Английская Википедия:2016 United States presidential election in South Carolina

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Main article Шаблон:Infobox election

Файл:United States presidential election in South Carolina, 2016.svg
Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. South Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

Out of 3.12 million registered voters, 2.10 million voted, a turnout of 67.86%.[1] Trump continued the Republican tradition in South Carolina, carrying the state with 54.9% of the vote. Clinton received 40.7% of the vote, underperforming Barack Obama's 2012 performance by about 4%.[2] Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Charleston County since Dwight Eisenhower in 1956. He also flipped McCormick County for the first time since 1972.

Primary elections

Шаблон:Further The former President of the United States, Barack Obama, a Democrat and former U.S. Senator from Illinois, was first elected president in the 2008 election, running with former Senator Joe Biden of Delaware. Defeating the Republican nominee, Senator John McCain of Arizona, with 52.9% of the popular vote and 68% of the electoral vote,[3][4] Obama succeeded two-term Republican President George W. Bush, the former Governor of Texas. Obama and Biden were reelected in the 2012 presidential election, defeating former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 51.1% of the popular vote and 61.7% of electoral votes.[5] Although Barack Obama's approval rating in the RealClearPolitics poll tracking average remained between 40 and 50% for most of his second term, it has experienced a surge in early 2016 and reached its highest point since 2012 during June of that year.[6][7] Analyst Nate Cohn has noted that a strong approval rating for President Obama would equate to a strong performance for the Democratic candidate, and vice versa.[8]

Following his second term, President Obama was not eligible for another reelection. In October 2015, Obama's running-mate and 2-term Vice President Biden decided not to enter the race for the Democratic presidential nomination either.[9] With their terms expiring on January 20, 2017, the electorate was asked to elect a new president, the 45th president and 48th vice president of the United States, respectively.

On February 20 and 27, 2016, in the presidential primaries, South Carolina voters expressed their preferences for the Republican and Democratic parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party could only vote in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated could choose any one primary in which to vote.

Democratic primary

Шаблон:Infobox electionШаблон:Main article The 59 delegates for the Democratic National Convention from South Carolina are allocated in this way. There are 53 pledged delegates and 6 unpledged delegates. For the pledged delegates, each district gets 5 delegates that are allocated proportionally. There are then 18 at-large delegates awarded proportionally.[10] Шаблон:2016SCDem

Republican primary

Шаблон:Infobox electionШаблон:Main article Delegates from South Carolina to the Republican National Convention are awarded in this way. 29 delegates are awarded to the candidate that wins the plurality of the vote in the South Carolina primary. The remaining 21 delegates are allocated by giving the winner of each of the seven congressional districts 3 delegates.[11] Шаблон:2016SCRep

Green state convention

On April 30, the Green Party of South Carolina held its state convention. The public was welcome, but only members and delegates were eligible to vote.[12]

On April 30, it was announced that William Kreml had won the primary.

South Carolina Green Party presidential convention, April 17, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
William Kreml - - 5
Jill Stein - - 3
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza Curry - - -
Darryl Cherney - - -
Kent Mesplay - - -
Total - 100.00% 8

General election

Voting History

Шаблон:Main article South Carolina has generally been reckoned to be a solidly red state ever since it voted for Barry Goldwater in 1964. From 1964 on, the Republican ticket has carried the Palmetto State in every election apart from 1976, when the state voted for Jimmy Carter, from neighboring Georgia. The state even spurned Southern Democrat Bill Clinton in both his elections, in each of which he carried several other Southern states. The state has not had a Democratic Senator since Ernest Hollings retired in 2005, and it has had a Republican majority in its Congressional delegation since the so-called "Republican Revolution" of 1994. Four years prior to the 2016 election, in 2012, Republican Mitt Romney defeated Barack Obama by 10.5%.

However, in 2016 some commentators suggested that South Carolina might become a battleground state due to polling suggesting Republican dissatisfaction with Trump, as well as the growing effects of in-migration from other states (as in formerly solidly red Virginia and North Carolina).[13] A poll released on August 10 by Public Policy Polling had Trump leading Clinton by a margin of only 2 points,[13] and an internal poll commissioned for the South Carolina Democratic Party had the race tied.[14] This led Larry Sabato's political prediction website Sabato's Crystal Ball to move the rating of the South Carolina contest from "Safe Republican" to "Likely Republican" on August 18.[15] In the end, however, Trump carried the state by a comfortable 14.3% margin.

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Los Angeles Times[16] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 6, 2016
CNN[17] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[18] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[19] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 8, 2016
NBC[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2016

^Highest rating given

Polling

Шаблон:See also Republican Donald Trump won every pre-election poll, but by varying margins. The last pre-election poll showed Donald Trump leading Clinton 47% to 36%. The average of all polls showed Trump leading 46.2% to 38%.[24]

Results

United States presidential election in South Carolina, 2016
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican Donald Trump Mike Pence 1,155,389 54.94% 9
Democratic Hillary Clinton Tim Kaine 855,373 40.67% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson Bill Weld 49,204 2.34% 0
Independence Evan McMullin Nathan Johnson 21,016 1.00% 0
Green Jill Stein Ajamu Baraka 13,034 0.62% 0
Constitution Darrell Castle Scott Bradley 5,765 0.27% 0
American (South Carolina)[25] Peter Skewes Michael Lacy 3,246 0.15% 0
Totals 2,103,027 100.00% 9

By congressional district

Trump won 6 of 7 congressional districts.

District Trump Clinton Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 53% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Mark Sanford
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 57% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Joe Wilson
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 67% 29% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jeff Duncan
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 60% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Trey Gowdy
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 57% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Mick Mulvaney
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 30% 67% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Jim Clyburn
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 58% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Tom Rice

By county

County Hillary R. Clinton Donald J. Trump Others Margin Total
# % # % # % # % #
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Abbeville 3,741 34.72% 6,763 62.77% 271 2.52% 3,022 28.05% 10,775
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Aiken 25,455 34.01% 46,025 61.49% 3,371 4.50% 20,570 27.48% 74,851
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Allendale 2,735 76.14% 789 21.97% 68 1.89% -1,946 -54.17% 3,592
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Anderson 21,097 26.21% 56,232 69.87% 3,154 3.92% 35,135 43.66% 80,483
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Bamberg 3,898 62.73% 2,204 35.47% 112 1.80% -1,694 -27.76% 6,214
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Barnwell 4,400 46.39% 4,889 51.54% 196 2.07% 489 5.15% 9,485
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Beaufort 32,138 40.93% 42,922 54.66% 3,464 4.41% 10,784 13.73% 78,524
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Berkeley 30,705 38.61% 44,587 56.07% 4,225 5.31% 13,882 17.46% 79,517
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Calhoun 3,573 47.33% 3,787 50.17% 189 2.50% 214 2.84% 7,549
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Charleston 89,299 50.64% 75,443 42.78% 11,603 6.58% -13,856 -7.86% 176,345
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Cherokee 6,092 28.00% 15,167 69.70% 500 2.30% 9,075 41.70% 21,759
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Chester 6,579 46.36% 7,265 51.19% 348 2.45% 686 4.83% 14,192
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Chesterfield 6,858 41.36% 9,312 56.16% 411 2.48% 2,454 14.80% 16,581
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Clarendon 7,732 50.22% 7,386 47.98% 277 1.80% -346 -2.24% 15,395
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Colleton 7,627 44.21% 9,091 52.70% 533 3.09% 1,464 8.49% 17,251
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Darlington 13,888 46.80% 14,989 50.51% 797 2.69% 1,101 3.71% 29,674
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Dillon 5,834 49.87% 5,637 48.19% 227 1.94% -197 -1.68% 11,698
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Dorchester 24,055 38.45% 34,987 55.92% 3,525 5.63% 10,932 20.31% 62,567
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Edgefield 4,491 38.57% 6,842 58.76% 311 2.67% 2,351 20.19% 11,644
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Fairfield 6,945 61.64% 4,027 35.74% 295 2.62% -2,918 -25.90% 11,267
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Florence 26,710 46.11% 29,573 51.05% 1,648 2.84% 2,863 4.94% 57,931
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Georgetown 13,310 42.04% 17,389 54.93% 958 3.03% 4,079 12.89% 31,657
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Greenville 74,483 34.62% 127,832 59.41% 12,850 5.97% 53,349 24.79% 215,165
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Greenwood 10,711 37.24% 16,961 58.97% 1,091 3.79% 6,250 22.63% 28,763
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Hampton 5,170 58.71% 3,488 39.61% 148 1.68% -1,682 -19.10% 8,806
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Horry 39,410 29.65% 89,288 67.17% 4,222 3.18% 49,878 37.52% 132,920
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Jasper 5,956 52.12% 5,187 45.39% 284 2.49% -769 -6.73% 11,427
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Kershaw 10,330 35.63% 17,542 60.50% 1,123 3.87% 7,212 24.87% 28,995
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Lancaster 13,812 35.47% 23,719 60.91% 1,407 3.61% 9,907 25.44% 38,938
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Laurens 8,889 33.46% 16,816 63.30% 861 3.24% 7,927 29.84% 26,566
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Lee 5,199 63.74% 2,803 34.37% 154 1.89% -2,396 -29.37% 8,156
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Lexington 35,230 28.86% 80,026 65.55% 6,837 5.60% 44,796 36.69% 122,093
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Marion 8,569 60.02% 5,444 38.14% 263 1.84% -3,125 -21.88% 14,276
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Marlboro 5,954 57.31% 4,267 41.07% 168 1.62% -1,687 -16.24% 10,389
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |McCormick 2,479 47.53% 2,652 50.84% 85 1.63% 173 3.31% 5,216
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Newberry 6,217 36.99% 10,017 59.60% 573 3.41% 3,800 22.61% 16,807
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Oconee 7,998 23.78% 24,178 71.88% 1,459 4.34% 16,180 48.10% 33,635
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Orangeburg 26,318 67.64% 11,931 30.66% 661 1.70% -14,387 -36.98% 38,910
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Pickens 10,354 21.11% 36,236 73.88% 2,459 5.01% 25,882 52.77% 49,049
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Richland 108,000 64.01% 52,469 31.10% 8,253 4.89% -55,531 -32.91% 168,722
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Saluda 2,813 32.85% 5,526 64.53% 225 2.63% 2,713 31.68% 8,564
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Spartanburg 39,997 33.03% 76,277 62.99% 4,816 3.98% 36,280 29.96% 121,090
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Sumter 24,047 54.55% 18,745 42.52% 1,294 2.94% -5,302 -12.03% 44,086
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Union 4,729 39.11% 7,061 58.39% 302 2.50% 2,332 19.28% 12,092
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Williamsburg 9,953 66.12% 4,864 32.31% 237 1.57% -5,089 -33.81% 15,054
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |York 41,593 36.37% 66,754 58.37% 6,010 5.26% 25,161 22.00% 114,357
Total 855,373 40.67% 1,155,389 54.94% 92,265 4.39% 300,016 14.27% 2,103,027
Файл:South Carolina County Flips 2016.svg
County Flips: Шаблон:Col-begin Шаблон:Col-2 Democratic Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Col-2 Republican Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Col-end

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Electors

Шаблон:Main

Technically the voters of South Carolina cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. South Carolina is allocated 9 electors because it has 7 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 9 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 9 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 19, 2016, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 9 were pledged for Trump/Pence.

  • Glenn McCall
  • Matt Moore
  • Terry Hardesty
  • Jim Ulmer
  • Brenda Bedenbaugh
  • Bill Conley
  • Shery Smith
  • Moye Graham
  • Jerry Rovner[26]

References

Шаблон:ElectionsSC Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:South Carolina elections Шаблон:2016 United States elections Шаблон:State results of the 2016 U.S. presidential election Шаблон:United States presidential election, 2016 Шаблон:U.S. presidential primaries