Английская Википедия:2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania

Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsPA The 2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania took place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in numerous other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on April 26. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Pat Toomey was reelected to a second term in a close race, defeating Democratic nominee Katie McGinty and Libertarian Party nominee Edward Clifford.^[1]^[2] With a margin of 1.43%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2016 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in New Hampshire.

As of 2023, this is the last time that Republicans won a U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania.

Background

Five-term senator Arlen Specter, a longtime moderate Republican, switched to the Democratic Party in April 2009, and ran for reelection in 2010 as a Democrat. He was defeated in the Democratic primary by U.S. Representative and former U.S. Navy three-star admiral Joe Sestak. After a close race, Sestak lost the general election to former U.S. Representative Pat Toomey by 51% to 49%, a margin of 80,229 votes out of almost 4 million cast. Toomey had previously run for the seat in 2004, narrowly losing to Specter in the Republican primary. Specter later died in 2012.

After the Republicans took control of the Senate following the 2014 Senate elections, the election in Pennsylvania was seen by many as a top target for the Democrats, who hoped to regain their majority.^[3]^[4]^[5] Katie McGinty, who won the Democratic primary, was one of 160 candidates endorsed by Barack Obama. McGinty got her start in politics after winning the Congressional Fellowship of the American Chemical Society, leading to a position with then Senator Al Gore. In 1993 she was appointed deputy assistant and then chair of the White House Council of Environmental Quality under Bill Clinton. She then went on to be appointed head of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection by Governor Ed Rendell in 2003.^[6] McGinty faced 2010 nominee Sestask and Mayor of Braddock, future Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania and holder of this Senate seat John Fetterman in the primary.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Pat Toomey, incumbent U.S. Senator^[7]

Did not file

Everett Stern, security intelligence consultant, HSBC whistleblower and candidate for Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district in 2014^[8]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

John Fetterman, Mayor of Braddock and future U.S. Senator for this seat^[9]
Katie McGinty, former chief of staff to Governor Tom Wolf, former Secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection and candidate for the governorship in 2014^[10]^[11]^[12]^[13]
Joe Sestak, retired navy admiral, former U.S. Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010^[14]^[15]^[16]
Joseph Vodvarka, small business owner and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and 2012^[9]^[17]^[18]

Did not file

Ed Pawlowski, Mayor of Allentown and candidate for governor in 2014^[19]^[20]

Declined

Bob Brady, U.S. Representative and chairman of the Philadelphia Democratic City Committee (endorsed Katie McGinty)^[21]
Chris Carney, former U.S. Representative^[22]
Matt Cartwright, U.S. Representative (endorsed Joe Sestak)^[23]
Kathy Dahlkemper, Erie County Executive and former U.S. Representative (endorsed Katie McGinty)^[24]
Eugene DePasquale, Pennsylvania Auditor General (running for re-election)^[25]
Rich Fitzgerald, Allegheny County Executive (endorsed Katie McGinty)^[24]^[26]
David Hickton, United States Attorney for the Western District of Pennsylvania^[27]
Vincent Hughes, state senator (endorsed Katie McGinty)^[28]^[29]^[30]
Kathleen Kane, Pennsylvania Attorney General^[10]^[31]^[32]^[33]
Rob McCord, former Pennsylvania Treasurer and candidate for the governorship in 2014^[34]
Patrick Murphy, former U.S. Representative and candidate for attorney general in 2012^[21]^[35]
Michael Nutter, Mayor of Philadelphia (endorsed Katie McGinty)^[36]^[37]
Ed Rendell, former Governor of Pennsylvania (endorsed Katie McGinty)^[38]^[39]
Allyson Schwartz, former U.S. Representative and candidate for the governorship in 2014^[23]
Josh Shapiro, chairman of the Montgomery County Board of Commissioners and former state representative (running for attorney general)^[40]^[41]^[42]
Joe Torsella, United States Representative to the United Nations for Management and Reform and former chairman of the Pennsylvania State Board of Education (running for state treasurer)^[43]^[44]
R. Seth Williams, District Attorney of Philadelphia^[24]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Debates

A debate hosted by Carnegie Mellon University's Heinz College in association with the 14th Ward Independent Democratic Club featuring John Fetterman, Katie McGinty, and Joe Sestak occurred on January 31 at Rangos Hall in Jared L. Cohon University Center, Carnegie Mellon University, in Pittsburgh.^[45]

A debate hosted by Keystone Progress featuring John Fetterman, Katie McGinty, and Joe Sestak occurred on February 19 at the Hilton Harrisburg, in the Harrisburg Ballroom, in Harrisburg.^[46]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Vodvarka	John Fetterman	Katie McGinty	Joe Sestak	Other	Undecided
FOX 29/Opinion Savvy	April 24–25, 2016	942	± 3.2%	–	14%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 39%	34%	–	13%
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	April 21–23, 2016	641	± 3.9%	3%	15%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 39%	33%	–	11%
Monmouth University Шаблон:Webarchive	April 17–19, 2016	302	± 5.6%	–	4%	39%	39%	–	18%
Franklin & Marshall College	April 11–18, 2016	510	± 5.3%	–	8%	27%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 38%	2%	25%
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	April 3–4, 2016	603	± 4.0%	–	9%	31%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 41%	–	19%
Franklin & Marshall College	March 14–20, 2016	408	± 4.7%	–	7%	14%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 31%	2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 46%
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	March 1–2, 2016	662	± 3.6%	4%	15%	17%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 33%	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 35%
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	January 22–23, 2016	640	± 3.8%	–	11%	28%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 33%	–	28%
Public Policy Polling	October 8–11, 2015	1,012	± 3.1%	–	14%	22%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 29%	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 35%
Franklin & Marshall College	August 17–24, 2015	298	± ?	–	–	13%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 16%	5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 66%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ed Pawlowski	Joe Sestak	Josh Shapiro	Other	Undecided
Robert Morris University Шаблон:Webarchive	May 8–16, 2015	?	± ?	11.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44.7%	—	—	44.3%
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	May 6–7, 2015	173	± 7.45%	12%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 42%	8%	—	39%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kathleen Kane	Joe Sestak	Other	Undecided
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	February 22–23, 2014	501	± 4.38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	24%	—	29%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Файл:United States Senate Democratic primary in Pennsylvania, 2016.svg

2016 United States Senate Democratic primary in Pennsylvania results Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Candidates

Edward T. "Ed" Clifford, III (L), accountant^[47]
Katie McGinty (D), former chief of staff to Governor Tom Wolf, former Secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection and candidate for governor in 2014
Pat Toomey (R), incumbent

Debates

Dates	Location	Toomey	McGinty	Link
October 17, 2016	Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania	Participant	Participant	Full debate - C-SPAN
October 24, 2016	Philadelphia, Pennsylvania	Participant	Participant	Full debate - C-SPAN

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[48]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[49]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report^[50]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2016
Daily Kos^[51]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics^[52]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 7, 2016

Polling

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat Toomey (R)	Katie McGinty (D)	Edward Clifford (L)	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey	November 1–7, 2016	2,845	± 4.6%	45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	—	—	6%
SurveyMonkey	October 31–November 6, 2016	2,685	± 4.6%	45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	—	—	5%
CBS News/YouGov	November 3–5, 2016	931	± 4.3%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	—	1%	6%
Clarity Campaign Labs	November 1–4, 2016	1,033	± 3.0%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	—	—	11%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call	October 30–November 4, 2016	405	± 5.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 43%	42%	—	—	15%
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	November 2–3, 2016	504	± 4.4%	44%	44%	6%	—	5%
SurveyMonkey	October 28–November 3, 2016	2,454	± 4.6%	45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	—	—	5%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing	November 1–2, 2016	1,016	± 3.1%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	—	—	12%
Susquehanna Polling & Research	October 31–November 2, 2016	681	± 3.8%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	5%	1%	7%
SurveyMonkey	October 27–November 2, 2016	2,177	± 4.6%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	—	—	4%
Public Policy Polling	October 31–November 1, 2016	1,050	± 3.0%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	—	—	10%
Monmouth University	October 29–November 1, 2016	403	± 4.9%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	3%	—	6%
CNN/ORC	October 27–November 1, 2016	799 LV	± 3.5%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 51%	—	1%	1%
CNN/ORC	October 27–November 1, 2016	917 RV	± 3.0%	47%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	—	1%	2%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	October 27–November 1, 2016	612	± 4.0%	47%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 48%	—	1%	5%
SurveyMonkey	October 26–November 2, 2016	2,078	± 4.6%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	—	—	4%
SurveyMonkey	October 25–31, 2016	2,255	± 4.6%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	—	—	5%
Franklin & Marshall College	October 26–30, 2016	652 LV	± 5.1%	35%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	1%	2%	16%
Franklin & Marshall College	October 26–30, 2016	863 RV	± 4.4%	33%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 43%	—	1%	23%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing	October 25–30, 2016	3,217	± 1.7%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	—	—	13%
CBS News/YouGov	October 26–28, 2016	1,091	± 3.7%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	—	2%	13%
Emerson College	October 25–26, 2016	550	± 4.1%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	—	7%	5%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Шаблон:Webarchive	October 20–26, 2016	420	± 5.5%	41%	41%	—	1%	17%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College Шаблон:Webarchive	October 23–25, 2016	824	± 3.4%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	—	—	9%
Emerson College	October 17–19, 2016	800	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 46%	43%	—	5%	7%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	October 10–16, 2016	660	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 49%	45%	—	—	6%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey Шаблон:Webarchive	October 8–16, 2016	1,449	± 0.5%	47%	47%	—	—	6%
Bloomberg/Selzer	October 7–11, 2016	806	± 3.5%	45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	—	2%	4%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid	October 7–10, 2016	1,457	± 3.0%	44%	44%	—	—	12%
Susquehanna Polling & Research	October 4–9, 2016	764	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	38%	7%	1%	12%
CBS News/YouGov	October 5–7, 2016	997	± 4.2%	42%	42%	—	1%	15%
NBC/WSJ/Marist	October 3–6, 2016	709	± 3.7%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 48%	—	2%	6%
Monmouth University	September 30–October 3, 2016	402	± 4.9%	46%	46%	3%	—	5%
Franklin & Marshall College	September 28–October 2, 2016	496 LV	± 6.1%	35%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 41%	2%	—	22%
Franklin & Marshall College	September 28–October 2, 2016	813 RV	± 4.8%	31%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 36%	—	11%	22%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	September 27–October 2, 2016	535	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 50%	42%	—	—	7%
Public Policy Polling	September 27–28, 2016	886	± 3.3%	35%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 40%	9%	—	16%
Public Policy Polling	September 27–28, 2016	886	± 3.3%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	—	—	14%
CNN/ORC	September 20–25, 2016	771 LV	± 3.5%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center rowspan=2\| 49%	—	—	2%
CNN/ORC	September 20–25, 2016	895 RV	± 3.5%	46%		—	—	2%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing	September 23, 2016	949	± 3.2%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 43%	—	—	18%
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	September 21–22, 2016	500	± 4.4%	42%	42%	8%	—	8%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call	September 19–23, 2016	486	± 5.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 41%	40%	—	—	20%
Mercyhurst University	September 12–23, 2016	420	± 4.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 43%	42%	—	—	15%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps Шаблон:Webarchive	September 10–19, 2016	400	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 45%	43%	—	—	12%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call	September 12–16, 2016	405	± 5.5%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 43%	—	—	19%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	August 29–September 7, 2016	778	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 46%	45%	—	1%	7%
CBS News/YouGov	August 30–September 2, 2016	1,091	± 4.1%	39%	39%	—	2%	20%
Public Policy Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	August 30–31, 2016	814	± 3.4%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	—	—	15%
Public Policy Polling	August 26–27, 2016	1,194	± 3.0%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	—	—	14%
Monmouth University	August 26–29, 2016	402	± 4.9%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	6%	—	8%
Franklin & Marshall College	August 25–29, 2016	496 LV	± 5.6%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 43%	—	—	18%
Franklin & Marshall College	August 25–29, 2016	736 RV	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 37%	36%	—	—	27%
Emerson College	August 25–28, 2016	800	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 46%	39%	—	5%	10%
GBA Strategies	August 21–28, 2016	881	± 4.4%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	—	8%	3%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	July 30–August 7, 2016	815	± 3.4%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	—	—	9%
NBC/WSJ/Marist	August 3–7, 2016	834	± 3.4%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 48%	—	1%	7%
Susquehanna Polling & Research	July 31–August 4, 2016	772	± 3.5%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 42%	—	2%	16%
Franklin & Marshall College	July 29–August 1, 2016	389 LV	± 6.3%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 39%	—	—	23%
Franklin & Marshall College	July 29–August 1, 2016	661 RV	± 4.8%	30%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 38%	—	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 32%
Public Policy Polling	July 29–31, 2016	1,505	± 2.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	41%	—	—	17%
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive	July 25–27, 2016	500	± 4.4%	36%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 43%	—	1%	19%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	June 30–July 11, 2016	982	± 3.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 49%	39%	—	1%	9%
NBC/WSJ/Marist	July 5–10, 2016	829	± 3.4%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	—	2%	8%
Public Policy Polling	June 22–23, 2016	980	± 3.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 40%	39%	—	—	21%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps Шаблон:Webarchive	June 11–20, 2016	300	± 5.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 46%	38%	—	—	16%
Quinnipiac University	June 8–19, 2016	950	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 49%	40%	—	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	June 8–9, 2016	965	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 45%	42%	—	—	12%
Public Policy Polling	June 3–5, 2016	1,106	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 41%	38%	—	—	21%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	April 27–May 8, 2016	1,077	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 45%	44%	—	—	11%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	March 30–April 4, 2016	1,737	± 2.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	38%	—	1%	12%
Mercyhurst University	March 1–11, 2016	421	± 4.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	34%	—	2%	13%
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	March 1–2, 2016	662	± 3.75%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	39%	—	—	13%
Robert Morris University	February 11–16, 2016	511	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 34%	21%	—	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 45%
Public Policy Polling	October 8–11, 2015	1,012	± 3.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 43%	36%	—	—	21%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	September 25–October 5, 2015	1,049	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 51%	31%	—	1%	15%
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	September 9–10, 2015	700	± 3.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 48%	34%	—	—	18%
Franklin & Marshall College	August 17–24, 2015	605	± 3.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 35%	28%	—	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 38%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	August 7–18, 2015	1,085	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 48%	32%	—	1%	17%
Public Policy Polling	May 30–June 1, 2014	835	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	38%	—	—	20%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat Toomey (R)	John Fetterman (D)	Other	Undecided
Mercyhurst University	March 1–11, 2016	421	± 4.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 49%	31%	2%	15%
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	March 1–2, 2016	662	± 3.75%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	36%	—	16%
Robert Morris University	February 11–16, 2016	511	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 38%	14%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 49%
Public Policy Polling	October 8–11, 2015	1,012	± -3.1	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 41%	34%	—	24%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat Toomey (R)	Joe Sestak (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	March 30–April 4, 2016	1,737	± 2.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	39%	1%	10%
Mercyhurst University	March 1–11, 2016	421	± 4.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 43%	38%	1%	15%
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	March 1–2, 2016	662	± 3.75%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	41%	—	13%
Robert Morris University	February 11–16, 2016	511	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 34%	18%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 48%
Public Policy Polling	October 8–11, 2015	1,012	± -3.1	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 41%	38%	—	21%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	September 25-October 5, 2015	1,049	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 49%	34%	1%	13%
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	September 9–10, 2015	700	± 3.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	37%	—	15%
Franklin & Marshall College	August 17–24, 2015	605	± 3.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 41%	29%	—	31%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	August 7–18, 2015	1,085	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 48%	33%	1%	15%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	June 4–15, 2015	970	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	36%	1%	16%
Franklin & Marshall College	June 8–14, 2015	556	± 4.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 35%	31%	—	34%
Public Policy Polling	May 21–24, 2015	799	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	38%	—	20%
Robert Morris University Шаблон:Webarchive	May 8–16, 2015	529	± 4.5%	28.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 34.2%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 37.3%
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	May 6–7, 2015	503	± 4.37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 53%	32%	—	15%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	March 17–28, 2015	1,036	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 48%	35%	1%	16%
Franklin & Marshall College	March 17–23, 2015	597	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 34%	29%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 37%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	Jan. 22–Feb. 1, 2015	881	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 45%	35%	—	20%
Public Policy Polling	January 15–18, 2015	1,042	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 40%	36%	—	23%
Public Policy Polling	May 30 – June 1, 2014	835	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 41%	35%	—	24%
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	December 21–22, 2013	604	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 49%	42%	—	9%
Public Policy Polling	November 22–25, 2013	693	± 3.7%	42%	42%	—	16%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	May 30 – June 4, 2013	1,032	± 3.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	37%	1%	21%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat Toomey (R)	Chris Carney (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 21–24, 2015	799	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 44%	35%	—	20%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat Toomey (R)	Vincent Hughes (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 21–24, 2015	799	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 44%	35%	—	21%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat Toomey (R)	Kathleen Kane (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 15–18, 2015	1,042	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 44%	38%	—	17%
Public Policy Polling	May 30 – June 1, 2014	835	± 3.4%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 42%	—	19%
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	December 21–22, 2013	604	± 4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 49%	44%	—	7%
Public Policy Polling	November 22–25, 2013	693	± 3.7%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	—	12%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat Toomey (R)	Chris Matthews (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 15–18, 2015	1,042	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	38%	—	20%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat Toomey (R)	Michael Nutter (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 15–18, 2015	1,042	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	35%	—	23%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat Toomey (R)	Ed Pawlowski (D)	Other	Undecided
Mercyhurst University	March 1–11, 2016	421	± 4.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	31%	2%	16%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive	June 4–15, 2015	970	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 52%	28%	1%	19%
Franklin & Marshall College	June 8–14, 2015	556	± 4.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 34%	23%	—	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 43%
Public Policy Polling	May 21–24, 2015	799	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 44%	34%	—	22%
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	May 6–7, 2015	503	± 4.37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 54%	30%	—	16%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat Toomey (R)	Ed Rendell (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 21–24, 2015	799	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 46%	41%	—	13%
Public Policy Polling	January 15–18, 2015	1,042	± 3%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	—	15%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat Toomey (R)	Josh Shapiro (D)	Other	Undecided
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	May 6–7, 2015	503	± 4.37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 55%	27%	—	18%
Public Policy Polling	January 15–18, 2015	1,042	± 3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 43%	31%	—	26%
Public Policy Polling	May 30 – June 1, 2014	835	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 41%	32%	—	28%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat Toomey (R)	Seth Williams (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 21–24, 2015	799	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 44%	33%	—	23%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

By county

County^[53]	Katie McGinty Democratic		Patrick J. Toomey Republican		Edward T. Clifford III Libertarian		Margin		Total Votes Cast
County^[53]	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	Total Votes Cast
Adams	14,593	30.72%	30,492	64.19%	2,418	5.09%	15,899	33.47%	47,503
Allegheny	357,450	55.25%	261,316	40.39%	28,260	4.37%	-96,134	-14.86%	647,026
Armstrong	8,387	26.71%	20,793	66.22%	2,220	7.07%	12,406	39.51%	31,400
Beaver	34,263	41.12%	44,000	52.81%	5,058	6.07%	9,737	11.69%	83,321
Bedford	4,356	18.58%	17,739	75.68%	1,344	5.73%	13,383	57.10%	23,439
Berks	77,028	42.93%	95,466	53.21%	6,919	3.86%	18,438	10.28%	179,413
Blair	15,107	27.57%	36,533	66.68%	3,150	5.75%	21,426	39.11%	54,790
Bradford	6,985	27.33%	16,574	64.85%	2,000	7.83%	9,589	37.52%	25,559
Bucks	157,709	46.46%	175,898	51.82%	5,845	1.72%	18,189	5.36%	339,452
Butler	28,715	29.72%	62,425	64.62%	5,465	5.66%	33,710	34.89%	96,605
Cambria	21,894	34.90%	36,948	58.90%	3,886	6.20%	15,054	24.00%	62,728
Cameron	593	27.53%	1,390	64.53%	171	7.94%	797	37.00%	2,154
Carbon	10,086	35.75%	16,360	57.98%	1,770	6.27%	6,274	22.24%	28,216
Centre	35,487	46.45%	36,527	47.82%	4,378	5.73%	1,040	1.36%	76,392
Chester	127,552	47.10%	133,662	49.36%	9,588	3.54%	6,110	2.26%	270,802
Clarion	4,931	28.27%	11,310	64.83%	1,204	6.90%	6,379	36.57%	17,445
Clearfield	9,454	27.80%	22,128	65.06%	2,429	7.14%	12,674	37.26%	34,011
Clinton	5,511	36.34%	8,702	57.38%	952	6.28%	3,191	21.04%	15,165
Columbia	9,819	34.94%	16,292	57.97%	1,991	7.08%	6,473	23.03%	28,102
Crawford	11,047	29.65%	24,472	65.68%	1,740	4.67%	13,425	36.03%	37,259
Cumberland	44,796	36.74%	71,638	58.75%	5,509	4.52%	26,842	22.01%	121,943
Dauphin	62,551	48.61%	63,740	49.54%	2,383	1.85%	1,189	0.92%	128,674
Delaware	163,377	55.64%	126,300	43.01%	3,948	1.34%	-37,077	-12.63%	293,625
Elk	4,509	31.48%	8,703	60.76%	1,111	7.76%	4,194	29.28%	14,323
Erie	56,846	46.32%	60,948	49.66%	4,930	4.02%	4,102	3.34%	122,724
Fayette	20,547	38.62%	29,699	55.82%	2,958	5.56%	9,152	17.20%	53,204
Forest	708	29.82%	1,502	63.27%	164	6.91%	794	33.45%	2,374
Franklin	17,827	25.54%	48,658	69.72%	3,309	4.74%	30,831	44.17%	69,794
Fulton	1,025	15.23%	5,456	81.06%	250	3.71%	4,431	65.83%	6,731
Greene	5,692	36.93%	8,826	57.26%	896	5.81%	3,134	20.33%	15,414
Huntingdon	5,105	26.06%	13,078	66.76%	1,406	7.18%	7,973	40.70%	19,589
Indiana	12,592	33.32%	22,245	58.86%	2,955	7.82%	9,653	25.54%	37,792
Jefferson	4,160	21.54%	13,706	70.95%	1,451	7.51%	9,546	49.42%	19,317
Juniata	2,153	20.66%	7,657	73.47%	612	5.87%	5,504	52.81%	10,422
Lackawanna	53,936	52.93%	40,519	39.76%	7,455	7.32%	-13,417	-13.17%	101,910
Lancaster	89,922	37.07%	142,774	58.85%	9,909	4.08%	52,852	21.79%	242,605
Lawrence	15,289	37.96%	22,674	56.29%	2,317	5.75%	7,385	18.33%	40,280
Lebanon	19,079	31.01%	39,386	64.02%	3,060	4.97%	20,307	33.01%	61,525
Lehigh	77,232	48.25%	76,216	47.61%	6,627	4.14%	-1,016	-0.63%	160,075
Luzerne	56,477	42.89%	66,551	50.54%	8,650	6.57%	10,074	7.65%	131,678
Lycoming	14,187	28.06%	33,015	65.29%	3,365	6.65%	18,828	37.23%	50,567
Mckean	3,987	24.73%	11,530	71.52%	605	3.75%	7,543	46.79%	16,122
Mercer	19,193	37.05%	30,567	59.00%	2,046	3.95%	11,374	21.95%	51,806
Mifflin	4,031	22.13%	13,089	71.87%	1,093	6.00%	9,058	49.73%	18,213
Monroe	34,280	51.32%	30,743	46.03%	1,768	2.65%	-3,537	-5.30%	66,791
Montgomery	237,353	54.90%	189,574	43.85%	5,431	1.26%	-47,779	-11.05%	432,358
Montour	2,898	33.89%	5,066	59.25%	586	6.85%	2,168	25.36%	8,550
Northampton	64,151	45.86%	72,172	51.59%	3,566	2.55%	8,021	5.73%	139,889
Northumberland	11,117	31.28%	21,826	61.42%	2,592	7.29%	10,709	30.14%	35,535
Perry	4,962	23.53%	14,898	70.64%	1,231	5.84%	9,936	47.11%	21,091
Philadelphia	560,421	81.79%	116,714	17.03%	8,030	1.17%	-443,707	-64.76%	685,165
Pike	9,329	36.39%	15,192	59.27%	1,113	4.34%	5,863	22.87%	25,634
Potter	1,387	18.01%	5,990	77.79%	323	4.19%	4,603	59.78%	7,700
Schuylkill	19,539	31.45%	37,757	60.77%	4,832	7.78%	18,218	29.32%	62,128
Snyder	4,299	26.40%	10,867	66.74%	1,116	6.85%	6,568	40.34%	16,282
Somerset	8,340	23.34%	25,470	71.28%	1,923	5.38%	17,130	47.94%	35,733
Sullivan	867	28.03%	2,020	65.31%	206	6.66%	1,153	37.28%	3,093
Susquehanna	5,535	28.76%	11,996	62.33%	1,716	8.92%	6,461	33.57%	19,247
Tioga	3,992	21.97%	13,418	73.83%	764	4.20%	9,426	51.87%	18,174
Union	6,092	34.81%	10,568	60.39%	841	4.81%	4,476	25.58%	17,501
Venango	6,989	30.11%	14,581	62.83%	1,638	7.06%	7,592	32.71%	23,208
Warren	5,124	28.14%	12,130	66.60%	958	5.26%	7,006	38.47%	18,212
Washington	38,133	37.79%	56,952	56.44%	5,824	5.77%	18,819	18.65%	100,909
Wayne	7,487	31.42%	14,538	61.01%	1,803	7.57%	7,051	29.59%	23,828
Westmoreland	62,981	34.94%	107,532	59.65%	9,745	5.41%	44,551	24.72%	180,258
Wyoming	4,154	31.79%	7,844	60.03%	1,068	8.17%	3,690	28.24%	13,066
York	69,394	33.68%	126,350	61.33%	10,271	4.99%	56,956	27.65%	206,015
Pennsylvania	2,865,012	47.34%	2,951,702	48.77%	235,142	3.89%	86,690	1.43%	6,051,856

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Erie (largest municipality: Erie)
Luzerne (largest municipality: Wilkes-Barre)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Lehigh (largest municipality: Allentown)
Monroe (largest municipality: East Stroudsburg)

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2016 United States elections

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Английская Википедия:2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania

Содержание

Background

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Did not file

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Did not file

Declined

Endorsements

Debates

Polling

Results

General election

Candidates

Debates

Predictions

Polling

Results

By county

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

Notes

References

External links

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Действия на странице

Действия на странице

Персональные инструменты

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