Английская Википедия:2016 United States Senate election in Wisconsin

Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Wisconsin The 2016 United States Senate election in Wisconsin was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Wisconsin, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held August 9, 2016.

Incumbent Republican Senator Ron Johnson was re-elected to a second term in office. Former U.S. Senator Russ Feingold, whom Johnson unseated in the 2010 midterm elections, sought a rematch for a fourth non-consecutive term in office but was again defeated by Johnson, who became the first Republican to win a Senate election in Wisconsin during a presidential election year since Bob Kasten in 1980. Kasten was ultimately unseated by Feingold in 1992.^[1] Johnson's victory was considered an upset as most polling had Feingold in the lead, coinciding with Donald Trump's own surprise victory in the state's presidential contest. Feingold managed to win six counties that voted for Donald Trump; Columbia, Crawford, Lafayette, Richland, Sauk and Vernon.^[2]

Background

In 2010, then-incumbent Democratic senator Russ Feingold ran for re-election to a fourth term in 2010 but was defeated by Republican nominee Ron Johnson.^[3]

In March 2013, Johnson announced that he had begun fundraising for his campaign. At that time, he had just $1,529 remaining in his campaign account after raising $16.1 million for the 2010 election, over half of which he self-funded.^[4] Johnson said in November 2014 that he would not self-finance another campaign, saying: "I made my $9 million investment in this country. I gave it once, I don't think I should do it again."^[5] On May 14, 2015, Feingold announced he would run to win back his former Senate seat.^[6] Ultimately, Feingold spent over $24 million on the campaign and ended up with more remaining cash than Johnson, who spent only $20 million.^[7]

After the Republicans took control of the Senate following the 2014 Senate elections, the election in Wisconsin was seen by many as a top target for the Democrats, who hoped to retake their majority in the traditionally blue state.^[8]^[9]^[10]^[11]^[12] Politico pointed to Johnson's "worrisome" favorability ratings as one of the main reasons for his vulnerability.^[11] A March 2014 Marquette University Law School poll found that just 29% of voters had a favorable opinion of him.^[13]

Republican primary

Шаблон:Update

Candidates

Declared

Ron Johnson, incumbent U.S. Senator^[14]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Russ Feingold, former U.S. Senator, and former U.S. Special Envoy for the African Great Lakes and the Congo-Kinshasa^[6]
Scott Harbach, perennial candidate

Declined

Mary Burke, businesswoman, member of the Madison school district board, former Wisconsin Secretary of Commerce and nominee for Governor of Wisconsin in 2014^[15]
Chris Larson, state senator^[16]
Ron Kind, U.S. Representative^[17]
Gwen Moore, U.S. Representative^[17]
Mark Pocan, U.S. Representative^[18]

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Phil Anderson, chair of the Dane County, Wisconsin Libertarian Party and nominee for the State Assembly in 2014^[19]

General election

Candidates

Ron Johnson (R), incumbent U.S. Senator
Russ Feingold (D), former U.S. Senator, and former U.S. Special Envoy for the African Great Lakes and the Congo-Kinshasa
Phil Anderson (L), chair of the Dane County, Wisconsin Libertarian Party and nominee for the State Assembly in 2014

Debates

Dates	Location	Johnson	Feingold	Link
October 14, 2016	Green Bay, Wisconsin	Participant	Participant	Full debate - C-SPAN
October 18, 2016	Milwaukee, Wisconsin	Participant	Participant	Full debate - C-SPAN

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[20]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[21]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report^[22]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2016
Daily Kos^[23]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics^[24]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 7, 2016

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ron Johnson (R)	Russ Feingold (D)	Phil Anderson (L)	Other / Neither	Undecided
SurveyMonkey	November 1–7, 2016	2,246	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 49%	48%	—	—	3%
SurveyMonkey	October 31–November 6, 2016	1,943	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 49%	48%	—	—	3%
SurveyMonkey	October 28–November 3, 2016	1,568	± 4.6%	48%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	—	—	3%
Clarity Campaign Labs	November 1–2, 2016	1,129	± 2.9%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	—	—	5%
SurveyMonkey	October 27–November 2, 2016	1,271	± 4.6%	48%	48%	—	—	4%
Public Policy Polling	October 31–November 1, 2016	891	± 3.3%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	—	—	7%
Loras College	October 31–November 1, 2016	500	± 4.4%	45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	2%	—	6%
SurveyMonkey	October 26–November 1, 2016	1,103	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 50%	48%	—	—	2%
Marquette University	October 26–31, 2016	1,190 LV	± 3.5%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	3%	2%	3%
Marquette University	October 26–31, 2016	1,401 RV	± 3.3%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 43%	5%	3%	5%
SurveyMonkey	October 25–31, 2016	1,195	± 4.6%	49%	49%	—	—	2%
Emerson College	October 27–28, 2016	400	± 4.9%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	—	4%	3%
Let America Work^	October 18–20, 2016	600	± 4.0%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 48%	2%	—	4%
Club for Growth^	October 18–20, 2016	400	± 4.2%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	—	—	13%
Public Policy Polling	October 18–19, 2016	804	± 3.5%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	—	—	12%
Monmouth University	October 15–18, 2016	403	± 4.9%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 52%	2%	—	2%
Wisconsin Public Radio/St. Norbert College	October 13–16, 2016	664	± 3.8%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 52%	0%	3%	5%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey Шаблон:Webarchive	October 8–16, 2016	1,076	± 0.5%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 51%	—	—	3%
Google Consumer Surveys	October 12–14, 2016	551	± 4.2%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 58%	—	—	3%
Marquette University	October 6–9, 2016	839 LV	± 3.9%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	4%	1%	4%
		839 LV	± 3.9%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 48%	—	1%	4%
		1,000 RV	± 3.7%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	6%	1%	6%
		1,000 RV	± 3.7%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	—	2%	5%
CBS News/YouGov	October 5–7, 2016	993	± 4.3%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	—	—	13%
Loras College	October 4–5, 2016	500	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 45%	40%	—	3%	9%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing	October 4, 2016	1,102	± 3.0%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 53%	—	—	6%
Emerson College	September 19–20, 2016	700	± 3.6%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 52%	—	3%	4%
Marquette University	September 15–18, 2016	642 LV	± 4.8%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	7%	—	10%
		642 LV	± 4.8%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	—	—	8%
		802 RV	± 4.4%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	8%	—	10%
		802 RV	± 4.4%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	—	—	11%
Monmouth University	August 27–30, 2016	404	± 4.9%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 54%	2%	—	3%
Public Policy Polling	August 26–27, 2016	1,054	± 3.0%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	—	—	9%
Marquette University	August 25–28, 2016	650 LV	± 5.0%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	6%	—	7%
		650 LV	± 5.0%	45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 48%	—	—	7%
		803 RV	± 4.5%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 42%	8%	—	12%
		803 RV	± 4.5%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	—	—	12%
Global Strategy Group	August 25, 2016	800	± 3.5%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 55%	—	—	8%
Let America Work^	August 21–22, 2016	600	± 4.0%	47%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	—	—	3%
Marquette University	August 4–7, 2016	683 LV	± 5.0%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	7%	—	4%
		683 LV	± 5.0%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 53%	—	—	6%
		805 RV	± 4.5%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	7%	—	8%
		805 RV	± 4.5%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	—	—	8%
Let America Work^	July 30–August 1, 2016	600	± 4.0%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	—	—	6%
Global Strategy Group	July 20, 2016	800	± 3.5%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 52%	—	—	7%
Marquette University	July 7–10, 2016	665 LV	± 4.5%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	7%	—	7%
		665 LV	± 4.5%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	—	—	7%
		801 RV	± 4.1%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	8%	—	9%
		801 RV	± 4.1%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 48%	—	—	11%
Public Policy Polling	June 22–23, 2016	843	± 3.4%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	—	—	13%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps Шаблон:Webarchive	June 11–20, 2016	300	± 5.7%	45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	—	—	9%
Marquette University	June 9–12, 2016	666 LV	± 4.9%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 51%	—	—	7%
Marquette University	June 9–12, 2016	800 RV	± 4.4%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	—	—	14%
Public Policy Polling	June 8–9, 2016	853	± 3.4%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 51%	—	—	8%
Wisconsin Public Radio/St. Norbert College	April 12–15, 2016	616	± 4.0%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 51%	—	—	6%
Emerson College	March 30–April 3, 2016	1,198	± 2.8%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 48%	—	8%	—
Public Policy Polling	March 28–29, 2016	1,397	± 2.6%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	—	—	15%
Loras College	March 28–29, 2016	1,000	± 3.1%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 48%	—	1%	12%
Marquette University	March 24–28, 2016	957 LV	± 4.1%	45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 48%	—	—	7%
Marquette University	March 24–28, 2016	1,405 RV	± 3.3%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	—	—	11%
Marquette University	February 18–21, 2016	802 RV	± 4.5%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	—	—	14%
Marquette University	January 21–24, 2016	806 RV	± 4.0%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	—	—	13%
Let America Work Шаблон:Efn^	November 16–18, 2015	900	± 3.3%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	—	—	11%
Marquette University	November 12–15, 2015	803 RV	± 4.2%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	—	—	13%
Democracy Corps Шаблон:Webarchive	October 24–28, 2015	400	± 4.9%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 51%	—	—	3%
Wisconsin Public Radio/St. Norbert College	October 14–17, 2015	603	± 4.0%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 51%	—	2%	7%
Marquette University	September 24–28, 2015	803 RV	± 4.1%	36%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	—	7%	7%
End Citizens United	September 10–14, 2015	775	± 3.6%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	—	—	14%
Marquette University	August 13–16, 2015	802 RV	± 3.5%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	—	—	12%
Marquette University	April 7–10, 2015	803 RV	± 3.5%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 54%	—	—	9%
Public Policy Polling	March 6–8, 2015	1,071	± 3.0%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 50%	—	—	9%
Public Policy Polling	April 17–20, 2014	1,144	± 2.9%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	—	—	12%
Public Policy Polling	September 13–16, 2013	1,180	± 2.9%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	—	—	9%
Public Policy Polling	February 21–24, 2013	807	± 2.3%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 52%	—	—	6%

^ Internal poll taken for Ron Johnson.

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with Mary Burke

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ron Johnson (R)	Mary Burke (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 6–8, 2015	1,071	± 3.0%	45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	9%

with Mark Pocan

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ron Johnson (R)	Mark Pocan (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 6–8, 2015	1,071	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 43%	36%	20%

with Gwen Moore

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ron Johnson (R)	Gwen Moore (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 6–8, 2015	1,071	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 45%	37%	—	18%

with Ron Kind

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ron Johnson (R)	Ron Kind (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 6–8, 2015	1,071	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 43%	37%	—	20%
Public Policy Polling	April 17–20, 2014	1,144	± 2.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 41%	39%	—	20%
Public Policy Polling	September 13–16, 2013	1,180	± 2.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 43%	40%	—	17%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Columbia (largest municipality: Portage)
Lafayette (largest municipality: Darlington)
Richland (largest municipality: Richland Center)

By congressional district

Johnson won 6 of 8 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.^[25]

District	Johnson	Feingold	Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	56%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Paul Ryan
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Шаблон:Ushr	30%	67%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Mark Pocan
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	49%	47%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Ron Kind
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Шаблон:Ushr	26%	71%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Gwen Moore
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	63%	35%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jim Sensenbrenner
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	58%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Glenn Grothman
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	57%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Sean Duffy
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	59%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Reid Ribble
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Gallagher	59%	38%

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Шаблон:2016 United States elections

[1] Шаблон:Cite web

[2] Шаблон:Cite web

[results_wisconsin-3] Шаблон:Cite news

[4] Шаблон:Cite web

[5] Шаблон:Cite web

[Bauer-6] 6,0 ^6,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[7] Шаблон:Cite web

[8] Шаблон:Cite news

[9] Шаблон:Cite news

[10] Шаблон:Cite journal

[coulddecide-11] 11,0 ^11,1 Шаблон:Cite news

[12] Шаблон:Cite news

[13] Шаблон:Cite news

[14] Шаблон:Cite web

[15] Шаблон:Cite web

[chrislarson-16] Шаблон:Cite web

[Levinson-17] 17,0 ^17,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[18] Шаблон:Cite web

[19] Шаблон:Cite web

[20] Шаблон:Cite web

[21] Шаблон:Cite web

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[23] Шаблон:Cite web

[24] Шаблон:Cite web

[25] Шаблон:Cite web

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Английская Википедия:2016 United States Senate election in Wisconsin

Содержание

Background

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

General election

Candidates

Debates

Endorsements

Predictions

Polling

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Notes

References

External links

Навигация

Действия на странице

Действия на странице

Персональные инструменты

Навигация

Поиск

Инструменты