Английская Википедия:2016 United States Senate election in Florida

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Шаблон:See alsoШаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsFL The 2016 United States Senate election in Florida was held November 8, 2016 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Florida, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary elections for both the Republicans and Democrats took place on August 30, 2016.[1]

Incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio ran for another term but faced well-funded Republican primary opposition after initially announcing he would not seek re-election to his Senate seat. He had openly considered whether to seek re-election or run for president in 2016.[2][3][4] He stated in April 2014 that he would not run for both the Senate and president in 2016, as Florida law prohibits a candidate from simultaneously appearing twice on a ballot, but did not rule out running for either office.[5]

However, in April 2015, Rubio announced that he was running for President and would not seek re-election.[6][7][8][9] Rubio had initially said he would not run for re-election to the Senate even if he dropped out of the GOP presidential primary before he would have to qualify for the 2016 Senate primary ballot, for which the filing deadline was June 24, 2016.[10][11]

On June 13, 2016, despite his previous statements that he would not run for re-election to his Senate seat, Rubio "seemed to open the door to running for re-election," citing the previous day's mass shooting in Orlando and how "it really gives you pause, to think a little bit about your service to your country and where you can be most useful to your country."[12] On June 22, 2016, Rubio announced that he would seek re-election to the Senate, reversing his pledge not to run.[13]

On August 30, the Republican Party nominated Marco Rubio, and the Democratic Party nominated Representative Patrick Murphy. Rubio won with the largest raw vote total in Florida history (until Donald Trump broke the record in 2020), taking a greater percentage of the popular vote than Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, who won the state in the election. He is the first Republican Senator from Florida since 1994, and only the second with Connie Mack, to be reelected to a second term. Also, with Mel Martinez's victory in 2004, this marks the first time that Republicans have won one of Florida's Senate seats three times in a row (Mack succeeded Lawton Chiles, a Democrat, and was succeeded by another Democrat, Bill Nelson).

Marco Rubio won 48% of the Hispanic vote and 17% of the African American vote during this election, an exceptional number for a Republican during a presidential year.[14] Additionally, Rubio's raw vote total was the highest vote total for any Republican Senate candidate up until Texas Senator John Cornyn broke it in 2020.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carlos
Beruff
Ron
DeSantis
David
Jolly
Ilya
Katz
Carlos
Шаблон:Nowrap
Marco
Rubio
Todd
Wilcox
Other/
Undecided
Mason-Dixon Шаблон:Webarchive August 22–24, 2016 400 ± 5% 22% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 61% 15%
Florida Atlantic University August 19–22, 2016 327 ± 5.4% 8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 69% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 15%
Florida Chamber of Commerce August 17–22, 2016 249 ± 4.0% 19% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 68% 10%
St. Leo University August 14–18, 2016 479 ± 4.5% 14% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 68% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 18%
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive August 1–3, 2016 183 ± 4.4% 12% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 62% 26%
St. Pete Polls August 2, 2016 1,835 ± 2.3% 22% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% 23%
Bay News 9/SurveyUSA June 25–27, 2016 555 ± 4.1% 11% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 63% 13%
Vox Populi Polling (R) June 19–20, 2016 487 ± 4.4% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 57% 4% 34%
St. Leo University June 10–16, 2016 500 ± 7% 4% 5% 4% 1% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% 2% 27%
8% 8% 8% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 9% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 57%
Mason-Dixon Шаблон:Webarchive May 31–June 2, 2016 400 ± 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 17% 10% 13% 9% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 49%
News 13/Bay News 9 March 4–6, 2016 724 ± 3.7% 1% 11% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 18% 4% 9% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 50%
Washington Post/Univision March 2–5, 2016 450 ± 5.5% 0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 6% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 6% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 81%
Public Policy Polling February 24–25, 2016 464 ± 4.6% 14% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 26% 11% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 47%
Florida Atlantic University College of Business January 15–18, 2016 345 ± 5.2% 8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 28% 8% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 57%
St. Pete Polls/Saint Petersblog December 14–15, 2015 2,694 ± 1.9% 18% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 21% 10% 8% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 44%
St. Leo University Шаблон:Nowrap 147 ± 8% 6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 12% 4% 8% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 63%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 377 ± 5.1% 15% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 18% 14% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 52%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Шаблон:Nowrap
error
Vern
Buchanan
Ben
Carson
Ron
DeSantis
Don
Gaetz
David
Jolly
George
LeMieux
Carlos
Шаблон:Nowrap
Bill
McCollum
Jeff
Miller
Tom
Rooney
Todd
Wilcox
Other/
Undecided
News 13/Bay News 9 March 4–6, 2016 724 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 56% 44%
Mason-Dixon July 20–24, 2015 500 ± 4.5% 8% 11% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 22% 6% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 45%
9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 16% 10% 8% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 55%
St. Pete Polls Шаблон:Nowrap 1,074 ± 3.0% 9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 22% 11% 12% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 46%
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Nowrap 729 ± 3.6% 16% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 25% 6% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 46%
St. Leo University Шаблон:Nowrap 425 ± 4.5% 6% 4% 6% 3% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 16% 8% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 43%
Mason-Dixon Шаблон:Webarchive Шаблон:Nowrap 425 ± 4.8% 7% 4% 1% 8% 3% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 20% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 48%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Шаблон:Nowrap
error
Jeff
Atwater
Pam
Bondi
Carlos
Шаблон:Nowrap
Adam
Putnam
Allen
West
Other/
Undecided
Шаблон:Nowrap Шаблон:Nowrap 425 ± 4.8% 12% 25% 8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 38% 18%
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% 15% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 43%
Gravis Marketing Шаблон:Nowrap 513 ± 4% 9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 36% 12% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 43%
Public Policy Polling September 4–7, 2014 818 ± 3.4% 17% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 38% 16% 29%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

  • Lateresa Jones, life coach and independent candidate for lieutenant governor in 2014 (running as an Independent)[78][79]

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Alan
Grayson
Pam
Keith
Lateresa
Jones
Patrick
Murphy
Other/
Undecided
Mason-Dixon Шаблон:Webarchive August 22–24, 2016 400 ± 5% 22% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% 19%
Florida Atlantic University August 19–22, 2016 364 8% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% 22%
Florida Chamber of Commerce August 17–22, 2016 258 ± 4.0% 11% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 38%
St. Leo University August 14–18, 2016 532 ± 4.5% 17% 8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 27%
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive August 1–3, 2016 194 ± 4.4% 17% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 45%
St. Pete Polls August 2, 2016 1,807 ± 2.3% 20% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 28%
Bay News 9/SurveyUSA June 25–27, 2016 618 ± 4.0% 21% 10% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 30% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 35%
Vox Populi Polling (R) June 19–20, 2016 530 ± 4.3% 15% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 19% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 62%
Targeted Persuasion June 14–16, 2016 862 ± 3.34% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 30% 5% 27% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 38%
St. Leo University June 10–16, 2016 500 ± 7% 14% 3% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 16% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 61%
Mason-Dixon Шаблон:Webarchive May 31–June 2, 2016 400 ± 5% 23% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 43%
Public Policy Polling Шаблон:Webarchive March 22–23, 2016 829 ? Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 33% 32% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 35%
St. Leo University March 13–17, 2016 540 ± 5% 17% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 20% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 63%
Mason-DixonШаблон:Dead link March 7–9, 2016 500 ± 4.5% 19% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 48%
SurveyUSA March 4–6, 2016 592 ± 4.1% 16% 11% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 27% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 46%
Bendixon & Amandi/The Tarrance Group March 2–5, 2016 449 ± 6% 19% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 27% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 54%
Univision March 2–5, 2016 449 ± 6% 29% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 35%
Public Policy Polling February 24–25, 2016 388 ± 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 33% 22% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 45%
20/20 Insight LLC* Шаблон:Webarchive ~February 16–18, 2016 646 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% 32% 27%
Florida Atlantic University College of Business January 15–18, 2016 371 ± 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 27% 20% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 53%
St. Leo University November 29–December 3, 2015 160 ± 7.5% 7% 4% 6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 17% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 55%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 368 ± 5.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 33% 27% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 39%
Mason-Dixon July 20–24, 2015 500 ± 4.5% 24% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 26% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 50%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 33% 32% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 35%
St. Pete Polls July 15, 2015 1,018 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 30% 8% 23% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 39%
Gravis Marketing June 16–20, 2015 881 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 63% 19% 18%
Vox Populi Polling (R)Шаблон:Dead link June 15–17, 2015 717 ± 3.7% 24% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 42%
St. Leo University May 25–31, 2015 535 ± 4.5% 24% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 27% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 49%
Mason-Dixon April 14–16, 2015 400 ± 5% 14% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 23% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 63%
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 371 ± 5.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 22% 21% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 56%
  • * Internal poll for Alan Grayson

Шаблон:Notelist

Results

Файл:Florida Senate D Primary 2016.svg
County results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Libertarian primary

On October 1, 2015, Adrian Wyllie and Lynn House, chair and vice chair, respectively, of the Libertarian Party of Florida, resigned their seats in protest after the executive committee refused to oust candidate Augustus Invictus from the party. According to Wyllie, Invictus had defended eugenics, called for a new Civil War, and brutally slaughtered a goat, and is not representative of the Libertarian Party. Invictus has refuted these claims, calling Wyllie's accusations, "deliberate misrepresentation[s]."[90]

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Файл:2016 US Senate Libertarian Primary in Florida by county.svg
2016 United States Senate Libertarian primary in Florida by countyШаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Independent

Candidates

Declared

  • Basil Dalack, attorney and former Tequesta Village Councilman[94][95]
  • Lateresa Jones, life coach and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2014[79]
  • Anton "Tony" Khoury, businessman[96]
  • Steven Machat, music producer[97]
  • Bruce Nathan, physical therapist[98]

No party affiliation

Candidates

Declared

General election

Debates

Dates Location Rubio Murphy Stanton Link
October 17, 2016 Orlando, Florida Participant Participant Not Invited Full debate - C-SPAN
October 26, 2016 Davie, Florida Participant Participant Not Invited Full debate - C-SPAN

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[101] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[102] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[103] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2016
Daily Kos[104] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[105] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2016

Polling

Graphical summary

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Marco
Rubio (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Paul
Stanton (L)
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 4,092 ± 4.6% 48% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% 3%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive November 3–6, 2016 884 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% 43% 2% 5%
Alliance/ESA Poll Шаблон:Webarchive November 2–6, 2016 875 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% 40% 9%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 3,574 ± 4.6% 48% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% 3%
CBS News/YouGov November 2–4, 2016 1,188 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 44% 3% 6%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 3,356 ± 4.6% 49% 49% 2%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing November 1–2, 2016 1,220 ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 46% 7%
FOX 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion Savvy November 1–2, 2016 603 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% 46% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 2,901 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 48% 3%
CNN/ORC October 27–November 1, 2016 773 LV ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 48% 2%
884 RV Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% 47% 3%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive October 27–November 1, 2016 626 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% 44% 1% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 2,715 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 47% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 2,809 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 47% 4%
TargetSmart/William & Mary October 25–28, 2016 718 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 43% 7% 1%
Emerson College October 26–27, 2016 500 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 47% 3% 1%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College October 25–27, 2016 814 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% 42% 5%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing October 25–26, 2016 1,301 ± 2.7% 46% 46% 8%
Public Policy Polling October 25–26, 2016 742 ± 3.6% 46% 46% 8%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 25–26, 2016 779 LV ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% 43% 4% 2%
990 RV ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% 42% 4% 3%
St. Leo University October 22–26, 2016 1,028 ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 39% 17%
University of North Florida October 20–25, 2016 836 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 43% 8%
Bloomberg/Selzer October 21–24, 2016 953 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% 41% 8%
Florida Atlantic University October 21–23, 2016 500 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 42% 12%
Bay News 9/SurveyUSA October 20–24, 2016 1,251 ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 41% 6% 8%
CBS News/YouGov October 20–21, 2016 1,042 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 42% 6% 8%
FOX 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion Savvy October 20, 2016 538 ± 4.2% 46% 46% 8%
Google Consumer Surveys October 18–20, 2016 500 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 57% 38% 5%
Associated Industries of Florida October 19, 2016 1,000 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% 38% 8% 11%
Florida Chamber of Commerce October 16–19, 2016 507 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% 37% 1% 11%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid Шаблон:Webarchive October 17–18, 2016 892 ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 44% 11%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive October 10–16, 2016 660 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 47% 4%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey Шаблон:Webarchive October 8–16, 2016 1,702 ± 0.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% 45% 4%

Public Policy Polling

October 12–13, 2016 985 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 38% 6% 12%
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 43% 9%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing October 11–13, 2016 1,799 ± 2.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 36% 20%
FOX 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion Savvy October 10–11, 2016 533 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 44% 8%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 3–5, 2016 700 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 46% 2% 4%
Associated Industries of Florida October 2–5, 2016 600 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 41% 1% 9%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing October 4, 2016 821 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 40% 16%
Emerson College October 2–4, 2016 600 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 39% 6% 8%
University of North Florida Шаблон:Webarchive September 27–October 4, 2016 667 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 41% 1% 10%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive September 27–October 2, 2016 545 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 44% 8%
FOX 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion Savvy September 28–29, 2016 619 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 43% 10%
Mason-Dixon Шаблон:Webarchive September 27–29, 2016 820 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 40% 5% 2% 6%
Public Policy Polling September 27–28, 2016 826 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% 35% 9% 15%
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 44% 9%
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive September 19–21, 2016 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% 34% 2% 4% 17%
Florida Chamber of Commerce September 15–20, 2016 617 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 42% 11%
Monmouth University September 16–19, 2016 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 45% 3% 5%
Saint Leo University September 10–16, 2016 502 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 35% 21%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College September 10–14, 2016 867 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 42% 8%
CNN/ORC September 7–12, 2016 788 LV ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 54% 43% 1% 2%
886 RV Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% 45% 1% 4%
Global Strategy Group September 6–11, 2016 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 45% 8%
JMC Analytics (R) September 7–8, 2016 781 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% 38% 4% 15%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive August 31–September 7, 2016 601 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% 43% 1% 6%
Public Policy Polling September 4–6, 2016 744 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% 37% 10% 13%
Mason-Dixon Шаблон:Webarchive August 22–24, 2016 625 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 43% 11%
iCitizen August 18–24, 2016 600 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% 42% 16%
Florida Atlantic University August 19–22, 2016 1,200 ± 2.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 39% 17%
St. Leo University August 14–18, 2016 1,380 ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 38% 16%
Monmouth University August 12–15, 2016 402 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 43% 3% 5%
FOX 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion Savvy August 10, 2016 622 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 43% 12%
Civis Analytics August 9–15, 2016 1,436 ± 2.8% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 9%
NBC/WSJ/Marist August 4–10, 2016 862 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 43% 3% 5%
Public Policy Polling Шаблон:Webarchive August 5–7, 2016 938 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% 40% 18%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive July 30–August 7, 2016 1,056 ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 45% 7%
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive August 1–3, 2016 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 33% 21%
JMC Analytics (R) July 9–10, 2016 700 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% 33% 5% 21%
NBC/WSJ/Marist July 5–11, 2016 871 ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 44% 2% 7%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive June 30–July 11, 2016 1,015 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% 37% 1% 8%
Bay News 9/SurveyUSA June 25–27, 2016 1,678 ± 2.4% 43% 43% 7% 8%
Quinnipiac UniversityШаблон:Dead link June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 40% 13%
Public Policy Polling June 15–16, 2016 508 ± 4.4% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 17%
Public Policy Polling June 2–5, 2016 737 ± 3.6% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 13%
Associated Industries of Florida April 25–27, 2016 604 ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 41% 10%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 40% 14%
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 41% 11%
Mason-Dixon March 3–5, 2015 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% 38% 12%
Public Policy Polling September 4–7, 2014 818 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 41% 12%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Alan
Grayson (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac UniversityШаблон:Dead link June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% 1% 24%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 38% 36% 26%
Public Policy Polling February 24–25, 2016 1,012 ± 3.1% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 26%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive September 25-October 5, 2015 1,173 ± 2.9% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 37% 1% 26%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 37% 36% 28%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive June 4–15, 2015 1,147 ± 2.9% 32% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 38% 1% 29%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac UniversityШаблон:Dead link June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 32% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 1% 25%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 36% 29%
Associated Industries of Florida April 25–27, 2016 604 ± 5% 28% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 32%
Public Policy Polling February 24–25, 2016 1,012 ± 3.1% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% 26%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive September 25-October 5, 2015 1,173 ± 2.9% 30% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 37% 1% 29%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 25%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive June 4–15, 2015 1,147 ± 2.9% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% 1% 29%
St. Leo University May 25–31, 2015 535 ± 4.5% 14% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 53%
with David Jolly
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
David
Jolly (R)
Alan
Grayson (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac UniversityШаблон:Dead link June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% 1% 24%
Public Policy Polling June 2–5, 2016 737 ± 3.6% 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 27%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 37% 35% 28%
Public Policy Polling February 24–25, 2016 1,012 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 38% 35% 26%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% 36% 26%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
David
Jolly (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac UniversityШаблон:Dead link June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% 1% 25%
Public Policy Polling June 2–5, 2016 737 ± 3.6% 29% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 27%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 37% 29%
Associated Industries of Florida April 25–27, 2016 604 ± 5% 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 27%
Public Policy Polling February 24–25, 2016 1,012 ± 3.1% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 38% 27%
Democracy Corps October 24–28, 2015 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 43% 13%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 25%
St. Leo University May 25–31, 2015 535 ± 4.5% 14% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 52%
with Carlos Lopez-Cantera
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carlos
López-Cantera (R)
Alan
Grayson (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac UniversityШаблон:Dead link June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 1% 24%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 37% 37% 26%
Public Policy Polling February 24–25, 2016 1,012 ± 3.1% 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 38% 26%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive September 25-October 5, 2015 1,173 ± 2.9% 32% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 35% 1% 27%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% 24%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive June 4–15, 2015 1,147 ± 2.9% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 37% 1% 31%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive March 17–28, 2015 1,087 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 33% 32% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 34%
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 24%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carlos
López-Cantera (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac UniversityШаблон:Dead link June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 32% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% 1% 26%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 38% 28%
Associated Industries of Florida April 25–27, 2016 604 ± 5% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 27%
Public Policy Polling February 24–25, 2016 1,012 ± 3.1% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 29%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive September 25-October 5, 2015 1,173 ± 2.9% 29% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 37% 1% 30%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% 24%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive June 4–15, 2015 1,147 ± 2.9% 28% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 1% 32%
St. Leo University May 25–31, 2015 535 ± 4.5% 15% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 30% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 56%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive March 17–28, 2015 1,087 ± 3% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 35% 1% 33%
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% 25%
with Jeff Atwater
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeff
Atwater (R)
Alan
Grayson (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive March 17–28, 2015 1,087 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% 32% 1% 25%
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% 40% 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeff
Atwater (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive March 17–28, 2015 1,087 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 38% 34% 1% 27%
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% 39% 20%
Mason-Dixon March 3–5, 2015 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 32% 22%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeff
Atwater (R)
Debbie
Wasserman
Schultz (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon March 3–5, 2015 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 35% 20%
with Pam Bondi
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pam
Bondi (R)
Alan
Grayson (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 42% 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pam
Bondi (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 41% 14%
with Don Gaetz
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Don
Gaetz (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Undecided
St. Leo University May 25–31, 2015 535 ± 4.5% 9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 55%
with Jeff Miller
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeff
Miller (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Undecided
St. Leo University May 25–31, 2015 535 ± 4.5% 15% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 52%
with Marco Rubio
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Marco
Rubio (R)
Alex
Sink (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 27–29, 2013 579 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 42% 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Marco
Rubio (R)
Debbie
Wasserman
Schultz (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon March 3–5, 2015 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% 36% 11%
Public Policy Polling September 4–7, 2014 818 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 43% 9%
Public Policy Polling June 6–9, 2014 672 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 40% 12%
Public Policy Polling September 27–29, 2013 579 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 43% 11%
with Allen West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Allen
West (R)
Alan
Grayson (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Allen
West (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% 20%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Allen
West (R)
Alex
Sink (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 27–29, 2013 579 ± 4.1% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Allen
West (R)
Debbie
Wasserman
Schultz (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 6–9, 2014 672 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% 40% 19%
Public Policy Polling September 27–29, 2013 579 ± 4.1% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 16%
with Todd Wilcox
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Todd
Wilcox (R)
Alan
Grayson (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac UniversityШаблон:Dead link June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% 2% 24%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 37% 35% 28%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Todd
Wilcox (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac UniversityШаблон:Dead link June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% 1% 26%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 38% 27%
with Carlos Beruff
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carlos
Beruff (R)
Alan
Grayson (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive July 30–August 7, 2016 1,056 ± 3.0% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% 1% 17%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive June 30–July 11, 2016 1,015 ± 3.1% 38% 38% 1% 19%
Quinnipiac UniversityШаблон:Dead link June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 1% 25%
Public Policy Polling June 2–5, 2016 737 ± 3.6% 32% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% 28%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 36% 29%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carlos
Beruff (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive July 30–August 7, 2016 1,056 ± 3.0% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 1% 17%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive June 30–July 11, 2016 1,015 ± 3.1% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 1% 19%
Quinnipiac UniversityШаблон:Dead link June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% 1% 26%
Public Policy Polling June 2–5, 2016 737 ± 3.6% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% 27%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 32% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 38% 29%
Associated Industries of Florida April 25–27, 2016 604 ± 5.0% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% 30%
with Alan Grayson
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Marco
Rubio (R)
Alan
Grayson (D)
Other Undecided
iCitizen August 18–24, 2016 600 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 39% 16%
St. Leo University August 14–18, 2016 1,380 ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 34% 19%
Monmouth University August 12–15, 2016 402 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% 39% 5% 6%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive July 30–August 7, 2016 1,056 ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 43% 1% 8%
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive August 1–3, 2016 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 31% 24%
JMC Analytics (R) July 9–10, 2016 700 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% 33% 4% 22%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive June 30–July 11, 2016 1,015 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% 38% 1% 8%
Quinnipiac UniversityШаблон:Dead link June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% 38% 1% 11%
Public Policy Polling June 15–16, 2016 508 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% 40% 17%
Public Policy Polling June 2–5, 2016 737 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% 38% 19%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 38% 14%
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 40% 11%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Independent to Democratic

Counties that from Independent to Republican

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2016 United States elections

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