Английская Википедия:2016 United States Senate election in Georgia
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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Georgia The 2016 United States Senate election in Georgia was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary election for the Republican and Democratic parties took place on May 24, 2016.[1]
Incumbent Republican Senator Johnny Isakson won re-election to a third term in office by a wide margin.[2] Isakson resigned from the Senate on December 31, 2019, due to health issues. As of 2023, this remains the last time that a Republican has won a Senate election in Georgia, as well as the last time that suburban Gwinnett and Henry counties have voted for a Republican in a statewide election. It also remains the last time that any statewide candidate has won an election in Georgia by double-digits, and the last time that any U.S. Senate candidate in Georgia has won without a runoff.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Mary Kay Bacallao, college professor, former Fayette County Board of Education member and candidate for State Superintendent of Schools in 2014[3]
- Derrick Grayson, MARTA engineer, minister and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[4][5]
- Johnny Isakson, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
Withdrawn
- Lee Benedict, teacher and state senate candidate in 2007 (running for the Columbia County Commission)[5][6]
Declined
- Paul Broun, former U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 1996 and 2014 (running for GA-09)[7][8]
- Tom Graves, U.S. Representative[9][10]
- Kelly Loeffler, owner of the Atlanta Dream and future U.S. Senator for this seat[11][12]
- Tom Price, U.S. Representative[9][13]
- Allen West, former U.S. Representative from Florida[2]
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Johnny Isakson |
Another candidate |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| InsiderAdvantage | June 11–14, 2015 | 492 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% | 26% | 24% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- James F. Barksdale, investment firm executive[14]
- Cheryl Copeland, AT&T manager[15]
- John Coyne, businessman and perennial candidate[16]
Withdrawn
- Jim Knox, information technologist and United States Air Force veteran[16][17]
Declined
- Stacey Abrams, Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives[18][19]
- Thurbert Baker, former Attorney General of Georgia and candidate for governor in 2010[12]
- Roy Barnes, former governor[20]
- John Barrow, former U.S. Representative[21]
- Jason Carter, state senator and nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2014[18][20][22]
- Stacey Evans, state representative[18][23]
- Shirley Franklin, former Mayor of Atlanta[19][20][24]
- Scott Holcomb, state representative and candidate for secretary of state in 2006[19][20][25]
- Margaret Kaiser, state representative[18][26]
- Jim Marshall, former U.S. Representative[20]
- Michelle Nunn, former CEO of Points of Light and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014[20][22]
- Kasim Reed, Mayor of Atlanta[27]
- Michael Sterling, executive director of the Atlanta Workforce Development Agency, former Assistant United States Attorney and former adviser to Mayor Kasim Reed[24][28]
- Doug Stoner, former state senator[18][29]
- Ed Tarver, United States Attorney for the Southern District of Georgia and former state senator[25][30]
- Regina Thomas, former state senator and candidate for GA-12 in 2008 and 2010[14][16]
- Teresa Tomlinson, Mayor of Columbus[31]
- Raphael Warnock, pastor of Ebenezer Baptist Church and future U.S. Senator for this seat[19][32]
- Valarie Wilson, former president of the Georgia School Boards Association, former chair of the Decatur School Board, and nominee for State Superintendent of Schools in 2014[19][20]
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Libertarian nomination
Candidates
Declared
- Allen Buckley, attorney, accountant, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2004 and 2008 and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Georgia in 2006[33]
- Ted Metz, insurance agent, former Cobb County Republican district chairman, and nominee for insurance commissioner in 2014[34]
Allen Buckley won the nomination at the March 5, 2016, nominating convention in Marietta[35]
General election
Debates
| Dates | Location | Isakson | Barksdale | Buckley | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 21, 2016 | Atlanta, Georgia | Participant | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Johnny Isakson (R) |
Jim Barksdale (D) |
Allen Buckley (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 2,419 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 41% | 8% | — | 4% |
| WSB-TV/Landmark | November 6, 2016 | 1,200 | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% | 41% | 4% | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 2,348 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 41% | 8% | — | 4% |
| CBS News/YouGov | November 3–5, 2016 | 995 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 41% | — | 6% | 5% |
| WSB-TV/Landmark | November 2–3, 2016 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 40% | 5% | — | 6% |
| FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy | November 2–3, 2016 | 538 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 39% | 8% | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 2,872 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 42% | 8% | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 2,722 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 42% | 7% | — | 4% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist | October 30–November 1, 2016 | 707 LV | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 37% | 7% | 3% | 5% |
| 937 RV | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 36% | 8% | 4% | 7% | ||
| SurveyMonkey | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 2,678 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 41% | 6% | — | 5% |
| Emerson College | October 29–31, 2016 | 650 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 40% | — | 5% | 7% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 2,665 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 41% | 5% | — | 4% |
| WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA | October 25–27, 2016 | 594 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 38% | 5% | — | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive | October 20–26, 2016 | 707 | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 54% | 40% | — | — | 6% |
| FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy | October 20, 2016 | 570 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% | 42% | 3% | — | 4% |
| Google Consumer Surveys | October 18–20, 2016 | 439 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 58% | 36% | — | — | 6% |
| Atlanta Journal Constitution | October 17–20, 2016 | 839 | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 32% | 11% | — | 7% |
| The Times-Picayune/Lucid | October 17–18, 2016 | 807 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 39% | — | — | 13% |
| Washington Post/SurveyMonkey Шаблон:Webarchive | October 8–16, 2016 | 886 | ± 0.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 46% | — | — | 4% |
| WSB-TV/Landmark | October 11–12, 2016 | 1,400 | ± 2.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 37% | 5% | — | 8% |
| JMC Analytics (R) | September 20–22, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% | 28% | 4% | — | 27% |
| Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive | September 13–21, 2016 | 638 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% | 34% | — | — | 10% |
| Monmouth University | September 15–18, 2016 | 401 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 34% | 5% | — | 10% |
| FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy | September 14, 2016 | 568 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 34% | 6% | — | 13% |
| Emerson College | September 9–13, 2016 | 600 | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 32% | — | — | 10% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist | September 6–8, 2016 | 649 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% | 38% | — | — | 9% |
| JMC Analytics (R) | August 6–7, 2016 | 615 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% | 30% | 4% | — | 27% |
| Atlanta Journal Constitution | August 1–4, 2016 | 847 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% | 38% | 6% | — | 12% |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 42% | — | — | 10% | ||||
| WSB-TV/Landmark Шаблон:Webarchive | July 31, 2016 | 787 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 41% | 5% | — | 8% |
| WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA | July 29–31, 2016 | 570 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 39% | 5% | — | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 27–30, 2016 | 724 | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 35% | — | — | 18% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[36] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[38] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[39] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 8, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[40] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2016 |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Chatham (largest municipality: Savannah)
- Douglas (largest town: Douglasville)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Quitman (largest city: Georgetown)
- Twiggs (largest city: Jeffersonville)
- Terrell (largest city: Dawson)
- Randolph (largest city: Cuthbert)
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
Шаблон:2016 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 2,0 2,1 2,2 Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ 12,0 12,1 Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ 14,0 14,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 16,0 16,1 16,2 Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ 18,0 18,1 18,2 18,3 18,4 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 19,0 19,1 19,2 19,3 19,4 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 20,0 20,1 20,2 20,3 20,4 20,5 20,6 Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ 22,0 22,1 Шаблон:Cite news
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