Английская Википедия:2017 Lower Saxony state election
Шаблон:Infobox election The 2017 Lower Saxony state election was held on 15 October 2017 to elect the 18th Landtag of Lower Saxony. The incumbent coalition government of the Social Democratic Party (SPD) and The Greens led by Minister-President Stephan Weil was defeated. Though the SPD became the largest party in the Landtag largely fueled by the personal popularity of Weil, their gains were offset by losses for the Greens, depriving the government of its majority. The SPD subsequently formed a grand coalition with the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), and Weil continued as Minister-President.
This was the last election, state or federal, in which the SPD gained seats or increased their share of the popular vote until the 2021 German federal election and 2021 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election which both took place on the same day in September 2021.
Background
Following the 2013 state election, a red-green coalition between the SPD and Greens was formed, holding a one-seat majority in the Landtag. After Green parliamentarian Elke Twesten controversially defected to the CDU on 4 August 2017, the coalition lost its majority,[1] which prompted Minister-President Stephan Weil to schedule an early election for 15 October.[2] The Landtag was officially dissolved on 21 August after 135 of 137 parliamentarians voted in favor, with 91 votes required for its dissolution.[3]
Electoral system
The Landtag of Lower Saxony is elected using mixed-member proportional representation. Its minimum size is 135 seats. Of these, 87 are elected in single-member constituencies, and the remainder are determined by party lists. Voters have two votes: the "first vote" for candidates within each individual constituency, and the "second vote" for party lists. There is an electoral threshold of 5% of second vote to qualify for seats. Seats are allocated using the d'Hondt method, with additional overhang and leveling seats provided to ensure proportionality. The normal term of the Landtag is 5 years.[4]
Parties
The table below lists parties represented in the 17th Landtag of Lower Saxony.
| Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | 2013 result | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | |||||
| bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | CDU | Christian Democratic Union of Germany Шаблон:Small |
Christian democracy | Bernd Althusmann | 36.0% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
| bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | SPD | Social Democratic Party of Germany Шаблон:Small |
Social democracy | Stephan Weil | 32.6% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
| bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | Grüne | Alliance 90/The Greens Шаблон:Small |
Green politics | Anja Piel | 13.7% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
| bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | FDP | Free Democratic Party Шаблон:Small |
Classical liberalism | Stefan Birkner | 9.9% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
Opinion polling
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
CDU | SPD | Grüne | FDP | Linke | AfD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | |||||
| 2017 state election | 15 Oct 2017 | – | 33.6 | 36.9 | 8.7 | 7.5 | 4.6 | 6.2 | 2.4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-3.3"| 3.3 |
| Civey | 25 Sep–13 Oct 2017 | 5,073 | 31.8 | 34.6 | 8.5 | 8.9 | 5.7 | 7.8 | 2.7 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-2.8"| 2.8 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 10–11 Oct 2017 | 1,001 | 33 | 34.5 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 2.5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-1.5"| 1.5 |
| INSA | 4–6 Oct 2017 | 1,005 | 32 | 33 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-1"| 1 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 2–5 Oct 2017 | 1,083 | 33 | 33 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 3 | Tie |
| Infratest dimap | 2–4 Oct 2017 | 1,002 | 34 | 34 | 8.5 | 8 | 4.5 | 8 | 3 | Tie |
| Civey | 24 Sep–1 Oct 2017 | 4,570 | 33.1 | 32.8 | 9.9 | 8.0 | 5.4 | 8.1 | 2.7 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 0.3 |
| Infratest dimap | 26–27 Sep 2017 | 1,004 | 35 | 34 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 1 |
| 2017 federal election | 24 Sep 2017 | – | 34.9 | 27.4 | 8.7 | 9.3 | 6.9 | 9.1 | 3.6 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7.5 |
| Infratest dimap | 30 Aug–5 Sep 2017 | 1,001 | 37 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5 |
| dimap | 18–26 Aug 2017 | 1,003 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 2 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8 |
| INSA | 9 Aug 2017 | 1,000 | 40 | 28 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 2 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12 |
| Infratest dimap | 8–9 Aug 2017 | 1,003 | 40 | 32 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8 |
| INSA | 18–23 May 2017 | 1,000 | 41 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14 |
| Forsa | 18–28 Apr 2017 | 1,001 | 35 | 36 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-1"| 1 |
| Infratest dimap | 13–18 Jan 2017 | 1,002 | 35 | 31 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 2 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4 |
| Forsa | 22 Dec 2016–9 Jan 2017 | 1,000 | 34 | 32 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 2 |
| INSA | 6–14 Oct 2016 | 1,000 | 33 | 31 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 2 |
| Forsa | 23 Oct–20 Nov 2015 | 1,002 | 35 | 33 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 2 |
| INSA | 21 Aug–2 Sep 2015 | 1,000 | 37 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 26 Jun–1 Jul 2015 | 1,000 | 40 | 31 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9 |
| GMS | 8–13 Jan 2015 | 1,012 | 41 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11 |
| 2014 European election | 25 May 2014 | – | 39.4 | 32.5 | 10.9 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 5.4 | 5.3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 6.9 |
| Infratest dimap | 14–16 Jan 2014 | 1,000 | 40 | 32 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8 |
| 2013 federal election | 22 Sep 2013 | – | 41.1 | 33.1 | 8.8 | 4.2 | 5.0 | 3.7 | 4.1 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8.0 |
| 2013 state election | 20 Jan 2013 | – | 36.0 | 32.6 | 13.7 | 9.9 | 3.1 | – | 4.6 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 3.4 |
Results
| Party | Constituency | Party list | Total seats |
+/– | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Seats | Votes | % | Seats | |||||
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | Social Democratic Party (SPD) | 1 508 830 | 39.6% | 55 | 1 413 990 | 36.9% | 0 | 55 | +6 | |
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | Christian Democratic Union (CDU) | 1 420 083 | 37.3% | 32 | 1 287 191 | 33.6% | 18 | 50 | –4 | |
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne) | 283 327 | 7.4% | 0 | 334 130 | 8.7% | 12 | 12 | –8 | |
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | Free Democratic Party (FDP) | 226 554 | 5.9% | 0 | 287 957 | 7.5% | 11 | 11 | –3 | |
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | Alternative for Germany (AfD) | 174 521 | 4.6% | 0 | 235 863 | 6.2% | 9 | 9 | +9 | |
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | The Left (Linke) | 170 660 | 4.5% | 0 | 177 118 | 4.6% | 0 | 0 | – | |
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | Animal Protection Party (Tierschutz) | – | – | 0 | 27 108 | 0.7% | 0 | 0 | – | |
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | Die PARTEI (PARTEI) | 9097 | 0.2% | 0 | 22 578 | 0.6% | 0 | 0 | – | |
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | Free Voters (FW) | 11 348 | 0.3% | 0 | 14 869 | 0.4% | 0 | 0 | – | |
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | Pirate Party (Piraten) | 2350 | 0.1% | 0 | 8449 | 0.2% | 0 | 0 | – | |
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | Basic Income Alliance (BFE) | – | – | 0 | 5125 | 0.1% | 0 | 0 | – | |
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | German Centre (DM) | – | – | 0 | 4482 | 0.1% | 0 | 0 | – | |
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | V-Partei³ | – | – | 0 | 4151 | 0.1% | 0 | 0 | – | |
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | Ecological Democratic Party (ÖDP) | 735 | 0.0% | 0 | 4042 | 0.1% | 0 | 0 | – | |
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | Liberal Conservative Reformers (LKR) | 488 | 0.0% | 0 | 950 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | – | |
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | The Grays (DG) | 260 | 0.0% | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | – | |
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | Independents | 2447 | 0.1% | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | – | |
| Total | 3 811 125 | 100.0% | 87 | 3 828 003 | 100.0% | 50 | 137 | – | ||
| Valid votes | 3 811 125 | 99.0% | 3 828 003 | 99.5% | ||||||
| Invalid votes | 37 892 | 1.0% | 21 014 | 0.5% | ||||||
| Turnout | 3 849 017 | 63.1% | ||||||||
| Eligible voters | 6 098 379 | |||||||||
| Source: Niedersächsische Landeswahlleiterin | ||||||||||
Government formation
Neither the incumbent red-green coalition between the SPD and Greens nor the black-yellow opposition of the CDU and FDP secured a majority of seats in the election. Because the FDP ruled out the possibility of a traffic light coalition (between the SPD, FDP, and Greens) and the Greens ruled out a Jamaica coalition (between the CDU, Greens, and FDP),[5] the SPD and CDU subsequently agreed to start negotiations to form a grand coalition.[6]
On 16 November, the SPD and CDU agreed to form a government.[7]
See also
References
External links
Шаблон:Lower Saxony state election Шаблон:2017 elections in Germany
