publicly endorsed Dan Carter, urging his candidates to switch their votes. During the vote switching, an additional 56 delegates that had voted for Wolf also switched their vote, dropping him well below the 15% threshold

On May 11, 2016, Wolf announced an attempt to force a primary by collecting the signatures of 8,079 registered Republicans by June 7. However, on June 21, 2016, it was announced that Wolf failed to reach the required signature threshold to force a primary, and he conceded the Republican nomination to Dan Carter as a result.

Convention results

Candidate	Delegates	Percentage
Dan Carter	907	76.7%
August Wolf	123	10.4%
Jack Orchulli	20	1.7%
Not Present	132	11.2%

General election

Debates

Dates	Location	Blumenthal	Carter	Link
October 23, 2016	Rocky Hill, Connecticut	Participant	Participant	Full debate - C-SPAN

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2016
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 7, 2016

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Richard Blumenthal (D)	Dan Carter (R)	Undecided
SurveyMonkey	November 1–7, 2016	1,387	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 63%	34%	3%
SurveyMonkey	October 31 – November 6, 2016	1,173	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 62%	35%	3%
SurveyMonkey	October 28 – November 3, 2016	925	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 62%	36%	2%
SurveyMonkey	October 27 – November 2, 2016	753	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 62%	36%	2%
SurveyMonkey	October 26 – November 1, 2016	616	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 60%	38%	2%
SurveyMonkey	October 25–31, 2016	554	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 59%	38%	3%
Emerson College	September 2–5, 2016	1,000	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54%	33%	9%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	June 1–5, 2016	1,330	± 2.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 60%	30%	10%

with August Wolf

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Richard Blumenthal (D)	August Wolf (R)	Undecided
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	October 7–11, 2015	1,735	± 2.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 61%	26%	13%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	June 1–5, 2016	1,330	± 2.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 62%	27%	11%

with Larry Kudlow

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Richard Blumenthal (D)	Larry Kudlow (R)	Undecided
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	October 7–11, 2015	1,735	± 2.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 61%	27%	12%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Litchfield (largest city: Torrington)

External links

Official campaign websites

• Richard Blumenthal (D) for Senate
• Dan Carter (R) for Senate