Английская Википедия:2016 United States presidential election in New Jersey

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Main article Шаблон:Infobox election

Файл:United States presidential election in New Jersey, 2016.svg
Treemap of the popular vote by county

Шаблон:Elections in New Jersey sidebar The 2016 United States presidential election in New Jersey was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Jersey voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. New Jersey has 14 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[1]

Clinton won the state with 55.5% of the vote over Trump's 41.35%, or a 14-point margin. Despite her victory in the state, Clinton's vote share was slightly poorer than the vote shares President Barack Obama got from the state in 2008 and 2012. This was the first time since 1976 that New Jersey did not vote for the same candidate as neighboring Pennsylvania, and the first time since 1932 that New Jersey voted Democratic while Pennsylvania voted Republican. Donald Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Somerset County since Benjamin Harrison in 1888.

Primary elections

New Jersey's presidential primaries were on June 7, 2016, with the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian parties participating.[2] Registered members of each party could only vote in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated could choose any 1 primary in which to vote.

Democratic primary

Шаблон:Main Two candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:[3]

Шаблон:2016NJDem

Republican primary

3 candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[3]

Шаблон:2016NJRep

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Los Angeles Times[4] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 6, 2016
CNN[5] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[6] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[7] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[8] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[10] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 8, 2016
Fox News[11] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2016

Candidate ballot access

[12]

Results

Файл:2016 NJ presidential results by muni graduated.svg
Results of the general election by municipality, darker colors indicate higher win percentage:
-Blue municipalities won by Clinton
-Red municipalities won by Trump
-Purple municipality, Clinton and Trump tied (Teterboro only)

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box majority Шаблон:Election box turnout Шаблон:Election box end

Results by county

County Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Atlantic Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 60,924 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 51.61% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 52,690 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 44.64% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 4,427 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 3.75% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 8,234 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 6.97% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 118,041
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Bergen Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 231,211 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 54.76% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 175,529 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 41.57% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 15,473 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 3.67% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 55,682 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 13.19% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 422,213
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Burlington Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 121,725 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 55.01% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 89,272 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 40.34% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 10,286 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 4.65% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 32,453 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 14.67% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 221,283
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Camden Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 146,717 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 64.06% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 72,631 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 31.71% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 9,699 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 4.23% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 74,086 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 32.35% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 229,047
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Cape May Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 18,750 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 38.07% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 28,446 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 57.75% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 2,061 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 4.18% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| -9,696 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| -19.68% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 49,257
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Cumberland Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 27,771 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 51.11% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 24,453 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 45.01% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 2,107 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 3.88% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 3,318 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 6.10% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 54,331
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Essex Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 240,837 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 76.97% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 63,176 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 20.19% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 8,871 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 2.84% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 177,661 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 56.78% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 312,884
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Gloucester Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 66,870 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 47.34% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 67,544 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 47.82% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 6,840 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 4.84% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| -674 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| -0.48% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 141,254
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Hudson Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 163,917 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 74.32% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 49,043 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 22.24% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 7,582 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 3.44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 114,874 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 52.08% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 220,542
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Hunterdon Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 28,898 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 40.33% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 38,712 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 54.02% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 4,050 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 5.65% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| -9,814 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| -13.69% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 71,660
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Mercer Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 104,775 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 66.29% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 46,193 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 29.23% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 7,090 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 4.48% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 58,582 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 37.06% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 158,058
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Middlesex Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 193,044 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 58.76% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 122,953 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 37.42% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 12,560 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 3.82% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 70,091 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 21.34% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 328,557
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Monmouth Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 137,181 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 43.17% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 166,723 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 52.47% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 13,846 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 4.36% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| -29,542 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| -9.30% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 317,750
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Morris Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 115,249 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 45.46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 126,071 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 49.72% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 12,217 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 4.82% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| -10,822 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| -4.26% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 253,537
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Ocean Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 87,150 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 31.49% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 179,079 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 64.71% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 10,496 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 3.80% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| -91,929 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| -33.22% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 276,725
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Passaic Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 116,759 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 59.50% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 72,902 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 37.15% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 6,567 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 3.35% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 43,857 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 22.35% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 196,228
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Salem Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 11,904 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 39.88% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 16,381 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 54.87% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 1,568 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 5.25% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| -4,477 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| -14.99% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 29,853
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Somerset Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 85,689 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 54.55% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 65,505 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 41.70% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 5,898 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 3.75% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 20,184 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 12.85% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 157,092
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Sussex Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 24,212 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 32.21% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 46,658 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 62.08% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 4,288 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 5.71% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| -22,446 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| -29.87% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 75,158
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Union Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 147,414 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 65.94% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 68,114 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 30.47% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 8,042 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 3.59% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 79,300 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 35.47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 223,570
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Warren Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 17,281 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 34.78% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 29,858 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 60.10% Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 2,544 Шаблон:Party shading/Others| 5.12% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| -12,577 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| -25.32% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 49,683
Totals 2,148,278 54.99% 1,601,933 41.00% 156,512 4.01% 546,345 13.99% 3,906,723

Шаблон:Align

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[13]

By congressional district

Clinton won 7 of 12 congressional districts. Trump and Clinton each won a district held by the other party.[14]

District Clinton Trump Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 60.6% 36.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Donald Norcross
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 46.0% 50.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Frank LoBiondo
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 45.2% 51.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Tom MacArthur
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 41.0% 55.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Chris Smith
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 47.7% 48.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Scott Garrett
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Josh Gottheimer
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 56.2% 40.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Frank Pallone Jr.
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 48.6% 47.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Leonard Lance
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 75.7% 21.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Albio Sires
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 64.3% 33.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Bill Pascrell
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 85.2% 12.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Donald Payne Jr.
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 47.9% 48.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Rodney Frelinghuysen
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 65.0% 31.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Bonnie Watson Coleman

Analysis

Hillary Clinton's 55.5% of the vote was 2.9% less than Barack Obama's win in the state in 2012. Overall, the trend from 2012 to 2016 was that suburban areas of central and northern New Jersey voted more Democratic, while the shore and southern New Jersey voted more Republican. Clinton's most notable improvements over Obama in 2012 were seen in Union, Somerset, and Morris Counties. In Morris, Clinton came within 5% of winning the county, which had not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1964. Clinton's stronger performance in the suburban towns of north-central New Jersey, such as Summit, Westfield, and Bridgewater, helped her narrowly win the 7th congressional district.

On the other hand, southern New Jersey, especially Cumberland County and Salem County, voted significantly more Republican than they had in 2012. For example, even though Cumberland County voted Democratic in both 2012 and 2016, Clinton won it by just 6%, whereas Obama won it by nearly 24% in 2012. Additionally, the four shore counties of Monmouth, Ocean, Atlantic, and Cape May all voted more Republican than they had in 2012. While Mitt Romney had won these four counties collectively by around 6% in 2012, Trump won them by 17% in 2016.

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:2016 United States presidential election Шаблон:State results of the 2016 U.S. presidential election Шаблон:U.S. presidential primaries