Английская Википедия:2016 West Virginia gubernatorial election

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsWV The 2016 West Virginia gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor of West Virginia, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on May 10.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Earl Ray Tomblin was barred from running for a second full term. He had ascended to the governorship upon Joe Manchin's resignation in 2010, won a 2011 special election to complete the term, and won a full term in 2012. Under the West Virginia Constitution, a partial term counts toward the limit of two consecutive terms.

The Democratic candidate, Jim Justice, a coal and agriculture businessman, won the open seat with a plurality of the vote, despite Republican Donald Trump simultaneously winning West Virginia in a landslide during the presidential election. Justice defeated Republican state senator Bill Cole and former state senator Charlotte Pritt, who ran as a member of the Mountain Party. As of 2023, this is the last time a Democrat was elected Governor of West Virginia; Justice was re-elected as a Republican in 2020; his party switch gave Republicans a trifecta in the state for the first time since 1931.^[1]

Background

In November 2010, Democratic Governor Joe Manchin resigned after being elected to the U.S. Senate. Earl Ray Tomblin, the president of the West Virginia Senate (with the honorary title of lieutenant governor), became acting governor, won an October 2011 special election to complete the term, and won a full term in the regularly scheduled 2012 election. Tomblin was ineligible to run for re-election in 2016 as the Constitution of West Virginia limits governors to two consecutive terms regardless of whether they are full or partial terms. However, governors are re-eligible after four years out of office.^[2]^[3]

After publicly speculating he would run for his former office, Manchin was considered a heavy favorite in the 2016 race, but he announced on April 19, 2015 that he would remain in the Senate instead.^[4]

Democratic primary

Файл:West Virginia Democratic gubernatorial primary results by county, 2016.svg

Results by county. Blue indicates a win by Justice, green a win by Goodwin, and yellow a win by Kessler. Darker shades indicate higher percentages of the vote.

Candidates

Declared

Booth Goodwin, former United States Attorney for the Southern District of West Virginia^[5]
Jim Justice, businessman^[6]
Jeff Kessler, Minority Leader of the West Virginia Senate, former President of the West Virginia Senate and candidate for governor in 2011^[7]

Declined

Glen Gainer III, West Virginia State Auditor and nominee for West Virginia's 1st congressional district in 2014^[8]^[9]
Carte Goodwin, former U.S. Senator^[10]
Mike Green, former state senator^[10]
Walt Helmick, West Virginia Commissioner of Agriculture^[8]
Joe Manchin, U.S. Senator and former Governor^[11]^[12]^[13]^[14]
John Perdue, West Virginia State Treasurer and candidate for governor in 2011^[15]^[16]
Doug Reynolds, State Delegate^[10]
Doug Skaff, former State Delegate^[10]
Natalie Tennant, West Virginia Secretary of State, candidate for governor in 2011 and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014 (running for re-election)^[2]^[17]
Rick Thompson, West Virginia Secretary of Veterans Assistance, former Speaker of the West Virginia House of Delegates and candidate for governor in 2011^[2]

Polling

Poll source

Date(s)
administered

Sample
size

Шаблон:Nowrap
error

Jim
Justice

Booth
Goodwin

Jeff
Kessler

Undecided

MetroNews

April 22–May 2, 2016

315

± 4.0%

Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 32%

27%

23%

18%

Public Policy Polling

April 29–May 1, 2016

637

± 3.9%

Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 37%

23%

19%

21%

West Virginia Veterans

March 2–6, 2016

600

± 3.9%

Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 36%

20%

16%

28%

MetroNews

February 11–16, 2016

208

± 4.9%

Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 32%

25%

23%

21%

Global Strategy Group^

December 1–3, 2015

350

± 5.2%

Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39%

13%

19%

21%

Шаблон:Election box end

^ Indicates a poll taken for Jim Justice campaign.

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Bill Cole, President of the West Virginia Senate^[8]^[18]

Did not file

Andrew Utterback, college student and candidate for Mayor of Pineville in 2014^[19]
Edwin Vanover, former Bramwell Police Chief and Democratic candidate for House of Delegates in 2012^[19]

Declined

Evan Jenkins, U.S. Representative^[10]^[20]
David McKinley, U.S. Representative and candidate for governor in 1996 (running for re-election)^[21]
Patrick Morrisey, Attorney General of West Virginia (running for re-election)^[22]^[23]^[24]
Mary Lou Retton, Olympic gymnast^[10]
Erikka Storch, State Delegate^[10]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Bill Cole	David McKinley	Patrick Morrisey	Undecided
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	April 9–11, 2015	242	± 6.3%	15%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 31%	25%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 29%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Mountain Party

Candidates

Declared

Charlotte Pritt, former Democratic State Delegate, former Democratic State Senator, write-in candidate for governor in 1992 and Democratic nominee for governor in 1996^[25]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Declared

David Moran, retired engineer and farmer^[26]

General election

Debates

Complete video of debate, October 11, 2016 - C-SPAN

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[27]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 12, 2016
Daily Kos^[28]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report^[29]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[30]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics^[31]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2016
Governing^[32]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 27, 2016

Polling

Шаблон:External links

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jim Justice (D)	Bill Cole (R)	Charlotte Pritt (M)	David Moran (L)	Phil Hudok (C)	Undecided
SurveyMonkey	November 1–7, 2016	472	± 4.6%	36%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 45%	13%	—	—	6%
SurveyMonkey	October 31–November 6, 2016	443	± 4.6%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 43%	13%	—	—	7%
SurveyMonkey	October 28–November 3, 2016	386	± 4.6%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	12%	—	—	6%
SurveyMonkey	October 27–November 2, 2016	330	± 4.6%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 44%	10%	—	—	7%
SurveyMonkey	October 26–November 1, 2016	318	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 42%	41%	12%	—	—	5%
SurveyMonkey	October 25–31, 2016	321	± 4.6%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 43%	13%	—	—	2%
MetroNews	October 12–17, 2016	408	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	33%	8%	5%	—	9%
Global Strategy Group	October 11–13, 2016	N/A	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	34%	8%	2%	—	12%
NMB Research	October 8–10, 2016	N/A	± 4.4%	39%	39%	5%	2%	1%	12%
Garin-Hart-Yang	September 13–17, 2016	500	± 5.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	33%	7%	4%	—	10%
Just Win Strategies→	September 8–10, 2016	600	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	42%	3%	2%	2%	7%
R.L. Repass & Partners/MetroNews	August 9–28, 2016	435	± 4.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	32%	8%	5%	—	9%
Global Strategy Group	August 1–3, 2016	419	± 4.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	37%	—	—	—	15%
Public Policy Polling	April 29–May 1, 2016	1,201	± 2.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 41%	35%	—	—	—	24%
MetroNews	April 22–May 2, 2016	596	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 52%	34%	—	—	—	14%
Orion Strategies	February 20–21, 2016	306	± 5.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 37%	33%	—	—	—	30%
MetroNews	February 11–16, 2016	411	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	39%	—	—	—	12%
Orion Strategies	August 24–25, 2015	406	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 34%	31%	—	—	—	35%

→ Indicates an internal poll conducted by the West Virginia Republican Party for Bill Cole.

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with Booth Goodwin

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Booth Goodwin (D)	David McKinley (R)	Undecided
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	April 9–11, 2015	702	± 3.7%	35%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 40%	25%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Booth Goodwin (D)	Patrick Morrisey (R)	Undecided
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	April 9–11, 2015	702	± 3.7%	36%	36%	28%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Booth Goodwin (D)	Bill Cole (R)	Other	Undecided
MetroNews	April 22–May 2, 2016	596	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	39%	—	14%
Public Policy Polling	April 29–May 1, 2016	1,201	± 2.8%	33%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 39%	—	28%
Orion Strategies	February 20–21, 2016	306	± 5.6%	33%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 36%	—	31%
MetroNews	February 11–16, 2016	411	± 4.9%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 44%	—	14%
Harper Polling	April 9–11, 2015	702	± 3.7%	35%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 37%	—	27%

with Jeff Kessler

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jeff Kessler (D)	David McKinley (R)	Undecided
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	April 9–11, 2015	702	± 3.7%	32%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	26%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jeff Kessler (D)	Patrick Morrisey (R)	Undecided
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	April 9–11, 2015	702	± 3.7%	35%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 38%	27%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jeff Kessler (D)	Bill Cole (R)	Other	Undecided
MetroNews	April 22–May 2, 2016	596	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 45%	39%	—	16%
Public Policy Polling	April 29–May 1, 2016	1,201	± 2.8%	30%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 40%	—	30%
Orion Strategies	February 20–21, 2016	306	± 5.6%	30%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 40%	—	30%
MetroNews	February 11–16, 2016	411	± 4.9%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 45%	—	15%
Orion Strategies	August 24–25, 2015	406	± 4.9%	26%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 37%	—	37%
Harper Polling	April 9–11, 2015	702	± 3.7%	34%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 38%	—	28%

with Joe Manchin

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Manchin (D)	Bill Cole (R)	Undecided
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	April 9–11, 2015	702	± 3.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 54%	32%	14%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Manchin (D)	David McKinley (R)	Undecided
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	April 9–11, 2015	702	± 3.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 52%	35%	12%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Manchin (D)	Patrick Morrisey (R)	Undecided
Harper Polling Шаблон:Webarchive	April 9–11, 2015	702	± 3.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 58%	29%	13%
Global Strategy Group*	March 15–18, 2015	600	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 60%	30%	10%

* Internal poll for Joe Manchin

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Hancock (Largest city: Weirton)
Hardy (Largest city: Moorefield)
Jefferson (Largest city: Charles Town)
Pendleton (Largest city: Franklin)
Tucker (Largest city: Parsons)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Monongalia (Largest city: Morgantown)
Monroe (Largest city: Peterstown)
Putnam (largest municipality: Hurricane)
Raleigh (Largest city: Beckley)
Jackson (Largest city: Ravenswood)

Maps

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Шаблон:West Virginia gubernatorial elections Шаблон:2016 United States elections Шаблон:US Third Party Election

[1] Шаблон:Cite web

[WVDemCandidates-2] 2,0 ^2,1 ^2,2 Шаблон:Cite news

[3] Шаблон:Cite news

[4] Шаблон:Cite news

[5] Шаблон:Cite web

[6] Шаблон:Cite web

[cdm_kessler-7] Шаблон:Cite web

[sitdown-8] 8,0 ^8,1 ^8,2 Шаблон:Cite web

[9] Шаблон:Cite web

[FTWV-10] 10,0 ^10,1 ^10,2 ^10,3 ^10,4 ^10,5 ^10,6 Шаблон:Cite news

[11] Шаблон:Cite news

[12] Шаблон:Cite news

[13] Шаблон:Cite news

[14] Шаблон:Cite news

[15] Шаблон:Cite news

[16] Шаблон:Cite news

[17] Шаблон:Cite web

[18] Шаблон:Cite web

[justicevying-19] 19,0 ^19,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[20] Шаблон:Cite web

[21] Шаблон:Cite web

[22] Шаблон:Cite web

[23] Шаблон:Cite web

[24] Шаблон:Cite web

[25] Шаблон:Cite web

[26] Шаблон:Cite web

[27] Шаблон:Cite web

[28] Шаблон:Cite web Шаблон:Dead link

[29] Шаблон:Cite web

[30] Шаблон:Cite web

[31] Шаблон:Cite web

[32] Шаблон:Cite web

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Английская Википедия:2016 West Virginia gubernatorial election

Background

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Did not file

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Mountain Party

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Declared

General election

Debates

Predictions

Polling

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Maps

References

External links

Навигация

Поиск