Английская Википедия:2017 New Jersey gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsNJ The 2017 New Jersey gubernatorial election was held on November 7, 2017, to elect a new governor of New Jersey. Incumbent Republican Governor Chris Christie was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term.[1]

Primary elections took place on June 6, 2017. Kim Guadagno, the incumbent lieutenant governor of New Jersey, won the Republican primary for governor and chose Woodcliff Lake Mayor Carlos Rendo as her running mate. Phil Murphy, a banker and former U.S. Ambassador to Germany, won the Democratic primary, and chose former State Assembly Speaker Sheila Oliver as his running mate. Seth Kaper-Dale ran as the Green Party candidate with Lisa Durden, while Pete Rohrman ran as the Libertarian Party candidate with Karrese Laguerre. Matt Riccardi ran as the Constitution Party candidate. There were two other independent candidates on the ballot.

Murphy led throughout the general election, with many analysts expecting a Democratic pickup. When polls closed on Election Day, Murphy was immediately declared the winner, based on exit polling alone. Murphy received 56.0% of the vote to Guadagno's 41.9%.[2] Murphy slightly outperformed Hillary Clinton's 2016 presidential run in the state. With the election of Sheila Oliver as lieutenant governor, she became the first woman of color elected to statewide office in New Jersey. 38.5% of registered voters cast ballots, marking the lowest turnout on record for any gubernatorial election in New Jersey.[3]

2017 was the first New Jersey gubernatorial election since 1989 in which the Democratic candidate won Somerset County, as well as the first since 2005 in which the Democratic candidate won Burlington County, Middlesex County, Atlantic County, or Gloucester County; the latter two counties have not voted Democratic for governor since. Murphy became the first New Jersey governor since Brendan Byrne in 1973 to win without any prior elected experience, and the first since Charles Edison in 1940 to win without having held any prior public office in the state. This is the first gubernatorial election since 1937 in which the Democratic nominee won without winning Salem County, and the first since 1981 that it voted for the losing candidate.

Background

Primary elections took place on June 6, 2017.[4] New Jersey utilizes a semi-closed primary system, meaning that only registered party members may vote in primary elections. However, unaffiliated voters can change their party registration and vote in either party primary on election day.[5][6]

The deadline to file petitions to qualify for primary elections was April 3; eleven contenders submitted petitions satisfying the requirement of 1,000 signatures.[7] On April 18, as is required by the New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission, the candidates' financial disclosures, showing sources of earned income (e.g. salaries) and unearned income (e.g. investments), were made public.[8]

Gubernatorial primary candidates utilized what is known as the "matching funds" program. Those who raised at least $430,000 qualified to receive two dollars in public money for every dollar raised privately. State law mandates that any primary candidates who qualify for matching funds must participate in at least two primary debates. Candidates who choose not to seek matching funds but commit to raising and spending at least $430,000 can also participate.[9][10] As of May 8, primary candidates had received donations from ten states other than New Jersey.[11]

The first debates were held on May 9, hosted by Stockton University. The Republicans debated first followed by the Democrats. The debates were live-streamed on Facebook, the university's website via Livestream, and on News 12 New Jersey. The live stream was simulcast in Spanish.[12] The second Democratic debate was held on May 11, the second Republican debate on May 18.[13] They were co-hosted by PBS Member network NJTV and NJ Spotlight.[14]

The Republican debates included two of the five candidates: Jack Ciattarelli and Kim Guadagno, who both qualified for matching funds.[9][15] Hirsh Singh filed a lawsuit to enter the debates, claiming to have raised over $900,000 despite missing a deadline to file; his challenge was rejected by the state courts.[16][17]

The Democratic debates included four of the six candidates: Jim Johnson, John Wisniewski (who both qualified for matching funds), Phil Murphy (who opted out of matching funds but had spent enough to qualify), and Raymond Lesniak (who did not raise enough to qualify for matching funds but loaned his campaign enough money to qualify for the debates).[9][15]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Fundraising

Primary campaign finance activity through June 23, 2017
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jack Ciattarelli $1,768,417 $1,731,962 $36,337
Kim Guadagno $3,540,927 $3,451,743 $89,184
Steven Rogers $27,522 $27,522 $0
Joseph Rudy Rullo $13,573 $9,809 $64
Hirsh Singh $1,021,387 $1,016,191 $5,196
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission[34]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jack
Ciattarelli
Kim
Guadagno
Steven
Rogers
Joseph
Rudy Rullo
Hirsh
Singh
Other Undecided
Stockton University May 16–23, 2017 389 ± 4.9% 18% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 37% 4% 3% 3% 2% 31%
Stockton University April 26 – May 1, 2017 359 19% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 29% 4% 4% 2% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 41%
Quinnipiac University April 26 – May 1, 2017 331 ± 5.4% 12% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 23% 5% 3% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 51%
Fairleigh Dickinson University March 22–26, 2017 216 ± 6.7% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 24% 1% 1% 0% 14%[n 1] Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 54%
Quinnipiac University March 9–13, 2017 315 ± 5.5% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 28% 2% 1% 19%[n 2] Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 42%
Fairleigh Dickinson University January 25–29, 2017 275 ± 5.9% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 18% 2% 0% 25%[n 3] Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 52%

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jon
Bramnick
Kim
Guadagno
Other Undecided
FDU September 1–7, 2014 721 ± 3.7% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 12% 11% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 74%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Файл:New Jersey Republican gubernatorial primary results by county, 2017.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

  • Paul Binetti, LGBT activist and nightclub manager (did not submit petitions)[41][42][43]
  • Monica Brinson, pharmaceutical sales representative (did not submit petitions)[44][45][46]
  • Bob Hoatson, sexual abuse victims advocate and former Catholic priest[47][48][49]
  • Lisa McCormick, weekly newspaper publisher (did not submit petitions)[44][50][46]
  • Titus Pierce, businessman and Iraq War veteran (did not submit petitions)[44][51][46]

Declined

Fundraising

Primary campaign finance activity through June 23, 2017
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Bill Brennan $20,847 $20,847 $0
Jim Johnson $3,256,514 $3,198,226 $58,288
Raymond Lesniak $791,368 $718,619 $64,990
Phil Murphy $21,995,248 $21,735,597 $262,951
John Wisniewski $2,142,139 $2,081,439 $60,795
Mark Zinna $33,498 $32,622 $877
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission[34]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Brennan
Jim
Johnson
Raymond
Lesniak
Phil
Murphy
John
Wisniewski
Mark
Zinna
Other Undecided
Stockton University May 16–23, 2017 403 ± 4.9% 3% 10% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align="center" | 34% 9% 1% 1% 33%
Stockton University April 26 – May 1, 2017 385 2% 6% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align="center" | 37% 8% 0% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align="center" | 41%
Quinnipiac University April 26 – May 1, 2017 519 ± 4.3% 3% 7% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align="center" | 26% 5% 1% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align="center" | 52%
The Mellman Group April 26–30, 2017 600 ± 4.0% 0% 4% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align="center" | 37% 7% 0% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align="center" | 49%
Fairleigh Dickinson University March 22–26, 2017 386 ± 5% 2% 4% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align="center" | 23% 4% 0% 10%[n 4] Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align="center" | 53%
Quinnipiac University March 9–13, 2017 450 ± 4.6% 2% 4% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align="center" | 23% 6% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align="center" | 57%
Fairleigh Dickinson University January 25–29, 2017 410 ± 4.8% 2% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align="center" | 17% 6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align="center" | 17% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align="center" | 50%
Lake Research Partners (D-Johnson) November 17–21, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align="center" | 22% 10% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align="center" | 59%

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
Margin of
error
Richard
Codey
Steven
Fulop
Stephen M.
Sweeney
Other Undecided
FDU September 1–7, 2014 721 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 27% 3% 9% 6% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 55%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Файл:New Jersey Democratic gubernatorial primary results by county, 2017.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Third parties and independents

Declared

Withdrawn

  • Karese Laguerre (Independent), dental hygienist (running for lieutenant governor on the Libertarian ticket)[72][69]
  • Jonathan Lancelot (Independent), computer technician[73]
  • Mike Price (Independent), businessman[74]

Declined

General election

Seven candidates were on the ballot in the November general election, the lowest number in a New Jersey gubernatorial contest since six ran in 1989.[76]

Candidates

Major

The following candidates have qualified to appear in the state-sponsored debates:[77]

Minor

The following third-party or independent candidates qualified for the ballot but did not raise enough money to qualify for state-sponsored debates:

Debates

Dates Location Murphy Guadagno Link
October 10, 2017 Newark, New Jersey Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN
October 18, 2017 Wayne, New Jersey Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN

Fundraising

General election campaign finance activity through November 24, 2017
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican data-sort-value="Guadgno, Kim"| Kim Guadagno Шаблон:Party shading/Republican data-sort-value=5748740| $5,748,740 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican data-sort-value=5616120| $5,616,120 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican data-sort-value=132621| $132,621
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic data-sort-value="Murphy, Phil"| Phil Murphy Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic data-sort-value=14715173| $14,715,173 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic data-sort-value=14517279| $14,517,279 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic data-sort-value=197895| $197,895
Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian data-sort-value="Rohrman, Pete"| Pete Rohrman[n 5] Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian data-sort-value=7765| $7,765 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian data-sort-value=6142| $6,142 Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian data-sort-value=1623| $1,623
Шаблон:Party shading/Green data-sort-value="Kaper-Dale, Seth"| Seth Kaper-Dale Шаблон:Party shading/Green data-sort-value=104321| $104,321 Шаблон:Party shading/Green data-sort-value=114221| $114,221 Шаблон:Party shading/Green data-sort-value=-2701| –$2,701
Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution data-sort-value="Riccardi, Matthew"| Matt Riccardi Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution data-sort-value=0| N/A Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution data-sort-value=0| N/A Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution data-sort-value=0| N/A
Шаблон:Party shading/Independent data-sort-value="Genovese, Gina"| Gina Genovese Шаблон:Party shading/Independent data-sort-value=52146| $52,146 Шаблон:Party shading/Independent data-sort-value=50558| $50,558 Шаблон:Party shading/Independent data-sort-value=0| $0
Шаблон:Party shading/Independent data-sort-value="Ross, Vincent"| Vincent Ross Шаблон:Party shading/Independent data-sort-value=1| <$5,100 Шаблон:Party shading/Independent data-sort-value=1| <$5,100 Шаблон:Party shading/Independent data-sort-value=1| <$5,100
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission[83]

Шаблон:Reflist

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[84] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 6, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[85] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 13, 2017
Rothenberg Political Report[86] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 27, 2017

Polling

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kim
Guadagno (R)
Phil
Murphy (D)
Other Undecided
Change Research November 1–5, 2017 2,040 ± 2.8% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 58%
Quinnipiac University Шаблон:Webarchive October 30 – November 5, 2017 662 ± 5.2% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 5%
Rasmussen Reports October 31 – November 1, 2017 800 ± 4% 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% 5% 10%
Gravis Marketing October 30 – November 1, 2017 611 ± 4% 32% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 7%[n 6] 15%
Monmouth University October 27–31, 2017 529 ± 4.3% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 2% 7%
Emerson CollegeШаблон:Dead link October 26–28, 2017 540 ± 4.2% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 8% 14%
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive October 25–28, 2017 500 ± 4.4% 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% 6%[n 7] 12%
Quinnipiac University October 19–24, 2017 1,049 ± 4.2% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 57% 1% 5%
Stockton University October 18–24, 2017 525 ± 4.3% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% 4% 7%
FOX News October 14–16, 2017 679 LV ± 3.5% 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 8% 11%
804 RV ± 3.5% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 9% 13%
Fairleigh Dickinson University October 11–15, 2017 658 ± 4.5% 32% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 5% 13%
Stockton University October 4–12, 2017 585 ± 4.1% 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% 7% 7%
Monmouth University September 28 – October 1, 2017 452 ± 4.6% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% 2% 9%
Emerson College Шаблон:Webarchive September 28 – October 1, 2017 300 ± 5.6% 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 7%[n 8] 12%
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive September 19–23, 2017 500 ± 4.4% 25% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 6%[n 9] 24%
FOX News September 17–19, 2017 804 ± 3.5% 29% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 9%[n 10] 19%
Quinnipiac University September 7–12, 2017 875 ± 4.5% 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 58% 2% 7%
Marist College July 13–18, 2017 817 ± 3.4% 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% 1% 12%
Monmouth University July 6–9, 2017 758 ± 3.6% 26% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 6% 14%
National Research Inc. (R-Guadagno) June 25–27, 2017 600 ± 4.0% 28% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 9% 21%
Quinnipiac University June 7–12, 2017 1,103 ± 3.8% 26% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% 3% 14%
Quinnipiac University April 26 – May 1, 2017 1,209 ± 2.8% 25% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% 1% 21%
Quinnipiac University March 9–13, 2017 1,098 ± 3% 25% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 1% 25%
Quinnipiac University January 26–30, 2017 1,240 ± 2.8% 29% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 1% 22%

Шаблон:Reflist Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kim
Guadagno (R)
Phil
Murphy (D)
Joe
Piscopo (I)
Undecided
Quinnipiac University April 26 – May 1, 2017 1,209 ± 2.8% 21% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% 14% 21%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Файл:2017 New Jersey gubernatorial election results map by municipality.svg
Results of the general election by municipality, darker colors indicate higher win percentage:
•Blue municipalities won by Murphy
•Red municipalities won by Guadagno

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Results by county

County Murphy % Murphy votes Guadagno % Guadagno votes Other % Other votes
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Atlantic 55.1% 36,952 42.5% 28,456 2.4% 1,607
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Bergen 56.7% 129,265 41.6% 94,904 1.6% 3,760
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Burlington 56.5% 70,453 41.8% 52,191 1.7% 2,070
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Camden 67.2% 81,268 30.7% 37,113 2.1% 2,534
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Cape May 44.8% 13,566 53.2% 16,118 2.0% 600
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Cumberland 55.3% 15,686 41.8% 11,876 2.9% 828
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Essex 79.6% 129,470 18.8% 30,633 1.6% 2,598
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Gloucester 55.2% 42,349 42.3% 32,448 2.5% 1,898
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Hudson 80.5% 88,271 17.5% 19,236 2.0% 2,170
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Hunterdon 39.0% 17,697 58.9% 26,708 2.1% 945
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Mercer 64.9% 59,992 33.1% 30,645 2.0% 1,846
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Middlesex 57.2% 100,847 40.3% 70,940 2.5% 4,418
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Monmouth 43.0% 79,432 55.0% 101,525 1.9% 3,572
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Morris 45.1% 65,507 53.1% 77,203 1.8% 2,617
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Ocean 35.8% 56,582 62.1% 98,135 2.1% 3,279
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Passaic 60.1% 57,415 38.0% 36,230 1.9% 1,810
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Salem 45.3% 7,814 50.1% 8,629 4.6% 794
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Somerset 49.8% 45,935 47.9% 44,231 2.3% 2,107
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Sussex 36.3% 15,431 59.7% 25,401 4.0% 1,717
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Union 65.2% 79,113 32.6% 39,552 2.2% 2,594
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Warren 35.4% 10,065 61.2% 17,409 3.4% 958

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Results by congressional district

Murphy won 9 of 12 congressional districts, including two held by Republicans.

District Murphy Guandagno Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 64.5% 33.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Donald Norcross
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 49.7% 47.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Frank LoBiondo
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 46.7% 51.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Tom MacArthur
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 42.1% 55.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Chris Smith
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 48.2% 48.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Josh Gottheimer
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 54.9% 43.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Frank Pallone
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 45.5% 52.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Leonard Lance
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 81.8% 16.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Albio Sires
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 65.6% 31.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Bill Pascrell
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 85.1% 13.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Donald Payne Jr.
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 49.2% 48.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Rodney Frelinghuysen
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 62.9% 35.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Bonnie Watson Coleman

[87]

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:External links

Official campaign websites
Former campaign websites

Шаблон:2017 United States elections

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