Английская Википедия:2016 United States Senate election in Vermont
Шаблон:See alsoШаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsVT The 2016 United States Senate election in Vermont was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Vermont, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held August 9.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Patrick Leahy, the most senior member in the Senate, the longest-serving U.S. Senator from Vermont, and the first Democrat to be elected to a Senate seat in Vermont, won re-election to a record eighth term in office.[1] This is the most recent Senate election in the state where the Republican nominee carried any counties.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Cris Ericson, perennial candidate, later ran as Marijuana Party nominee (also ran for governor)[2]
- Patrick Leahy, incumbent U.S. Senator
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Scott Milne, businessman, candidate for the State House in 2006 and nominee for governor in 2014[3][4]
Liberty Union primary
This election was the last in which Diamondstone ran prior to his death in 2017. Diamondstone had run for Vermont statewide office in every biennial election since 1970.
Candidates
Declared
- Peter Diamondstone, LU party co-founder, lawyer, and perennial candidate[5]
Other candidacies
Declared
- Jerry Trudell, independent candidate, environmental activist, candidate for House of Representatives in 2014[6]
- Cris Ericson, Marijuana Party perennial candidate, previously sought Democratic nomination
General election
Candidates
- Patrick Leahy (D)
- Scott Milne (R)
- Jerry Trudell (I)
- Peter Diamondstone (LU)
- Cris Ericson (MJ)
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[9] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 8, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[11] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2016 |
Debates
| Dates | Location | Leahy | Milne | Ericson | Trudell | Diamondstone | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 18, 2016 | Burlington, Vermont | Participant | Participant | Participant | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Patrick Leahy (D) |
Scott Milne (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 454 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 75% | 24% | — | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 31 – November 6, 2016 | 447 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 75% | 24% | — | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 28 – November 3, 2016 | 449 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 69% | 28% | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 27 – November 2, 2016 | 424 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 65% | 32% | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 26 – November 1, 2016 | 428 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 64% | 34% | — | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 436 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 64% | 33% | — | 3% |
| Braun Research/WCAX Шаблон:Webarchive | October 19–22, 2016 | 603 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 64% | 29% | 3% | 5% |
| Castleton University | September 29 – October 14, 2016 | 579 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 59% | 22% | 7% | 10% |
| Emerson College | September 2–5, 2016 | 600 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 57% | 34% | 4% | 5% |
| Castleton University | July 11–23, 2016 | 637 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 62% | 23% | 1% | 11% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
References
External links
Official campaign websites (Archived)
- Patrick Leahy (D) for Senate
- (MJ) for Senate
- Scott Milne (R) for Senate
- Jerry Trudell (I) for Senate
Debates
Шаблон:2016 United States elections
